[Events] What’s the hardest thing to predict in the stock market? Policy, sentiment, or technicals?

We all know trading isn’t easy. But what’s the hardest part? Sometimes it’s a surprise policy move that sends everything spinning. Other times, it’s investor sentiment shifting on a dime.

Today is Friday, we would like to invite you to join the discussion👉“ What do YOU think is the hardest thing to predict in the market — policy, sentiment, or technicals?” And more importantly, why?

💬 How to Join:

  • Repost this thread and tag at least one friend to join the conversation.

  • Comment below with your take — what's the most unpredictable part of the market, and why?

🗓️ Event Duration:

  • April 11 – April 17, 2025

🎁 Prizes:

  • Participation: Everyone who comments gets 5 Tiger Coins. Repost and tag a friend to earn 5 more.

  • Most Liked Comment: Wins a $5 stock voucher.

  • Lucky Draw: One random participant will win $5 stock voucher. $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$

# Are You Feeling Fear or Greed Right Now?

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  • Spiders
    ·2025-04-13
    TOP
    One of the hardest things about the stock market is predicting how investors will react. It’s not always logical — sometimes a stock beats earnings and stock price drops, other times it misses and rallies. Markets don’t just move on data; they move on expectations, sentiment etc. That unpredictability is exactly why I stay cautious — even good news don’t always mean stocks will rally.
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  • Rainy777
    ·2025-04-13
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    Sentiment. Companies like Tesla have huge valuations on the hope of robots years in the future. Its a massive bubble but all owners of Tesla are convinced it's going to be huge.
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  • John_Chew
    ·2025-04-13
    TOP
    In my opinion, it's the votality of the market that makes stock become valuable or overpriced at certain timing.

    As the wise man says - Be greedy when others are in fear, be afraid when others are greedy... [Cool]

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  • shirleylll204
    ·2025-04-12
    TOP
    definitely policy, especially from someone unpredictable and dont give a hoot about the impacts to people.
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  • MHh
    ·2025-04-12
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    最难预测的是政策。情绪通常跟随政策、通胀和收益报告。交易者使用技术面是因为有某种形式的可预测性。政策是意想不到的,不可预测的。我们只知道它什么时候宣布,如芯片法案,关税,其他国家的报复,新的贸易协定是我们无法控制的。
    @Fenger1188 @SPOT_ON @rL @Kaixiang @Success88 @DiAngel @Wayneqq @HelenJanet @Universe宇宙 @KYHBKO 如何加入
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  • j islandfund
    ·2025-04-12
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    others traders reactions. seemingly good opportunity are trashed in a chase for short term wins.
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    • koolgal
      Well said😍😍😍
      2025-04-14
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  • 爱喝水的小猫猫
    ·2025-04-12
    TOP
    The hardest thing to predict in the stock market is definitely has to be policy!! Earlier on the China market were beaten down by China govt policy and most say try to avoid China… ! What now? A single person’s policy in tariff (and his mood) sends the market into wild swing! Can even move it to a bear market! Omg who would have thought of this???
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  • 7asht7
    ·2025-04-12
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    Sentiments, politics then technicals in this order. the 1st is intangible, the second is intentional while only technicals are factual.
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  • ECLC
    ·2025-04-12
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    This April showed that the hardest thing to predict is policy -> "tariffied" stock price swings within hours.
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  • princejumong
    ·2025-04-12
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    hardest thing to predict is the market reaction to a certain news, quarterly result. one day result beat expectation but shares is down, another day beat expectation price goes up.

    Trump Tarrif outcome after pause is also another thing hard to predict.

