VIX Surges, Markets Plunge! Can S&P 500 Safeguard 6800?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell as much as 2.5% intraday, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ once dropped nearly 1,300 points, small caps slid close to 1.8%, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ led the declines among the three major indexes. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiked sharply, hitting its highest level since April 2025 during the session, signaling a clear rise in risk-off sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index has entered the “Fear” zone. 1. “Negative Gamma” trap could accelerate the selloff? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 6816, the critical point. From both technical and options-chain perspectives, 6,800 is m
Based on a comparative analysis of valuation, financial health, and near-term catalysts, Microsoft (MSFT) presents a more balanced risk-reward profile for a "buy the dip" strategy in early March 2026, while Nvidia (NVDA) offers higher growth potential paired with greater volatility and execution risk. The current pullback has improved valuations for both, but their investment theses differ significantly. 1. Comparative Analysis: Nvidia (NVDA) vs. Microsoft (MSFT) Metric Nvidia (NVDA) Microsoft (MSFT) Analysis Current Price ~$180.05 ~$403.93 As of March 4, 2026. Forward P/E 22.26 24.03 Both are near 5-year lows. NVDA's is below its historical avg (40.82); MSFT's is below its avg (32.02). NVDA appears statistically cheaper. P/E (TTM) 36.75 25.28 MSFT has a lower trailing earnings multiple. P
$AI rebounds +5.2% from support, testing $9.30 breakout zone
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ C3.ai, Inc.(AI) Rallied +5.20%: Bouncing from Key Support, Testing $9.3 Zone Latest Close Data Closed at $9.10, up +5.20%. Remains significantly below its 52-week high of $30.24. Core Market Drivers: The stock found support after recent declines, with positive net capital inflow for the day. The broader AI sector sentiment remains a key macro driver, though no specific company news was highlighted in the provided data. Technical Analysis: The 6-day RSI at 42.6 is recovering from oversold territory (below 30 earlier this week), suggesting weakening selling pressure. However, MACD remains in negative territory (DIF: -0.97, DEA: -0.87), indicating the overall trend is still bearish. Volume of 9.67M shares shows active participation in
War in the Middle East Intensifies, but Gold Sells Off — Why?
After falling more than 4.38% in the previous session and briefly dropping below the $5,000 mark intraday, gold has rebounded today to around $5,169, recovering part of the losses from the prior trading day. The sharp drop and subsequent rebound in gold prices over the past two days have also quickly transmitted to related ETFs. On March 3, the physically backed gold ETFs $黄金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$ and $黄金信托ETF-iShares(IAU)$ fell 4.46% and 4.44% respectively in a single session. Gold mining equity ETFs saw even larger declines, with $黄金矿业ETF-VanEck(GDX)$ dropping 8.76% and $小型黄金矿业ETF(Market Vectors)(GDXJ)$ falling 8.91%. Volatility
The short-term Elliott Wave structure in EURJPY continues to indicate a bullish trend. Examination of the 45‑minute chart reveals that the pullback from the wave ((iii)) high unfolded in three distinct waves. This formation suggests a corrective nature rather than the beginning of a larger reversal. Thereby, it supports the expectations of further upside momentum. The rally from the February 13 low is proposed to develop as a five‑wave impulse. From the February 13 low, wave ((i)) concluded at 182.27, followed by a retracement in wave ((ii)) that ended at 180.80. The pair then advanced in wave ((iii)), which itself unfolded as an impulse of a lesser degree. Within this sequence, wave (i) terminated at 183.15, while the corrective wave (ii) ended at 181.98. Subsequent strength carried wave
The EURJPY pair was on a higher high/higher low sequence in February 2026 so the obvious was to only look for buy opportunities. February 24 2026 the pair formed a bullish divergence pattern (Red) in the FVG top level (Blue line) then pushed higher and broke above the shift level (Black line) signalling that the pair was gearing up to rally higher again. I posted on February 24 2026 the buy/long trade chart below on social media @AidanFX and also posted the entry, stop loss and targets. “Bought at 183.52 with stop loss at 183.20 and minimum target at 2R 184.16 and maximum target at 3R 184.48.” EURJPY 15 Minute Chart February 24 2026 (Entry) EURJPY, trading, elliottwave, bullish market patterns, forex, @AidanFX, AidanFX EURJPY 15 Minute Chart February 25 2026 (Targets HIT) EURJPY, trading,
Strait of Hormuz A blockade threat at the Strait of Hormuz is not merely symbolic. It touches roughly one fifth of global oil flows. The market is therefore pricing a geopolitical premium, not just fundamentals. Could crude break US$100? Yes, but three conditions must align: 1. Physical disruption, not just rhetoric If tankers are actually halted, or insurers withdraw coverage, effective supply tightens immediately. 2. Insurance and freight spike Even without full closure, sharply higher risk premiums reduce available cargoes. 3. Limited OPEC spare capacity response If Saudi and UAE spare capacity is slow to offset losses, the squeeze intensifies. Under a true disruption scenario, Brent above US$100 is plausible. However, markets tend to overshoot first, then mean revert once alternative r
