2.01K
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09-01 14:19
$MEITUAN-W(03690)$ DCA in view of price weakness. Also to round up my holdings for option strategy.
TOPcatandbull: If free cash flow holds this quarter, this DCA starts to look pretty clean. Local services share is still the part I care about lol
824
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09-01 17:26
Utility Stocks Can Fall 23% in a Day
California’s Wildfire Bill Turns PCG and EIX Back Into High-Risk Assets One-line takeaway: Utility stocks may offer protection against the economic cycle, but they are not necessarily protected from wildfire liabilities, regulatory changes or the legal risks of a single state. The biggest individual stock moves in the U.S. market on Monday did not come from the technology sector, but from traditionally “defensive” stocks. PG&E $PG&E Corp(PCG)$ fell 20.1%; Edison International $Edison(EIX)$ dropped 23.1%; Sempra $Sempra(SRE)$ declined 3.1%. The trigger was a California wildfire bill. The final version did not in
TOPC for me. Defensive is doing a lot of work here lol — if one state can blow up the whole thesis, these are event risk trades until the liability rules stop moving
401
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09-01 16:35
[Live With Dr. Franklin Wu] Quantitative Analysis Framework & Trading Logic for AI + Semiconductor I
[Miser]Hi~ Tigers The past two weeks gave AI/semiconductor investors a case study in whipsaw. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ delivered a blowout quarter that beat expectations across the board — and the stock still popped on the print — yet the move came against a backdrop where Fed Chair-designate Kevin Warsh used his Jackson Hole remarks to put inflation, not growth, back at the center of policy, and rate-hike odds for September jumped sharply overnight. At the same time, long-end Treasury yields pushed toward multi-year highs before a Treasury buyback operation — nicknamed the "Bessent Put" — triggered a technical bond rally. None of this cancels the AI buildout story. But it does mean the trade is no longer just "AI is strong, buy the chip sto
TOPVol drag is still underrated: if the index goes +10% then -10%, it ends at 99, while a 3x ETF goes +30% then -30% and ends at 91.
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09-01 17:08
Why This Week’s Labor Data Could Break Regional Banks Out of Their Narrow Range
Regional-bank shares enter September between two opposing rate scenarios. Strong employment can protect credit quality but keep funding costs high; weak employment can encourage eventual rate relief while increasing loan losses. This week’s JOLTS and payroll releases may determine which interpretation dominates. The Bureau of Labor Statistics scheduled July job-openings data for September 1 and the August employment report for September 4. The official BLS calendar confirms the release dates. The previous employment report, released August 7 for July, showed nonfarm payrolls falling by 23,000 while unemployment held at 4.1%. The BLS July report provides the baseline. The bullish case for regional banks is a controlled slowdown. Moderate hiring and stable unemployment can reduce the probabi
TOPSoft landing is still the cleanest setup for KRE. For me 73 matters more than the data headline since failed support there usually turns into a fast trip back toward 70
110
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08-31 22:47
$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Made this trade using Cash Boost Account (CBA) @Tiger_CashBoostAccount @CashBoost @TigerStars @Tiger_Contra Support / Resistance 📈📉: Support: $348-351, $337, $328-330, $318 Resistance: $348-$351, $364, $374 Outlook 📝: TSLA opened above $348 today. Seems like TSLA is holding $348-351, thus we may be heading in for more short term upside towards $364. If TSLA manage to break and
TOP364 already feels stretched to me. Q2 margin pressure still has not cleared, so chasing TSLL up here looks rough
181
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09-01 03:48
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ have $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ come back now? Bull case — 2–4 years: US$150–200+ volume jumped 151% to US$14.8T. * USDC is the core growth engine. Circulation was US$73.3B in Q2, +19% YoY, while on-chain transaction volume jumped 151% to US$14.8T. , institutional settlement and blockchain infrastructure.* Circle is expanding beyond stablecoins into payments, institutional settlement and blockchain infrastructure. * Arc mainnet launches September 16, with more than 100 ecosystem/institutional builders and major financial institutions involved. * FY2026 “Other Revenue” guidance was dramatically increased from $150–170M to $310–330M, largely because of
