Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line
Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate
CPI Shock Ahead: Don't Chase Stocks,and Oil Still Has Room to Drop
Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c
🎯 $Intuit Inc. (INTU) Options Strategy: Bull Put Spread (Credit Spread)
$Intuit(INTU)$ - Underlying: INTU - View: Cautiously Bullish / Short-term oversold bounce. We expect the stock to consolidate or move higher from the $289.76 close, respecting the $275 support and targeting $300. - Strategy Type: Credit Spread / Bullish - Option Contract Portfolio: - Sell 1 INTU Put @ $280 Strike (Exp: 2026-07-24) - Buy 1 INTU Put @ $275 Strike (Exp: 2026-07-24) - Max Gain & Loss: Max Gain = Net Credit Received ($6.60 - $5.50 = ~$1.10 per spread). Max Loss = Width of Spread ($5) - Net Credit = ~$3.90 per spread. - Initial Cost/Credit: Initial Net Credit of ~$1.10 per spread.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is the largest position in my family portfolio because I don't just view it as just one of the world's most profitable advertising businesses but as an AI infrastructure and distribution platform with unmatched scale. As AI improves ad monetization, custom silicon lowers compute costs and new revenue streams emerge through models, agents and cloud infrastructure then I think the market will increasingly value Meta as an AI platform rather than simply an ad company. If that plays out then I think $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ can rerate closer to 25x earnings. 2
GOLD: This Correction Creates Opportunities for Medium- to Long-term Positioning
$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On July 14, the U.S. CPI data for June—to be released at 8:30 a.m. EDT—will be the key factor in determining whether gold will stage a full reversal or accelerate its decline. The market widely expects that, due to a roughly 10% decline in U.S. gasoline prices in June, the year-over-year nominal CPI is projected to drop significantly from 4.2% to around 3.8%–3.9%; however, the core CPI (excluding food and energy) is expected to remain at a sticky level of 2.8%–2.9%. Gold’s current consolidation near $4,000 represents merely a temporary correction driven by the unwinding of short-term speculative positions; the th
AEHR: Very Strong Volume Support Around the 40 Level
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ announces earnings after the closing bell tomorrow. Looks like the options chain ends at the 40 strike for puts on the July 17 expiration. Am gonna either write the 40P straight up or write a 45/40 put credit spread. Very strong volume support around the 40 level, with the volume cluster starting around 45. IV and expected move for earnings is elevated, and a 40% down move is not out of the question, but we're gonna bet the probability that it doesn't breach 40 by Friday's expiration.
Intro. My last post on $Microsoft(MSFT)$ was back in 29 Apr 2026, just before it released its Q3 2026 earnings. click here ! to re-read the post. Since then, much have happened that caused it stock price of $424.64 per share to consolidate further. I think it is a timely revisit to see what have transpired between my last post until 08 Jul 2026. Agree ? The Verdict. Microsoft did not really break down after 29 Apr 2026; it just kept moving sideways because the market had already priced in a lot of the AI and cloud strength. Investors then focused on slower parts of the business, higher capex, and the question of how quickly AI spending will turn into even bigger profits. The
SPX can Add Another $10T in Value by EOY if the Next 2 Weeks Deliver
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ can add another $10T in value by EOY if the next 2 weeks deliver 8 weeks is a long time to be patient. But that’s how long $SPX has been ranging, stuck between ATHs at 7620 and a floor near 7250. Here are three key scenarios you should prepare for going into the next few weeks (The last scenario is the MOST dangerous for profitable traders) 👇 New ATHs 🐂 Financials report strong earnings. CPI data comes in cooler than expected. Tech earnings between now and next week ($Netflix(NFLX)$, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$, $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$,
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is currently on week 6 of a consolidation from 7228-7620. Until we see above 7620 or under 7228, It's a quicker trade environment. For tomorrow if SPX gives up 7500 Avoid calls. SPX to 7438 in play if 7500 fails. SPX July 15 7450P can work under 7500 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ dropped 1.9% today. If QQQ fails to reclaim 712 tomorrow we can see another flush to 700. QQQ under 700 can Test the June lows at 686. QQQ July 15 708P is best under 712 $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ are still in a consolidation phase. Keep an eye on 821 fo
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ Right shoulder formed today but price remained above the neckline. Gaps are levels to be aware of on both scenarios (trigger or invalidation). 2 $Micron Technology(MU)$ Right shoulder became much more pronounced today but price remains above the neckline, so no trigger, yet. 3 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ That right shoulder became a lot more pronounced today. But, price is still above the neckline, so no trigger quite yet. Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