Why CPO matters AI scaling is no longer compute-bound alone. It is interconnect-bound. As clusters move from tens of thousands to millions of GPUs, copper becomes a bottleneck in: Power consumption Latency Signal integrity CPO reduces power per bit and enables denser rack-scale designs. If NVIDIA controls optical capacity into 2027–2030, it protects the next scaling phase of Blackwell successors. Is there a “second curve”? The first curve was training acceleration. The second curve is likely: 1. Inference at planetary scale 2. Network dominance via NVLink + optical fabric 3. Full-stack integration from silicon to system to interconnect If NVIDIA owns the fabric layer, it widens the moat beyond GPUs. Valuation question A trillion-dollar valuation requires: Sustained data centre revenue grow
Conflict in the Middle East: What it Means for Your S-REIT Portfolio
The military strikes in late February and early March 2026 between Iran and Israel have sent ripples through the Singapore market. While our local REITs are thousands of miles away from the kinetic conflict, the financial "aftershocks"—specifically oil price surges and interest rate volatility—are very much a local concern. For the S-REIT investor, the question isn't just about geography; it’s about resilience. Here is how the sector is holding up and which trusts are best positioned to weather a potential "higher-for-longer" interest rate environment. 1. The Macro Picture: The "Inflation Shock" The immediate impact of the conflict has been a flight to safety. Crude oil (Brent) has spiked above US$82, raising fears that the inflation cooling we saw in late 2025 might reverse. The Fed Fa
AEM's Rocket Ride: Breaking S$4 Barrier in the AI Boom? 🚀💥
$Agnico Eagle Mines(AEM)$ Buckle up, investors! AEM Holdings is turning heads as Singapore's underrated semiconductor star, blasting off with a jaw-dropping 50%+ surge in just two weeks. 📈 With its Test Cell 2.0 tech locked and loaded for the AI explosion, this underdog is poised to dominate the chip testing arena. As Intel and other AI heavyweights crank up production of cutting-edge accelerators starting early 2026, AEM's solutions are hitting prime time. 😎 Let's dive deep into why AEM could reclaim its throne in semiconductors. Their latest FY2025 earnings smashed expectations—net profit jumped 48% to S$17 million, revenue up 5% to S$399 million. Better yet, dividends are back on the menu with a proposed S$0.013 payout, signaling confidence amid
🚀 MiniMax Blasts Off: Crushing the AI Hype Myth and Poised to Rule the Platform Wars? 🔥
Chinese AI powerhouse MiniMax just dropped its bombshell 2025 earnings, proving that artificial intelligence isn't all smoke and mirrors—it's delivering real cash explosions! 💥 Revenue skyrocketed a jaw-dropping 158.9% year-over-year to a whopping US$79.04 million, smashing analyst predictions and sending shockwaves through Wall Street. 😲 But wait, there's more: the M2 model series is on fire, with average daily token consumption in February surging 600% from year-end levels. That's not just growth; that's hyperdrive! 🌟 Let's dive deep into why MiniMax is turning heads and potentially rewriting the AI playbook. Founded as a scrappy unicorn in Shanghai, MiniMax has evolved from a model-maker into a full-fledged AI platform beast. Their AI-native products raked in US$53.1 million, up 143.4%
NVIDIA's Epic $4B Optics Blitz: Locking Down AI Supremacy – Dip Buyers Unite? 🚀💥
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA just dropped a bombshell with a massive $4 billion investment, pumping $2 billion each into optical powerhouses Coherent and Lumentum. This isn't your average cash splash – it's a calculated masterstroke to dominate the future of AI data centers. By securing equity stakes and long-term supply deals, NVIDIA is essentially future-proofing its tech empire, grabbing exclusive access to cutting-edge Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) tech that's set to revolutionize high-speed data transfer in massive AI clusters from 2027 to 2030. 🌐🔒 Picture this: As AI demands skyrocket, traditional copper connections hit a wall with power-hungry inefficiencies. Enter CPO – integrating optics right onto chips for lightning-fast, energy-efficient networkin
Mag 7 Mayhem: Snag These Tech Titans Before They Skyrocket Again? 🚀💣
Amid the chaos of skyrocketing oil prices from Middle East flare-ups and whispers of an AI spending bubble bursting, the Magnificent Seven are taking a brutal hit. But zoom in, and you'll spot prime opportunities—especially with Nvidia and Microsoft dipping into bargain-bin territory after years of dominance. Forget the panic; this pullback could be the setup for your next big win. Let's break it down with fresh data, killer insights, and why I'm eyeing these two as must-grabs. 😎📈 First off, the big picture: Geopolitical fireworks in the region have jacked up energy costs, slamming risk assets while safe-havens like gold gleam. Add in doubts over trillion-dollar AI bets yielding zilch in profits yet, and voila—Mag 7 stocks are down 5-7% year-to-date while the broader market chugs along. Ro
$ETHA 20260327 14.5 PUT$ Selling some CSP. I am bullish on etherum in the long term so doing this to either get money or buy the counter at $14 after cost on expiry
$ASTS 20260306 102.0 CALL$ Decided to sell covered call options to maximize and milk my overall returns. It skyrocketed after my trade was placed. Shall see how it goes!