$AMD Setup Has 69% Probability of 20% Rally Stay Long
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is up 4% since our initial entry. The system says stay long. Here is the full picture. Our long term and short term systems are both bullish on AMD right now. 69% of the time when this setup appears, price rallies around 20%. We are 4% into that move. Buying pressure on the monthly BX has dipped a bit. We are staying the course anyway. Our criteria is still met. The system says hold, so we hold. Now here is the part people are going to push back on. I am bearish on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ . $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is not looking strong to me either. And I do not care. My job is not to have opinions. My job is to trade my system. If the system is not
This week’s chart is one for the bulls. It shows the MSCI ACWI (All Countries World Index) aka Global Equities in the black line, and 50-day moving average breadth in the red (i.e. what percentage of countries are trading above their 50-day moving average). Breadth indicators like this tell you a couple of things. First, they give you an early heads up on global developments as the impact spreads across countries. Second, for a shorter moving average timeframe like 50-days, it operates as an oscillator. In other words, it gives you overbought/oversold signals. In traditional market analysis a true overbought signal is when an oscillator like this goes to an extreme high —and then rolls over. That second part is key. The reason is you can get an overbought market that stays overbought and g
NASDAQ Rebound Rally Hits Ceiling, Tactical Buy at 21,524, Sell at 22,325
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$ ⚡ Key Takeaway NASDAQ surged +4.44% this week to 21,879.2, initiating the transition from Downtrend to Rebound Trend (Descending Rectangle) — but with Bullish zone entry probability at 0% within 10 weeks, this recovery is a structurally bounded relief rally operating within an intact Bearish zone. The near-term turning point has arrived this week, establishing the structural ceiling at approximately 21,879.2 — the downside arc toward the buy entry at 21,524.6 is now expected to develop over the coming 2 weeks. The tactical fra
As Conflicting U.S.-Iran Headlines Become the New Normal: How to Trade U.S. Stocks, Gold, and Crude
Market Overview This weekend coincided with China's Qingming Festival, and while overall news was quieter, international media was flooded with a barrage of unverified rumors. These ranged from President Trump falling suddenly ill to an imminent US-Iran negotiation agreement, and even a US ultimatum demanding Iran reach a deal or face escalated conflict. The strait blockade has persisted for a month, and although a few vessels are passing through, we remain far from a full reopening. Approaching Storage Limits As we enter April, the timeline previously projected by Goldman Sachs for Gulf nations' storage capacities to reach their limits is rapidly approaching. If normal navigation is not restored soon, the chain reaction across financial markets will inevitably intensify. Therefore, until
$新电信(Z74.SI)$ Singtel is up +51% in the past year, but this rally is mostly driven by re-rating. The holdco discount has narrowed to ~7%, near historical lows. The issue is: core growth remains modest, and ~50% of valuation comes from Bharti.
U.S. stocks advanced on Monday(Apr 6) as investors looked for signs of progress toward a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal and evaluated President Donald Trump's progressively heated threats of escalation should Iran fail to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 44,426,493 contracts was traded on Monday. Top 10 Option Volumes Source: Tiger Trade App $Micron Technology(MU)$ stock rose 3% after a KeyBanc analyst reiterated his price target and rating, citing continued demand for memory. A total number of 437.25K options related to $Micron Technology(MU)$ were traded on Monday, of which call options accounted for 69%. Particularly high volume was seen for the $400 strike call o
$SPX +0.44%, $QQQ +0.6%: Bullish Signals Play Out Despite Negative Sentiment
The market managed a green close today despite heavy negative sentiment. While the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (+0.44%) move might have been emotionally surprising to the crowd, it was technically valid. As analyzed in our Weekly Compass, the charts specifically signaled this bullish potential. The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ followed suit, gaining +0.6%. Last week, our Daily Levels were instrumental in anticipating bullish reversals. These modeled “Bullish Above / Bearish Below” indicators act as your primary momentum compass, while our structured Support and Resistance (S/R) levels define the high-probability destinations for the move. Example QQQ (SPX is below with more securities): For tomorrow, the QQQ must hold above
$SPX / $SPY at 200-DMA Resistance, Next Leg Down Approaching
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ bearish 5-down, 3-up — into the 200-DMA + Daily FVG resistance. Textbook corrective rally. Today's peak likely terminated the B-Wave bounce — or is about to. Daily close below 6512 = first confirmation the next higher-degree wave down has begun. CPI Friday pre-market — price may set up into the print before the real move accelerates. This rally gets SOLD. The current $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ bounce is the largest % rally since the 696 peak. That means price is correcting at a higher degree, which means the next wave down will also be higher degree. Whether this labels as a 2 or B wave, what follows is a 3rd or C — neither is friendly. The bigger the bounce, the BIGGER the drop.
1Q26 Buybacks Top S$500M Led by Singtel, OCBC & Keppel
Companies often repurchase shares to support employee compensation plans or to deploy surplus capital more effectively. ACRA maintain that buybacks can enhance key financial metrics such as Earnings per Share (EPS) and Return on Equity (ROE), take advantage of perceived undervaluation, and reduce the overall cost of capital. In 1Q26 close to 50 primary-listed companies in Singapore have collectively repurchased close to S$560 million worth of shares on the open market, from around S$330 million during 1Q25 and S$232 million in 1Q24. The table details the stocks that booked more than S$100,000 in share buybacks in 1Q26, with the average prices including clearing charges. Almost three-fifths of the total consideration was contributed by three companies alone, Singtel, Oversea-Chinese Banking
S-REITs Slide in Q1: iEdge S-REIT Index Falls as Retail Buys Dip
S‑Reits, as measured by the iEdge S‑Reit Index, slipped in the first quarter of 2026, as geopolitical tensions weighed on investor sentiment. The index rose slightly in January, but declined 7% in March amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, leading to negative total returns of 6.4% in Q1 2026. Despite weaker price performance, retail investor activity in S‑Reits increased in March. Retail investors were net buyers, with net inflows exceeding S$300 million over the month, reflecting increased participation during the market pullback. The 10 S‑Reits that recorded the highest retail investor inflows in the year thus far were $CapLand Ascendas REIT(A17U.SI)$$Frasers
🔍 The Venture Mindset: What's Your Micro-Cap Moonshot?
