For the week ending Fri, 20 Jun 2025, the US weekly jobless claims reported was released earlier due to Thursday’s Juneteenth public holiday. Let’s get the facts out of the way first before diving deeper. US Weekly Jobless Claims. For week ending 14 Jun 2025, initial weekly jobless claims fell by -5,000 to 245,000 from the previous week’s 250,000 claims (revised upwards by +2,000 claims), that had boosted claims to an 8th-month high. The 4-week moving average of claims (that strips out seasonal fluctuations from the data), increased +4,750 to 245,500 last week, the highest level since August 2023. Initial weekly claims stayed at levels consistent with: A further loss of labour market momentum in June 2025. Softening economic activity. According to economists, (minus some technical factors
US Strikes Ignite Iran Tensions: Are Skyrocketing Oil Prices Next?
On June 21, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. military executed precision strikes on three pivotal Iranian nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. This bold move has sent shockwaves through the Middle East, with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard vowing "serious consequences" and threatening to strike all American interests in the region. As experts sound the alarm over an unpredictable shift in regional security, the world’s attention turns to the potential fallout: could this escalation send oil prices soaring and destabilize global markets? Buckle up—here’s what you need to know. The Flashpoint: What Happened and Why It Matters The U.S. strikes targeted Iran’s nuclear backbone. Fordow, a fortified underground complex, Natanz, a major enrichment hub, and Isfahan,
Gold's Return and Inflow is Making History. Do you Have any in Position?
Gold on track for an inflow of $80 Billion this year, the largest in history. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$$E-Micro Gold - main 2508(MGCmain)$ ImageSo far in this year, $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ etf has outperformed the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ a large amount or %. On pace for its best year since 1979.ImageUS Gold ETF assets under management have surpassed $190 billion for the first time in history. The value of gold ETF assets has skyrocketed by ~$100 billion over the last 2 years. Furthermore, assets in the most popular gold fund, $GLD, have recently crossed above $100 billion for the first time in history. In fact, gol
🪙 $Mapletree Ind Tr(ME8U.SI)$ - New Loan Facility Agreement 🪙 $EliteComREIT GBP(MXNU.SI)$ - Completion Of The Proposed Acquisition And Use Of Proceeds From The Private Placement 🪙 $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ - Update Of The US$7 Billion Euro Medium Term Note Programme. 🪙 $Suntec Reit(T82U.SI)$ - Issue Of S$250,000,000 Fixed Rate Subordinated Perpetual Securities Pursuant To The U.S.$2,000,000,000 Euro Medium Term Securities Programme. 🪙 $AIMS APAC Reit(O5RU.SI)$ - Completion Of Divestment Of 3 Toh Tuck Link In Singapore. 🪙Keppel DC REIT replaced Jardine Cycle &
$FTSE ST All-Share Real Estate Investment Trusts Index(FSTAS351020.IN) is currently trading within a range between 625 and 660. At the same time, the REIT index is forming an Invested Head and Shoulder with 200D SMA as neckline resistance. Look out for breakout catalysts: (1) Huge improvement in DPU payout in the next quarter earning release. (2) An Interest Rate Cut by US Fed (3) Plunge in US 10 Years Risk Free Rate $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI) $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF US$(SRU.SI) $LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI) For Trading - No Trend (Hold) For Long Term Investing - Accumulate in Stages
Money and Me: REITs Among Upcoming IPO's and what you need to know
Could 2025 be the year Singapore's REIT market regains its shine? With $Centurion(OU8.SI)$ gearing up for a REIT IPO backed by worker and student housing, $Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SI)$ reclaiming a spot on the STI, and Singapore office REITs posting resilient Q1 numbers, the landscape is shifting fast. Hosted by Michelle Martin with guest Kenny Loh, REIT Specialist and Wealth Advisory Director, this episode explores what’s hot, what’s risky, and whether investor appetite can absorb a new wave of IPOs in an already liquidity-sensitive market. REITs mentioned in the interview: $EliteComREIT GBP(MXNU.SI)$$Stoneweg EUTrus
📈 Technically, Singapore REITs sector is consolidating at an important support level of FTSE ST REIT Index and trading close to the level during the COVID crash in Mar 2020. At the same time, the REIT index is forming an Inverted Head and Shoulders, a potential trend reversal pattern, with 200D SMA as neckline resistance. 🔥 Total Market Cap = S$86.45Billion ( ⬇️from S$88.23 Billion) 🎯 Average Price/NAV = 0.76 (Maintain) 🎯 Average Distribution Yield = 5.99% (⬇️ from 6.27%) 🎯 Market Cap Weighted Average Distribution Yield = 6.08% (⬇️ from 6.17%) 🎯 Average Gearing Ratio = 39.94% (⬆️ from 39.80%) 💹 Average Yield Spread (vs 10 years SG Gov yield) = 3.95% (⬆️ from 3.93%) 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹 / 𝗕𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗦-𝗥𝗘𝗜𝗧 𝗦𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿 (𝗜𝗻 𝗚𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹): 🐮Valuation (24% discount to Market Fair Value) 🐮🐻 Technical Momentum (trading
3 ways to massively boost your confidence when entering and exiting a trade
3 ways to massively boost your confidence when entering and exiting a trade (bookmark so you can review it)1. backtest to see if you had taken your SET-UPS perfectly what would happen 2. review your trading decisions (ex: you didnt take your A+ set up today ask why?)3. every loss or bad trade you took or didnt take write the mistakes down and focus on learning from it instead of feeling like crap you didnt do well.Change the way you think: trading your system vs trying to be right. This will change your results in trading and here's why:Most people get into trading chasing excitement — the quick wins, the rush of being right, that little ego boost that makes you feel like a genius. But that never lasts. It’s addicting, sure, but it burns out fast. Trading isn’t a casino, and if you treat i
