Stocks for the Long-Run?This chart provides some useful perspective and a reminder that although those were extremely different times to now in just about every way, markets don’t always just go up all the time every time.There are plenty of examples across countries and history of relatively trend-less markets and lost decades.It’s not a reason to be pessimistic, but a reason to be pragmatic and prepared in case the market doesn’t do what every influencer talking-head tells you 😅 $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ ImageBig Beautiful Base building in Chinese Stocks...T
The rally continues, but so too does the rumblings of recession risk under the surface
Welcome to the latest Weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm!Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts:Banks are tightening lending standards (+delinquencies are rising).Consumers (and investors) are still pretty pessimistic.Prospective tax cuts might help (but the fiscal outlook is difficult).Foreign flows to US assets have dried up (+investors are underweight US).There’s one inconvenient truth about the rebound in stocks (valuations).Overall, the rally continues, but so too does the rumblings of recession risk under the surface. One theme from this week is that while we ought to respect the bullish price action, you don’t want to dismiss the lingering downside risks as stocks go from pricing the worst to seeing no wrong… $S&P 500(.SPX)$
Post-Earnings Dip or Discounted Launchpad? It’s earnings season in China, and two of the country’s biggest tech names just served up sharply contrasting dishes. Tencent’s results were robust—revenue up 13%, gross profit surging 20%, and a margin-rich business model continuing to hum. $BABA-W(09988)$, meanwhile, posted a revenue miss and promptly shed over 5% in market value. But here’s the twist: net profit at Alibaba skyrocketed 279% year-on-year. It’s a tale of two giants at an AI crossroads. So, is it time to back up the truck for Alibaba—or is $TENCENT(00700)$ the smarter bet? In my view, Alibaba’s drop presents a buying opportunity. Two giants diverge at China’s AI-lit innovation crossroads Tencent
Mapletree Industrial Trust's 4Q FY24/25 Result Review
$Mapletree Ind Tr(ME8U.SI)$ Basic Profile & Key Statistics Key Indicators Performance Highlight Gross revenue and NPI have remained similar YoY. Borrowing costs have decreased due to loan repayment and lower interest on unhedged loans. However, distribution declared by joint ventures has declined significantly YoY due to higher financing costs and the absence of a one-off release of previously withheld amounts. Despite this, the amount available for distribution and DPU rose slightly YoY, supported by the distribution of net divestment gain. Rental Reversion MIT achieved a healthy weighted average rental reversion of +8.1%, reflecting strong leasing momentum across key segments such as Hi-Tech Buildings and Data Centres. Divestment In April
Amazon (AMZN) Option Play Post Earnings Amid Potential Knee-Jerk Reaction
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ have been looking good last week as they have pulled off a lot from the tops. So this week, I am looking to play some options on Amazon as the potential knee-jerk reaction from the U.S. debt ratings downgrade. Amazon Valuation Manageable And Improving Free Cash Flow Any index consolidation could give some very nice discount for Amazon. Right now, Amazon valuation is still manageable at around 205, and Amazon just had their earnings few weeks ago. Currently we are seeing a 26.5% undervalued, so at this current price around 205, it looks like a good discount. If we looked into the future prospects for Amazon, we are seeing good improving free cash flow, there is also improving net margins , and the EPS is looking to go higher expo
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 📉🚨🧠 The VIX Smile Isn’t a Grin~It’s a Signal. Here’s Why I’m Thrilled. 🧠🚨📉 I’m electrified by what I’m seeing in the markets as of 19May25, 🇳🇿NZ Time. The $VIX is whispering secrets through its options skew, Treasury yields are surging, and a seismic US credit downgrade has just landed. This isn’t noise, it’s the dawn of a volatility regime that could redefine risk assets. I’m diving deep into the technicals, macro forces, and fresh catalysts driving this setup. Let’s unpack it with hard data and a clear lens. 📊 Technical Edge: The VIX Skew Is Talking The $VIX closed at 17.24, but the real story is the explosive call-side bias in the 25 Delta Ri
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ : Consolidation suggests pullback risk. After the last breach of the upper Bollinger Band, a deep pullback followed, and this time the RSI is overbought. Losing the 5-day moving average would increase the risk of a fall to at least the 20 DMA, or more precisely, a break below $115.6 next week would set a decline towards $108.Looks like The Street received the memo with the pullback notification two days late. Anticipating a pullback on Friday or Saturday was okImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy
