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2025-05-24
Weekly Macro Themes - Remain bullish Chinese stocks
This week I covered the following topics:1. China Macro: China’s economy (and housing market) remain mired in downturn, and deflation risk dominates vs inflation risk; anticipate further stimulus to help get the recovery back on track.2. Chinese Stocks: Remain bullish Chinese stocks given cheap valuations, improving technicals, basing macro (albeit on-watch), chance of stimulus as a key catalyst, and still mostly bearish sentiment.3. Chinese Bonds: Chinese government bonds look very expensive (thanks to deflation, declining growth, property downturn); at-risk of selloff if growth/property rebounds.4. US Govt Bond Yields: Multiple short/medium-term drivers have pushed US government bond yields higher (helping turn treasuries into an undervalued and underappreciated hedge/diversifier).5. Bas
4.27K
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2025-05-24
What Should Investors Do When Lightning Hits The Stock Market?
🌟🌟🌟Donald Trump is at it again - announcing 50% tariffs for the EU and 25% for Apple, one of the heaviest weight on the S&P 500 Index. It is as if Lightning has hit the stock market which is still slowly recovering from Trump's April 2 Tariffs. What should investors do when lightning hit the stock markets? The answer depends on your investment strategy. Active Traders versus Long Term Investors Active traders often monitor the markets closely, reacting to news, earnings and macroeconomic events in real time. If you are trading on short term volatility, being present when "lightning strikes" can be crucial. Long Term investors however, focus on broader trends rather
TOP1PC: Well [Helpless] Prata man is doing it again [Chuckle]. Nice Sharing 😁 @yourcelesttyy @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Shyon @Barcode @JC888
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2025-05-24
QQQ Bearish MACD Crossovers and Pullbacks
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Bearish MACD Crossovers and Pullbacks: During the last 12 months, this signal has been linked to declines averaging -7%, with three occurrences averaging -15%. There is no doubt the 200DMA will be tested, and the gap will be filled, which would mean a -6% drop from the recent top. Will it hold?ImageThe weekly chart suggests the move has just begun, considering the reversal candle and the divergence with the Money Flow Index. The gap in candles and volume shelves (red arrow) may act as a strong magnet.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a
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2025-05-24
Daily Charts - Stocks have had a dream run
1.Stocks have had a dream runBonds have had a nightmareThis is important, because it goes in cycles, and well...Image2.Public Markets = pick the asset class 🤔 Private Markets = pick the manager 🧐 Mileage varies greatly across (but not so much within) asset classes for Public assets -- while mileage varies enormously *within* asset classes for the very opaque, illiquid, and idiosyncratic Private markets...Image3.What does:-Moody's Downgrade-Big Beautiful Bill-Bessent growth comments...all have in common?Big beautiful macro upside risks for gold $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ (and downsides for bonds).ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission
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2025-05-24
Top 10 Enterprise Software Companies this week
This week in enterprise software: Top 10 #SaaS #Cloud multiples as of today's market close $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ $Rubrik Inc.(RBRK)$ $ServiceNow(NOW)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Guidewire(GWRE)$ $Zscaler Inc.(ZS)$ $ServiceTitan(TTAN)$ ImageThis week on Clouded Judgement: Size of the Prize
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2025-05-24
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I suspect Trump’s premarket statement on Friday about imposing tariffs on Europe might be an attempt to buy NVIDIA at a lower price ahead of its earnings. Otherwise, why would he show support for his good buddy Musk’s earnings but turn bearish when it’s NVIDIA’s turn?On Thursday, options arbitrage institutions rolled their positions, and judging by the results, next week’s stock price may not be low. They raised the strike prices for their sell call positions to the 144–146 range while hedging with buy calls in the 157.5–162.5 range.From an analysis perspective, NVIDIA’s stock price next week could potentially hit 140, whether it’s before or after the earnings report. Post-earnings, the stock is expected to trade between 130 and 144
7.53K
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2025-05-23
$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ Quantum stocks are going wild right now! While the A-share market is obsessed with robots, the U.S. is clearly leaning hard into quantum tech. IonQ’s CEO just doubled down in an interview, saying they aim to be “the $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ of quantum computing.” No wonder the stock surged nearly 37%, when sentiment hits, it hits hard.
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2025-05-23
$Pony AI Inc(PONY)$ is on fire，up 5x and still climbing! It’s closing in on its previous high, and the momentum looks strong. Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen are all pushing forward with commercial deployment, with Shanghai explicitly targeting mass public transportation. This is a clear bullish signal. Buckle up, the ride’s just getting started!
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2025-05-23
$GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF(CONL)$ COIN $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ jumped 6.6% in yesterday afternoon trading, riding the wave as Bitcoin hit a new all-time high，briefly surpassing $110,000. In times of rising uncertainty, investors are showing renewed faith in Bitcoin as a store of value. Geopolitical tensions, intensifying trade conflicts, and persistent concerns about U.S. Debt sustainability is driving capital toward alternative assets. Digital currencies, especially Bitcoin, are increasingly viewed as a go-to hedge，and Coinbase, being a key blockchain infrastructure player, is clearly benefiting from this trend.
