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08-27
From AI capex to AI revenue—the monetisation cycle is becoming clearer. 🔄 1️⃣ Hardware: NVIDIA supplies the GPUs and computing infrastructure needed to build AI capacity. Its latest results showed data-centre revenue reaching US$89 billion, up 117% year-on-year—evidence that infrastructure demand remains exceptionally strong. 2️⃣ Cloud: Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Oracle install these chips in data centres, then monetise them by renting AI computing power to developers and enterprises. 3️⃣ Software: Companies such as Salesforce use that cloud capacity to embed AI into real business workflows. Customers pay through subscriptions, AI add-ons and usage-based fees—turning computing power into recurring software revenue. 4️⃣ Security: As more applications and data move into AI environments, d
TOPa9032: Cloud capex guidance is the cleaner tell here. If the next quarter spend stays elevated, Nvidia demand probably keeps flowing through software and security too
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08-28 19:29
🪙 AI Software & Cybersecurity Stocks Surge: CRM +22.58%, CRWD +20.50% — What’s Driving the Rally?
Hi Tigers 🐯, AI software, cybersecurity and enterprise-tech stocks posted a powerful session, led by $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ +22.58%,$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ +20.50%, $Veeva(VEEV)$ +15.20%, $Synopsys(SNPS)$ +13.39% and $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ +12.83%. The rally was backed by a mix of earnings beats, stronger guidance, AI-related catalysts and higher trading volume. Technically, momentum has improved sharply across the group — although several names are now showing elevated RSI readings afte
TOPOf these 10, I'm currently paying the most attention to CRWD, followed by DDOG and NVDA. What attracted me most about CRWD wasn't the 20% increase that day, but rather the record-breaking new ARR, the continued upward revision of the full-year guidance, and the fact that AI security requirements are shifting from a "concept" to something that businesses must spend. Compared to ordinary SaaS, cybersecurity budgets are more rigid. The more AI agents there are and the wider the attack surface, the easier it is for platforms like CRWD to benefit. I would rank DDOG second because its short-term technical aspects are not as hot as CRM and VEEV, but cloud monitoring and observability are essential needs after AI applications become more complex. The more complex the AI system, the more companies need to know where the models, APIs, databases, and agents are going wrong. NVDA remains the most certain core asset in the AI theme, but it is more like a "master switch" than the most resilient target in this round of software rebound. So if I had to choose only one, I would still choose CRWD, but I wouldn't chase the 20% bullish candlestick after the pullback. In short: In the next stage of the AI market, I would rather buy security and monitoring that "must be continuously paid for" than just one-time emotional outbursts.
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08-28 17:11
[MUST READ] The Golden Rule of Survival: How to Calculate Position Size (The 1% Risk Rule)
Ask 100 new traders why they blew up their trading accounts, and 90 of them will say: "My strategy failed." If you look at their trade logs, that’s almost never true. They blew up because they had zero position sizing rules. On one trade they risked $10, and on the next trade they risked $300 because they "felt confident." Professional risk management isn't about avoiding losses—it's about making sure no single loss can ever knock you out of the game. Here is a step-by-step guide on how to calculate your exact position size before hitting Buy or Sell. The Big Misconception: Position Size = Risk Amount $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Most beginners confuse total position value with maximum risk: – Wrong Thinking: "I have a $1,000 account. I want
TOPPosition sizing helps, but stop discipline is the real killer. Plenty of people cap risk at 1% then freeze when the stop gets blown through lol
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08-28 18:15
Jackson Hole 2026: Three Warsh Scenarios—and What They Mean for AI Stocks After Nvidia’s strong earnings reinforced confidence in AI demand, the market’s attention now shifts from corporate earnings to monetary policy. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole keynote could determine whether strong AI investment is viewed as: ✅ A productivity engine that allows faster, less inflationary growth or ⚠️ An investment boom that keeps demand and inflation too strong This distinction matters because technology companies face two opposing forces: * Strong AI capex supports semiconductor, cloud and software revenue. * Higher interest rates reduce technology valuations and increase financing costs. Here are my best, base and worst-case scenarios for the speech. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ CURRENT MA
TOPIf Warsh lands hawkish, the duration hit probably hurts AI software more than semis. Long-end yields and the discount rate matter more than another capex headline here
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08-28 18:25
🏆 AUGUST TAUGHT ME SOMETHING MORE IMPORTANT THAN PICKING THE RIGHT STOCK
If I judged August purely by my portfolio, it would be a pretty strange month to review. My positions were small. Some were short-lived. There were buys, sells, changes of plan and at least one period where I bought $BE and then watched it fluctuate like it had taken my purchase personally. 😂 But the biggest reason my portfolio looked the way it did had very little to do with the market. Real life happened. I needed access to money for personal circumstances, which meant selling investments earlier than I might otherwise have chosen. At first, that felt frustrating. We spend so much time talking about finding great companies, building conviction and holding for the long term. But August taught me something I think is just as important: Your investment strategy has to survive your real life
TOPAugust taught me cash flexibility matters more than perfect conviction. Small size plus hedge beats forcing a hold when real life hits.
