BrianTycangco鄭彥渊
BrianTycangco鄭彥渊
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Pop Mart is popping

$POP MART(09992)$ $Pop Mart International Group Limited(PMRTY)$ One of the best performing stocks over the past year was a company right under my nose. My kids were going crazy about the toys and collectibles they make and sell (sometimes in vending machines).Pop Mart is popping. ImageChina's online retail sales grew 7.2% YoY to RMB 15.5 trillion in 2024. It accounted for 31.8% of total retail sales.In December alone, online retail sales grew 5.4% YoY to RMB 1.415 trillion. It accounted for 33% of total retail sales.With online retail sales now accounting for a third of total retail sales, the growth gap between the two is narrowing. Boosting consumption won't just depend on better policies for retail-f
Pop Mart is popping

$BABA is looking to break out

$Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ is looking to break out. Even $JD.com(JD)$ $JD-SW(09618)$ $NetEase(NTES)$ $NTES-S(09999)$ $Trip.com Group Limited(TCOM)$ and many more looking strong.This has little to do with Trump's TikTok turnaround and more to do with an improving economy.Real estate underpins consumption. And real estate has been recovering in most major cities, with green shoots appearing in lower-tier cities.China continues to maintain a very accommodative policy language. This is likely
$BABA is looking to break out

China's electricity consumption grew 6.8% in 2024

China's electricity consumption grew 6.8% in 2024.The secondary industry - manufacturing, mining, construction, and energy - grew 5.1%. It accounts for 2/3rds of China's electricity consumption.GDP and electricity consumption are positively correlated. This tells us that China's economy has been growing despite the challenges of a weak real estate market in 2024. This year is shaping up to be a better year. $iShares MSCI China ETF(MCHI)$ $KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$ $KraneShare
China's electricity consumption grew 6.8% in 2024

TikTok Ban Backfires: Users Flock to RedNote, What's Next for Reels and Shorts?

Looks like there's no stopping the tiktokban going into effect on Sunday, 1/19.Experts say this is "great news" for US competitor platforms owned by $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ like instagram and facebook. Right now, it's backfiring in the form of pissed-off American tiktok_us users piling into RedNote. I'd be surprised if this had any real staying power. More of a novelty right now.But I suspect that the next stage will be a backfiring against Instagram Reels and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ YouTube Shorts. In what form that backfiring will be, I'm not sure yet.
TikTok Ban Backfires: Users Flock to RedNote, What's Next for Reels and Shorts?

Chinese ADRs proving to be a bright spot in another disappointingly weak overall market

Second day in a row. Chinese ADRs proving to be a bright spot in another disappointingly weak overall market. PBoC’s Pan hints at shift to consumption-focused #stimulus. Weak loan growth despite strong M2 growth, plus softening prices may finally be getting the message across to these guys. Here we go! Chinese stocks love bouncing hard after scraping the bottom of the barrel. $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ $MEITUAN(MPNGF)$ $JD.com(JD)$ $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$
Chinese ADRs proving to be a bright spot in another disappointingly weak overall market

China's NEV market is still set to grow by an impressive 20% in 2025

China's NEV market is still set to grow by an impressive 20% in 2025, possibly achieving 60% to 65% penetration in the auto market.That growth will start to slow in 2026 as the industry matures. I expect the ratio of NEV-to-ICE to plateau at around 80/20 by 2028/29.But given the still relatively low car ownership rate in China, the overall market can still enjoy 4% to 5% annual growth for the next 10 years. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $XPENG-W(09868)$ $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ $Li Auto(LI)$
China's NEV market is still set to grow by an impressive 20% in 2025

China's Chip Maker Cambricon Outpaces Wall Street Favorites

This is a 1-year chart of $Cambricon Technologies Corporation Limited(688256)$ listed in Shanghai. A 6-bagger. It's one of China's leading chip manufacturers, often compared with $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ due to its focus on AI. It bested Nvidia's 173% return and even did better than market darling $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 's 355% gains. Just one of many examples of big stock market winners out of China that fall outside the usual scope of Wall Street analysts. It's the top holding of the $KraneShares SSE STAR Market 50 Index ETF(KSTR)$ that focuses on stocks listed in China's tech-focused STAR Board. It's also the 5th
China's Chip Maker Cambricon Outpaces Wall Street Favorites

Tesla Soars on China Sales, While Rivals Face Stock Risk Pricing

So $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ pops 8% after China deliveries hit 3rd highest monthly in December at 93,766 units. China now accounts for nearly 50% of Tesla’s 4Q global deliveries. When it comes to Tesla in China, where the company likely derives most of its EV profits, investors see no risk. But when it comes to $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $XPENG-W(09868)$ $ZEEKR(ZK)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ doing well in China, so much risk is
Tesla Soars on China Sales, While Rivals Face Stock Risk Pricing

AAPL China Sales Plunge 47% in November, Domestic Brands Grow 19.1%

Woah! $Apple(AAPL)$ saw a 47% plunge in mainland China sales in November. And it’s NOT due to a bad economy as headlines will suggest. China’s overall mobile phone market fell 5.1% to 29.6m units in November. That’s a decline of 1.59m units. But foreign branded phones fell 47% to 3.04m. They fell by 2.73m units!The domestic brands alone registered a 19.1% YoY growth to 26,56m units. ImageYou have no idea what you are talking about. 3 of top 5 are Chinese brands. And most likely most of the “Others” are also Chinese brands or made in China for foreign brands. $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ Image
AAPL China Sales Plunge 47% in November, Domestic Brands Grow 19.1%

Does HSTECH endure another selloff like we did last year?

