To The Moon

$GUANGDONG INV(00270)$  Investment Switch: China Everbright Water → Guangdong Investment Guangdong Investment generates 75% of its revenue from Hong Kong's water supply, offering a stable 5-6% dividend yield. Given Hong Kong's dependence on this resource, the business holds a strong moat. As a Singaporean, I appreciate the critical value of water infrastructure. I recently divested my position in China Everbright Water (realizing ~SGD 20k profit). Although it previously yielded 7-8%, recent results indicate a compression to 5-6% TTM. For a small-cap stock, this dividends yield no longer justifies the risk premium. Consequently, I have initiated a long-term position in Guangdong Investment. The water utilities sector continues to be a solid c

$Autodesk(ADSK)$ Autodesk, Inc.(ADSK) Rallies +5.32%: Technical Rebound Ignites, Eyes $250-$260 Zone Latest Close Data Closed at $245.87 on 2026-03-01, up +5.32% (+$12.42). The stock is now ~25% below its 52-week high of $329.09. Core Market Drivers The rally appears to be a technical rebound following a period of sustained selling pressure, as indicated by recent negative capital flow data. No specific company news was the primary driver, suggesting market-driven repositioning. Technical Analysis Volume was strong at 5.37M shares (Volume Ratio: 2.23), confirming the bullish move. The MACD histogram has turned positive (+5.00), signaling strengthening upward momentum. The 6-day RSI (71.10) is now in overbought territory, suggesting the rally may b

$SBA Communications Corp(SBAC)$ SBA Communications Corp. (SBAC) Jumps +4.68%: Bulls Reclaim $201 Level, $225 Target in Sight Latest Close Data: SBAC closed at $201.16 on 2026-03-01, surging +4.68% (+$8.99). The stock now sits ~18% below its 52-week high of $245.16. Core Market Drivers: The significant rally was supported by strong daily net capital inflow of ~$9 million, indicating institutional accumulation. A positive market sentiment towards REITs and stable 5G infrastructure demand are also tailwinds. Technical Analysis: The move was confirmed by above-average volume (2.11x Volume Ratio). The 12-period RSI (59.61) has rebounded from near-neutral levels, showing renewed momentum without being overbought. The MACD (0.89) remains positive, though

Nvidia just released a PERFECT report card... so why is the stock DROPPING? 📉🤯 It sounds crazy, but Nvidia’s earnings were incredibly good. Revenue is up a massive 73%! But Wall Street is acting like a strict parent right now. An A+ is no longer good enough; they expect a miracle every single time. 🤦‍♂️ Here is a simple breakdown of what is really going on behind the scenes: ⛏️ The Gold Rush Problem: Nvidia sells the "shovels" (computer chips) for the AI gold rush. But investors are starting to ask a scary question: Are the gold miners (big companies like Google and Meta) actually making enough profit to justify the cost? If they don't make money from AI soon, they might stop buying shovels. 🌍 The Plot Twist: It’s not just tech nerds buying chips anymore. Entire COUNTRIES are now stepping

February 2026 was rough for stocks. After riding high on AI hype for years, the S&P 500 dipped noticeably, closing out the month a bit below its recent peaks. The Nasdaq took an even bigger hit, marking its third down month in four. The main culprits? Two big, interconnected worries that people are calling the "private credit cockroaches" and the "AI scare trade."Let's break it down in plain terms.The Cockroach Thing in Private CreditJamie Dimon from JPMorgan kicked this off late last year when a couple of borrowers — like a subprime auto lender and an auto-parts company — ran into serious trouble. He basically said, "When you see one cockroach, there are probably more hiding." It's a classic way of warning that one visible problem often signals bigger, hidden ones. Fast forward to Feb

Chanced upon $Microbot Medical Inc(MBOT)$  just before they showcased their LIBERTY system at the intravenous treatment medical conference. Oversold, with a product waiting for adoption brimming with potential, this looked like an opportunity too good to miss. With a price hovering around $1.70~$1.80, I quickly snapped up some call options at $0.30 each. I was planning to go long on this stock anyway, given their plan to advocate for their LIBERTY system adoption throughout 2026 and 2027, they're just at the starting line of a value expansion cycle.  Within a couple of weeks, their showcase was a success, and the first major adoption by a major hospital was announced. Their price shot up quickly to $2.

