To The Moon

let's gooow tudamun and make it insane

gold price down, good time to buy?

Ok that is ver nice to hear but quite good to see as well. Let’s watch it out together

Yes, this October curse strikes again this year, should have short the market during this month. Hopefully the end year really will materialise too.

Anthropic’s IPO filing is more than another milestone for artificial intelligence. It could give public-market investors a closer look at the economics behind the AI boom — and raise a difficult question for the companies already trading at premium valuations. Who will capture the biggest share of AI’s profits: the companies building the models, the chipmakers powering them, or the cloud providers selling the computing capacity? The chipmakers have benefited first Nvidia and other semiconductor companies have been major beneficiaries of AI infrastructure spending. As developers train and deploy increasingly capable models, demand for computing power has created a substantial market for specialised chips and related equipment. But infrastructure spending cannot grow indefinitely without cus

Anthropic’s IPO filing gave AI bulls a reason to return to the market on Monday. QQQ rose 1.11%, SPY gained 0.71%, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 1.14%, with semiconductor and high-beta growth stocks leading the move. The proposed Nasdaq ticker ANT puts a major question in front of investors: can a public listing for a leading AI company bring fresh capital and confidence into the wider AI sector? Why the IPO matters Anthropic’s filing could give investors a new benchmark for valuing AI businesses. Its revenue growth highlights the commercial demand for AI, while its enormous infrastructure commitments show how much capital is needed to compete. Chipmakers and data-centre suppliers may benefit if AI spending continues. But the impact will not be equal across the sector. A successful IPO wo

not really sure if gold would be a good hedge now so probably will not aim for any. If any, most likely will go for high risk miners instead but small small bites.

Anthropic, the company behind Claude, has put its IPO plans in front of public-market investors. The company publicly filed its S-1 on October 26 and intends to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “ANT.” The initial prospectus still leaves the offering price range blank. Filing for an IPO does not mean the shares have begun trading. (SEC filing) Two reported financial figures stand out. According to CNBC’s coverage of the prospectus, Anthropic generated $16.29 billion in revenue in the first half of 2026, up 1,304% year over year, while reporting a net loss of $80.7 billion. How can revenue rise so quickly alongside such a large loss? A central part of the explanation is approximately $72 billion in accounting charges related to changes in the value of convertible notes. (CNBC’s financial brea

Anthropic’s IPO Twist: Public Investors May Buy the Shares, but Founders Keep Control Anthropic’s upcoming IPO has revealed an unusual governance structure: seven co-founders will retain majority voting control through a new class of shares. According to the reported prospectus, Anthropic has introduced Class F common stock. A single Class F share, held by a newly established entity called Founder LLC, will carry 50.1% of the company’s total voting power. Founder LLC’s sole members are Anthropic’s seven co-founders, who will generally decide how to exercise that voting power. This creates an important distinction for potential investors: buying Anthropic shares may provide an economic stake in the business without giving shareholders equivalent influence over its decisions. 🔍 How Does the

🌟🌟🌟The armour is polished, the war chests are full and the battle lines are drawn.  Anthropic has just dropped its highly anticipated public S-1 Filing.  The financial crusade to capture the tech world's crown is officially underway.   Who is Behind the Anthropic Crusade? To understand why Wall Street is going crazy over Anthropic, you have to look at its origins.  Anthropic was founded in 2021 by Dario and Daniela Amodei, a brother and sister duo who previously held top research leadership roles at OpenAI.   Dario and Daniela Amodei left OpenAI in a dramatic split, taking a core group of researchers with them because they fundamentally disagreed with OpenAI's increasingly commercial, fast and loose direction.   Anthropic was built to be a Publi

QQQ rose while three large platforms declined The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$, which tracks the Nasdaq 100, gained 1.11 per cent on Monday, while the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ rose 0.71 per cent. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ fell 0.97 per cent, $Apple(AAPL)$ lost 1.10 per cent and Meta declined 1.88 per cent in the same session. The indices closed higher, but this was not a rally driven by all the large platforms together. Semiconductors and higher-beta growth shares were stronger. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rose 5.21 pe

US Market Snapshot – Volatility Creating Opportunities Wall Street bounced back this week after a choppy stretch. The S&P 500 closed higher (around +0.7%), with the Nasdaq leading gains as tech showed signs of stabilization. Investor sentiment improved on renewed AI optimism, including buzz around big AI company filings, while oil prices eased slightly.Key themes right now:Tech and semiconductors remain the main drivers but continue to swing hard. NVDA pulled back sharply toward the $210–$216 zone after recent highs, offering better entry levels for long-term holders. Memory names like MU also saw meaningful dips before starting to recover. Software and data plays such as PLTR have held up relatively well and remain in strong multi-month uptrends. Overall, the market is still in a “hig

