From my perspective, the $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ –Anthropic deal is less a “circular trade” and more about locking in demand. It may resemble the OpenAI– $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ dynamic, but the key is whether AWS revenue accelerates. If that $100B commitment materializes, it becomes a real backlog, not a bubble.

I’m more bullish on the Anthropic + Bedrock layer than pure compute. Compute is capital-heavy, but enterprise lock-in is the real moat. As companies embed Claude via Amazon Web Services, switching costs rise — similar to $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ’s model.

On $300, a re-rating like $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is possible but needs clearer monetization. If AWS growth re-accelerates, sentiment can shift. For now, Nvidia still holds the strongest pricing power. I also think the next key catalyst will be whether AI revenue starts contributing meaningfully to AWS margin expansion.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @Tiger_SG

# Amazon Q1: AWS 4Y Growth High, But Capex Concerns Loom?

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  • Adz5150
    ·05-01
    TOP
    The partnership is clearly bullish for demand visibility, but I still think the market will keep asking whether those commitments translate into durable margin and cash flow, not just bigger spend.
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    • Adz5150Replying toShyon
      Just a ticking time bomb sometimes my friend haha
      05-02
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    • Shyon
      Fully agree with you
      05-01
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  • Adz5150
    ·05-01
    TOP
    Makes sense to me. The moat is probably less about raw compute and more about who captures the customer relationship, workflow, and switching costs.
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    • Adz5150
      Thanks for the interaction mate 🫡
      05-02
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    • Shyon
      Nice comment
      05-01
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  • icycrystal
    ·04-24
    TOP
    thanks for sharing
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    • Shyon
      Thanks for support
      05-01
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