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03-16 16:00
Major Indexes Signal Tops with Multi-Month Correction Expected
I'm leaning the tops are now all in for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ SPX, DJI, and IWM all sent SELL SIGNALS this week while NDX rejected at resistance. SPX topped Jan 28 NDX topped Oct 29 DJI topped Feb 10 IWM topped Jan 21 Expecting a multi-month correction in 2026 with 20–25% drawdown across the board. The path of least resistance is DOWN. SPX has no support until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. The 3rd wave is confirmed and I'm firmly bearish until NDX, SPX, or DJI crosses their November lows. No reason to be bullish right now. SPX Forecast: 2026–2030 Market Cy
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03-16 18:39
Citron Targets $MU $SNDK: Is the AI Memory Boom Peaking?
The bulls have been running wild on memory chips for months, fueled by the AI gold rush. But today, a cold bucket of water just hit the market. Citron Research—the short-sellers who love to crash a party—just dropped a bombshell report challenging the entire "Super Cycle" narrative. The result? $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ are bleeding red, and investors are left staring at their screens wondering if the peak is already behind us. The AI Hype vs. The Inventory Reality Citron isn’t just throwing shade; they’re pointing at the numbers. While everyone is obsessed with HBM (High Bandwidth Memory)—the specialized chips powering AI giants like $NVIDIA(NV
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03-16 19:40
Weekly: Market Decline Deepens on Oil Shock & Stagflation Fears; Fed Seen Holding Course
Last Week's Recap 1. The US Market - 3rd Straight Weekly Drop on Oil Whipsaw and Sticky Inflation Downward trend:The major U.S. stock indexes fell for the 3rd consecutive week, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ dropping around 1% to 2%. Geopolitical tensions & elevated oil prices continued to weigh on stock & bond prices. Oil's wild ride: Conflict in the Middle East and curtailed shipments through the Strait of Hormuz fueled oil market volatility for a second week, with U.S. crude futures spiking to $119 per barrel on Monday and then briefly slipping below $77 the next day. Volatility elevated: The
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03-16 21:38
SpaceX: The Largest IPO in History Is Finally Here. Are You Getting In?
😀Hi Tigers, SpaceX has quietly become the most anticipated potential IPO in global markets. With a private valuation around $350 billion, it is already the largest private company in the world. Demand for its shares is so strong that investors are buying into private-market SPVs, and some deals have reportedly cleared 30%+ above previous tender prices. If SpaceX eventually goes public, it could easily become one of the largest IPOs in market history. I. Private market demand Because SpaceX is still private, most investors cannot buy shares directly. Instead, access usually happens through secondary transactions or SPV structures that pool capital to buy shares from early employees and investors. What we are seeing in the private market: • Secondary transactions remain heavily oversubscribe
TOPJim1995: Absolutely getting in! Starlink's profit potential is massive.[看涨]
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03-16 21:36
SoftBank-backed PayPay Stock Is Up 32% Since Listing — Is It Still a Buy?
😀Hi Tigers, Japan’s largest mobile payment platform PayPay has officially gone public in the U.S., marking one of the biggest overseas IPOs by a Japanese fintech company in years. A quick snapshot of the deal: That makes it the largest U.S. IPO by a Japanese company in about a decade. Some investors are calling it “Japan’s Alipay moment” — a domestic payments giant finally stepping onto the global capital stage. I. What exactly is PayPay? For those less familiar with the company, here’s the quick background. • Founded in 2018 • Joint venture between SoftBank and Yahoo Japan (now LY Corporation) • Focus: QR-code and mobile payments In just a few years, PayPay has become Japan’s dominant mobile payment platform. Key stats (as of end-2025): • ~ 72 million registered users • Japan population:
TOPValuation looks stretched, but cashless adoption could still surprise.[看涨]
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03-16 21:09
UnitedHealth Stabilizes Near $282, Eyes $300 Breakout Path
