SMH: Past visits to the upper Bollinger Band have resulted in price retracing to the lower one
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ : Past visits to the upper Bollinger Band have resulted in price retracing to the lower one. Will this instance prove different? The gap is currently acting as a bearish magnet⚠️, and while the 200DMA is attempting to establish support, my previous $S&P 500(.SPX)$ analysis showed that this line is often breached📉.Analog interesting (especially if it were to fall below 17,66$): $Intel(INTC)$ (currently 20,05$)All eyes are on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 's earnings results this weekImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in tr
1.No Fun for Active Funds...Over a 3 decade period:59% of funds did *not* survive 😵 31% survived but lagged the index 🥴 10% survived and beat the index 🤓 Whether or not it's fun, it ain't easy. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Two things are special about this chart...It's about the only place you will find an equal-weighted version of Emerging Market equities.That big beautiful breakout.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free
Retail investors have been the strongest hand in the market all year. After the Moody’s downgrade, last Monday saw the largest retail buying day of U.S. stocks EVER. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free tra
Is Nvidia a buy or bye? Preview of the week starting 26May25
Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China and Singapore. America is closed on 26May25 as they celebrate Memorial Day. Hong Kong is closed on 31May25 as they celebrate Tuen Ng Day (also known as Dragonboat Festival). Economic Calendar (26May25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) Fed Chair Powell’s remarks could provide insights into monetary policy, potentially influencing markets depending on his stance on interest rates and inflation. Previous Durable Goods Orders (Apr) were at 7.5% (month-over-month). No forecast is provided, but a strong reading could signal robust economic activity, while a decline might raise concerns. CB Consumer Confidence (May) is forecasted at 88.0, up from 86.0. A drop in consumer confidence could indicate weaker consumer spending, a key dr
US Market Weekly Recap. On Fri, 23 May 2025 US market did not have a chance to close the week on a high, ahead of Memorial Day (26 May 2025). In fact the week of 19 May - 23 May has not been kind to the US market. The ripple effect of Moody’s downgrade of US credit rating to “Aa1” on Fri, 16 May 2025 set a negative tone at the start of the week. US market was further hammered when Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” (tax-and-spending proposal) advanced in Congress. This heightened investors’ concern on BBB’s estimated -$3.3 trillion addon impact on US national debt through 2034. * note: US national debt currently stands at $36.89 trillion and increasing. These worries drove long-term Treasury yields sharply higher, with the 30-year yield surpassing 5% for the first time since the 2008 financial
The Strategic Role of Stablecoins and U.S. Treasuries in Trump’s Financial Hegemony Plan
I recently took a week long holiday in Japan. I visited Tokyo, Kyoto, and Hakone. Tokyo’s electric energy, from Shibuya’s bustling streets to serene Meiji Shrine, was invigorating. Kyoto’s tranquil temples, like Kinkaku-ji, and seasonal kaiseki dining offered cultural depth. The highlight was soaking in a Hakone onsen, surrounded by mountain views—a moment of pure relaxation that recharged me. Japan’s blend of tradition and innovation, evident in its efficient infrastructure and tech-savvy culture, prompted thoughts about its digital finance landscape. Reflecting on my trip, I’m eager to share where I visited and the standout moment that truly refreshed me. As someone vested in $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ ,
CoreWeave’s Cloud Coup: A Nimble Giant in Nvidia’s Shadow
Moats, Margins and Mega-Growth—But at What Cost? CoreWeave may not be a household name yet, but in AI infrastructure circles, it's the name lighting up pitch decks and GPU supply chains. With eye-popping 420% year-over-year revenue growth and gross margins north of 74%, it's no wonder its enterprise value has ballooned to $42 billion in short order. But beneath the flashy metrics lies a story of strategic boldness, vertical ambition—and risk stitched into the seams. CoreWeave’s infrastructure isn’t built—it grows, like neural roots The Green Elephant in the Server Room CoreWeave’s secret weapon is also its Achilles’ heel: Nvidia. No other AI-cloud player has quite the same privileged access to H100s and next-gen silicon, thanks in part to early strategic alignment and hefty purchase commit
Li Auto (LI) High ASP Maintenance A Challenge To Its Upcoming Earnings
$Li Auto(LI)$ is scheduled to report its unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2025 before the U.S. market opens on Thursday, 29 May 2025. Revenue Guidance/Estimates: Li Auto had previously guided Q1 2025 revenue to be in the range of RMB 23.4 billion yuan to RMB 24.7 billion yuan (approximately $3.2 billion to $3.4 billion USD). This would represent a year-on-year decrease of 3.5% to 8.7%. Analyst consensus estimates for Q1 2025 revenue are around RMB 25.13 billion. EPS Estimates: The consensus EPS forecast for Q1 2025 is approximately RMB 0.36. This would be a significant year-on-year decrease of 34.93% compared to Q1 2024's reported EPS of $0.08 (which would translate to a different RMB figure, but the percentage change is what mat
