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2025-08-12
Super Micro Computer’s 18% Post-Earnings Slide: Opportunity or Value Trap?
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) — one of Wall Street’s most prominent beneficiaries of the AI server boom — has seen its market valuation cut sharply following its latest earnings release. After cautioning investors ahead of the announcement that the stock appeared overvalued with material downside risk, that thesis has been validated: shares plunged over 18% in a single trading session after the results. The company’s fiscal Q4 2025 numbers revealed slowing revenue growth, margin compression, and persistent operational challenges. While management issued guidance implying a slight acceleration in growth for fiscal 2026, the combination of elevated valuation, thin margins, and ongoing accounting transpare
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2025-08-12
Bitcoin’s New Milestone & Ethereum’s Record Run – Is the Next Stop $150K?
$iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF(IBIT)$ $2X BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF(BITX)$ Bitcoin has broken through the $120,000 barrier while Ethereum is printing fresh cycle highs, reviving a conversation that had faded with the post-2021 bear market: can digital assets re-enter a phase of sustained price discovery where Bitcoin reaches $150,000 and beyond? Over the past weeks, the market has shown a striking confluence of drivers — regulatory developments, meaningful institutional inflows, softer U.S. dollar and shifting rate expectations, and constructive on-chain supply dynamics — that together have powered a decisive rally. This article lays out the price action, the fundamental case, the macro backdrop, market sentiment
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2025-08-12
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ What to Expect from the Q2 2025 Earnings Report Earnings Release Circle will announce its Q2 2025 results on Tuesday, August 12, 2025, before market open, accompanied by a live audio webcast at 8 a.m. ET . Revenue Projections Analysts expect revenue to be approximately $645.7 million, representing around 48% year-over-year growth . Some sources cite an alternative consensus estimate near $673 million . Profit Expectations The company is forecasted to report a net loss per share of about $1.00, though projections suggest EBITDA could reach approximately $119 million, reflecting operational momentum despite the bottom-line loss . --- Can Strong Revenue Growth Sustain the Stock Rally? Bull Case Momentum from Q1: Circle
TOPFranklinMorley: It's an intriguing mix of potential and risk.
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2025-08-12
Time To Spread Risk Using Diversified Portfolio As A Good Defense
With CPI expected at 2.8% higher than previous 2.7%, are businesses adjusting the prices in preparation to higher tariffs, how can investors position their portfolio in preparation? The expectation of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising from 2.7% to 2.8% is a clear signal of ongoing inflationary pressures in the economy. This is particularly concerning as it comes at a time when businesses are already grappling with the effects of new and sweeping tariffs. Businesses and Pricing Adjustments Businesses are indeed adjusting prices, and the link between tariffs and inflation is becoming increasingly visible. Passing on Costs: The primary way tariffs affect consumers is by increasing the cost of imported goods. While the importer pays the tariff, these costs are often passed down the supply
TOPNice Sharing 😊 @Jes86188 @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @koolgal @Barcode @JC888 @Shyon
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2025-08-12
C3.ai Crash As Q1 Preliminary Revenue, Loss Far Worse Than Expected
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ C3.ai — once a poster child of the enterprise-AI boom and a darling of growth-focused investors — suffered a dramatic re-rating after the company released preliminary fiscal first-quarter results that missed prior guidance by a wide margin and revealed losses far deeper than the market expected. The shock of the numbers, and the blunt language from the company’s founder and executive leadership, sparked a violent sell-off that forced investors to reassess C3.ai’s path to sustainable growth and profitability. What started as a routine pre-quarter update quickly turned into a watershed moment for a company that had been trying to prove it could convert early AI enthusiasm into durable subscription revenue and clearer economics. The s
TOPC3.ai's challenges seem daunting. Do you think they can genuinely turn things around soon?
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2025-08-12
📊💡📈 Zeberg-Salomon Protocol: Outsmarting the Business Cycle 📈💡📊
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF(IEF)$ I’m always fascinated by strategies that combine simplicity with powerful historical results. The Zeberg-Salomon Protocol is one of those rare frameworks. It’s not some complex quant model or gut-feel approach; it’s a rules-based system built around one core insight: the economy moves in cycles, and markets respond in predictable patterns. The premise is simple: • When the business cycle bottoms: typically when growth is accelerating from a recessionary trough, you go long the S&P 500. Stocks tend to outperform sharply in early to mid expansions as earnings
TOP📉The historical context here is what stands out. Showing how SPX avoided big drawdowns when this framework flipped to bonds makes the current LEI and PMI trends feel even more relevant. That’s a strong case for watching TLT closely now.