$Anthropic(ANT)$   Anthropic reported $16.286 billion in revenue and a $80.748 billion GAAP net loss for the first half of 2026. Put those figures side by side and they make a striking headline. They do not, on their own, tell us how the business is performing. The first distinction is between an accounting loss and an operating loss. The net loss includes a $72.388 billion change in the fair value of convertible notes, derivative liabilities and SAFEs. That charge is not the same as spending $72 billion in cash. But setting it aside does not mean Anthropic was profitable under GAAP: its operating loss for the period was $693 million. The filing also reports $1.618 billion in adjusted operating income. That is a company-defined, non-GAAP

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce a "hawkish hold" this week, keeping its benchmark interest rate steady in the 3.75%–4.00% range while signaling that a December rate hike remains strongly on the table. In this article, we would like to share how we are analyzing the Federal Reserve's impending FOMC decision, bond yield dynamics, tech earnings reactions, volatility expectations, and tactical positioning strategies. 1. Deciphering the "Hawkish Hold" Framework A "hawkish hold" represents a sophisticated monetary strategy designed to balance two competing policy risks: over-tightening into slowing economic momentum versus prematurely loosening financial conditions before inflation is durably anchored to the Federal Reserve's 2.0% core target. By keeping rates stationary in th

Today, TSLA opened above $382.5. If TSLA manage to hold $382.5, we should be able to see more short term upside towards $393. If TSLA break and hold $393, we maybe able to see $403. If TSLA rejects at $393, then watch for $382.5 support. Else if TSLA rejects at $393, then watch for support back at $374. If TSLA rejects at $374, then watch for support at $364. Target 🎯: Entered this Cash Secured Put position when TSLA was trading around $358 level. Initially target to exit at 10-20% profit, or stop loss at same % range. But since TSLA had some strength, was happy to hold position slightly longer. Exitting position now to secure a nice 98% profit and slightly de-risking my long term portfolio, to gain more buying power to buy other stocks on discount.

Wall Street may get the rate decision it expects this week, but that doesn’t necessarily mean markets are in the clear. The Federal Reserve meets on October 27–28, with markets widely expecting rates to remain at 3.75%–4.00%. The bigger question is whether Chair Kevin Warsh signals that another increase could be coming in December. According to a Reuters poll published October 20, all 100 economists surveyed expected a December rate hike, highlighting how much inflation concerns have shifted expectations.  📊 Why the Fed Is Under Pressure Three factors are complicating the outlook: 1. Inflation remains stubborn Higher oil prices are adding to inflation pressures, while price increases in other areas could make the problem harder to contain. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed may have l

Gogogogogogogogogogogo

⭐🐯 fed descions 

great analysis and in depth, thank you for your point of view.

QQQ Put/Call at 1.19 — What the Options Tape Is Actually Saying Short answer: the reading is real but less bearish than the headline number suggests. QQQ's put/call ratio is running above its own recent norm, and the bulk flow is genuinely put-heavy — but a large share of that "put buying" sits in short-dated, near-the-money strikes that look more like hedging and volatility trading than a directional short bet. Meanwhile the dealer positioning underneath is the more actionable signal: net gamma is deeply negative, which mechanically amplifies moves in either direction. 1. Where the ratio actually stands Metric Value Date Put/Call ratio (options overview) 1.17 2026-10-27 Call/Put ratio (chain snapshot) 0.85 2026-10-27 Put volume / Call volume 3.71M / 3.29M 2026-10-27 Put/Call OI

Anthropic, the company behind Claude, has put its IPO plans in front of public-market investors. The company publicly filed its S-1 on October 26 and intends to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “ANT.” The initial prospectus still leaves the offering price range blank. Filing for an IPO does not mean the shares have begun trading. (SEC filing) Two reported financial figures stand out. According to CNBC’s coverage of the prospectus, Anthropic generated $16.29 billion in revenue in the first half of 2026, up 1,304% year over year, while reporting a net loss of $80.7 billion. How can revenue rise so quickly alongside such a large loss? A central part of the explanation is approximately $72 billion in accounting charges related to changes in the value of convertible notes. (CNBC’s financial brea