In 2024, the $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ Index started the year on a very poor note. It fell 20% in January. But then it ended the year 49% up from its January lows. Total year gain of 19%.In 2025, it’s off to another weak start with a first-day loss of 2.6%. No telling if we will have to endure another selloff like we did last year.It will depend a lot on how fast China can turn promises & vows into action, how quickly the US dollar can start to give up its gains, and how less worse US-China relations can get in Trump’s first few weeks in office. $KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$
Does HSTECH endure another selloff like we did last year?

Daily Charts - The CSI 300 index moving up and out of that pennant formation

1.The CSI 300 index moving up and out of that pennant formation.$KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ $KraneShares SSE STAR Market 50 Index ETF(KSTR)$ $iShares MSCI China ETF(MCHI)$Image2.China is expected to sell more NEV cars in 2025 than the entire US auto industry. Let that sink in.$Boyd Gaming(BYD)$ $Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.(GELYF)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$
Daily Charts - The CSI 300 index moving up and out of that pennant formation

A bullish technical pattern

Cup and handle. A bullish technical pattern… unless it’s a Chinese stock, which then results in a broken handle the moment you try to trade it. 😂😂😂 Just kidding.Image $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ on track for a banner year with 25.8% and 29.8% gains so far. China isn’t doing terrible with CSI 300 and Hang Seng Tech Index gaining 17.6% and 22.2% respectively. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ Image
A bullish technical pattern

Daily Charts - Are Chinese stocks uninvestable?

1. $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $Xiaomi Corp.(XIACY)$ Who says Chinese stocks are uninvestable?Image2. $Starbucks(SBUX)$ Would you still be willing to pay 28X PE and value SBUX at $105B if it lost its 2nd largest market?Image3. $KINGSOFT CLOUD(03896)$ $Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Ltd(KC)$ Kingsoft Cloud is rippin’ on AI and cloudcomputing prospects.Image4. $.SPX(.SPX)$ If the mainstream media headlines reflected the reality that America’s biggest (and many smaller) companies stand to lose their biggest or second-biggest market because of Washington’s
Daily Charts - Are Chinese stocks uninvestable?

MSFT - Is a billion dollars a lot to invest?

Remember when $1 billion used to seem like a very big number? 30 years ago $Microsoft(MSFT)$ was a $23 Billion company. Today it’s worth $3.26 Trillion.$23,000,000,000became$3,260,000,000,000Its market cap grew 142 times while its net income grew just 77x and revenues grew 53x.Stock market values reflect a company’s growth and profitability but also inflation that erodes the buying power of every dollar you keep in your ridiculously low-yielding bank accounts.Invest. It’s the only way to (legally) get ahead.
MSFT - Is a billion dollars a lot to invest?

LCID & NIO - Contrasting Fortunes Despite Losses

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ is worth $10B and “killing it” after delivering just 2,781 units in 3Q24 and losing $1B.😂 $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ is worth $10B and “failing to deliver” after selling 61,855 units in 3Q24 and losing $1B.🙃One is losing $360K per unit and “killing it!”One is losing $16K per unit and has a “weak outlook.” $LEAPMOTOR(09863)$ is just an absolute standout right now in China’s very competitive EV market. Image
LCID & NIO - Contrasting Fortunes Despite Losses

Chips Investigation is going to hurt the US far more than it will China

This is going to hurt the US far more than it will China.The US has very little capacity to produce legacy chips at a realistic price. It is a mass-market product that is quickly being dominated by China, which supplies the global electronics industry. The US can't undo this without causing a great deal of harm to itself and its consumers.Nobody in their right mind will invest tens of billions in legacy chip manufacturing in new locations that don't have the same supply chain ecosystem that China offers - including an endless amount of downstream manufacturers. China accounts for 1/3rd of global electronics manufacturing, much of which ends up on store shelves at $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $Target(TGT)$
Chips Investigation is going to hurt the US far more than it will China

$MSTR joining the $QQQ is dumb

$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ joining the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is dumb.Where is the fiduciary responsibility by Invesco $Invesco(IVZ)$ to their clients (ETF holders)? It's not a "proxy" to BTC because it trades at an enormous premium to the only asset it holds.Even if MicroStrategy were to be considered a proxy for Bitcoin, it makes little sense to add highly volatile crypto as part of a broad index filled with companies that have an "E" to derive a PE ratio.It's a high-beta play on Bitcoin. Should that be really part of a company-based index?All it does is make sure that about 0.6% of QQQ's $207B AUM (or about $1.2B) flows into MSTR's stock upon inclusion. More Nasdaq 100 E
$MSTR joining the $QQQ is dumb

Tesla is worth more than SEVEN TIMES the entire China EV industry

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 's market cap is $1.37 trillion.Alone, it's worth more than SEVEN TIMES the entire China EV industry. $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$ $106.83b $GEELY AUTO(00175)$ $Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.(GELYF)$ $19.86b $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ $9.40b $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ $23.46b $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$
Tesla is worth more than SEVEN TIMES the entire China EV industry

Daily Charts - A bad start to a critical month for $NIO

1.A bad start to a critical month for $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ . But to be fair, most major brands except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ have seen declines during this period. The bar is just set a little higher for Nio and its subbrand ONVO.Image2.Like $Luckin Coffee Inc.(LKNCY)$ , investors left $DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$ for dead after scrutiny of the company after its US IPO. This was close to the height of China tech interest in the US markets and a few
Daily Charts - A bad start to a critical month for $NIO

Gold and silver are rallying once again

Gold and silver are rallying once again. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $Silver - main 2503(SImain)$ $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ This is happening at a time when rates are still restrictive, the US dollar is relatively strong, and a broader war in the Middle East is less likely. What’s driving people to the safety of precious metals?A WORSENING LACK OF FAITH IN FIAT MONEY appearing in the form of INFLATED ASSET PRICES.It’s happening in more places than you think.
Gold and silver are rallying once again

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