In the historical charts documented for the different bullish signals, the price rallied rapidly reaching overbought conditions, which is something happening today and a pullback from the current levels is normal.The shooting star formation is a bearish reversal candle that as studied last week, it has a long upper shadow that is at least twice the length of the real body. This long upper shadow or wick indicates that buyers pushed the price up during the period, but sellers ultimately rejected the higher prices and pushed the price back down. The semiconductors ETF presents a clear example: $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ The latest weekly candle presents indecision again, this time also with an upper wick or shadow that indicates the selling pres
Over the last two months, every dip in the stock market has been bought quickly, leaving many traders waiting for a deeper pullback in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the overall market, that has yet to materialize. Instead, the market has continued to set higher highs and higher lows as the N $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ and stocks like $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , despite several unfilled gaps below the current prices. This is a market condition I accurately anticipated back in April, when a second bullish signal emerged amidst widespread panic and apathy towards a new bull market. The following quotes are from April 26th when I documented a rare bullish signal with historical charts.I
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Has been a front runner in the recent rally, the $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ for 2025 as I compared in previous publications with NVDA in the first half of 2024. This stock reached $129 as anticipated in April, and then consolidated that zone for a couple of weeks. The price rallied last week towards the weekly bullish target $143 as anticipated with precision in this same publication, and the price retraced immediately. Today, the weekly candle is showing indecision, the RSI is in a divergence mode (higher highs in price and lower highs in the oscillator), and weekly volume is drying.The central weekly level at $139.4 is critical for validating the bearish thesis. A sustained price
$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ - Pullback as Expected: Last Saturday, I posted the weekly analysis for GOOG with price targets open for everyone in the Weekly Compass (my premium emailed publication, you can subscribe through the link in my bio). The analysis anticipated a pullback, and $166 was considered the bearish destination🎯. The bearish MACD cross and candle suggest there is room for continuation. Image For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free tra
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : Opposite Milestones Reached:➡️ The bullish one for the medium/long term, which is the imminent bullish golden cross, since the 50DMA is crossing back above the 200DMA.➡️The bearish one is the red engulfing candle validated by high volume and the well announced visit to the 20DMA.Bearish short term with price action likely to find support in the volume shelf, before bullish continuation.Previously posted: A Potentially bullish $Apple(AAPL)$ , and a well anticipated bearish move for $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ .ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : he more a support or resistance level is tested, the more likely it is to be breached. That is the case of the 20DMA, there have been seven consecutive days of retest, will if be breached?➡️Rejection = Retest of the 50DMA➡️Breakout = $350What's coming?ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA
I really try to take the $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ bulls seriously but when you use “imagine” as your bull case it’s a story stock, not fundamentally driven.Just take some of these examples: - No chance autonomous vehicles will want a satellite connection when 5G is available. And they’re nowhere near going outside 5G service areas.- Connected agriculture…I live in the Midwest. We have great service on farms. - Humanoid robots? Are the wandering around the desert? The problem is, these satellites aren’t long lived assets. They’ll be in service for ~5 years. We need real use cases and paying customers (most are a revenue share model) now, not dreams. Still watching, but this is why I don’t get the thesis until they prove it to me with real $$$.
I projected that $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ was nearing completion of a higher degree 4th wave to then rally to 260-270 for a 5th 📈Since then, SMH bursted higher right to that target range 🚀SMH should be near completion of its 4th wave to rally for another leg up under the 5th wave targeting 260-270. lf we fall back to the Weekly FVG at 234.05-220.92, that would be a strong buy for the 5th wave. Otherwise, it may trade directly higher without tapping it.ImageImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commissio
Risk is growing higher & higher as SPX is taking too much time consolidating
Risk is growing higher & higher that the 2-month impulse up from the April lows is already complete as $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is taking too much time consolidating. Price is at 5966-5937 support, but a Daily close below 5937 and/or cross of 5913 would send a short signal that the higher degree pullback is unfolding.If so, that should lead to 5850-5700 support before attacking ATHs/6500 in Q3/Q4. While above support, a new high is possible, I am just less confident in that now as it should have broken out already. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2509(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$