🌟🌟🌟The armour is polished, the war chests are full and the battle lines are drawn.  Anthropic has just dropped its highly anticipated public S-1 Filing.  The financial crusade to capture the tech world's crown is officially underway.   Who is Behind the Anthropic Crusade? To understand why Wall Street is going crazy over Anthropic, you have to look at its origins.  Anthropic was founded in 2021 by Dario and Daniela Amodei, a brother and sister duo who previously held top research leadership roles at OpenAI.   Dario and Daniela Amodei left OpenAI in a dramatic split, taking a core group of researchers with them because they fundamentally disagreed with OpenAI's increasingly commercial, fast and loose direction.   Anthropic was built to be a Publi

Anthropic’s IPO Twist: Public Investors May Buy the Shares, but Founders Keep Control Anthropic’s upcoming IPO has revealed an unusual governance structure: seven co-founders will retain majority voting control through a new class of shares. According to the reported prospectus, Anthropic has introduced Class F common stock. A single Class F share, held by a newly established entity called Founder LLC, will carry 50.1% of the company’s total voting power. Founder LLC’s sole members are Anthropic’s seven co-founders, who will generally decide how to exercise that voting power. This creates an important distinction for potential investors: buying Anthropic shares may provide an economic stake in the business without giving shareholders equivalent influence over its decisions. 🔍 How Does the

Anthropic’s IPO filing is more than another milestone for artificial intelligence. It could give public-market investors a closer look at the economics behind the AI boom — and raise a difficult question for the companies already trading at premium valuations. Who will capture the biggest share of AI’s profits: the companies building the models, the chipmakers powering them, or the cloud providers selling the computing capacity? The chipmakers have benefited first Nvidia and other semiconductor companies have been major beneficiaries of AI infrastructure spending. As developers train and deploy increasingly capable models, demand for computing power has created a substantial market for specialised chips and related equipment. But infrastructure spending cannot grow indefinitely without cus

QQQ rose while three large platforms declined The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$, which tracks the Nasdaq 100, gained 1.11 per cent on Monday, while the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ rose 0.71 per cent. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ fell 0.97 per cent, $Apple(AAPL)$ lost 1.10 per cent and Meta declined 1.88 per cent in the same session. The indices closed higher, but this was not a rally driven by all the large platforms together. Semiconductors and higher-beta growth shares were stronger. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rose 5.21 pe

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce a "hawkish hold" this week, keeping its benchmark interest rate steady in the 3.75%–4.00% range while signaling that a December rate hike remains strongly on the table. In this article, we would like to share how we are analyzing the Federal Reserve's impending FOMC decision, bond yield dynamics, tech earnings reactions, volatility expectations, and tactical positioning strategies. 1. Deciphering the "Hawkish Hold" Framework A "hawkish hold" represents a sophisticated monetary strategy designed to balance two competing policy risks: over-tightening into slowing economic momentum versus prematurely loosening financial conditions before inflation is durably anchored to the Federal Reserve's 2.0% core target. By keeping rates stationary in th

Anthropic’s IPO filing gave AI bulls a reason to return to the market on Monday. QQQ rose 1.11%, SPY gained 0.71%, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 1.14%, with semiconductor and high-beta growth stocks leading the move. The proposed Nasdaq ticker ANT puts a major question in front of investors: can a public listing for a leading AI company bring fresh capital and confidence into the wider AI sector? Why the IPO matters Anthropic’s filing could give investors a new benchmark for valuing AI businesses. Its revenue growth highlights the commercial demand for AI, while its enormous infrastructure commitments show how much capital is needed to compete. Chipmakers and data-centre suppliers may benefit if AI spending continues. But the impact will not be equal across the sector. A successful IPO wo

$Anthropic(ANT)$   Anthropic reported $16.286 billion in revenue and a $80.748 billion GAAP net loss for the first half of 2026. Put those figures side by side and they make a striking headline. They do not, on their own, tell us how the business is performing. The first distinction is between an accounting loss and an operating loss. The net loss includes a $72.388 billion change in the fair value of convertible notes, derivative liabilities and SAFEs. That charge is not the same as spending $72 billion in cash. But setting it aside does not mean Anthropic was profitable under GAAP: its operating loss for the period was $693 million. The filing also reports $1.618 billion in adjusted operating income. That is a company-defined, non-GAAP

let's gooow tudamun and make it insane

Ok that is ver nice to hear but quite good to see as well. Let’s watch it out together

gold price down, good time to buy?