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2025-08-12
🐊📊👟 Crocs: From Trading Floors to Dance Floors ~ Will Shorts Survive the Foam Rush? 📊👟🐊
$Crocs(CROX)$ $Deckers Outdoor(DECK)$ $Nike(NKE)$ 👟📈🌀 Crocs in Beast Mode – When Gamma Meets Rubber, Things Get Slippery 📈🌀👟 When Life Gives You Tariffs, Make Croc-a-doodles I’m watching CROX go from sub-$76 lows to $78.33 like it’s trying to win a 100m sprint in a pair of clogs. GEX 1 resistance at $79 is the next hurdle; clear it, and $82–$85 becomes the next comfort zone before we see if shorts get blisters. Ugly Duckling or Swan in Disguise? Yes, CROX has faceplanted 43% in 12 months, earnings are down 69% YoY, and tariffs could take a $90M chunk out of margins. But analysts still see +36% EPS CAGR for 3 years; triple the S&P’s pace. That’s not just foam,
TOP📊I really like how you mapped out that $79 break as the trigger point. With short interest sitting over 35%, CROX has a similar squeeze profile to what we saw with BYND back in its momentum days, and that layered GEX target range gives a clear framework for scaling 😻
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2025-08-12
BigBear.ai's Bleak Q2: At the Crossroads of AI Defense $BigBear.ai Holdings(BBAI)$
TOPWith such significant losses, do you see any real potential for turnaround in the next few quarters?
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2025-08-12
I’m predicting $Bullish(BLSH)$ first-day closing price at $78. With the IPO priced between $32 and $33, that’s more than doubling — ambitious but possible given the current crypto momentum and hype. Backing from BlackRock and ARK Invest strengthens the bullish outlook and draws institutional attention. The market is still buzzing from Circle’s blockbuster IPO in June, proving strong debuts are possible in the digital asset space. Bullish’s CoinDesk acquisition adds a unique media edge, while clearer U.S. regulations & traditional finance adoption fuel growth potential. This combination could set the stage for an explosive first trading day, especially if r
TOPtoo many bullish hypes too many stable coins.. 33 dollars close..
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2025-08-12
August 12 Market Mayhem: Top Stocks to Watch and Trade!
The stock market is buzzing with activity on August 12, 2025, as earnings reports from key companies and economic data releases create potential for significant moves. The S&P 500 stands at 6,297.36, with Nasdaq at 20,884.27, reflecting a bullish trend amid a VIX of 15.94. Tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict, oil at $75/barrel) add uncertainty, but strong earnings beats from tech and consumer sectors are driving optimism. Recent highlights include IHCL's international expansion plans and ONON's growth in athletic wear. With CPI data looming and earnings from IHCL, CAH, ONON, TME, MSGS, ORLA, IHSC, LQDA, AVXL, ECC, VALN, and others, today could see volatility in tech, healthcare, and consumer goods. This report dives into the catalys
TOPWith earnings coming up, I’d focus on ONON for a strong finish, but keep an eye on any volatility
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2025-08-12
I am excited to see Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
TOPToday it will correct waiting at $320 to pick some durians
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2025-08-12
Sea’s Explosive Growth: Can Its Core Businesses Rocket Past All-Time Highs?
Sea Limited has ignited a market frenzy, surpassing quarterly revenue estimates with a stellar $5.26 billion in Q2 2025, a 38.2% year-over-year surge that outpaced the $4.98 billion analyst consensus from LSEG data. The Singapore-based titan’s e-commerce arm, Shopee, led the charge, while financial services (Monee) and entertainment (Garena) also posted robust demand, propelling shares up 9% in premarket trading to $171.20. With the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 and Nasdaq at 20,884.27 reflecting a bullish backdrop, yet tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict, oil at $75/barrel) looming, Sea’s triple-threat growth could unlock significant upside. Can it surge past its previous high of $165.90 from July 2025? This analysis dives into the earnings
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2025-08-12
Cannabis Stocks Explode: Is This the Next Trump-Era Goldmine?
The cannabis sector is ablaze with potential as President Donald Trump signals a possible reclassification of marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III, a move analysts hail as a “game changer” for the $80 billion market, with a decision looming in the coming weeks. On Monday, August 11, 2025, Canopy Growth (CGC) rocketed over 26% to $1.72, while Tilray Brands (TLRY) surged more than 41% to $1.05, igniting a rally that has Wall Street buzzing. With the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 and Nasdaq at 20,884.27 reflecting a bullish market, yet tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict, oil at $75/barrel) adding uncertainty, could cannabis be the next “Trump sector” to watch? This deep dive explores the reclassification impact, stock performances, and tra
TOPThis rally seems promising, but be cautious of possible pullbacks.
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2025-08-13
TLRY’s Soaring Stock Price: Fundamentals Still Playing Catch-Up
$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$ Performance Overview and Market Feedback Tilray Brands has staged a remarkable short-term rebound despite a challenging year overall. While the stock is down nearly 60% year-to-date, its recent momentum has been extraordinary—posting a gain of more than 100% in the past month alone. The latest single-day rally of almost 18% underscores the renewed speculative interest from retail traders and opportunistic institutional investors. The sharp rebound has been driven largely by sentiment rather than a fundamental shift in profitability, with traders betting on a favorable regulatory environment in the U.S. and potential cannabis rescheduling. Positive reaction to Tilray’s earnings beat on EPS and EBITDA—despite headline revenue wea
TOPTilray’s rebound is impressive—earnings beat, beverage diversification, and U.S. regulatory hopes could fuel more upside
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2025-08-12
Bullish IPO Frenzy: Could Peter Thiel’s Crypto Bet Outshine Palantir?
