To The Moon

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   Here we go, Tigers !  The $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Q4 earnings we've all been waiting for is finally here! This time, the big question isn't just about the numbers, but the story itself. Is NVDA an unstoppable giant with a wide moat? Or has the hype gone too far, and it's time for a reality check? This isn't just another earnings report. This is a battle of narratives. Stop guessing, it's time to show your hand. Pick your team, show off your Alpha, and let's see who really gets the future of AI. The Two Teams: Pick Your Side! Forget just being bullish or bearish. The real debate is deeper. CoolTeam Moat: The Unstoppables You're on this team if you believe: – NVDA's lead in hardware, software (th

I still think nvda pivoted hard to AI considering how badly their GPUs became, which likely is the reason for Jensen being so desperate to have the hype continue. Competitors like AMD (and their partners from TW, HK and CN) should fully muscle into the GPU market to ensure nvda cannot come crawling back when the AI bubble bursts

a

I feel Jensen is slightly concerned but wants to push the envelope as hard as he can. Hearing him speak about AI bubble fears, feels like he is trying to convince himself more than trying to calm the market down. 2025 brought so much profit to investors where the market just ran wild with AI hype, but the market is shifting to being more conservative and scrutinising the application of AI, not just buying into any companies claiming to use the technology. I am starting to wonder if the shortage of memory and storage (for 2026 and even into early 2027) is because of a bottleneck of available materials to produce, or companies like Seagate, WD, Toshiba, etc. are expecting the bubble to pop and therefore do not want to increase production volumes (the companies that go under will not pay up f

1. Can AI CapEx remain this aggressive? So far, hyperscaler spending has behaved unlike a normal cycle because AI compute is still supply-constrained rather than demand-constrained. Why spending has held up: Hyperscalers are competing for model leadership, not short-term profit. Training capacity still determines capability leadership. Blackwell systems are effectively pre-sold through backlog visibility. Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are still signalling elevated multi-year CapEx. That suggests FY2026 spending is strategic infrastructure, not discretionary IT. However, the market is starting to ask a new question: > Are customers buying compute because they must, or because it already produces ROI? That distinction determines Nvidia’s multiple expansion from here. --- 2. “Grab Co

Post SCOTUS’s annulment of Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs on Fri, 20 Feb 2026 and Trump's subsequent move to impose a temporary 15% global tariff across the board, have thrown world trade into a new bout of confusion. US stock market was not spared either. On Mon 23 Feb 2026, 2nd trading day post SCOTUS’s verdict, US equities tumbled as investors grappled with fears and uncertainty over Trump’s new tariffs. By the time market called it a day: DJIA: -1.66% (-821.91 to 48,804.06). S&P 500: -1.04% (-71.76 to 6,837.75). Nasdaq: -1.13% (-258.79 to 22,627.27). There were 67 52-weeks new highs and 264 new lows. Monday’s trading volume on US exchanges was 18.39 billion shares, slightly below the 20-day average of 20.62 billion. The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) saw a heavy skew toward negative

A rebound in the battered software stocks on Tuesday (24 Feb) lifted the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ by 1.1%, ahead of Nvidia's earnings scheduled for 25 Feb after US market close.. Correspondingly, the Nasdaq 7x Long DLC rose nearly +8%, while the Nasdaq 7x Short DLC declined by a similar magnitude. The standout performer in Tuesday's trading session was $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$, rising 8.8% after Meta announced a multi‑year agreement to deploy 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs for its AI data‑centre infrastructure. On the DLCs, the AMD 3x Long DLC gained around +26% while the AMD 3x Short DLC declined by similar m

B - Tech stocks seem are on the down side

B, there is some entitlement sentiment in the market that is somewhat detattched from reality.

Your guess is as good as mine! I pick A

Jensen doesn't need to do anything, other than what he is doing. If growth continues, PE will increase and share price with increase. Simple. The stupidity of the market won't change but time will ensure stock prices will come back to meet the business fundamentals reality. I think more importantly is what crazy things will Trump do to throw the market into a tailspin.