TOPThat 3.5% reserve yield is the whole swing factor. If they stack USDC growth against the Treasury gap, the rate risk gets way easier to price
146
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09-01 04:03
$MU 20260831 950.0 CALL$ tiger trade liquid me before I can pprofit
350
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09-01 04:18
$Adobe(ADBE)$ $Adobe(ADBE)$ coming back strong. What's going on? I think Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) is becoming a buy again, but I would not chase it aggressively at US$293. Buy, but preferably on weakness Adobe has had a remarkable rebound: it was around $190–205 earlier this year and is now around $293. That means some of the easy recovery has already happened. The interesting part is that the business fundamentals are considerably better than the stock’s recent reputation suggests: * Q2 FY2026 revenue reached a record $6.62B, up roughly 13%. * Adobe raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $26.5–26.6B. * AI-first ARR exceeded $500M, reportedly tripling YoY. * Creative and Marketing subscription rev
TOP16.8x is not cheap-low, it is market still ignoring Adobe's AI monetization path. The cash flow and moat look stronger than the multiple implies 👀
81
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09-01 07:18
$BE 20260904 245.0 CALL$ Locked in premium.
331
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09-01 10:14
$ALB.HK 20260929 127.50 CALL$ I'm loading alot Afraid I might become sunstantial shareholder of Alibabar soon. Have to call Joe Tsai for coffee sometime to scold him.
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09-01 16:50
Axioma ROOF™ Score Highlights: Week of August 31, 2026
With the second-quarter earnings season drawing to a close, investors’ attention will swing back from corporate results to the macroeconomic and geopolitical front. That puts monetary policy, trade tensions, and the conflict with Iran back on the front page. Last week’s secondary sanctions on Iran and its economic supporters were an insult to Swiss cheese and another display of the US administration’s preferred foreign-policy doctrine: speak loudly, carry a small stick, and hope nobody notices. China noticed. Beijing threatened to retaliate if the secondary sanctions were applied to Chinese companies, especially its banks. The White House, for now, stopped short of targeting either. With China’s President due to visit the US on September 24, it seems even trade tensions have diaries. Senti
TOPI care more about the September minutes here. If they land softer than expected, ROOF probably turns faster than the geopolitical headlines do.
12.93K
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09-01 16:05
💾 SanDisk +3,000%: Why Memory Makers Are Buying Back Billions
👋 Hi, Tigers! $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ is up more than 3,000% over the past year. $Micron Technology(MU)$ has gained well over 200% YTD. Numbers like that are wild enough to make anyone wonder whether the market has gone too far. But the more interesting story isn't the stock charts — it's what these companies are doing with the cash they're generating. Record memory pricing has turned $Micron Technology(MU)$, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ and $SK hynix(SKHY)$ into cash machines. And their very different capital-al
TOPMy view:the memory supercycle still has room to run, but the easy money is probably behind us.The key is separating DRAM from NAND. DRAM remains structurally tight because AI accelerators and HBM are consuming enormous wafer capacity, while new fabs take years to build and ramp up. NAND, however, faces a clearer risk of supply catching up with demand in 2027. That makes me more comfortable withMU and SK hynixthan pure NAND exposure. SK hynix's ₩40T buyback is a strong signal that management remains confident in future cash generation, but buybacks are not a guaranteed price floor. At ~85% gross margins, expectations are already extremely high. I would watchDRAM contract prices, HBM demand, hyperscaler capex and gross marginsrather than stock charts. If DRAM prices roll over while AI capex slows, the cycle could turn quickly. Until then, I remain bullish—but I would buy selectively on pullbacks rather than chase momentum. @TigerObserver [暗中观察]
396
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09-01 15:50
🏆 What’s Your Take? Winners Are Here!