1. $Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL is attempting to hold above its 50-day moving average and remains below its 200 DMA ⚠️. Previous highlighted consolidations have preceded pullbacks; will this time be different? ➡️ Next week, the gap may act as a magnet, and a loss of $210.6 would likely lead to a move towards $207.4 at the very least.Image2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA is showing signs of consolidation after reaching the upper Bollinger band. The previous two times highlighted generated a pullback towards the lower Bollinger band, and the second time to the 20 moving average. This time the RSI is overbought⚠️. $337 is the level to watch this week, bullish above it, bearish below. ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can kno
The latest edition of World’s Top 50 companies (based on market capitalization) has just been published. (see below) What do you make of it ? The world’s most valuable companies hold immense sway over the global economy, shaping everything from technology to consumer trends. As of May 2025, US listed companies like giants like Apple, Microsoft, & Nvidia are worth trillions of dollars, reflecting America’s long-standing leadership in innovation and capital markets. The #1 and #2. The two largest companies, MSFT & AAPL, have regularly swapped places as the world’s most valuable company over the past decade. Both companies are integrating AI into their product offerings and that has helped fuel their market cap growth in recent years. However with a US-initiated worldwide tariffs that
GE Aerospace Or Boeing Potential Recovery Trade Over Etihad Airways Deal
$Boeing(BA)$ and $GE Aerospace(GE)$ secured a $14.5 billion deal with Etihad Airways for 28 Boeing aircraft powered by GE engines. This agreement is part of a broader $200 billion U.S.-UAE trade deal announced by President Trump, highlighting the strengthening commercial ties between the two nations. The deal between Etihad Airways, Boeing (BA), and GE Aerospace (GE) for 28 Boeing aircraft powered by GE engines can be seen as a positive indicator for the potential recovery and future prospects of both companies. In this article, I would like to explore whether BA or GE is a better stock to buy into with the positive expectation of potential recovery and future prospects. Reasons for Potential Recovery/Positiv
🌟🌟🌟Even though UP Fintech Holdings $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ better known as Tiger Brokers is down 12% this week, it has risen by 33.8% year todate. In 2024 Tiger Brokers have jumped 98%. Is Tiger Brokers A Buy? Let's check out its Q4 24 and Full Year results ended December 31 2024. Financial Results Total revenue in Q4 reached USD 124.1 million, an increase of 22.8% compared to last quarter and year over year growth of 77.3%. For the full year, total revenue was USD 391.5 million, a 43.7% increase from 2023. Net income in Q4 24 was USD 28.1 million, a quarter over quarter growth of 58% compared to a loss of USD 1.8 million in the previous year quarter. Non GAAP income in Q4 24 was USD 30.5 million, a
Can Workday (WDAY) Earnings Performance Signal Enterprise Software AI Monetization Working?
$Workday(WDAY)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal year 2026 first-quarter for period ending 30 April 2025 earnings on Thursday, 22 May 2025, after the market closes. Consensus EPS Forecast: Analysts' consensus EPS forecast for Q1 2026 is $2.01. Year-over-Year EPS Increase Expectation: Analysts project a year-over-year EPS increase of 35.3%, compared to the $1.74 reported in the same quarter last year (fiscal Q1 2025). Revenue Estimate: The revenue estimate for Q1 2026 is around $2.2 billion. Subscription Revenue Guidance (Provided in previous earnings call): Approximately $2.050 billion, representing a growth of 13% year-over-year. Non-GAAP Operating Margin Guidance (Provided in previous earnings call): Approximately 28.0%. Workday (WDAY) Last Po
UnitedHealth Stock: What I’m Doing, and Why I Haven’t Bought the Dip (Yet)
$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UnitedHealth (UNH) stock has been under massive pressure lately—down over 21% in the past five days and nearly 38% year to date. After featuring it as one of two quality, undervalued stocks recently, I’ve received countless questions: Did I sell? Did I buy more? What’s my updated thesis? Here’s my final update on UNH before the next earnings report. Let’s break down what’s happened, where I stand, and what I’m watching next. UnitedHealth Group: What a Mess… or a Massive Opportunity? UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has been in freefall—down nearly 50% in just four weeks. It’s one of the most dramatic collapses of a large-cap stock in recent memory. First, there was a cyberattack. Then, the CEO was tragically killed. Next, they missed gu
Bilibili (BILI) User Growth AI Monetization Could Provide Earnings Surprise
$Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$ is scheduled to release its quarterly report for fiscal Q1 2025 on Tuesday, 20 May 2025, before the U.S. markets open. Following the announcement, Bilibili's management will host an earnings conference call at 8:00 AM U.S. Eastern Time (8:00 PM Beijing/Hong Kong Time) on the same day. Earnings Per Share (EPS) : The consensus EPS forecast for the fiscal quarter ending March 2025 is $0.07. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $-1.06. Revenue : The consensus revenue forecast for Q1 2025, according to analyst ratings, is RMB 6.909 billion. Bilibili (BILI) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw Share Price Dropped By 10.72% Bilibili had a positive earnings call on 25 March 2025 which saw its share price declined by 10.72%.