$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UnitedHealth Group (UNH) Rises +1.82%: Technical Rebound Ignites Near $282 Support Zone Latest Close Data: Closed at $282.09 on 2026-03-15, up +1.82% (+$5.04). The price remains significantly below its 52-week high of $606.36. Core Market Drivers: Positive price action may be fueled by the stock's attractive valuation metrics and a slight net capital inflow. The low volume ratio of 0.58 suggests the move lacked broad participation, indicating a potential technical bounce. Technical Analysis: The 6-day RSI (44.31) has rebounded from near-oversold levels (30.93), signaling a short-term momentum recovery. However, MACD remains in negative territory (DIF: -4.57, DEA: -5.11), indicating the primary trend is still weak, though the his
TOPDecent rebound at $282 support, but needs volume to crack $289 for a shot at $300.[看涨]
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03-16 20:51
APO Tests $105 Pivot, RSI at 37.96 Signals Early Bounce
$Apollo Global Management LLC(APO)$ Apollo Global Management (APO) Rallies +4.13%: Bounces from Key Support, Eyes $105 Pivot Latest Close Data Closed at $104.44 on Mar 15, 2026, up +4.13% ($4.14). Price remains ~33.6% below its 52-week high of $157.28. Core Market Drivers The stock found a firm footing near its recent lows, potentially driven by a general risk-on sentiment in financials and a rebound from oversold conditions. Strong institutional ownership (Vanguard, BlackRock) provides underlying stability. Technical Analysis Volume surged to 8.09M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.40), confirming the bounce. The MACD histogram printed a positive bar (+0.0176), suggesting a potential bullish momentum shift. However, RSI(6) at 37.96 and RSI(12) at 34.61 rema
TOPNice bounce off support, $105 pivot could break soon![看涨]
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03-16 20:42
Zillow +4.00%, Forward P/E 19.36 Signals Discounted Valuation
$Zillow(Z)$ Zillow (Z) Rebounds +4.00%: Real Estate Tech Giant Bounces Off 52-Week Low, Eyes $44 Resistance Latest Close Data: Zillow closed at $42.90 on 2026-03-15, up +4.00% (+$1.65). It is currently -54.3% below its 52-week high of $93.88. Core Market Drivers: The stock rebounded from near its 52-week low of $41.13, potentially on technical buying. No major company-specific news was noted, but the move likely reflects a technical bounce in the broader real estate tech sector after a prolonged downtrend. Technical Analysis: The bounce occurred on relatively light volume (0.72 volume ratio), indicating weak conviction. The MACD histogram remains positive but is narrowing (latest: 1.03), suggesting slowing upward momentum. The RSI (12) at 37.0 is in
TOPSolid bounce off lows, $44 next target if bulls step in![看涨]
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03-16 20:23
HP Up 5.32%, Pivot Near $35.00, Eyes $36.73–$38 Zone
$Helmerich & Payne(HP)$ Helmerich & Payne, Inc.(HP) Jumps +5.32%: Drilling Giant Tests 52-Week High, $37 Resistance in Focus Latest Close Data Closed at $35.65 on 2026-03-15, up +5.32% from the previous close. The stock is now just $1.08 (-2.9%) below its 52-week high of $36.73. Core Market Drivers The strong rally is likely fueled by positive momentum in the energy sector and robust drilling activity. The company's recent operational execution and focus on high-performance rigs are attracting investor interest. Technical Analysis Volume of 1.51M shares traded with a volume ratio of 1.07 indicates healthy buying interest. The RSI(6) at 64.36 is approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme, suggesting room for continued momentum. Howe
TOPBullish on HP! Eyeing $37 break soon[得意]
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03-16 20:13
AXR +4.36%: Low-Volume Rebound Could Target $25.50
$Amrep(AXR)$ Amrep Corp.(AXR) Rallies +4.36%: Bouncing from Oversold, Testing $25 Resistance Latest Close Data Closed at $24.43 on 2026-03-15, up +4.36% (+$1.02) from the previous close. The stock is now 14.9% below its 52-week high of $28.71. Core Market Drivers Specific news catalysts for today's move are not immediately apparent in the provided data. The rally appears to be a technical rebound, supported by a positive net capital inflow of $2.5k for the day. The stock's low daily trading volume (1.73k shares) and turnover rate (0.03%) indicate a lack of broad market participation, suggesting this may be a low-liquidity, mean-reversion move. Technical Analysis The stock is showing signs of a potential rebound from deeply oversold conditions. The
TOPAXR's low-volume rebound looks promising, might hit $25.50 soon?[看涨]
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03-16 19:58
The Longer Oil Prices Stay High, the Worse It Gets: A Dollar Rebound Adds to the Pressure!