Friday market reacts to the tariffs concerns after President Trump warned of a 25% tariff on iPhones not made in the U.S. This create uncertainty just before the holiday weekend. Nvidia lost 1.7% and we saw quantum stocks performance was mixed, with $Quantum Computing Inc.(QUBT)$ still able to gain 10.27% on Friday, only $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ lost 0.22% and $D-Wave Quantum Inc.(QBTS)$ lost 1.26%. This is pretty significant compared to the gains that IONQ, QBTS and QUBT gained 36.52%, 23.96% and 14.52% respectively on Thursday. So this makes me wonder whether there is clear re-ignition of interest in quantum computing stocks, and Nvidia has played a significant role i
Can XiaoMi-W (01810.HK) IoT and Lifestyle Continued Its Robust Growth To Power Its Earnings
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ is scheduled to announce its Q1 2025 results on 27 May 2025 (Tuesday), with an investor conference call/audio webcast at 7:30 PM HKT. Revenue Growth: The consensus revenue forecast for Q1 2025 is RMB 109.057 billion, representing a significant +44.43% year-on-year (YoY) increase. This strong growth is anticipated to be driven by various factors, including a rebound in its core businesses and the successful foray into the electric vehicle (EV) market. Earnings Per Share (EPS): The consensus EPS forecast for Q1 2025 is RMB 0.291, suggesting a substantial +71.18% YoY increase. Profitability: Analysts anticipate robust profit growth. Huatai Securities, for example, projects a 47% YoY increase in net profit attributable to the parent
Daily Charts - Tech Stocks reached the same level that marked the top during the Dot Com Bubble
1.When accounting for M2 Money Supply, Tech Stocks $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ have now reached the same level that marked the top during the Dot Com Bubble Image2.Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ now the worst-performing Magnificent 7 stock in 2025 with a year-to-date decline of 22%Image3.U.S. Treasury Bonds now have the worst 10-year rolling annualized returns in the last 90 years 👀Image4.Gold just saw a weekly outflow of $2.9 Billion, the largest in more than a decade and the third largest in historyImage5.Robotaxis could generate $34 Trillion in Enterprise Value by 2030 🚨 Tesla's $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ market cap is only $1.
NVDA & AMD - Will the earnings report save the rally?
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Shooting Star After Breaching the Upper Bollinger Band➡️The daily RSI reached overbought levels and price action is aiming to a gap fill and a potential breach of the 200DMA.A first line of defense was shared in the Weekly Compass. Will the earnings report save the rally?Image2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Using the AMD chart, the latest publication (access in bio) offers a clear example (open for everyone) of how to leverage support and resistance levels balancing them with technical analysis. If you base your trading on levels, you'll discover the immense value of this predictive golden model. The chart suggests a top is in, the levels will provide confirmation.ImageFor whom haven't o
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ and Breaches of the 200-Day Moving Average:Over the past decade, this "sacred line" has been breached from both bullish and bearish directions. It's a mistake to expect a perfect bounce from it, just as it is to declare a bear market if it's breached. Red arrows highlight bearish reversals that occurred above this line, while green arrows indicate bullish reversals from below it.In the latest Weekly Compass (access via the link in my b!o), we analyze the imminent gap fill and the likelihood of a price bounce, along with the key level to monitor before making any premature decisions.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commissi
Daily Charts - After the Shakeout comes the Breakout
1.After the Shakeout comes the Breakout.Global equities (ex-US) have broken out to new all time highs with country breadth running at solid levels.Image2.Lessons from the past...The internet would go on to become ubiquitous, and a source of tremendous wealth and innovationBut at the height of the dot com bubble it was pure Hype at that stage... certainly relative to the valuations prevailing at that time: $Cisco(CSCO)$$Oracle(ORCL)$$Qualcomm(QCOM)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Image3.The GoldNuggets Digest-positioning shakeout-valuations-long-term technicals-investor allocations-debt dynamicsImageImageImageImageFor whom haven'
I alerted a beautiful long on $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ expecting the London High at 5877 to be crossed 🎯First add was at 5851.75, then added once we closed above the m1 FVG 📈TP was hit for 22 points! 🔥ImageImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?<
As expected, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ pulled back to the Daily FVG, 200DMA & 23.6% retrace at 5762-5691, which should act as support.I lean the 4th is near completion, if not already complete, to then rally to new all time highs for the 5th wave from this 5762-5691 support zone.If so, we should return to this range following new ATHs' before one final push to 6500 - to then TOP.This is invalidated below 5533 with a Daily close below 5691 sending a warning sign it will fail.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of