Target (TGT) Ability To Navigate Retail Challenging Environment Crucial In Earnings Report
$Target(TGT)$ is scheduled to release its first-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings before the market opens on Wednesday, 21 May 2025. A conference call to discuss the results is expected to follow at 8:00 AM ET. Revenue: Analysts anticipate revenue to be approximately $24.46 billion, which is relatively flat compared to the $24.53 billion reported in the same period last year. Target itself expects modest revenue growth of around 1% for the full fiscal year 2025, suggesting a potentially muted performance in Q1. Earnings per Share (EPS): The consensus estimate for adjusted EPS is around $1.72 to $1.76, a decrease from the $2.03 reported in Q1 2024. This reflects potential pressure on profitability. Full Fiscal Year 2025 Guidance: Target has provided
NVIDIA's Latest Holdings | Which of the 6 Major AI Companies Has the Most Growth Potential? NVIDIA's latest investment landscape has just been unveiled. According to NVIDIA's 13F filing with the SEC, as of the end of Q1, the company hold stakes in 6 companies: Data center operator $CoreWeave (CRWV.US)$ , chip design giant $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ , data center operator $Applied Digital (APLD.US)$ , AI healthcare company $Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US)$ , data center operator $NEBIUS (NBIS.US)$ , and autonomous driving company $WeRide (WRD.US)$. As a global leader in AI computing power, NVIDIA's capital deployment is becoming a strategic indicator for tech industry development. The market believes NVIDIA's investment decisions are based on a deep understanding and foresight of AI
Index Put Options Are Everywhere in Wall Street's 13F Fillings Institutions are reporting their 13F holding in the first quarter of 2025(as of 3/31/25), and they have demonstrated a keen interest in option strategies to hedge with the market uncertainties. We saw index put options everywhere, puts on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ , $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and $iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF(IWN)$ surged up across their portfolios, signaling a downside protection. Tech stocks are still favored, but with lighter exposure to volatile names like
Investors Pile on Nvidia, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft in Q1, Taking Advantage of Sell-Off Hedge funds and other large investors piled on $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , $Apple(AAPL)$ , and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ in the first quarter, taking advantage of the stock market sell-off that sent the Magnificent Seven stocks to their worst three-month slump since mid-2022. Their combined holdings in Nvidia climbed by 116.58 million shares, the most among the Magnificen
Trading Potential Monday Knee-jerk Reaction After U.S. Debt Rating Downgrade
The stock market rally had a powerful week as the U.S-China trade de-escalated and AI spending fears returned to optimism. All the major indexes cleared their 200-day lines decisively. Much of the advance came early in the week, but the indexes and leading stocks showed little desire to pause, let alone pullback. Moody's Downgrades U.S. Sovereign Credit Rating However, Moody's Investors Service downgraded the U.S. government credit rating from the top-level Aaa to Aa1, saying this "reflects the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels that are significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns." The announcement of a U.S. debt rating downgrade by Moody's on Saturday, 17 May 2025, after the regular market close on Friday, will likely impact