To The Moon

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is showing the cleaner bearish Elliott Wave count, with its Wave 4/Wave 5 structure still intact. As long as price remains below today's high, I'm leaning toward one more move lower to complete Wave 5. Here's the scenario I'm watching: $NDX makes a lower low to finish its fifth wave, while $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holds a higher low. That would create a bullish SMT divergence between the two indices and could provide the catalyst for $SPX to rally toward the 7,725 trendline. The ABC Model also nailed all three major $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ moves over the past two days. Look at the reactions around the 90%–100% Fibonacci extensions.

This type of wave counting is INSANE to me. Traders keep overcomplicating Elliott Wave. The $BTC chart shows a straightforward 5-3-5 ABC correction. My count focuses on three common Elliott Wave tendencies: Both 4th waves are smaller than their respective 2nd waves. Wave (B) is the dominant correction within the pattern. Wave (C) ends near a common Fibonacci target, roughly equal in length to wave (A). That’s what I look for: the count that follows the most common tendencies, without forcing unnecessary complexity. The alternative labeling below is exactly the problem. When a count becomes too subjective to explain or repeat, it loses practical value. EW 2.0 is designed to make the process mechanical: Identify the 4th waves. Compare each one with its corresponding 2nd wave. Confirm that bo

After the overnight volatility, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has shifted into a corrective rally. I’m expecting a pullback tomorrow that retraces roughly half of the rally, with the 0–B trendline near 7,725 as the next key target. That remains the main upside draw before another move lower. I expect buyers to step in during the dip as price works toward that trendline. Overnight futures volatility has been significant: $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ dropped 143 points before reversing sharply and rallying 200 points. This is increasingly an overnight trading market. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate ex

The bulls briefly pushed the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ back above a key momentum level today, but the move quickly failed. The index was slammed back below it, reinforcing the bearish setup. The current Elliott Wave count points to Wave 5 lower, with the September lows as the next downside target. I’m watching for a potential bounce only after those lows are tested and broken—not before. The broader structure is also worth noting. From the 2022 low, the $SPX has traced a clear five-wave advance: Wave 2: The deepest correction. Wave 4: A shallower pullback. The traditional Elliott Wave Principle allows counts structured this way. Elliott Wave 2.0 aims to make the process simpler and more systematic. I’ve even coded the approach. This isn’t about dismissi

The short-term pullback I called for is now playing out. I'm leaning toward more downside before the market finds support. 📉 Two key scenarios to watch for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Path 1: Weekly support at 7,350–7,275. Path 2: If that support zone breaks, a deeper correction toward 7,000 comes into play. The bigger picture remains unchanged: my long-term target is still 10,000. ⚠️ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ JUST DROPPED 200 POINTS — RIGHT INTO THE TARGET The sell signal was sent. The setup: • Bearish SMT divergence with $YM at the prior week's high. • iFVG trigger confirmed the short setup. • A sharp Wave 3 decline followed, matching the projected path. This setup combines the SMT Model wi

The bearish setup is now active. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ has triggered a sell signal after several technical factors aligned: bearish SMT divergence against $YM at the prior week's high, followed by an inverse Fair Value Gap (iFVG) entry trigger. The weekly chart is adding another warning. 📉 $ES: The Bearish Case Three signals are lining up: 1️⃣ Bearish SMT: $ES and $YM showed relative weakness at the previous week's high, signaling a potential loss of upside momentum. 2️⃣ iFVG Trigger: Price subsequently confirmed the bearish setup through an inverse Fair Value Gap, providing the entry signal. 3️⃣ Weekly Candle Sweep: The weekly chart also printed a bearish sweep, adding higher-timeframe confirmation to the setup. 🎯 Downside

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ tagged fair value gap (FVG) resistance and broke above the trendline drawn from recent highs, only to sell off sharply after hours. The current bias favors another move lower, with a daily close below 7,702 serving as the key trigger. Meanwhile, the $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ short setup shared on October 16 has delivered a +11.64% gain, with targets reached after earnings. 👇 🔻 $SPX — Key Levels to Watch 📍 Resistance: The daily FVG is expected to cap the next bounce. 📉 Bearish lean: A potential next wave down. 🎯 Trigger: Daily close below 7,702. ⚠️ Context: ES has already swept last week’s high, so SPX may not need to revisit that level. 💰 $GOOGL — Short Trade Update: +11.64% The October 1

The rally may have more room to run, but don't mistake a bounce for a confirmed uptrend. 👀 📉 What I'm Watching Early weakness tomorrow could bring a dip before the FOMC decision. The downtrend line drawn from the recent highs remains intact and has not yet been broken. After a potential pullback, the FOMC could trigger another push higher toward last week's high and daily fair value gap (FVG) resistance at 7,754. ⚠️ The Bigger Picture I'm still leaning toward another move higher in the short term, but this remains a corrective rally—not a confirmed trend reversal. The key is how price reacts around resistance. A rally into 7,754 doesn't automatically mean the market has turned bullish. 🎯 My Plan: Watch for early weakness first, then see whether the FOMC provides the catalyst for another le

🔻 SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK: BEARISH The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected daily resistance, just as expected. The October low target has been hit. ✅ Now watch for one quick bounce into the 7,660–7,690 daily gap. That zone should attract sellers again. 🎯 Next downside target: 7,558 — the equality target. ⚠️ If SPX breaks above 7,690, expect a larger bounce before another leg lower toward the September low. 📅 FOMC Wednesday. Stay alert. 🚀 THE ROAD TO 10,000 Short term: Pullback. Big picture: Still targeting 10,000. Two possible paths from here: 🟢 Path 1: Shallow Dip SPX pulls back to 7,400–7,300, finds support, then makes one final push higher. 🔴 Path 2: Deeper Correction The rally from 2022 is complete, and SPX drops toward 7,000 before the next major move. 🎯

📊 Smart Money Zones have delivered mixed results this month. Some setups failed despite strong historical track records, while others are already paying off. 🟣 $Hut 8 Mining Corp(HUT)$ — Watching for a Bounce $HUT is sitting at the top of its weekly Smart Money Zone. Historically, this area has acted as a long-term buying signal about 70% of the time, often preceding a rebound. The stock has historically returned to its $140 swing high within 8–12 months. 🎯 Optimal buy zone: ~$59 🛑 Stop loss: Below $42 🔻 $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ — The Setup Failed Last month, I was extremely bullish on $CIFR as it pulled back into the weekly Smart Money Zone. Historically, price often bounces from this level and returns