On oil, I don’t see stability yet. As long as the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained, supply risk creates a strong floor. The $84–$100 range looks temporary, and if tensions persist after the 5-day window, I expect a quick push back toward $105–$110.
Overall, I’m staying defensive. This feels like a shift from liquidity-driven rallies to macro-driven volatility. I’m treating rallies as short-term trades, not trends, and keeping cash ready for clearer opportunities.
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