Wall Street may get the rate decision it expects this week, but that doesn’t necessarily mean markets are in the clear. The Federal Reserve meets on October 27–28, with markets widely expecting rates to remain at 3.75%–4.00%. The bigger question is whether Chair Kevin Warsh signals that another increase could be coming in December. According to a Reuters poll published October 20, all 100 economists surveyed expected a December rate hike, highlighting how much inflation concerns have shifted expectations.  📊 Why the Fed Is Under Pressure Three factors are complicating the outlook: 1. Inflation remains stubborn Higher oil prices are adding to inflation pressures, while price increases in other areas could make the problem harder to contain. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed may have l

US Market Snapshot – Volatility Creating Opportunities Wall Street bounced back this week after a choppy stretch. The S&P 500 closed higher (around +0.7%), with the Nasdaq leading gains as tech showed signs of stabilization. Investor sentiment improved on renewed AI optimism, including buzz around big AI company filings, while oil prices eased slightly.Key themes right now:Tech and semiconductors remain the main drivers but continue to swing hard. NVDA pulled back sharply toward the $210–$216 zone after recent highs, offering better entry levels for long-term holders. Memory names like MU also saw meaningful dips before starting to recover. Software and data plays such as PLTR have held up relatively well and remain in strong multi-month uptrends. Overall, the market is still in a “hig

Yes, this October curse strikes again this year, should have short the market during this month. Hopefully the end year really will materialise too.

not really sure if gold would be a good hedge now so probably will not aim for any. If any, most likely will go for high risk miners instead but small small bites.

I have repeatedly highlighted October as a key turning-point window for US equity indices. Whatever the news backdrop, a break below the key trend line should prompt us to consider reducing risk. US indices have yet to see a sharp acceleration in selling, but other markets, including mainland China's A-share market, have already fallen. It is hard to tell whether this reflects a synchronized move across markets or local developments. With most of the news unfavorable, however, temporarily reducing risk is a prudent choice. $China A50 Index - main 2610(CNmain)$ $Hang Seng Index - main 2610(HSImain)$ $Hang Seng Index - Oct 2026(HSI2610)$

Today, TSLA opened above $382.5. If TSLA manage to hold $382.5, we should be able to see more short term upside towards $393. If TSLA break and hold $393, we maybe able to see $403. If TSLA rejects at $393, then watch for $382.5 support. Else if TSLA rejects at $393, then watch for support back at $374. If TSLA rejects at $374, then watch for support at $364. Target 🎯: Entered this Cash Secured Put position when TSLA was trading around $358 level. Initially target to exit at 10-20% profit, or stop loss at same % range. But since TSLA had some strength, was happy to hold position slightly longer. Exitting position now to secure a nice 98% profit and slightly de-risking my long term portfolio, to gain more buying power to buy other stocks on discount.

The AI selloff does not have a fixed end date and remains tied to escalating oil prices (surpassing $100–$116 per barrel due to Middle East tensions). In this article, we would like to share how we are analyzing the key drivers prolonging the AI tech selloff, covering chipmakers, mega-cap infrastructure providers, and Federal Reserve rate expectations. I. Macroeconomic Catalysts Fueling the Downturn The equity selloff in technology and artificial intelligence infrastructure is not happening in a vacuum; rather, it represents the intersection of severe external macroeconomic shocks and internal industry re-evaluations. Central to this broader disruption is an unprecedented squeeze on operating margins and cost of capital, driven primarily by energy market instability and elevated discount r

QQQ Put/Call at 1.19 — What the Options Tape Is Actually Saying Short answer: the reading is real but less bearish than the headline number suggests. QQQ's put/call ratio is running above its own recent norm, and the bulk flow is genuinely put-heavy — but a large share of that "put buying" sits in short-dated, near-the-money strikes that look more like hedging and volatility trading than a directional short bet. Meanwhile the dealer positioning underneath is the more actionable signal: net gamma is deeply negative, which mechanically amplifies moves in either direction. 1. Where the ratio actually stands Metric Value Date Put/Call ratio (options overview) 1.17 2026-10-27 Call/Put ratio (chain snapshot) 0.85 2026-10-27 Put volume / Call volume 3.71M / 3.29M 2026-10-27 Put/Call OI

If the Federal Reserve turns more hawkish and interest rates rise,  short-term Treasury bills and bonds may become more attractive because investors can earn higher yields while taking relatively less interest-rate risk than with long-term bonds. 💰 This could trigger some rotation of capital from gold and stocks into bonds, especially if investors want safer, more predictable income. However, the movement is not automatic. Gold may fall if higher real yields strengthen the US dollar, while stocks may face pressure because higher borrowing costs can reduce valuations. 📈 What could happen? * 🏦 Short-term bonds: May attract more cash as yields rise. * 🪙 Gold: Could face pressure from higher rea l interest rates, although safe-haven demand may support it. * 📉 Growth stocks: May be vulnera