🌟🌟🌟I believe that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will close up post earnings with a Bullish Breakout toward USD 200.  According to the charts, NVIDIA is showing a clear uptrend with higher lows, rising moving average and elevated RSI levels.  This reflects strong buying pressure, momentum building into earnings & traders positioning for upside. With Blackwell demand "Off the Charts" and Cloud GPUs are essentially sold out, NVIDIA is set to break new re

🌟🌟🌟As a "glass half full" person, I vote A as it is a bet on the most dominant fundamental story of our generation.  I am voting for the Bullish Breakout as I believe that Jensen Huang is about to drop a "Blackwell Sledgehammer" on the doubters. Why?  The "Invisible" demand:  While the bears talk about the Capex fatigue, Meta, Microsoft &  Google are currently in an AI race where the cost of NOT buying Blackwell chips, is far higher than the price of the chips themselves. Since beating expectations is now the baseline, the direction will be determined by guidance, not just results. If Jensen Huang confirms that Blackwell Ultra shipments are exceeding the already massive demand, the 2nd leg of AI bull market begins. Wall Street expects USD 71.1 billion in revenue fo

I pick b - buy dip

I pick A - AI is a sure bet

"Good news may no longer be enough" relatable to uncertain market sentiment. With Nvidia seems relatively cheap is optimistic to pick: A.Bullish breakout

Thank you for sharing 

A: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has strong earnings growth and momentum which increases likelihood of further price growth in the near term driven by data centre capex spend

B - Expectations are high & the market is thinking more about future growth. Even a strong report might lead to a short-term drop.

i think $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ will pop after the announcement but then a day or two later the market will remember their war, tarrifs,  economy, or over investment fears and it will trend down again

Post SCOTUS’s annulment of Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs on Fri, 20 Feb 2026 and Trump's subsequent move to impose a temporary 15% global tariff across the board, have thrown world trade into a new bout of confusion. US stock market was not spared either. On Mon 23 Feb 2026, 2nd trading day post SCOTUS’s verdict, US equities tumbled as investors grappled with fears and uncertainty over Trump’s new tariffs. By the time market called it a day: DJIA: -1.66% (-821.91 to 48,804.06). S&P 500: -1.04% (-71.76 to 6,837.75). Nasdaq: -1.13% (-258.79 to 22,627.27). There were 67 52-weeks new highs and 264 new lows. Monday’s trading volume on US exchanges was 18.39 billion shares, slightly below the 20-day average of 20.62 billion. The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) saw a heavy skew toward negative

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   Here we go, Tigers !  The $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Q4 earnings we've all been waiting for is finally here! This time, the big question isn't just about the numbers, but the story itself. Is NVDA an unstoppable giant with a wide moat? Or has the hype gone too far, and it's time for a reality check? This isn't just another earnings report. This is a battle of narratives. Stop guessing, it's time to show your hand. Pick your team, show off your Alpha, and let's see who really gets the future of AI. The Two Teams: Pick Your Side! Forget just being bullish or bearish. The real debate is deeper. CoolTeam Moat: The Unstoppables You're on this team if you believe: – NVDA's lead in hardware, software (th

1. Can AI CapEx remain this aggressive? So far, hyperscaler spending has behaved unlike a normal cycle because AI compute is still supply-constrained rather than demand-constrained. Why spending has held up: Hyperscalers are competing for model leadership, not short-term profit. Training capacity still determines capability leadership. Blackwell systems are effectively pre-sold through backlog visibility. Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are still signalling elevated multi-year CapEx. That suggests FY2026 spending is strategic infrastructure, not discretionary IT. However, the market is starting to ask a new question: > Are customers buying compute because they must, or because it already produces ROI? That distinction determines Nvidia’s multiple expansion from here. --- 2. “Grab Co

