To The Moon

After forming a bearish SMT divergence at all-time highs, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ confirmed weakness by closing below the last bullish delivery candle from the FOMC rally — a bearish CISD.Yesterday’s move now looks like a false breakout, with price producing a bearish 5-wave decline from the high.If this continues, I expect today’s low to get crossed with downside risk extending toward a 50-DMA retest, and confirmation accelerating on a close below 6715 (Daily FVG). This sets the stage for a sharper leg lower into the 6400–6350 zone. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.

$AVGO$ earnings were the polar opposite of Oracle's. While the standard financial metrics were outstanding, the backlog fell short of expectations, and the stock still dropped.A lower-than-expected backlog could stem from various factors, but the market is leaning towards interpreting it as a slowdown in investment. The next question is why investment is slowing—AI is still figuring out its monetization path. In simple terms, because it's not yet profitable, the pace of cash burn is moderating.Considering Broadcom supplies the current U.S. AI leader, Google, if even the leader is being cautious, other players likely are too. Therefore, a market pullback seems inevitable.The consensus from put activity suggests the stock will stay above $350, but the market's sell put strike preference is a

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Anyone brave enough to write puts on $RH(RH)$ heading into earnings today? Expected move is ~13% with a very high IV of ~260%.This stock has been killed off so much from ATH. Would like to write the 75 put strike for Dec 19 expiration, but there is no premium. May take a 110/105 put credit spread instead.Image.2.Wasn't too sure how $RH(RH)$ would report for earnings, but was leaning to the downside, so wrote a conservative put credit spread instead of writing naked puts. Also wrote a naked call ... don't see RH hitting 230 on good earnings.Hindsight is obviously 20/20, but should have just written the put straight up with no hedge. Gave up lo

$Oracle(ORCL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ 🔥📊🚀 Oracle Earnings Breakdown, RPO Erupts to $523B, AI Infrastructure Surges, Cash Burn Deepens 🚀📊🔥 Market Structure and Technical Overview Oracle completed a full rotational cycle. Gold tops at $228.50 to $233.80 retraced into gold bottoms at $197.80 to $191.56 which is a structurally clean revisit of the earlier all time high breakout zone. The level is still holding. Technically this remains a healthy retest and not a breakdown. The next directional confirmation will come from whether $ORCL reclaims the mid band. Headline Results and Earnings Quality Q2 FY26 delivered headline strength. Adj

My stance Silver’s breakout is technically impressive and fundamentally supported by the shift in real-rate expectations, yet its volatility profile argues for disciplined entry rather than chasing momentum. Why silver is outperforming gold Silver benefits from a dual identity: part monetary metal, part industrial commodity. As markets lock in a Fed easing path, real yields soften and the monetary bid rises. At the same time, renewed optimism around global manufacturing, solar demand and AI-related electronics boosts the industrial side. Gold is consolidating because positioning is already heavy, while silver had more room to expand. Breakout dynamics The surge above the previous record signals a strong trend, with ETF flows moving into SLV and leveraged vehicles like AGQ. Still, silver’s

$Oracle(ORCL)$  Assessment of the results Oracle delivered a combination the market finds most punishing: a revenue miss, a cloud miss and a deterioration in free cash flow. The headline figure of –$10 billion FCF is especially troubling because it signals that the company is consuming cash at a time when investors expected cloud expansion to translate into stronger operating leverage. Why the sell-off was so severe The negative reaction is rational. Three pressure points converged. 1. Growth disappointment Oracle has been priced as a beneficiary of the AI-infrastructure cycle. Missing both total revenue and cloud revenue undermines the “acceleration story” that previously pushed the stock to high valuations. 2. Cash-flow shock A large negati

The latest rate cut feels like a textbook "dovish move wrapped in a hawkish message." On one hand, the Fed delivered the sixth cut since last year and the third consecutive meeting-based reduction, which clearly signals they're still leaning toward supporting growth. But on the other hand, the Dot Plot is sending a very mixed signal for 2026, with officials scattered across a wide range of expectations. When seven officials see no further cuts in 2026 while others expect up to 150 bps of easing, it tells me the Fed is deeply uncertain about the trajectory of inflation, labor markets, and long-term equilibrium rates. To me, the most important part isn't the extremes—it's the median. The fact that the median 2026 projection still shows just one more 25-bp cut makes the Fed sound more hawkish