SOFI, ORCL, AMZN, MRVL& NOW Confronted Distinctive Situation
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $ServiceNow(NOW)$ you've got my attention... 2 Jensen Huang called it "the next trillion-dollar company" Still a long way to go 👀 $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ 3 6+ years of build-up now approaching the apex... 🌶️ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 4 Oh dear god 🩸 $Oracle(ORCL)$ entering its 7th red week in a row and falling straight through support 5 $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ CEO took a gulp... 🥤 Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
PetroChina - back in play given spike in oil prices following latest US-Iran standoff
PetroChina shares $PETROCHINA(00857)$ gained 2.4% to HKD 9.25 yesterday, tracking the rally of Asian energy shares, which look to extend gains after overnight crude brent oil prices jumped 9.6% overnight - its biggest gain since May 2020, according to Bloomberg 🛢Brent crude oil prices continue their climb to yet higher levels this morning as of 905AM, and are now 19% higher since the escalation of the US-Iran conflict on 7 July. PetroChina shares are consequently up another 3.2% this morning to HKD 9.55 as of 935AM ➡The catalyst for the oil spike began on 7 July when the US Treasury revoked the waiver allowing Iranian oil sales, jeopardizing the interim peace deal and reigniting supply disruption fears Yesterday, US President Donald Trump reinsta
US Treasury Yields Rose on Renewed Geopolitical Tensions; LCU YTD Return Reaches 22.08% 【 CSOP SG Weekly】
【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.62%* The recent re-escalation of geopolitical tensions has led to rising yields, predominantly led by the front-end. Looking ahead, investors will focus on upcoming US CPI data and Fed Chair Warsh’s Congress testimony for further clues on the interest rate outlook. While lower oil prices compared with March-May levels is expected to lead to a negative June headline CPI print, HSBC believes front-end rates should remain supported as policymakers continue to focus on inflation risks and avoid providing clear forward guidance, keeping upcoming FOMC meetings "live" for potential policy action. *Bloomberg, as of 2026/07/10. 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 S$ SRT YTD total return: ‑2.24% As of 10
One month ago, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ looked unstoppable. Its IPO priced at $135. It surged to $176 on its first trading day and briefly touched $225. The market wasn't just buying a space company. It was buying the AI story. Today, that narrative is beginning to face its first real test. The stock has fallen for a second consecutive session and is now trading close to its IPO price. The question is no longer whether SpaceX is an extraordinary company. The question is what investors are actually paying for. The Rally Was Never About Rockets If you examine SpaceX's current valuation, one thing becomes obvious. The market isn't valuing the launch business. Nor is it primarily valuing Starlink. It is valuing AI. Following the merger with xAI, AI became the d
🚀 The SK Hynix Bloodbath: Why This -15% Crash is a Gift, Not the End of the AI Super-cycle If you are watching the screen today and panicking over SK Hynix plunging 15.46% in Seoul, its 2x leverage products getting completely obliterated by 33%, and US pre-market memory names getting dragged down in sympathy—take a deep breath. The mainstream media is already writing the obituary for the AI semiconductor trade. They love calling "the top." But if you pull back the curtain on what actually happened today, you’ll realize this isn’t a fundamental collapse in AI demand. It is a textbook, mechanics-driven leverage unwind colliding with a classic "sell the news" event. If you missed the initial run-up, this violent shakeout is your golden ticket entry. Here is exactly why the party is nowhere ne
$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ Why I invest in VOO 💰📈 For me, investing isn't about chasing the next hot stock—it's about building long-term wealth. That's why I invest in VOO, an ETF that tracks the S&P 500. Instead of betting on a single company, I'm investing in 500 of the largest and most established businesses in the U.S. If one company struggles, there are hundreds of others helping balance things out. Here are a few reasons I chose VOO: ✅ Instant diversification across 500 leading companies. ✅ Very low management fees, meaning more of my money stays invested. ✅ A long history of strong long-term growth from the U.S. stock market. ✅ A simple "buy and hold" investment that doesn't require constantly watching the market. ✅ Dividends
$Apple(AAPL)$ backing JPMorgan. They've consistently shown strong execution across different market conditions, with a diversified business spanning consumer banking, commercial lending, investment banking, and trading. If any of the major banks are likely to set a positive tone for earnings season, I think JPMorgan has the best chance. It'll be interesting to see whether they can once again outperform expectations and provide upbeat guidance for the