Trump ultimately opted for the "Winning Strategy" we predicted to try and defuse the situation in Iran. While this somewhat delayed move briefly pushed oil prices down from $119 to below $80, the unresolved issue in the Strait of Hormuz has kept oil prices firm, preventing the situation from returning to an ideal state. As the Middle East narrative is likely to stretch into a significantly longer cycle, the risks of high oil prices transmitting into broader inflation will materialize. One thing is certain: the longer this drags on, the bigger the trouble for financial markets. From a technical standpoint, oil prices printed a massive Doji star last week, characterized by exceptionally long upper and lower shadows. Typically, after such a structure appears, the market requires time to dige
TOPOil's volatility is mad! Holding shorts with you, targets look solid.[看跌]
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03-16 19:15
IP Gains 4.49%, MACD Shows Early Signs of Bullish Shift
$International Paper(IP)$ International Paper (IP) Rallies +4.49%: Paper Giant Bounces Off 52-Week Low, Faces Key Resistance at $38.65 Latest Close Data Closed at $37.25 on 2026-03-15, up +4.49% ($1.60). The stock remains significantly depressed, trading 34.2% below its 52-week high of $56.64. Core Market Drivers The strong rebound appears to be a technical bounce from the recent test of its 52-week low ($35.45). The high dividend yield of 4.97% may have attracted income-focused buyers. No major company-specific news was reported, suggesting the move was driven by broader market sentiment and oversold conditions. Technical Analysis Volume surged to 8.72M shares, 40% above average (Volume Ratio: 1.40), confirming the bullish day's conviction. The RSI
TOPSolid rebound! MACD showing bullish signs.[看涨]
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03-16 18:53
Blackstone Eyes $110 After Bouncing from $101.73 Low
$Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ Blackstone (BX) Rebounds +4.56%: Bullish Reversal from 52-Week Low, Eyes $110 Latest Close Data $106.78 (+4.56% / +4.66). This rebound puts it just above the 52-week low of $101.73, with a significant 44% gap to the 52-week high of $190.09. Core Market Drivers: The stock is rebounding from oversold conditions after a prolonged downtrend. Strong institutional holdings (e.g., Vanguard 9.15%, BlackRock 6.54%) provide underlying support. The attractive 4.39% dividend yield may be attracting value-seeking investors. Technical Analysis: Volume of 11.25M shares was above average (Volume Ratio: 1.09), confirming the bullish move. The RSI(6) at 37.6 has bounced from oversold territory (<30), indicating a potential shift in moment
TOPSolid bounce from lows! Could hit $110 soon.[看涨]
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03-16 18:42
MU Jumps $20.78, Short-Term Support at $418 Holds
$Micron Technology(MU)$ Micron Technology (MU) Surges +5.13%: Memory Giant Reclaims Momentum, Eyes $430-$455 Zone Latest Close Data MU closed at $426.13 on Mar 15, 2026, up +5.13% (+$20.78). The stock is now just ~6.4% below its 52-week high of $455.50. Core Market Drivers The strong rally is fueled by robust demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) from the AI sector and tightening supply in the broader DRAM market. Positive sentiment is reinforced by the company's leading position in next-generation memory technologies. Technical Analysis Volume was strong at 39.29M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.19), confirming the breakout. The MACD histogram has turned positive (-1.67), signaling strengthening bullish momentum as DIF (5.71) approaches DEA (6.55). The 6-
TOPSolid breakout! MU eyeing $430 soon[得意]
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03-16 18:09
ARES Uptrend Watch: $101.76 Close, Next Resistance $102.81
$Ares Management LP(ARES)$ Ares Management (ARES) Rebounds +5.45%: Bouncing from Key Support, Eyes $102.8 Latest Close Data Closed at $101.76 (ET), up +5.45% from previous close. Price is ~47.9% below its 52-week high of $195.26. Core Market Drivers The stock rebounded strongly from its recent 52-week low near $95.80, potentially driven by oversold technical conditions and its attractive ~4.4% dividend yield in a yield-seeking environment. Technical Analysis Volume of ~5.2M shares was near average (VR=0.98). The 6-day RSI (32.4) has bounced from oversold territory (<30), indicating a potential short-term reversal. However, MACD remains negative (-0.95), signaling the broader downtrend is still intact. Key Price Levels Primary Support: $95.80 (5
TOPSolid bounce, ARES looks set to test $102.8 soon.[看涨]
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03-16 18:03
Tech Stocks Drop to Support, Spread Layout Rally Opportunity