A rebound in the battered software stocks on Tuesday (24 Feb) lifted the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ by 1.1%, ahead of Nvidia's earnings scheduled for 25 Feb after US market close.. Correspondingly, the Nasdaq 7x Long DLC rose nearly +8%, while the Nasdaq 7x Short DLC declined by a similar magnitude. The standout performer in Tuesday's trading session was $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$, rising 8.8% after Meta announced a multi‑year agreement to deploy 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs for its AI data‑centre infrastructure. On the DLCs, the AMD 3x Long DLC gained around +26% while the AMD 3x Short DLC declined by similar m

I still think nvda pivoted hard to AI considering how badly their GPUs became, which likely is the reason for Jensen being so desperate to have the hype continue. Competitors like AMD (and their partners from TW, HK and CN) should fully muscle into the GPU market to ensure nvda cannot come crawling back when the AI bubble bursts

I feel Jensen is slightly concerned but wants to push the envelope as hard as he can. Hearing him speak about AI bubble fears, feels like he is trying to convince himself more than trying to calm the market down. 2025 brought so much profit to investors where the market just ran wild with AI hype, but the market is shifting to being more conservative and scrutinising the application of AI, not just buying into any companies claiming to use the technology. I am starting to wonder if the shortage of memory and storage (for 2026 and even into early 2027) is because of a bottleneck of available materials to produce, or companies like Seagate, WD, Toshiba, etc. are expecting the bubble to pop and therefore do not want to increase production volumes (the companies that go under will not pay up f

Tomorrow after the close, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will report earnings.On one side, Wall Street’s ever-rising expectations; on the other, macro geopolitical tensions, renewed tariff noise tied to Trump, and growing market anxiety over whether AI spending can stay this hot into 2027.1. Earnings Expectations: Good News May No Longer Be EnoughCurrent consensus puts Q4 revenue around $57 billion, with data center expectations the most aggressive — analysts have lifted forecasts from about $52.7B six months ago to roughly $60.1B now.Recently, even when Nvidia beats expectations, the stock hasn’t reacted strongly. Once “surprise” becomes standard, marginal impact declines. Options pricing currently implies about a ~6% move this week — in either direction.2. Valu

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is set to report its fiscal Q4 2026 earnings on Wednesday, February 25, 2026, after the market closes. As the primary bellwether for the AI era, this report is expected to be a major macro event for the technology sector. Key Projections & Expectations Wall Street is pricing in "perfection," with expectations for significant year-over-year growth. Nvidia’s fiscal Q3 2026 report (released November 19, 2025) was a definitive "beat and raise" performance that silenced many skeptics regarding the "AI bubble." However, the market's reaction provided a vital lesson in the difference between company performance and investor expectations. Q3 2026 Earnings Summary Nvidia delivered record-breaking numbers across its core segments, driven

🌟🌟🌟As a "glass half full" person, I vote A as it is a bet on the most dominant fundamental story of our generation.  I am voting for the Bullish Breakout as I believe that Jensen Huang is about to drop a "Blackwell Sledgehammer" on the doubters. Why?  The "Invisible" demand:  While the bears talk about the Capex fatigue, Meta, Microsoft &  Google are currently in an AI race where the cost of NOT buying Blackwell chips, is far higher than the price of the chips themselves. Since beating expectations is now the baseline, the direction will be determined by guidance, not just results. If Jensen Huang confirms that Blackwell Ultra shipments are exceeding the already massive demand, the 2nd leg of AI bull market begins. Wall Street expects USD 71.1 billion in revenue fo

a

🌟🌟🌟I believe that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will close up post earnings with a Bullish Breakout toward USD 200.  According to the charts, NVIDIA is showing a clear uptrend with higher lows, rising moving average and elevated RSI levels.  This reflects strong buying pressure, momentum building into earnings & traders positioning for upside. With Blackwell demand "Off the Charts" and Cloud GPUs are essentially sold out, NVIDIA is set to break new re

