To The Moon

If you have been following U.S. President Trump policies and executive orders that he has signed since the new administration onboard, we will notice that President Trump is pro-fossil fuels, so deregulation, support for oil, gas, and coal.

A new Trump administration’s focus on deregulation, fossil fuel expansion, and energy infrastructure could disproportionately benefit certain segments of the energy sector.

In this article, I would like to share a breakdown of the stocks and sectors that is likely to gain from these policies, along with key risks to consider:

Oil & Gas Producers

Companies involved in shale drilling, offshore exploration, and federal land leasing could thrive under relaxed regulations and pro-production policies.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Leverages scale in shale (Permian Basin) and offshore projects.

$Chevron(CVX)$ : Strong in Permian Basin and LNG exports. CVX have also been showing some strength on the weekly period, and we are seeing RSI rising and a potential crossover for RSI above RSI MA is coming. This has also show in the price trending above the 50-day and 200-day period.

This could mean we could see a significant upside move from CVX for the long term.

ConocoPhillips (COP): Major shale player with low breakeven costs.

EOG Resources (EOG): Focused on U.S. shale efficiency.

Devon Energy (DVN): Permian and Eagle Ford exposure.

The reason why these companies could thrive is because of the streamlined permitting and federal land access would lower costs and boost output.

LNG Exporters

Trump’s push for energy dominance and global LNG exports could favor firms with liquefaction infrastructure.

Cheniere Energy (LNG): Largest U.S. LNG exporter.

Tellurian (TELL): Developing Driftwood LNG project (needs permits).

Sempra Energy (SRE): Owner of Cameron LNG and Port Arthur LNG projects.

There have been significant LNG demand (especially in Europe/Asia) and federal support for export terminals.

Pipeline & Infrastructure Companies

Revival of stalled projects (e.g., Keystone XL) and faster permitting could boost midstream firms.

Enterprise Products Partners (EPD): Critical Permian Basin pipelines.

Energy Transfer (ET): Operates Dakota Access Pipeline; potential Keystone XL revival.

Kinder Morgan (KMI): Natural gas pipeline network.

Reduced regulatory delays and increased fossil fuel transport demand would favour these midstream firms.

Oilfield Services

Increased drilling activity would drive demand for equipment, fracking, and well services.

$Schlumberger(SLB)$ : Global leader in oilfield tech (U.S. shale focus).

Halliburton (HAL): Major fracking and pressure-pumping services.

Baker Hughes (BKR): Equipment and drilling solutions.

Higher U.S. production volumes would also create equally more contracts for services.

Coal Producers (Limited Upside)

Trump’s symbolic support for coal could lift sentiment, but structural decline remains a risk.

Peabody Energy (BTU): Largest U.S. coal producer.

Arch Resources (ARCH): Metallurgical coal (used in steelmaking).

Potential rollbacks of EPA rules, but long-term viability depends on global steel demand, not U.S. power plants (where coal is dying).

Refiners & Petrochemicals

Higher domestic oil production could lower feedstock costs for refiners.

Valero Energy (VLO): Largest U.S. independent refiner.

$Phillips 66(PSX)$ : Refining and petrochemicals. The performance of PSX on daily (short-term) have been seeing momentum, RSI is increasing with buying sentiment, and the price is also trending above the 50-day MA on the daily chart, we could be seeing the bulls still trying to attempt an uptrend expansion above the 200-day MA.

So I would consider placing PSX for a short term play.

Marathon Petroleum (MPC): Refiner with Gulf Coast focus.

Cheap U.S. crude inputs and potential export-friendly policies would be a win for these refiners.

Uranium/Nuclear Energy

If Trump revives nuclear energy (e.g., subsidies, domestic uranium mining), watch:

Cameco (CCJ): Major uranium producer.

Uranium Energy Corp (UEC): U.S.-focused mining.

NuScale Power (SMR): Small modular reactor developer.

Nuclear could gain as a "clean" alternative to renewables under GOP policies.

Key Risks to Consider

While we might see potentials in these stocks and sectors we also need to understand the key risks that could derail out investment.

Policy Execution

During the policy execution, there will be regulatory rollbacks, these may face legal challenges (e.g., courts blocking drilling permits).

Commodity Prices

The next one is the oil/gas prices, we need to understand that these are driven by OPEC+, global demand. And this has shown us how this price drive matter more than policy for many stocks.

ESG Pressures

Institutional investors may continue divesting from fossil fuels.

State-Level Pushback

Blue states (CA, NY) could counter federal policies with clean energy mandates.

Consider ETF Alternatives for Broad Exposure

Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE): Top-heavy ETF (XOM, CVX, SLB).

If we looked at how $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ have performed over the past one month, it has lost around 1.26%, but look at the performance of Top-heavy, this ETF might be powered by names like Phillips 66 (PSX).

But it is still a good ETF to get into for broad exposure.

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP): Pure-play drillers.

Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP): Midstream/pipeline focus.

Summary

From what I have read and gathered, I would think a Trump energy push would most directly benefit oil/gas producers, LNG exporters, and midstream infrastructure firms. Coal and refiners may see shorter-term rallies but face structural headwinds.

As investors we should focus on companies with low debt, exposure to Permian Basin or Gulf Coast exports and the flexibility to adapt to both policy shifts and energy transitions.

We also need to have some form of diversification across energy subsectors and hedging with renewables (e.g., NextEra Energy) could mitigate risks from political volatility.

Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think opportunities in energy sector would be catalysed by Trump energy push.

@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @TigerWire appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.

Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.