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08-27
$Silvercorp Metals Inc(SVM)$ Revisit SVM, which is going from strength to strength. Despite silver price struggled overnight in US trading session, SVM was able to continue its strong march forward. In fact, upon hitting a recent low at $8.50, followed by a confirmation of inverted head and shoulders, the share price has not looked back. The main reason is linked to the recent backflow in interest in precious metals group in general. Gold has moved from $4000 to $4700 and silver from $55 to now finally assaulting $70 target 🎯. What a turnaround in a couple of weeks! As discussed in another article not long ago, there is a separate reason. SVM has over the years quietly transformed itself. It is no longer a China only silver mining company, neither
TOPThe diversification part matters more than the silver bounce here. Multi-mine exposure plus the Kyrgyzstan asset changes the whole risk profile, not just the chart 📈
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08-27
$IBM 20270115 220.0 CALL$ sold out my ibm options to relase funds for possible other trades
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08-28 18:24
Where Will U.S. Stocks, Semis, and Gold Go？Ross Dong on the Fed, AI CapEx, and a Forced Unwind
Speaker: @Ross_Macro_Trading (Founder of Gongxing Academy, Partner at Morning Cloud Asset Management, B.S. Applied Mathematics, Columbia University) Live Date: August 27, 2026 (Review Live >>) In this livestream, Ross Dong mapped out where US equities, semiconductors, Treasuries and gold are headed into year-end — covering a Fed entering a less transparent era under new Chair Kevin Warsh, a Treasury Department stepping directly into the bond market, the forced hedge-fund unwind that rattled AI-adjacent stocks in July, and
TOPThe US Treasury’s $4 billion bond buyback boost offers temporary liquidity relief, though market observers note it does not alter the broader fiscal dynamics as the US national debt passes $40 trillion. This macro strain hit right as July's tech rout forced an overdue repricing, sparked by AI profitability doubts and hyper-efficient open-source software. Concurrently, Singapore's REIT sector faces heavy structural pain. EC World REIT ( $EC World Reit(BWCU.SI)$ ) reaches its third year of trading suspension on August 31, 2026, alongside an over 50% net property income drop and a leverage ratio past 94%. Meanwhile, Dasin Retail Trust ( $Dasin Retail Tr(CEDU.SI)$ ) remains halted after its trustee-manager lost operational control over its main subsidiaries, leaving it mired in judicial management. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ @rL @MHh @Shyon @koolgal @icycrystal
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08-28 18:12
Net profit surged 490%. Has Meituan returned to profitability?
$MEITUAN-W(03690)$ 2026 Q2 Financial Results Release Meituan reported revenue of approximately RMB 104.643 billion for the second quarter of 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.4% and exceeding the Bloomberg consensus estimate of RMB 101.079 billion by approximately 3.53%. Profit for the period amounted to approximately RMB 2.155 billion, up 490% year-on-year. Adjusted net profit amounted to approximately RMB 2.524 billion, up 69% year-on-year, significantly exceeding the Bloomberg consensus estimate of RMB 340 million. The substantial divergence in year-on-year growth rates between profit for the period and adjusted net profit was primarily attributable to a significant increase in other net gains during the quarter,
TOPThat 490% headline is doing too much. The 69% adjusted profit growth is the cleaner read, and the gap to reported profit still makes earnings quality the real debate.
