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1.24K
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nerdbull1669
·
08-19

S&P 500 Path to 8,000: Navigating Short-Term Consolidation and Strategic Sector Allocation

Major Wall Street institutions like $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ JPMorgan and $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ Goldman Sachs (along with $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ Morgan Stanley) have lifted their targets for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 toward the 8,000 milestone. Yet, retail investors are grappling with recent index pullbacks and localized volatility. Wall Street's 8,000 Call: Top-Down Bullishness vs. Short-Term Reality Wall Street equity strategists set index targets using macro fundamentals—primarily corporate earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation multiples. The move toward an 8,000 S&P 500 target rests on thre
S&P 500 Path to 8,000: Navigating Short-Term Consolidation and Strategic Sector Allocation
TOPwindy00: I get the 8000 case, but retail usually gets chopped up waiting for that macro story to land. I'd trust it more after SPX clears the prior highs cleanly.
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2.62K
General
PeterDiCarlo
·
08-19

$META $AMD and $QQQ Are Showing Signs of a Short Term Reset

The broader market structure remains bullish, but several major names are now showing signs that a short-term pullback could be coming. Rather than chasing strength, the current strategy is to stay patient and wait for better entries. 👀 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ continues to compress, with price now back inside what I consider the optimal smart-money buying zone. The setup is becoming more interesting, but confirmation is still needed. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is behaving as expected. 📊 The daily chart continues to print lower highs while repeatedly rejecting the institutional sell zone. I still expect the stock could see roughly a 20% decline before establishing a meaningful bounce. If that happen
$META $AMD and $QQQ Are Showing Signs of a Short Term Reset
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790
General
pretiming
·
08-19

$IONQ Stays Bullish but the Risk Signal Just Changed

$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Row Status Trend Zone 🟩 Bullish — Correction Trend Risk Level 🟠 Level-3 (−70%) Bearish Zone Entry Risk ⚠️ 0% within 10 days Cumulative Return +13.6% (Entry $38.9 / Aug 03, 2026) Prediction Volatility ⬆️ High 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $48.50 Aug 27 – Aug 28 🟢 Buy $41.90 Aug 20 – Aug 21 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Correction with High Risk (Downside Appears Substantial/Sustained) - Low Reward Potential (Upside Appears Limited/Transitory) => Sell into strength, or hold cash (avoid new entries) [Inverse Allocation]: Consider entry only if a transition into the Bearish zone looks increasingly likely; otherwise, no exposure warranted ⚡ Key Takeaway
$IONQ Stays Bullish but the Risk Signal Just Changed
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1.19K
Selection
koolgal
·
08-19

S&P500 Skids Under Rising Bond Yields: What Should Investors Do?

🌟🌟🌟The post earnings carnival has hit a massive wall of global reality.  The S&P500 slipped 0.69% while the tech heavy Nasdaq 100 tumbled 1.33% today as skyrocketing global bond yields and relentless USD 90+ oil prices choked out equity momentum. While high flying tech sectors suffered sharp mid day reversals, the S&P 500 Energy Sector Index was the lone green beacon on Wall Street, surging 1.8% to eye an all time high. Why is The Market Tumbling Today? The sudden slide isn't an isolated anomaly.  It is a direct consequence of a massive worldwide bond market rout crushing speculative valuations: The Multi Decade Yield Spike: The US 30 year Treasury Bond yield blasted to a fresh 19 year high of 5.33%.  Spilling from a hot economic print in Japan, global borrowing cost
S&P500 Skids Under Rising Bond Yields: What Should Investors Do?
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1.15K
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TRIGGER TRADES
·
08-19

$SPX Hits the Downside Target as the Next Setup Takes Shape

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ has now reached the initial downside objective, with weekly FVG support getting tapped. At the same time, a bullish SMT divergence with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is developing around the August 6 low, suggesting the selloff may be entering a more important decision zone. 👀 The move straight down from the highs looks like the A-wave of an ABC correction. If that structure plays out as expected, the market could spend the rest of the week completing the pullback before setting up for the next leg higher. 📊 🎯 The key level to watch is 7,900. For the bullish scenario to remain valid, price needs to stabilize around the current FVG support and allow the corrective structure to develop rather than t
$SPX Hits the Downside Target as the Next Setup Takes Shape
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707
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SmartReversals
·
08-19