Hi, Tigers 🐯 The S&P 500 hit new highs — but whose take really stood out? 👀 Our “What’s Your Take?｜S&P 500 at New Highs: Bull Run or Pullback?” campaign has officially come to an end! Different views are what make a market. And great takes deserve to be seen. After careful evaluation, we’re excited to announce the winners of our first What’s Your Take? campaign! 🎉 🥇 Legendary Take This take really hit the mark. 🔥 Congratulations to: @Lanceljx @Investordude1301 @MHh 🎁 Million-Dollar Reversible Blanket 🪙 5,000 Tiger Coins 🥈 Market Oracle When the market gets interesting, the
TOP🌟🌟🌟"What's Your Take?" is an awesome campaign to highlight the topics we are most concerned with in this volatile market. A Big Thank You @TigerStars for your generous rewards. Congratulations to all my Dear Tiger Friends who have also won too .🥰🥰🥰
295
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09-01 15:38
Why Union Pacific’s Merger Spread Still Prices In Regulatory Trouble
The Surface Transportation Board has restarted its review of $Union Pacific(UNP)$’s proposed acquisition of $Norfolk Southern(NSC)$, but it has not endorsed the transaction. The difference between a complete application and an approvable merger explains why Norfolk Southern still trades well below the value implied by the deal terms. Union Pacific agreed on July 28, 2025, and announced on July 29 that it would acquire Norfolk Southern. Each Norfolk Southern share would receive one Union Pacific share plus $88.82 in cash. Union Pacific expects to issue approximately 225 million shares, fund the cash component with debt and balance-sheet cash, and begin with debt near 3.3 times EBITDA. Management estimates $2
TOPThat 13.6% spread makes sense, but UNP standalone earnings probably deserve more credit. If the deal slips, the floor is still more operating resilience than pure merger math.
261
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09-01 15:33
Why Broadcom’s Next Earnings Must Prove That $16 Billion of AI Revenue Is Not the Peak
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ reports fiscal-third-quarter results after the September 2 close with a difficult expectations problem. Its preceding quarter produced extraordinary AI growth and cash flow, yet the stock remains far below its yearly high because investors are questioning customer concentration, custom-chip competition and how long hyperscaler spending can accelerate. Broadcom reported on June 3 for the quarter ended May 3. Revenue increased 48% to $22.19 billion, adjusted EBITDA reached $15.24 billion and free cash flow was $10.26 billion. AI semiconductor revenue rose 143% to $10.8 billion. Management guided the third quarter to approximately $29.4 billion of revenue and said AI semiconductor revenue should exceed $16 billion, up more than 200%.
TOPBeing 23% under the yearly high already gives AVGO a bit of valuation cushion. I care more about free cash flow holding up than whether one AI quarter looks peak-ish
260
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09-01 15:29
Why GameStop’s Higher Profit Does Not Resolve Its Shrinking-Retail Problem
$GameStop(GME)$’s preliminary second-quarter figures show why it is increasingly difficult to value the company as a conventional retailer. Operating income rose despite substantially lower sales, but investment gains and capital-structure decisions now influence earnings as much as game and collectible demand. GameStop announced on August 31 preliminary results for the 13 weeks ended August 1. Net sales are expected at $780–$800 million, down from $972.2 million a year earlier, reflecting store closures, the France divestiture and the prior-year Nintendo Switch 2 launch. Operating income is expected at $150–$170 million, versus $66.4 million, while net income is expected at $290–$310 million. GameStop’s SEC-filed release provides the preliminary r
TOPThat $5B cash pile matters more than the retail comp now. Optionality is buybacks, small acquisitions, or a real pivot, but until core cash flow stabilizes it still screens neutral to me
316
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09-01 14:58
options puppy 🧠 Beginner’s Guide to AI Hardware Stocks: How to Understand Marvell & Its Competitors TigerTrade
The recent Marvell Technology (MRVL) sell-off is actually a useful lesson for beginners: a company can report excellent growth and still see its stock fall. Marvell reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $2.739 billion, up 37% year over year, while data-center revenue grew 46%. It also raised its FY2027 revenue outlook to about $12 billion and FY2028 to about $18 billion. So, when investing in semiconductor and AI-hardware stocks, don’t simply ask “Are earnings good?” You also need to ask: What is the company selling, who are its customers, how fast is demand growing, what are margins doing, and how much growth is already priced into the stock? ⸻ 🔥 1. First: What Exactly Does Marvell Do? Think of Marvell as a company that provides the infrastructure behind AI data centers. It isn’t primarily sellin
TOPThe missing piece is storage and optics breadth. WDC fits the AI storage layer better than most people think, and INTC silicon photonics is at least worth watching.
