$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Bounce Weakens Ahead of CPIAs anticipated yesterday, the $5,880 zone was key to determining the bounce's strength. Today's high of $5,872 fell short of that level. The indecisive candle opens up any scenario ahead of the CPI report.Today's high coincided with the 10DMA, a line to conquer tomorrow to consider a bounce (The oscillator suggests the bounce thesis is still live). On the other hand a loss of the 100DMA would trigger lower lows.What will be breached first? 10DMA or 100DMA?$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ImageJPM's analysis indicates the potential reactions of the
1.Defensives Deep DiscountDefensives are unloved, underowned, and undervalued -- as they usually are in the later stages of a raging bull market... $.SPX(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Gold Returns in Perspective2024 was the 9th highest annual return for Gold in US$ since 1971Interesting thing aside from how high some of the historical returns were is how you tend to see clustering... $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Image3.Are you a victim or victor of the Cycle?I would say around the turn of the year we were sitting right in Euphoria, but things have clearly shifted lately.Question probably is though have we moved forward into anxiety and denial?
What's the highest quality company with a network effect?
What's the highest quality company with a network effect?Here's the list:- Revenue growth higher than FCF growth, suggesting that FCF margin has shrunk.- FCF/share growth not linear over recent years. Of course we expected that with their high CAPEX investments in recent years.- Low return on capital. Only 10% currently. ROC has been quite volatile.- Share count has increased by 5% over the last 5 years due to a 21% SBC/OFC ratio.Hope that helps. Not saying it's not a quality company, just reporting the ratios as I see and calculate them.I put through my list of network companies through my quality filter. $MasterCard(MA)$ rose to the top. $Adobe(ADBE)$$Autodesk(ADSK)
$.SPX(.SPX)$ TOP CONFIRMED!With the break of the [W2]/[W4] trendline, SPX has officially topped at the 6099.97 peak, marking the completion of a massive 15-year wave cycle from the 2009 low (!!).The unraveling begins now. Over the next 1-3 years, a 40-60% decline from the peak is anticipated, with every rally met with relentless selling until we reach 3400-2700.This is no ordinary correction—prepare for chaos. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$E-mini Nasdaq
The Road Ahead for Tesla Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) continues to dominate headlines, with Morgan Stanley analysts reaffirming it as their "top pick" and raising its price target by 7.5% to $430. The optimism stems from Tesla's autonomous vehicle (AV) technology and its Embodied Artificial Intelligence (EAI) advancements, which are seen as transformative for the automotive industry. Morgan Stanley's bullish case sets a potential price target of $800, a significant 100% upside from last week's close. However, Tesla has its challenges: market volatility, competition from legacy automakers, and macroeconomic headwinds. Tesla's Momentum: Key Points to Consider Autonomous Vehicle Technology Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) software rollout continues
$NVDA 20250117 127.0 PUT$ Another try of selling a 3 day CSPut near the money to acquire the underlying. Last week's CSPut strike was set at 136, while the share price closes a little lower than 136, there were no assignments. With the share price a tad now, thus adjusting the strike accordingly a tad lower. Let's see if the market gonna continue to sell off off or has it level off. $NVDA 20250117 127.0 PUT$
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Morgan Stanley's new Tesla report title blinded my dog's eyes: "Revisiting our Tesla Robotaxi and Mobility Model: Target to $430, Bull Case $800"What's the main driver for Tesla's stock price increase? It's physical AI!However, for such an important driving force, the article didn't provide specific quantitative data - those who know, know.The article ends with three price targets: base case $430, bull case $800, and bear case $200.After reading, I'm at a loss for words - can only say it's invincible, though I won't specify in what way.Also, institutions' sell call 405 from yesterday got squeezed. Well, let's wait for earnings. $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ &
On Mon, 13 Jan 2025, US stocks continued to perform poorly, even though most media termed it as “mixed”. Tech stocks continued to tumble, dragging Nasdaq (the tech index) along with it. While, Treasury yields continued to move higher, with the benchmark 10-year note yield touching a 14-month high of 4.805% and last up 1.6 basis points to 4.79%, amid doubts about the Fed's next move on interest rates. By the time market closed for the day: (see above) DJIA: +0.86% (+358.67 to )4,2297.12. S&P 500: +0.16% (+9.18 to 5,836.22). Bounced off a 2-month low and eked out a slight gain. Nasdaq: -0.38% (-73.53 to 19,088.10). Sectors’ Performances: Overall there were 2 decliner sectors, namely Technology (XLK) and Utilities (XLU). (see above) Remaining 9 sectors were “green” where the 3 best sector
APLD surged 15% pre-market on news of a $5 billion investment