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2025-05-23
$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$ is set to release its quarterly earnings tomorrow, and the stock is already rallying today，clearly, the market hasn’t forgotten how solid their results usually are. Personally, I believe there's a high chance they’ll post strong numbers again. Here's an opinion that might be unpopular: in terms of actual business traction in the U.S., I think MINISO is doing a better job than Pinduoduo. It may not have the same hype, but their steady overseas expansion and focus on brand + in-store experience make a strong case. I’m holding a small position and planning to ride it through their annual report next year. Let’s see what happens.
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2025-05-23
$Constellation Energy Corp(CEG)$ U.S. nuclear energy stocks surged in after-hours trading! According to Reuters, Trump is expected to sign an executive order as early as this Friday to revitalize the nuclear power industry. The plan includes streamlining approvals for new reactors and strengthening the nuclear fuel supply chain. The bigger picture? The AI boom has triggered the first major surge in electricity demand in over two decades. And Trump wasted no time，declaring an "energy emergency" on his very first day back in office. Buckle up, this could be big.
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2025-05-23
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ The Genius Act just passed by the U.S. Senate may quietly be the biggest tailwind for Coinbase. Why? Because among all public companies, Coinbase arguably leads the pack in stablecoin infrastructure and operations. If stablecoin legislation officially rolls out, it’ll act as a massive catalyst，bringing regulatory clarity and potentially positioning Coinbase at the heart of the crypto payment ecosystem. Right now feels like a prime window of opportunity for COIN.
4.99K
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2025-05-23
$Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$ Don’t just rely on financial reports，some value can't be quantified on spreadsheets. Take Bilibili for example. Their focus on vertical, high-quality content driven by deep algorithms and user interests is clearly the direction video platforms are headed. This edge doesn’t show up in quarterly numbers，it requires business intuition and foresight to spot. And that kind of insight? That’s the highest invisible barrier in true value investing.
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2025-05-23
$ProShares Ether ETF(EETH)$ Ethereum is stepping into a full-on public transformation. With its newly unveiled “Trillion-Dollar Security Plan,” ETH is aiming to cement its role as the future global settlement layer，betting big on the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). The message? Ethereum’s decade-long stability and decentralized validator network make it ready to secure trillions in value. I'm gearing up to build my EETH position，this next leg up could be massive, and I’m not staying on the sidelines.
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2025-05-23
$U.S. Steel(X)$ The U.S. Committee on Foreign Investment (CFIUS) just passed the Nippon Steel–U.S. Steel acquisition case to President Trump. Word is, while opinions within CFIUS aren’t fully aligned, most members think any national security concerns can be addressed with mitigation measures. The White House confirmed it’s received the report，now it’s Trump’s call. He’s got 15 days to make a decision, though that deadline could slip. Let’s not forget, Biden previously blocked the deal citing national security, which led to lawsuits claiming the review process was unfair. If this deal gets approved, Nippon Steel plans to invest $14 billion in U.S. operations，$4 billion of that just for a brand-new plant. Honestly, I’m just waiting on the final word. O
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2025-05-23
$Talen(TLN)$ At this point, the bull case for nuclear energy has become significantly stronger. Structural underinvestment on the supply side, coupled with surging electricity demand driven by AI data centers and broader electrification trends, is creating a perfect storm. Add to that the global urgency to secure clean and reliable power for decarbonization goals, and it’s clear，nuclear is set to outperform the broader market well into the 2030s, possibly even through the 2040s.
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2025-05-23
$e.l.f. Beauty Inc.(ELF)$ The financial report will be released next week. I look forward to ELF's performance. I am optimistic about it and look forward to its soaring.
6.82K
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2025-05-23
$Celestica(CLS)$ today is a completely different beast compared to a decade ago. It has evolved into a key player riding the wave of AI, cloud computing, aerospace, and defense. With strong financial momentum and steadily rising profit margins, it's now a trusted partner for top-tier tech and aerospace companies. What’s more, it has proven its ability to generate solid cash flow and return value to shareholders. Double-digit growth in 2025? Highly likely.
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2025-05-23
$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ At the core, both $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ and Pinduoduo grow by pleasing consumers，but their business nature differs significantly. Pinduoduo rides on China’s e-commerce boom. As consumption upgrades, people, people, especially women, are ordering more and more online, even if some items are used only once or not at all. Meituan, on the other hand, operates in a fixed-demand market. No matter how rich or convenient life gets, you’re not going to eat 30 meals a day. It’s a battle for efficiency in a zero-sum game. That’s why Meituan arguably causes much more disruption to traditional offline businesses than Pinduoduo does.
4.81K
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2025-05-23
$EAST BUY(01797)$ is staging a performance rebound, with both fundamentals and sentiment aligning，this could be the beginning of a potential double-up move! Today is critical: the long-standing 60-day moving average is the key resistance. A decisive breakout with volume would mark a real trend reversal. In this market, it’s all about pricing in surprises. Believe in belief，I expect at least a 3% pop today. Let’s go!