The coming report is less about whether NVIDIA executes and more about whether the AI investment cycle remains in Phase 1 (capacity build) or transitions into Phase 2 (economic justification). That distinction will likely determine whether the stock can sustainably reclaim and hold $200. --- 1. Will NVIDIA widen the gap further? Most likely, yes, at least in the near term. NVIDIA is no longer just a chip supplier. It controls: Compute (Blackwell platforms) Networking (InfiniBand, Spectrum) Software moat (CUDA ecosystem) Full rack-scale AI systems Hyperscalers are increasingly buying entire AI factories, not GPUs. That structurally favours NVIDIA over: second-tier semiconductor names traditional server vendors smaller AI hardware challengers The industry is becoming barbelled: infrastructur

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Q4 2026 earnings set to be released on Wednesday, 25 February 2026, after the market closes. Nvidia is expected to beat expectations, investor sentiment is tempered by "AI CAPEX fatigue" and concerns over the sustainability of massive infrastructure spending by hyperscalers. As Nvidia prepares to report its Q4 2026 earnings on February 25, the market finds itself at a fascinating crossroads. While the company's fundamentals remain a "beating machine," the narrative has shifted from can they make the chips? to will the customers keep buying them at this rate? In this article, I would like to examine the analysis of the market dynamics and the option strategies (Bull Call Spread (Debit Vertical) and Calendar Spread (Time Spread) that

Jensen doesn't need to do anything, other than what he is doing. If growth continues, PE will increase and share price with increase. Simple. The stupidity of the market won't change but time will ensure stock prices will come back to meet the business fundamentals reality. I think more importantly is what crazy things will Trump do to throw the market into a tailspin.

Last Week's Recap 1. The US Market - Major indexes recovered with growth tops value, inflation acceleration, Modest rebound: The major U.S. stock indexes recovered, The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ finished 1.5% higher—snapping a string of five consecutive weekly declines—while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained 1.1% and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ added 0.3%. GDP slowdown: The U.S. GDP grew at an annualized rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter, below economists’ consensus estimate of roughly 2.5% growth. One negative factor was a decline in federal spending amid the fourth quarter’s prolonged government shutdown. Inflation acceleration: Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures Price

B, there is some entitlement sentiment in the market that is somewhat detattched from reality.

B - Tech stocks seem are on the down side

Your guess is as good as mine! I pick A

NVIDIA will report earnings soon, with consensus revenue around $65.6B. But this quarter is not about whether NVIDIA beats. It’s about how sustainable AI demand really is. 1) Data Center Still Driving the Story More than half of NVIDIA’s revenue comes from Data Center. Key questions: Are hyperscalers (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, META) still accelerating AI capex? Is demand still supply-constrained? Any signs of digestion? If data center growth stays above expectations → bullish continuation. If growth decelerates meaningfully → valuation reset risk. 2) Gross Margin & Mix NVIDIA’s margins have been extraordinary. Things to watch: Is margin stable or compressing? Any pricing pressure? Mix shift from training GPUs to inference products? If margins hold → confirms pricing power. If margins fall → n

You are framing the correct debate. The market is no longer asking “Will Nvidia beat?” but rather “Is the demand curve durable?” The earnings reaction will hinge less on past numbers and more on forward visibility into AI spending behaviour. --- 1. Can Nvidia widen the infrastructure gap? Yes, structurally, but with increasing selectivity. Nvidia’s advantage is no longer just GPUs. It now sits on a full stack moat: CUDA software lock-in Networking (InfiniBand, Spectrum-X) Grace CPU integration AI factory architecture (rack-scale systems) Hyperscalers are discovering that replacing Nvidia is not a chip swap but an ecosystem rebuild. Even when customers deploy internal silicon (TPU, Trainium, MI-series), Nvidia remains the benchmark layer. Result: Infrastructure winners consolidate while wea