Australia's Macquarie Group $Macquarie(MQG.AU)$ is set to inject up to $5 billion into $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ , securing a 15% stake in the company.Boosted by this news, $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$'s shares soared over 15% in pre-market trading on Tuesday.APPLIED DIGITAL CORP is scheduled to release its second-quarter earnings after the market closes on Tuesday, with investors eagerly anticipating the results.Macquarie's asset management subsidiary has finalized an agreement:To invest up to $900 million in the data center campus project of APPLIED DIGITAL CORPlocated in North Dakota.In addition, the subsidiary holds the right of first refusal to invest a
💰 Unlocking Star Humanoid Robots Stocks in 10 Industies
2024 is the year of accelerated development of robots. In 2025, the robotics industry will enter a new stage of development and is expected to usher in the first year of commercial mass production.At present, international robotics giants are gradually mass-producing and competing with each other. With the continuous investment of technology giants such as $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$, Open AI in the humanoid robot industry and the update and iteration of AI big models, the mass production and large-scale application of humanoid robots have ushered in the dawn, and commercialization can be expected.In this article, we have sorted out some high-quality companies that benefit from the future large-scale application of the Robots industry and have competitiv
💰 A Must Read | Unlocking Star Humanoid Robots Stocks in 10 Industies
CES2025 has just ended. Many netizens who participated in the on-site summit said that the atmosphere was enthusiastic and many companies brought very good AI electronic products. They did not feel the economic recession at all. Hope so, right?2024 is the year of accelerated development of robots. In 2025, the robotics industry will enter a new stage of development and is expected to usher in the first year of commercial mass production.At present, international robotics giants are gradually mass-producing and competing with each other. With the continuous investment of technology giants such as $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$, Open AI in the humanoid robot industry and the update and iteration of AI big models, the mass production and large-scale applicatio
$TC Energy(TRP)$ Introduction In this article I will dive deep into TC Energy, ticker symbol TRP, a top North American energy infrastructure company. Known for its stable dividend payments and growth potential, TC Energy is a strong contender for any dividend-focused portfolio. We’ll explore what the company does, review its latest earnings, and assess its future prospects. Finally, I’ll share my personal perspective on whether TC Energy might be a good addition to your investments. What is TC Energy? TC Energy is a leading North American energy infrastructure company specializing in the transportation, storage, and generation of energy. The company operates an extensive pipeline network, including the Keystone Pipeline, which transports crude oil
$Snowflake(SNOW)$ Snowflake: Past and Present Today, we’re diving into Snowflake. In today’s session, I’ll explore why we made that decision. To be clear, I don’t dislike Snowflake. So, if you’re a fan of the company, don’t worry—this isn’t a takedown. Think of this as an objective exploration of enterprise software. Snowflake's Financial Performance In it, we discussed how the rally following Snowflake’s Q3 fiscal 2025 update was likely deserved but speculated that it might not sustain. Sure enough, the rally has faded somewhat, and the stock is now back to where it was in Q1 of 2024. On the surface, Snowflake’s Q3 financials were impressive. The company reported a 29% year-over-year growth in product revenue—a strong result as Snowflake navigate
Understanding the Fluctuations in AMD's Stock Price: A Multi-Faceted Analysis
Advanced Micro Devices ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ) has seen a significant decline in its stock price recently, exacerbated by a wave of downgrades from major rating agencies. This volatility has left investors questioning whether the company's fundamentals are at fault or if external biases are playing a larger role. In this essay, let’s analyze AMD’s stock price fluctuations from multiple perspectives: fundamentals, market sentiment, rating agencies, and macroeconomic factors. Company Performance and Strategic Challenges 1. Fundamentals: Is Something Wrong with AMD? Financial Outlook and Market Share: AMD's stock has been affected by concerns over its financial forecasts and competitive positioning. The company reported earnings that did not
Markets Rebound Amid AI Policy Tensions and Economic Data Anticipation
1. Market Performance Highlights The $.SPX(.SPX)$ showcased resilience, reversing a 0.9% intraday decline to close 0.2% higher. This marked its largest rebound since September, signaling renewed investor confidence. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9%, driven by broad-based strength, while the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ slipped 0.4%, weighed down by technology stocks. The late-session rally for the S&P 500 countered a recent trend of weak closes, offering a glimmer of hope for market sentiment. 2. Tech Sector Pressures and AI Regulation Impact Technology stocks faced headwinds following the Biden administration's decision to expand restrictions on AI chip exports to over 120 countries beyond China.