Don't keep your winning plays to yourself. 🏆Post your analysis and let the community learn from your success.Let’s break it down. These stories drove the markets.More NewsTiger Community TOP10 Tickers🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserverWeekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, EarningsCovering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!✨Tuesday — Singapore StocksSingapore stocks opened higher on Tuesday, with STI rising 0.28%. Bumitama Agri and YZJ Maritime gained about 2%, while Singapore Land, Frasers Property and YZJ Shipbuilding rose around 1%.SIA's associate Air Indi
Can BTC Break "Rectangular Pattern" and Stiff Resistance at $75,000 With High-Volume Breakout?
The current Bitcoin rebound to approximately $69,000–$70,000 appears to be a mix of tactical "dip buying" and a structural strategy adjustment, rather than a full-scale return of "risk-on" appetite. While the price has recovered from February lows of $62,800, it remains stuck in a well-defined range. Market Sentiment: Risk Appetite or Strategy Shift? Evidence suggests this is more of a strategy adjustment and consolidation phase: The $70K Wall: Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above the $70,000–$72,000 resistance level. Until this range is cleared with high volume, the market is viewing this as range-bound trading rather than a new impulsive bull leg. Institutional Cushioning: Inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs (roughly $1.9 billion since late February) and consistent buying from firms l
$Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$$Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ 📈📊🚀 $KTOS Re-Rates +8% on Jefferies Upgrade: 14B Pipeline, 31% Core Growth and Autonomous Warfare Scaling 🚀📊📈 Kratos Defence & Security Solutions ($KTOS) rallied more than 8% following a Jefferies upgrade to Buy from Hold, with an $85 price target. The revision reflects accelerating momentum across hypersonics, propulsion, and autonomous systems, with revenue growth now positioned to inflect into high double digits through 2028. This is not a single catalyst move. It marks the early stages of a structural re-rating as defence procurement shi
TRADE PLAN for Tuesday 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ managed to close near 6600 today after dropping near 6580 intraday. if SPX gets through 6637 by Wednesday we can see 6720+ next. Trump's deadline for Iran is 5pm PST on Tuesday. SPX April 8 6650C is best above 6600 as a lotto. $Micron Technology(MU)$ very close to a breakout towards 400. MU needs through 384 first MU April 10 400C is best above 384 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ through 725 can run to 800 this month. Wait for more positive news in the market with Iran and $MU and $SNDK can lead the run higher. Good luck tmrw everyone!! We still have Core PCE and CPI data coming on T
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Getting intriguing down here for at least a short-term bounce based on price trading down at the confluence area of the April pivot VWAP zone & the S/R flip zone while the RSI is at extreme lows. 2 $Robinhood(HOOD)$Price is at the apex of the falling wedge that has been forming over the last 8 months as the MACD curls to the upside. 3 SPY $S&P 500(.SPX)$Wait... it can't be that easy, can it? 4 $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$Before Vs. After. Can't make it up
Technically, gold remains in a weak zone, with $4600 a key support/resistance level. Although gold has seen a short-term rebound, from a technical perspective, its overall trend has not fundamentally changed.$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ Currently, gold prices are still trading below the 200-period exponential moving average (currently at $4809), indicating that medium- to long-term downward pressure persists. The MACD indicator shows that its fast line has crossed below the slow line, and both are below the zero line, with the negative histogram continuing to expand, indicating that selling pressure is gradually accumulating. The Relative St
Market's Reaction On April 6 Reflects A Classic "Relief Rally"
The market's reaction on April 6 reflects a classic "relief rally," where investors buy into the possibility of de-escalation rather than the mathematical reality of the disruption. Whether the market is underestimating the magnitude depends on the gap between diplomatic hopes and the physical state of the Strait of Hormuz. Is the Market Underestimating the Disruption? There is a strong argument that the market is currently "pricing the rumor" of peace while ignoring the "fact" of the infrastructure damage. The "Hell" Factor: While indexes rose, the fundamental situation remains critical. Iran has rejected the immediate U.S. proposal, and the U.S. administration has issued ultimatums to "rain hell" if the Strait isn't reopened. The Physical Reality: Even if a ceasefire is signed tomorrow,
The Steady Giant: Why OCBC is More Than Just A Catch-Up Play to DBS 🌟🌟🌟Investing in $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ right now feels like backing a marathon runner who has just found its second wind. While $DBS(D05.SI)$ often hogged the spotlight, OCBC recently silenced the doubters by hitting a massive all time high of SGD 22.83 on 1 April 2026. With its market capitalisation officially crossing the lofty SGD 100 billion mark, OCBC has just joined the elite club of being the second bank to do so, the first being DBS. The Record Breaking Run Price Performance: OCBC shares have surged 14% in the first quarter of 2026 alone,
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ ⚠️📉📊 $SPX Gamma Inflection: 6600 Strike Anchors Positive Exposure as Extreme Put Skew Diverges from Sub 10% Drawdown 📊 $SPX positioning update The 6600 to 6620 zone is now firmly established as the dominant gamma cluster, with 6600 acting as the primary anchor. I am seeing sustained positive exposure build across adjacent strikes, reinforcing this level as the centre of gravity for near-term price action. Flows continue to gravitate back toward this pocket, suggesting dealer positioning is actively shaping intraday structure rather than passively react