The crypto world is abuzz as Peter Thiel-backed cryptocurrency exchange Bullish has upped the ante on its initial public offering, aiming to raise $990 million by offering 30 million shares priced between $32 and $33 each, targeting a $4.8 billion valuation, per a Monday filing with the SEC. With the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 and Nasdaq at 20,884.27 riding a bullish wave, and Bitcoin nearing $121,000 amid a 64% September rate cut probability, Bullish’s debut on the NYSE under ticker BLSH could ignite a market storm. Backed by Thiel’s venture savvy—think Palantir’s $375 billion surge—and with BlackRock and ARK eyeing $200 million in shares, is this the next big tech unicorn? This analysis dives into Bullish’s IPO potential, market momentum, and trading strategies to seize the opportunity. IPO
TOPVery detailed analysis and plan.👍 Let’s see where it will go today.
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2025-08-13
China’s $65 Billion Chip Retreat: Strategic Setback or Calculated Power Play?
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Cargo vessels idle off the coast of Shanghai, their holds packed with semiconductors that may never reach their destinations. Inside a sealed customs warehouse, a red stamp marks the rejection of another shipment. In just twelve months, China has erased roughly $65 billion in foreign chip imports—sending shockwaves through global markets, blindsiding Wall Street, and putting Silicon Valley on edge. The question is no longer why Beijing made the move, but what it plans to do next. A Sudden and Steep Fracture in Global Chip Trade The figures are staggering: China’s semiconductor imports plunged 15.4% in a single year, wiping out billions in global sales. The d
TOPNVDA’s workaround chips will keep China revenue afloat—don’t sell yet.
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2025-08-13
Alibaba Breaks Triangle, Forms Bullish Flag Ahead of Earnings
Upcoming Earnings Date Alibaba Group (HKEX: $BABA-W(09988)$ ) is expected to release its next earnings report on August 14, 2025 Technical Chart Analysis Triangle Breakout: The stock has broken out of a descending triangle, suggesting a shift from consolidation to potential bullish momentum. Flag Pattern Emerging: A flag-like formation now appears—a classic continuation signal hinting at further upside if breakout sustains. Momentum Pickup: Recent price action shows strength, validating the breakout and continuation setup. Using DLCs (Daily Leverage Certificates) for Short-Term Trading Long DLCs (e.g. $Alibaba 5xLongSG251113(DKPW.SI)$ ): Ideal if anticipating continuation after triangle breakout. Of
TOPNice analysis! Those flags can signal great opportunities. Are you planning to enter with long DLCs?
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2025-08-13
$Bullish(BLSH)$ Bullish IPO Overview (as of August 2025) Upsized Offering Bullish increased its IPO size to raise $990 million, issuing 30 million shares priced at $32–$33 apiece. At the top end, this implies a valuation approaching $4.8 billion . Growth vs. Prior Proposal This represents a substantial jump from its earlier plan to raise approximately $629 million via 20.3 million shares at $28–$31 . Institutional Backing & Sentiment The IPO has garnered strong institutional interest: investors like BlackRock, ARK Invest, and others have signaled up to $200 million in prospective purchases . Moreover, the broader IPO environment is encouraging—coined “crypto summer”—with favorable macro conditions, buoyant crypto market behavior, and im
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2025-08-13
US July CPI a Mixed Bag, Traders Pile Into Bets on a September Rate Cut
Before the US market opened last night, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released July inflation data that drew plenty of market attention. Headline CPI (not seasonally adjusted) held steady at 2.7% year-on-year, below the 2.8% forecast. However, core CPI climbed to 3.1%—a five-month high—beating expectations of 3.0%. On a monthly basis, core CPI rose 0.3%, the fastest pace since January. This split performance highlights the complexity of the inflation picture and adds new challenges for the Fed’s upcoming policy decisions. Source: U.S. Bureau Of Labor Statistics Energy and Food Prices Fall, But Services Inflation Surges A closer look shows a clear structural pattern: energy and food prices are easing, but services inflation is still running hot. The Fed’s closely watched “supercore service
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2025-08-13
Apply Long Strangle For Applied Materials (AMAT) Post Earnings Move
$Applied Materials(AMAT)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings on Thursday, August 14, 2025, after the market closes. As a key player in the semiconductor equipment industry, its results are closely watched for insights into the health of the broader chip sector, particularly amid the ongoing boom in AI and advanced technology. Revenue: The consensus revenue forecast is approximately $7.2 billion, which would represent a year-over-year increase of about 6.2%. This growth is expected to be driven by robust demand for advanced equipment, particularly for the development of generative AI and more complex chips. The Semiconductor Systems segment is projected to be the main growth engine, with an estimated year-over-year increase of 9.4%.
TOPis this going to $200 after earnings? :)