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08-28 16:40
Nvidia Set a One-Day Record for Market Value. The Firms Selling It Memory Fell.
Hello. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ closed up 8.74 per cent on Thursday at US$227.98, and one report called it the largest single-day gain in market value the company has ever made; $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ rose 1.37 per cent. Another headline was blunter: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was up that day because of Nvidia and nothing else. The other side of it appeared the same day: one report's headline said Nvidia is getting too big, and that this is a problem in itself. An index leaning on a single stock looks good on the way up and works the same way in reverse. The day before, it had fallen first and turned higher only on the 70 per cent growth
TOPI prefer to see this as a matter of risk discipline rather than a crack in the financing model, but it does show that the market has begun to seriously examine the boundaries of Nvidia's ability to "sell shovels while helping customers make money." Suspending the revenue-sharing arrangement is not necessarily a bad thing in itself. AI data centers require huge upfront capital, and Nvidia's help to customers solve financing constraints was originally of practical significance. However, if the bond between suppliers, financers, and ultimate buyers becomes too deep, the market will begin to worry about how much of the demand is naturally formed and how much is pulled out in advance by the financing structure. Therefore, what we really need to look at is not "stopping an arrangement", but rather several subsequent indicators: whether accounts receivable and DSO will continue to rise, whether customers can raise funds independently, whether operating cash flow can keep up with revenue, and the utilization rate and return rate of these AI cloud projects. If all of these are healthy, then this is more like proactively tightening risk exposure; If more and more projects require Nvidia to cover their own costs, then we should be truly wary. On the contrary, I think that Nvidia's proactive step towards recovery shows that management also knows that the capital market has begun to focus on revenue quality, not just revenue growth. In short: financing can amplify the demand for AI, but it cannot replace real demand; Suspending a line is not necessarily a crack; the real crack depends on cash flow and the customer's ability to generate their own revenue.
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08-28 15:57
Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market
Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market Next, I will summarize the key information and
TOPCalling Treasury futures low-threshold feels a bit too clean. CME margin, slippage, and overnight risk are exactly what chew up smaller accounts.
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08-28 17:05
$AVGO Gains 4.49% on Kyndryl Expansion and AI Chip Recovery
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Broadcom(AVGO) Surged +4.49% to $371.54: AI Chip Momentum Rebuilds, $397 Resistance in Crosshairs Latest Close Data AVGO closed at $371.54 on 2026-08-28, up +4.49% (+$15.95). The stock now trades 24.9% below its 52-week high of $495.00, but has rebounded sharply from its 52-week low of $287.17. Core Market Drivers Broadcom gained after Kyndryl expanded its VMware Cloud Foundation alliance with AVGO, reinforcing enterprise AI infrastructure demand. Sentiment also improved as AI-chip names stabilized following July's sharp sector-wide derating, with AVGO reclaiming key psychological levels above $360. Technical Analysis Volume surged to 21.33M shares (volume ratio 1.13), confirming institutional accumulation. RSI(6) jumped from 19.
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08-28 16:54
$ADBE Surges 5.73% as Software Stocks Catch Up
$Adobe(ADBE)$ $Adobe (ADBE) +5.73% Surge: Creative AI Powerhouse Reclaims $289, Eyeing $301 Breakout 📈 Latest Close: $289.15 (+5.73%) on Aug 28, 2026. Now 22% below 52-week high of $370.86, but decisively above the $237.68 support shelf. Volume hit 6.53M shares (1.88x average), signaling strong institutional accumulation. Core Drivers: Adobe snapped a multi-week consolidation as AI-driven Creative Cloud adoption expectations reaccelerated. No company-specific catalyst today; the move appears to be a beta-driven catch-up within large-cap software, aided by short-covering after short volume ratio dropped from 22% to 10% over the past week. Technical Analysis: MACD turned bullish with DIF (10.63) crossing above DEA (9.95), printing a positive histogr
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08-27
Walmart's Paradox: It Beat and Raised — So Why Did Wall Street Sell It?