🌟🌟🌟Coined by Nassim Taleb, a Black Swan is an event that is unpredictable, carries a massive impact and is often explained with hindsight bias after it happens.  The sudden high intensity strikes on Iran on February 28 by US and Israel is certainly a Black Swan event. The lesson to be learnt is to build a portfolio that survives as it is impossible to predict a Black Swan event. That is why I have invested in $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ which is  my ultimate safe haven, backed by physical gold bullion held in secure vaults.  IAU is the 2nd highest Gold ETF in market cap after $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ .  However IAU has a lower expense ratio of 0.25% compared to GLD'S 0.40%.  It also ha

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

This GTC feels structurally different from past ones because the narrative is no longer “more training compute”, but economics of inference. Markets will likely react to proof of monetisation, not just technological ambition. Why GTC could be a catalyst 1. Inference is the larger TAM Training is episodic; inference is continuous. If Nvidia demonstrates meaningful latency and cost-per-token improvements via SRAM + 3D stacking, it reinforces NVDA as the toll collector of everyday AI usage, not just model creation. 2. Architecture transition matters A Feynman-class inference chip signals Nvidia defending against specialised challengers (Groq, custom ASICs, hyperscaler silicon). Integration rather than displacement strengthens ecosystem lock-in. 3. Customer validation OpenAI purchase commitmen

February showed a classic late-cycle rotation: crowded AI momentum met an external shock, and capital moved toward protection rather than growth. The divergence tells the story clearly. Nasdaq weakness reflects duration risk, while the Dow’s resilience signals rotation into cash-flow and defensive assets. Was gold or oil the right “parachute”? Yes, but for different reasons: Gold protects against policy uncertainty and falling real yields. It hedges portfolio valuation risk. Oil hedges supply disruption and inflation shocks. It protects against macro shock risk. A balanced hedge typically requires both, because wars transmit first through energy, then into monetary expectations where gold benefits most. Did February require profit protection? In hindsight, yes. When narratives shift from g

I did not buy gold or oil as I think commodities are quite speculative to me. I prefer to invest direct in stocks or ETFs. I think the market sentiment has been one where there has been great fears of a market crash since the upward march 2 years ago. Nonetheless, the market continues to climb last year, leaving many to regret that they gave in to their fears and were out of the market. What happened to Nvidia is not unique to it, I do think it will happen to any of the stocks related to the AI frenzy. However, if we look at the longer term, I think the stock prices will still climb in the next 2-3 years so there is no need to panic. It’s is just market sentiment and profit taking. Overall market valuation is similar to historical values but I have chosen to manage my risk by taking profit

I would say b. Market is just relieved that Netflix decided to walk away from a risky deal that might not pay off. However, fundamentally the company remains the same, with the same challenges. It has always been about subscriptions and whether it can generate other streams of revenue such as from advertisements. The real report card is still earnings and expected performance in the coming quarters. Investors want to know this as income is undeniably vital for any company to stay afloat. This has not been addressed and so Netflix is not in a strong position to acquire Warner bro and this talk about acquisition is nothing but a distraction that has spooked fears in investors. Netflix still needs to address the crux of the issue which will shed light on its viability.

I think stablecoins will drift further away from cryptocurrencies as after all these years, cryptocurrencies have yet to broken themselves to be an investable asset beyond speculation, unlike stablecoins. Beyond the use cases, investors want to be able to evaluate and invest in it as an asset class that cryptocurrencies have yet to shown. I won’t chase after circle’s surge as the earnings reflect the last quarter where the hype was still strong. I would prefer to take profit and use the next earnings to re-evaluate the fundamentals of the company to determine if it is worth investing for the longer term. BTC has been unfortunately just a speculative tool after the rise over the past few years with the expectation of supply dwindling. I expect a larger decline as many take profit and move t

$SIA(C6L.SI)$   SIA (C6L) navigates a complex second spring, as revenue record and yield recovery clash with a profit drop from its Air India investment and rising operational costs C6L achieved revenue record, but halved profit margins and the biggest surprise is yield pivot triggered stock falls after new high; market worried about Air India losses and cargo dips created an institutional outlook defined by a tug-of-war between bulls and bears over high load factors versus rising non-fuel costs The stock's surge to a seven-month high raises the question if it is too late to buy in or if the good news is already priced in, with Air India's losses seen as "temporary growing pains" and the viability of C6L's high-price strategy depe

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$  $Salesforce.com(CRM)$  $Snowflake(SNOW)$   Current market conditions have triggered an AI Software Stress Test, challenging the sustainability of traditional SaaS models and questioning the role of Claude as either a partner or a replacement The capacity for AI stocks to assure a continued market rally depends on consistent EPS growth, regulatory adaptation, and proof of AI-driven cost savings amidst growing volatility The new AI era hinges on whether CoreWeave (CRWV) can sustain infrastructure demand via its $8.5 billion raise, positioning itself as a key player in AI workloads, while Salesforce (CRM) and Snowflak