$SPX Faces a Short Term Bearish Setup as the Gap Fill Unfolds

$SPX was rejected around 7,714 today before sliding toward 7,684, keeping the short-term structure firmly on the defensive. The key question now is whether the current move develops into a broader gap fill toward 7,610. 👀 For the bearish gap-fill thesis to remain intact, 7,760 is the level that matters most. A recovery back above 7,760 would weaken or invalidate the setup. Until then, 7,714 and 7,684 remain the next downside levels to watch as the move potentially develops over several sessions. ⚠️ Tomorrow's FOMC minutes at 2:00 PM add another layer of event risk. Volatility could increase sharply around the release, so the short-term path may remain bearish or choppy rather than develop into a clean directional move. 📊 The bigger picture is different. The medium- and long-term structure
$SPX Faces a Short Term Bearish Setup as the Gap Fill Unfolds
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723
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Long_Equity
·
08-19

🍎 Apple Is Up 2,860% But Is the Risk Worth It?

$Apple(AAPL)$ has delivered a staggering 2,860% gain 📈, but its impressive track record does not mean the stock is without risk. 🔊 Pricing Power vs. Mega Client Apple controls an estimated 40–50% of the smartphone audio market, yet more than 85% of revenue comes from a single mega-client. That concentration creates a structural risk that investors cannot ignore, even with strong market share. 💰 Capital Efficiency Its asset-light, fabless model keeps capital requirements low while generating roughly 28% cash return on capital. Steady buybacks add another layer of shareholder support. 📊 Valuation Matters Our conservative two-year forecast looks at whether a 9%+ FCF yield provides enough margin of safety at current levels. 🔎 The key question is no lo
🍎 Apple Is Up 2,860% But Is the Risk Worth It?
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1.61K
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SmartReversals
·
08-19

SPX Lost Its Key Level and Semis Followed Lower

The stock market declined today as technical conditions suggested and our levels validated. Last Saturday, the Weekly Compass presented a high-probability bearish reversal for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , marking the loss of 7,773 as the key trigger that would validate the thesis, a level not far from Friday’s close, and in fact, a level breached during Monday morning in market hours with no gaps or premarket surprises. Following yesterday’s decline in the SPX and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , I studied the semiconductor rally, highlighting the gaps on $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ , $Micron Technology(MU)$ , and bearish setups for
SPX Lost Its Key Level and Semis Followed Lower
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3.40K
Selection
OptionsDelta
·
08-19

