I'm 30% invested in $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$. It might look like an oversized position, but I think the risk is worth taking: • At $70, the stock was absurdly cheap, and the market overpunished it for its investment-heavy focus • Even after the recent rebound, the company still trades cheap relative to sector averages given its 20%+ growth rate • Q3 numbers are very likely to impress, with a strong acceleration in growth. Since the market isn't efficient and tends to focus on the short term, I expect the stock to keep climbing over the coming months • The medtech sector has suffered a lot lately, without much real justification. A lot of funds rotated into biotech, which now trades at clearly richer valuations. I expect capi
5 Things You Don't Know About Moderna's Cancer "Vaccine"
Congrats to $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ for delivering P3 results for the cancer vaccine 🧬 Even though I'm no longer a shareholder, I'm genuinely happy to see the trial succeed. That said, the price reaction makes no sense to me. A Phase 3 win was fairly likely given the clear efficacy shown in Phase 2. Now the real challenge is scaling this personalized therapy into a $10B+ franchise to justify a $40B valuation (50/50 split with Merck). At the end of the day, between $25 and $100 basically nothing has changed. If anything, CMV failed and Norovirus is at risk. We'll see how it plays out, but looking back, I'd make the same call to sell and redeploy into better opportunities. Then again, watching how the market's been behaving lately, som
CALL ME CRAZY BUT IN MY VIEW $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ FAIR VALUE IS 2X THE CURRENT PRICE 😅 PRICE TARGET: $1230 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +122% ✅ ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $228.247B 5Y Revenue CAGR: 15% 2031 Profit Margin: 37% 2031 PE Ratio: 26 Shares outstanding: 2.566B Shares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION: Q2 2031 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Share Price =228.247 * (1.15)^5 * 0.37 * 26 /[2.566 * (0.99)^5] = 1810$ You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Meta I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $555 FAIR VALUE: $1124 1Y PRICE TARGET: $1230 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +122% EXPECTED RETURNS: 26.7%/year DIVIDEND YIELD: 0.4% Do you own