Walmart delivered the kind of quarter companies normally dream about: it beat expectations on earnings and revenue, raised full-year guidance and continued to grow. Wall Street responded by selling the shares hard. On August 20, adjusted EPS came in at $0.81 against consensus of $0.7413, while revenue reached $187.94 billion, up roughly 6% year on year. Yet the stock plunged 9%, its worst earnings-day reaction in Walmart's last ten reported quarters and its fourth consecutive earnings-day decline. That is not a normal earnings story. It is a valuation story, an expectations story and, increasingly, a fight about what Walmart is actually worth. Walmart built a giant machine. Wall Street narrowed the tightrope The beat that came with a footnote The most revealing detail was buried beneath th
TOPCapex is the part the market still feels underpriced. If automation and AI keep eating cash flow, 35x forward earnings is a pretty thin cushion
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08-27
Why Okta’s 21% Earnings Breakout Raises the Bar for AI-Identity Growth
$Okta Inc.(OKTA)$ reported its fiscal second quarter ended July 31 after the August 26 market close. The shares had already gained 2.9% to $134.42 during the regular session and then rose another 20.9% to $162.45 after hours. That response pushed the stock above its previous 52-week high near $157 and shows that investors viewed the combination of stronger backlog, guidance and AI-identity demand as more important than the company’s still-moderate headline growth rate. Revenue increased 11% year over year to $805 million and subscription revenue rose 12% to $793 million. Remaining performance obligations grew 17% to $4.858 billion, while current RPO, revenue expected principally over the next twelve months, grew 14% to $2.585 billion. Operating ca
TOPThe $227M free cash flow is the part that matters most here. For a name growing 11%, that cash conversion does a lot more than the gap hype.
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08-27
Why CrowdStrike’s Record ARR Quarter Shows Security Consolidation Is Working
$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$’s fiscal-second-quarter report supplied something software investors have recently demanded: growth accelerated at the same time as cash generation improved. The company reported after the August 26 close for the quarter ended July 31. Revenue increased 26% to $1.47 billion, subscription revenue rose 27% to $1.40 billion and ending annual recurring revenue increased 25% to $5.84 billion. The strongest leading indicator was net new ARR. It reached a record $332.8 million, up 51% year over year. Accounts adopting Falcon Flex represented more than $2.29 billion of ending ARR, up 101%. Management raised its fiscal-2027 net-new-ARR growth outlook by 630 basis points to 34% at the midpoint. CrowdStrike’s official relea
TOPRecord ARR is fine, but I doubt the acceleration is clean. Net new ARR may be getting a one-off lift from large deals while new customer contribution is easing.
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08-27
🌟🌟🌟When a market faces a multi year inflation fight and still refuses to break, the trend is telling you everything you need to know. I am betting on an upward breakthrough rather than a macro led decline. We have been staring at the exact same inflation ghost for over 5 years now. Wall Street has already priced in a higher for longer narrative. With the new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh getting rid of the dot plot forward guidance, his silence has the market jumping at its own shadow. But sticky inflation isn't a surprise anymore. It is just an annoying background noise of the 2020s. The good news is that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ blowout earnings brings much cheer to investors. It is not every day you get a company scaling to USD 10
TOP108B guidance is huge, but the shield argument still leans too hard on one engine. If cloud capex rotation shows up, that data center mix gets tested fast
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08-27
I’d choose D — satellite and terrestrial networks will eventually merge into one integrated ecosystem. SpaceX certainly has the technology to disrupt wireless communications, but building a nationwide terrestrial network is vastly different from providing satellite coverage. Urban density, indoor connectivity, capacity, mobility and fiber infrastructure remain difficult challenges. That is why I don’t see T-Mobile, Verizon and AT&T as immediate casualties. More likely, SpaceX will combine Starlink satellites, its newly acquired spectrum and existing terrestrial infrastructure through partnerships, tower leases and network sharing. Ironically, the biggest beneficiaries may be companies that help build the network. The real opportunity isn’t simply SpaceX versus telecom—it’s the converg
TOPThe 1.6 GHz spectrum piece matters more for indoor coverage than people think. Satellite links can fill gaps, but dense urban capacity still lives or dies on terrestrial backhaul and sharing deals