To The Moon

Overthinking can be detrimental to your trading strategy, often leading to hesitation, second-guessing, and missed opportunities. When traders obsess over every fluctuation in the market or analyze every piece of information, they can lose sight of their original plan and become paralyzed by analysis. This mental clutter distracts them from executing trades based on their tested strategies.The key to overcoming this impediment is to establish consistency through a backtested edge. This means developing a trading strategy that has been rigorously tested against historical data to prove its effectiveness. By focusing on the core principles of your strategy and trusting in the data that supports it, you can reduce the noise and maintain confidence in your approach.Ultimately, consistency is v

1. $Mission Produce, Inc.(AVO)$ AVO - Mission Produce - smalecap company performance since short breakout: -13.27%.2. $Toyota(TM)$ TM - Toyota Motor Corporation ADR - megacap company performance since long breakout: 6.13%.3. $Hillman Solutions Corp.(HLMN)$ HLMN - Hillman Solutions Corp - midcap company performance since short breakout: -15.81%.4. $Sirius XM(SIRI)$ SIRI - Sirius XM Holding - midcap company performance since short breakout: -14.55%.5. $The Pennant Group, Inc.(PNTG)$ PNTG - Pennant Group - smalecap company performance since short breakout: -12.34%.

This week, Sam Altman gave away the economics of the AI world. And they may not be all that attractive.The fact that OpenAI is losing money isn’t surprising. WHY OpenAI is losing money on a $200/month subscription is what’s new to Silicon Valley.AI Scaling 1.0 - Pre-TrainingTo explain how the economics of AI have been upended in the last few months, we need to go through some history.Most of the scaling that took place through the end of 2023 was related to pre-training.Simply, developers were able to use more data and more compute to make AI models smarter. This is often called the foundation model and it’s the core of the models we see today.This type of scaling is also why you heard talk about a model costing $1 billion and $100 billion models being just a few years away.But the idea of

1.Public company survival ratesThey say about 50% of businesses go bust within their first 5-years, so it seems public companies do a little better than that (which they probably should!)Image2.If you're an index investor you should know about this chart -- the portfolio you have now looks very different to a few years agoHeavy into techVery Light on defensivesDefinitely an important chart, see more $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image3.Seasonality doesn't always work, but it sure did provide a useful guide for the VIX through 2024This is from our "honorable mentions" cha

The network effect is one of the most resilient barriers to entry and one of the hardest competitive advantages to create.Here’s a list of companies benefitting from network effects, sorted by their type of network.Whats your favourite type of network?Payment system $Visa(V)$ $MasterCard(MA)$ $American Express(AXP)$ $PayPal(PYPL)$ $Block(SQ)$ Financial market $Nasdaq(NDAQ)$ $Intercontinental Exchange(ICE)$ E-commerce / Marketplace $Amazon.com(AMZN)$

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Information asymmetry—where one party in a transaction possesses more or better information than the other—has long been a critical factor in stock trading. In the financial markets, this asymmetry can exist between institutional and retail investors, corporate insiders and the public, or even between regions with different disclosure norms. But how much does it matter in today’s markets, where technological advancements and regulatory measures aim to level the playing field? Let’s explore the impact of information asymmetry and its implications for stock trading. 1. The Role of Information in Stock Trading At its core, stock trading is a game of information. Traders and investors aim to interpret and act on data to predict f

Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA and a visionary in the tech industry, recently cast doubt on the near-term practicality of quantum computing. In a frank assessment, Huang stated that quantum computing is still 5 to 6 orders of magnitude away from being truly useful, emphasizing a 15-to-20-year horizon for meaningful applications. While his comments are grounded in reality, they stand in stark contrast to the current exuberance surrounding quantum stocks, many of which have surged dramatically in recent months. This raises an important question for traders and investors: Is it time to short quantum computing stocks after Huang’s discouraging remarks? The Quantum Reality Check Jensen Huang’s perspective is a sobering reminder that, while quantum computing holds immense promise, the path to comme

$Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ 🛫✈️🛬In an intricate dance with market forces, Delta Air Lines (DAL) presents a unique case for those versed in the art of options trading, particularly through the strategic implementation of straddles. Delta, as an entity, navigates through a complex matrix of operational metrics, market sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators, which in turn, sculpt its stock price volatility. The airline has demonstrated resilience post-pandemic, with a focus on premium travel experiences and an expansion of its SkyMiles program, which has significantly bolstered its revenue streams. However, the stock's journey is not without its turbulence, influenced by factors like fluctuating fuel costs, regulatory changes, and competitive landscape sh

Singapore’s banking giants—DBS, OCBC, and UOB—have had a phenomenal 2024, with all three achieving all-time highs and pulling back slightly after impressive rallies. DBS leads the pack with a staggering 52% gain, while OCBC and UOB have also delivered robust performances, contributing to over 30% gains across the sector. The question on every investor's mind is: can these banks maintain their momentum and continue to outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? What Drove the Record-Breaking Performance in 2024? Rising Net Interest Margins (NIM): The tightening monetary policies from the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Monetary Authority of Singapore earlier in the year boosted interest margins for the banks, significantly increasing profitability. As global inflation stabilized, these banks capitaliz