Small Pullback

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ QQQ suddenly initiated a small pullback, with the target being the starting price from August 3, around 710. SPY also looks like it's heading for a pullback to 760. This pullback isn't actually that small, but compared to July, it is. In terms of magnitude, it's simply giving back the excess gains from August 4. Even if it pulls back to 760, SPY's August gains would still be positive. The VIX 24 Call opened 146,600 contracts $VIX 20260916 24.0 CALL$ . Compared to the previous 28 Call opening, this is relatively moderate — suggesting that this pullback will likely push the VIX only into the low 20s. $SanDisk Corp
Small Pullback
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2.14K
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VNW Capital
·
08-14
$TQQQ 20260925 68.0 PUT$ QQQ dip yesterday and took the opportunity to open new position at a good premium. Good use of my spare capital  :-). 
TQQQ PUT
08-14 22:41
US20260925 68.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
2.72
2Lot(s)
+12.14%
Holding
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
$TQQQ 20260925 68.0 PUT$ QQQ dip yesterday and took the opportunity to open new position at a good premium. Good use of my spare capital :-).
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12.43K
General
Papa Bear
·
08-15
$OKLO 20260828 38.0 PUT$ Limit order filled to sell OKLO cash secured put below $40 psychological support 
OKLO PUT
08-15 03:31
US20260828 38.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
0.45
1Lot(s)
+97.78%
Holding
Oklo Inc.
$OKLO 20260828 38.0 PUT$ Limit order filled to sell OKLO cash secured put below $40 psychological support
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8.42K
General
InverseCramer
·
08-17
$NVDA 20260821 240.0 CALL$ $NVDA 20260821 240.0 CALL$ Finally get to try the Unagi don at Man Man Japanese Unagi restaurant at Clarke Quay. 😋😋😋
NVDA CALL
08-17 21:49
US20260821 240.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Buy
Close
0.20
10Lot(s)
+98.75%
Closed
NVIDIA
$NVDA 20260821 240.0 CALL$ $NVDA 20260821 240.0 CALL$ Finally get to try the Unagi don at Man Man Japanese Unagi restaurant at Clarke Quay. 😋😋😋
TOPElsieDewey: I bought NVDA calls too, 240 by Friday is spicy lol
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6.92K
General
VNW Capital
·
08-17
$TSM VERTICAL 260828 PUT 385.0/PUT 380.0$ Since it has reached 88% profit I decided to book profit even it can potentially expire worthless in 11 days. Will reserve capital as additional gun powder.
TSM Vertical
08-17 22:07
US385.0/380.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Debit
Close
0.19
3
--
Closed
TSM VERTICAL 260828 PUT 385.0/PUT 380.0
$TSM VERTICAL 260828 PUT 385.0/PUT 380.0$ Since it has reached 88% profit I decided to book profit even it can potentially expire worthless in 11 d...
TOPVNW Capital: I still have many positions opened during the pullback( when price at USD360 to 380) so I'm fine to build my gunpowder and diversify.
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1.99K
General
DMan
·
08-17
$IR 20260918 80.0 PUT$ I think this is oversold so I sold cash secured put to earn some premium.
IR PUT
08-17 21:50
US20260918 80.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
1.55
3Lot(s)
-64.51%
Holding
Ingersoll Rand Inc.
$IR 20260918 80.0 PUT$ I think this is oversold so I sold cash secured put to earn some premium.
TOPpredator007: Sold puts makes sense here, I’m bullish too
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4.46K
General
PoorBoyLeon
·
08-17
$NOW 20260821 118.0 PUT$ Rotation from software back to memory and storage. NOW is still one of the most important AI software tightly woven in many businesses and companies. Rotations will happen again and software is long undervalued. 4 DTE to a acquire or take profit =>80%
NOW PUT
08-17 22:18
US20260821 118.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
1.89
1Lot(s)
--
Closed
ServiceNow
$NOW 20260821 118.0 PUT$ Rotation from software back to memory and storage. NOW is still one of the most important AI software tightly woven in man...
TOPEllisBird: I added again into NOW for this exact rotation bet. Software gets loved again fast if memory cools a bit
2
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12.39K
General
PoorBoyLeon
·
08-17
$Micron Technology(MU)$ Taking some off to keep portfolio structure, will buy em back if/on a pull back.
MU
08-17 23:01
USMicron Technology
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Close
1,027.00
4
+360.01%
Closed
Micron Technology
$Micron Technology(MU)$ Taking some off to keep portfolio structure, will buy em back if/on a pull back.
TOPLouisthefly: Don't get left behind...
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4.57K
General
Terra_Incognita
·
08-17
$LIT 20260821 65.0 PUT$ LIT: take profit.  About 95% premiums from the sell puts already realised and options will expire this Fri.  close the trade earlier to recycle margins.
LIT PUT
08-17 23:47
US20260821 65.0
SidePriceRealized P&L
Buy
Close
0.05+95.42%
Closed
Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF
$LIT 20260821 65.0 PUT$ LIT: take profit. About 95% premiums from the sell puts already realised and options will expire this Fri. close the trade ...
TOPIreneWells: I sold the 65.5 put too, taking 95% is clean. You worried about gamma at the 65 strike into Fri?
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8.39K
General
Terra_Incognita
·
08-17
$BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.(BMNR)$ BMNR: selling a portions of my stocks that was not tied to covered calls to free up capital.  Price is alright and is above my holding average so will be getting a small profit overall.  This Batch of buy price was a bit higher so it's marking up as a loss.  Subsequent selling at similar prices should record a profit after their covered calls commitments expires in the coming weeks. 
BMNR
08-17 23:44
USBitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.
SidePriceRealized P&L
Sell
Close
18.75-6.29%
Closed
BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.
$BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.(BMNR)$ BMNR: selling a portions of my stocks that was not tied to covered calls to free up capital. Price is a...
TOPMeroy: I did the math too, 18.75 still leaves me underwater. Small profit sounds nice, but for higher cost bags this barely helps lol
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9.80K
General
Terra_Incognita
·
08-18
$PLTR 20260904 160.0 PUT$ PLTR: selling a new PUT expiring 4th Sept with strike at $160.  PLTR rose from the lows of $120 to current $175 after earnings on robust earnings beating market estimates.  With that, the momentum also shifted positively.  Selling puts at $160 levels near temporary supports to collect premiums.
PLTR PUT
08-17 23:55
US20260904 160.0
SidePriceRealized P&L
Sell
Open
1.83+86.89%
Holding
Palantir Technologies Inc.
$PLTR 20260904 160.0 PUT$ PLTR: selling a new PUT expiring 4th Sept with strike at $160. PLTR rose from the lows of $120 to current $175 after earn...
TOPvippy: I sold the 165 put too, 160 is cleaner though. RSI this stretched still bugs me a bit
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