Recently, the technology sector of U.S. stocks began to show signs of technical stabilization after experiencing a phased correction. Affected by the gradual clarity of the interest rate path in the United States and the return of funds to growth stocks, the overall performance of the semiconductor sector is relatively strong. As one of the core targets of AI computing power,$American Supermicro Corporation (AMD) $After the early callback, it gradually approached the intensive transaction area and technical support range in the early stage, and the market selling pressure weakened. From the perspective of technical structure, the stock price has obviously undertaken in the area of about 185-188 USD. This position is not only the early breakthrough pla
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03-13
Which banks and private credit deny withdrawals (13Mar2026)
Summary of Financial Institutions Restricting Withdrawals in Private Credit As of March 13, 2026, several major players in the $1.8-2 trillion private credit industry have imposed restrictions on investor redemptions or related lending amid surging withdrawal requests, driven by concerns over liquidity mismatches, credit quality in sectors like software, and market dislocation. These measures primarily affect private credit funds rather than standard bank accounts, with no widespread bank run confirmed. Key institutions include: BlackRock: Capped withdrawals at 5% for its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund after requests reached 9.3% ($1.2 billion), fulfilling only $620 million. bloomberg.com Morgan Stanley: Limited redemptions to 5% for its $7.6-8 billion North Haven Private Inc
TOPWah, this withdrawal cap is bad news lah. Better hold cash now.[惊讶]
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03-16 17:33
SNDK Jumps +6.92%, Eyes 52-Week High at $725
$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ SanDisk Corp (SNDK) Jumps +6.92%: Bullish Momentum Targets 52-Week High Latest Close Data Closed at $661.62 on 2026-03-15, up +6.92% (+$42.80). This places it approximately 8.7% below its 52-week high of $725.00. Core Market Drivers The strong move appears driven by broad market strength and a positive outlook for the semiconductor storage sector. While no specific major news was reported for SNDK today, sustained high trading volume and net capital inflows suggest strong underlying institutional interest. Technical Analysis Volume was robust at 18.82M shares (Volume Ratio 1.06), confirming the breakout. The 6-day RSI at 62.25 is in bullish territory but not yet overbought. The MACD histogram continues to improve, rising to -
TOPSolid move on SNDK! Bullish vibes all the way.[看涨]
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03-12
Why I cashed out $500 profit while still staying in the game if nvda rises to 193.15 SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs
Why I Rolled My Covered Call on NVIDIA from $190 to $180 Options trading is often like adjusting your sails while sailing in changing wind. The direction of the market shifts, volatility rises and falls, and sometimes the smartest move is not to sit still but to reposition your trade. Recently, I decided to roll my covered call position on NVIDIA from a $190 strike down to a $180 strike. Some people may wonder why someone would lower their strike price, since that caps potential upside earlier. But in this case, the move allowed me to lock in profit first and reposition the trade with a safer structure. Let me explain the thinking step by step. ⸻ Locking in Profit First Before adjusting the position, the most important step was realizing the profit that had already built up in the trade. I
TOPSmart move rolling down to lock gains! Keeps you flexible for next run.[开心]
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03-12
Elliott Wave View: Nasdaq (NQ) Consolidation Likely to Break Lower
Since peaking on October 30, 2025, the Nasdaq (NQ) has remained in a sideways consolidation, a pattern that appears poised to resolve lower. The decline from that high marked the completion of wave (W) at 23,994.5. Subsequently, a corrective rally unfolded, ending wave (X) at 26,349, after which the Index turned down again into wave (Y). The internal structure of wave (Y) is developing as a double three Elliott Wave formation, underscoring the complexity of the ongoing correction. From the termination of wave (X), the market produced a decline that completed wave W at 24,000. Following this, wave X began to unfold as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Within this sequence, wave ((a)) advanced to 25,217.5 before a pullback commenced in wave ((b)). This retracement is currently in progress and
TOPReckon Nasdaq's set for a tumble, charts confirm it.[看跌]