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  • Azmm
    ·2025-04-11
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    The hardest to predict is what big economies, companies and institutions do to affect the market! Something we do feel that there are some form of manipulation taking place.
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  • mintmochi
    ·2025-04-11
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    The hardest thing to predict is Donald Trump’s next move. He is the definition of real life entropy and the market reacts to each of his action.
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  • Bonta
    ·2025-04-11
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    Greed and fear. Stocks that are bleeding money, just cos someone sell a story, it rallies. Stocks that makes money, cos of fear mongering drops in values. We do not know the agenda of those who push the buying or selling, but somebody is profiting from it. Similar to crypto, people are sold on a story that’s based on greed. Suddenly, there’s value in nothingness. Greed and fear over rides logic, fundamentals or any technicals.
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  • mster
    ·2025-04-11
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    The hardest to predict is when one person makes the call to play the market. One will never know (beside the inner circle of course) where the market can be heading. When the market becomes just a switch, the person can so easily switch it on or of. How to predict that. This should be illegal and prosecuted Don’t you think so @ZEROHERO
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  • Alubin
    ·2025-04-11
    TOP
    Hardest would be policy, as you never know or can never really confirm those in power and what they will do. just see the recent flip flop and drastic policy changes by the US


    @koolgal @Fenger1188
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  • ICEsh00ter
    ·2025-04-11
    TOP
    Donald Trump's roti prata policy
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  • Shyon
    ·2025-04-11
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    对我来说,股市就像和一个非常不可预测的人约会——充满了混合的信号,突然的情绪波动,就在你认为你已经想通了的时候,一切都变了。政策就像过度保护的父母闯入——一条关税推文,全球市场就冻结了。市场情绪?更像是一个古怪的前任:今天很甜蜜,第二天就没了。还有技术分析?这就像从模糊的社交媒体帖子的字里行间解读——你认为它意味着什么……直到它没有。

    我得说情绪是最难预测的。当情绪发生变化时,基本面和图表就没有机会了。一个戏剧性的标题和整个市场恐慌——午餐前抛售。尽管价格已经下跌10%,但分析师仍在绘制支撑线。这是混乱&试图在其中保持逻辑是一场严肃的心理游戏。

    我目前的心态是:不要预测——跟随。不要追——做好准备。不要惊慌——保持自律。情绪控制是这个市场上真正的优势。
    @TigerEvents @Tiger_comments

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    • koolgal
      感谢分享您的见解🥰🥰🥰
      2025-04-12
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    • BarcodeReplying toShyon
      为➖️Shyon干杯[Heart][Strong][ShakeHands]🌳🍀🍀🍀
      2025-04-12
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    • icycrystalReplying toShyon
      [赞][ShakeHands]
      2025-04-12
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  • icycrystal
    ·2025-04-11
    TOP
    @Shyon @Aqa @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @koolgal @LMSunshine @GoodLife99 @rL @HelenJanet @Universe宇宙

    both, policy and investors' sentiment... market always goes up and down, always swings left and right...

    what’s the hardest part? Sometimes it’s a surprise policy move that sends everything spinning. Other times, it’s investor sentiment shifting on a dime.

    What do YOU think is the hardest thing to predict in the market — policy, sentiment, or technicals?” And more importantly, why?

    comments gets 5 Tiger Coins. Repost and tag a friend to earn 5 more.

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  • nomadic_m
    ·2025-04-11
    TOP
    Severe weather events and natural disasters are the most unpredictable variables in the stock market. Despite advancements in forecasting technology, their impact is often sudden and unexpected, disrupting supply chains, affecting commodity prices, and influencing investor sentiment. To navigate these risks, traders must stay informed about global weather patterns and natural disaster risks, and be prepared to adapt their strategies quickly in response to changing market conditions.

    @icycrystal

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    • koolgalReplying tonomadic_m
      You too. 🥰🥰🥰
      2025-04-12
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    • nomadic_mReplying tokoolgal
      have lovely weekend 🍁🍂
      2025-04-12
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    • koolgal
      Thanks for sharing your insights 🥰🥰🥰
      2025-04-12
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  • Aqa
    ·2025-04-11
    TOP
    投资股市需要密切关注所有政府政策、市场情绪和技术分析。我们的股票投资要想赚钱,就需要学习正确的股票投资知识,树立良好的心态。有一个激进的政策制定者在身边,政策是很难预测的。市场情绪和技术面的加入使股市预测变得复杂。在目前的市场上,我们不应该让恐惧和贪婪控制我们。勤奋投资,在每笔交易前做好所有尽职调查。祝我所有的虎友好运。谢谢 @TigerEvents @icycrystal
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