Oracle's $Oracle(ORCL)$   latest earnings were definitely disappointing, and the market reaction makes sense to me. When both total revenue and cloud revenue come in below expectations, it signals that the company's growth engine isn't firing as strongly as investors were hoping—especially in a period where hyperscalers and AI-driven cloud demand are supposed to be accelerating. The revenue miss alone would've been enough to pressure the stock, but the rest of the report added even more uncertainty. What really stood out to me was the -$10 billion in free cash flow. That's not a small deviation—it's a major swing that raises questions about underlying cash-generation strength. I understand that Oracle is in

🟩 The Straits Times Index might look flat at 4,512, but don't let the lack of movement fool you—there is a silent, dangerous battle happening right under the surface of your portfolio. For many Singaporean investors, the "set and forget" strategy for blue chips is starting to show cracks. The banks we’ve relied on for years are facing a synchronized decline in Net Interest Margins, and our favorite REITs are struggling to outrun rising financing costs. If you’re holding DBS, UOB, or major logistics REITs like Mapletree, you need to understand why a "boring" market is often the most confusing—and dangerous—time for retail investors. In this video, we cut through the noise to dissect the real health of the SGX "Holy Trinity" and why the divergence between DBS and UOB is a critical signal you

Fed Cut 25bps: A "Fake Consensus"? Why Powell’s Risky Bet Explodes Volatility in 2026 The headline says "Fed cuts 25bps, signals pause." Sounds like a standard, boring policy move, right? Wrong. If you dig into the details of this meeting, you’ll see something we haven’t seen in over a decade. Chairman Powell didn’t just lead a consensus; he forced a rate cut through a fractured committee. The internal cracks at the Federal Reserve are no longer just hairline fractures—they are canyons. Here is why this "boring" meeting actually signals a massive shift in market risk and volatility for 2026. 1️⃣ The "Silent Protest" in the Dot Plot The official vote count showed three dissenters—already rare in modern Fed history. But the real drama was hidden in the Dot Plot. * The Numbers: Out of 19 offi

$Oracle(ORCL)$  🚨 Oracle’s -$10B Shock: Is This an "All-In" AI Bet or a Capital Crisis? $ORCL plunges 10% — The "Safe Haven" trade just got dangerous. Oracle has long been the "adult in the room"—a stable cash cow that pays dividends and buys back stock. But yesterday, that narrative was shredded. The company didn’t just miss revenue estimates; it reported -$10 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for the quarter and announced a staggering $15 billion increase in capital expenditure (Capex). If you are holding ORCL or eyeing the $180 level for a bounce, you need to understand: This isn't just a bad quarter; it’s a complete identity shift. 1️⃣ The "Capex Shock": Why the Market Panic is Real Traders can forgive a revenue miss. What they hate is unce

DJI Smashes 48,000! 🚀 Is This the Ultimate Santa Rally or a Bull Trap? The screen is green, the bulls are running, and the history books are being rewritten. If you looked at your screen this morning, you saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) surging past a massive psychological barrier, sitting pretty at 48,057 (+1.05%). Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (.SPX) is knocking on the door of 6,900, currently at 6,886 (+0.67%). We are officially in the "Santa Rally" window for December 2025. But before you blindly leverage up on everything, look closer at the numbers. There is a story hidden in the divergence between the Dow and the Nasdaq that smart traders need to decode today. Here is the deep dive on what these moves mean for your portfolio as we close out the year. 1️⃣ The "Old Guard" is L

Oracle Q2 Review: The Market No Longer Buys the RPO Story Oracle's Q2 FY26 results showcase a soaring AI cloud backlog and strong OCI growth, but also sharply higher capex, negative free cash flow and rising debt, putting Oracle's balance sheet in the spotlight. From here, the story is less about signing even bigger AI deals, and more about turning the existing backlog into revenue, earnings and cash while keeping the balance sheet under control. Key Financial Results For Q2 FY26 (quarter ended Nov. 30, 2025), Oracle reported: Revenue: USD 16.06 billion, up 13% YoY, slightly below consensus of around USD 16.2 billion. Non-GAAP EPS: $2.26, well above the Street at $1.64 – but this headline number is flattered by a one-off gain. During the quarter, Oracle sold its stake in Arm-based server c

AI Data Centers Breathe New Life Into Old Power Gear $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$   is an energy technology company that builds and services gas and renewable power plants and grid equipment, providing generation and electrification solutions for utilities, industry and increasingly AI data centers worldwide. GE Vernova's stock price closed over 15% higher at a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization close to $200 billion, with year-to-date gains already exceeding 120%. The key numbers behind the pop GE Vernova's spike after the update is anchored in a much steeper growth path. Management now guides 2025 revenue to 36–37 billion USD and 2026 to 41–42 billion USD, and has lifted its 2028 target to 52 b