Elliott Wave View: Silver (XAGUSD) Double Three Correction in Progress
Short Term Elliott Wave view in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests cycle from 10.22.2024 high is in progress as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 10.22.2024 high, wave (W) ended at 29.68 and wave (X) rally ended at 32.32 Wave (Y) lower is in progress and unfolding as another double three Elliott Wave structure in lower degree. Down from wave (Y), wave W ended at 28.73 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Up from wave W, wave ((w)) ended at 29.88 and wave ((x)) ended at 28.75. Wave ((y)) higher ended at 30.67 which completed wave X in higher degree. The metal has turned lower in wave Y. Down from wave X, wave (i) ended at 30.08 and wave (ii) rally ended at 30.37. Wave (iii) lower ended at 29.49 and wave (iv) rally ended at 29.75. The metal should extend lower in wave (v) to complete wave (
Weekly Elliott Wave Counts Suggest The Correction Is Nearing Completion The Elliott Wave analysis for Hindustan Copper Ltd. (NSE) indicates a correction on the weekly chart. The broader structure follows a five-wave sequence, with waves ((1)) and ((3)) already completing their upward moves. Currently, wave ((4)) is unfolding as a double zigzag pattern (W-X-Y). Wave (Y) aims for the area of 1 and 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave (W), between 234 and 182 INR. Importantly, the analysis identifies a blue box zone, which signals a high-probability reversal area. Wave ((4)) is likely to end here, after which wave ((5)) should resume the bullish trend. This wave is expected to break above the high of wave ((3)) at 354.65 INR. However, the invalidation level lies below the blue box. If the
TikTok Refugees Trend? Do You Think Musk Should Acquire TikTok?
On Sunday, January 19th, TikTok will officially be banned in the United States. According to Bloomberg, Chinese officials are evaluating a potential option that involves Elon Musk acquiring the US operations of TikTok. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Will Musk really acquire TikTok?If Musk does proceed with the acquisition, TikTok is likely to be merged into X. However, whether it can maintain its current content model remains uncertain.Factors enabling the acquisition:Some believe that if Musk is genuinely interested, it’s entirely possible for him to pull off this acquisition. After all, his Twitter takeover faced numerous hurdles but was ultimately successful.Factors preventing the acquisition:Others argue that TikTok’s scale is incomparable to Twit
[Trade Feed] @Dr Leonard Lim: From Genetics to Gains: Journey to Investment Triumph!
@Dr Leonard Lim a PhD postdoc in genetics, passionate about investing since his youth, was driven by six months of learning from Tiger Boost Camp and started trading options. Recently, he achieved an impressive result of USD 14,680 in a single day through options trading of $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$. Dr. Lim’s approach includes analyzing options using screeners, monitoring price trends, evaluating company fundamentals, and assessing volume. His trading journey highlights the value of research, diversification, and continuous learning in investment success.Want to know his real-time trading?