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09-01 15:04
The above chart shows the weekly volatility ranges and simulated short put alternative strike prices for 17 key stocks, calculated based on various indicators — for simulation reference only 👆 📊 This table answers: Where the stock price is likely to be this week (the range). Whether the seller premium is expensive right now (IV percentile rank). How far out the strike price should be placed to stay safe (Column 8). The ranges calculated in this table are like "probability of rain," not a "guarantee of no rain." The usage is simple: place the sell put strike price further below the lower end of the range. The higher the percentile rank, the more favorable it is for sellers. 📊 Noteworthy Points AVGO has the highest implied weekly move (8.09%, IV 49%): an earnings stock this week, with the la
TOPSPY IV at 14.81% is the part that stands out most. When vol gets that compressed, the safer short put setup usually comes after IV re-expands above 20%
436
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09-01 14:09
Apple's Succession: The Ultimate Test of Greatness Is the Post-Founder Era
Recently, Apple completed yet another change at the helm, with its third-generation successor officially taking the reins of this trillion-dollar juggernaut. This moment made me reflect: a company that has endured for over fifty years, navigating multiple leadership transitions without losing its course or its innovative edge, does not rely on the irreplaceability of any single genius. Rather, it is sustained by a system of institutions and culture deeply embedded within the organization. From Jobs to Cook, and now to the new generation, each Apple transition has been as smooth as a finely tuned clock. Behind this lies the systematic transmission of values through Apple University, the process-driven operation of supply chains and product roadmaps, and the long-term planning of board gover
TOPApple already trades like the market gives some credit to that institutional durability. The real test is whether that premium still holds once succession stops feeling symbolic and starts showing up in execution.
6.87K
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09-01 11:58
POLL>>🪙 | 💰 10 US Stocks Hit New Highs: CRWD, MPC, VLO, PSX, KB,...
💬 Join the discussion: Vote in our poll below and share your take in the comments — every useful comment earns Tiger Coins! 🎁 Ten U.S. stocks with market caps above $10 billion are trading at fresh all-time highs as of September 1, 2026. The top 10 are dominated by energy — spanning independent refiners ( $Marathon Petroleum(MPC)$, $Valero(VLO)$, $Phillips 66(PSX)$, $HF Sinclair Corporation(DINO)$) and LNG export infrastructure ( $Cheniere Energy Partners LP(CQP)$) — alongside one cybersecurity leader (
TOPI choose B: Artificial intelligence-driven cybersecurity – CRWD. Oil refineries led the gains on the list, with the logic being that the Middle East conflict is pushing up oil prices, the cracking price spread is widening, and energy stocks are priced at a geopolitical premium. CrowdStrike is the only software stock whose verification of AI security requirements has just been completed in its financial report. CRWD is located differently from oil refineries; it is not driven by oil price impulses, but rather a continuous verification of AI security requirements. The recent rebound in software stocks has just confirmed the direction of AI commercialization, and CRWD is one of the stocks with the clearest logic. Refinery prices already reflect a considerable geopolitical premium, and if the conflict eases, pullback/retracement will soon... CrowdStrike's AI security needs are structural and do not depend on oil price trends. If I had to choose from these ten, CRWD's logic would be the most independent. Refinery profits are indeed highly elastic, but the pricing window for geopolitical premiums may be short, and CrowdStrike's direction is more certain, eliminating the need to guess what oil prices will do next.