To The Moon

$United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)$ 🚨📦📉 Parcel Panic or Profit Pivot? UPS Breaks Up with Amazon and Slashes 20,000 Jobs 📉📦🚨

United Parcel Service ($UPS) just dropped a logistics bombshell, severing ties with Amazon and slicing 20,000 jobs, over 4% of its workforce, in a sharp pivot toward profitability over volume. The move, which includes 73 facility closures, is aimed at generating $3.5B in savings by 2025, with CFO Brian Dykes claiming it will “expand our U.S. Domestic operating margin.”

But Wall Street didn’t flinch. UPS surged +4.3% to $101.30 pre-market after delivering an earnings beat, Q1 adjusted EPS landed at $1.49 (vs $1.38 est), despite revenue dipping 0.7% YoY to $21.5B.

Still, clouds are forming. UPS refused to update its full-year forecast, citing “macroeconomic uncertainty,” a nod to Trump-era tariff risks that could hammer cross-border shipping margins. Expect more colour in their 8.30am ET earnings call.

Meanwhile, union fury is brewing. Teamsters chief Sean O’Brien warned UPS to cut “corporate, not union jobs,” promising “a hell of a fight” if workers take the hit. Amazon, for its part, says the split was UPS’s call.

📊 Key Levels to Watch:

   •   Current Price: $101.30

   •   Support: $97.20

   •   Resistance: $104.80

   •   52-week high: $197.80

   •   52-week low: $87.77

   •   Average Volume: 3.35M

   •   Turnover Ratio: 0.64

🧠 Capital Flow & Trend:

Recent volume spike signals heavy institutional rotation. Options flow has shifted bullish post-earnings with notable open interest on the $105 and $110 calls expiring in May.

🧮 Analyst Ratings (TradingView, Yahoo):

🟢 13 Buy

🟡 15 Hold

🔴 1 Sell

Mean Target Price: $121.00

Implied Upside: +19.5% from current price

📦 Top 3 Competitors by Volume:

1. FedEx Corp ($FDX)

🟢 15 Buy, 🟡 12 Hold, 🔴 0 Sell

2. Deutsche Post DHL ($DPSGY)

🟢 9 Buy, 🟡 10 Hold, 🔴 1 Sell

3. Amazon Logistics (Private, proxy via $AMZN)

🟢 34 Buy, 🟡 10 Hold, 🔴 1 Sell

📚 Fun Fact:

UPS was founded in 1907 with just $100 borrowed by its teenage founder, James Casey. Over a century later, it’s rewriting its business model again to survive the age of AI, automation, and aggressive competition.

Hey Tiger Traders, is this a bullish turnaround story in disguise or the start of a structural downshift in the logistics sector?

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