1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ SPX - The bounce was expected, and it seems reliable, anyway managing risk is key. Tomorrow we will learn if the latest indecision candle at 4H will be followed by a pullback, or the momentum is back. $6,029 on watch👀Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ - As mentioned yesterday, gaps near overbought levels tend to be filled, and this has now been confirmed. The 20DMA has been breached, and the Stochastic is just beginning its move. The current candle doesn't suggest a bullish reversal; any potential bounce must reclaim the 20 DMA. As it stands, the Q's are facing significant downside pressure. $500 coming?Image3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA - Bounce at the lower
DeepSeek's Disruption: A Shock to the AI Sector, Not the Broader Market
DeepSeek, two observations:The shock caused by DeepSeek has predominantly affected the sector rather than the broader market, which typically serves as a reliable indicator of the economic and stock market cycle's health. 1) The communications services sector, which has been one of the winners in this bullish market alongside the tech sector, not only avoided losses but also appreciated by 0.52% during Monday’s session, trading near historic highs. It seems well-positioned to benefit from lower prices in artificial intelligence.2) The financial sector is one of the first to feel the impact when economic issues arise. Yet, on this Monday, it marked a new historic high.Technically speaking, the $.SPX(.SPX)$ and
28 Jan Market Rebound Led By Tech Sector Big Gains
We saw the stocks closed solidly higher on 28 Jan (Tuesday), the performance was led by big gains in the technology sector. The market rebounded from the sharp selloff that kicked off the week. The tech-heavy NASDAQ rose 2%, while the S&P 500 and DJIA added 0.9% and 0.3%, respectively. On Monday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell sharply when tech stocks posted their worst one-day performance since 2020 as the early success of Chinese startup DeekSeek's AI models sparked concerns about U.S. leadership in AI and the amount of money large companies are spending to develop the technology. Several of the stocks that were hit hardest on Monday recovered on Tuesday. AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA), which shed nearly $600 billion in market value yesterday, gained 8.9%, while rival Broadcom (AVGO) rose 2
1.China: gold price vs bond yieldsChina/EM have been in the driver's seat of the gold price (both in terms of the geopolitics and reserves diversification aspect, but also on the macro/markets side of things) $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Image2.Where-to next for the black line?Is it already as low as it goes, or can Trump & team take it even lower?Key questions as falling effective tax rates have had a huge impact on earnings over the past few decades...Image3.How the stock market cycle works...Theory vs Practice😅 😵💫Image4.No Fun for Active Funds Over a 3 decade period:59% of funds did *not* survive31% survived but lagged the index10% survived and beat the indexWhether or not it's fun, it ain't easy. $
Apple (AAPL) Revenue Slowdown Might Impact Its EPS. Yet Still A Buy
$Apple(AAPL)$ is set to report FY25 first-quarter earnings results after market close on 30 Jan 2025 (Thursday). Apple's Q1 revenue is expected to be $124.318 billion, adjusted net income is $35.527 billion, and adjusted EPS is $2.352, according to Bloomberg's consistent expectations. Market is expecting consensus forecast of $2.35 earnings per share. Apple (AAPL) Last Earnings Call Positive Yet Only 5% Change Since Apple has only gotten 5.58% change since its last earnings call on 31 Oct 2024 which has a positive sentiment. The earnings call highlighted strong overall growth, particularly in iPhone and Services revenue, along with significant product innovations and expansion in emerging markets. However, there were challenges in the Wearables se
The Allure of Options: Why They're Both Irresistible and Infuriating
Let me confess something right up front: options trading is like stepping onto a financial roller coaster that you can't quite decide if you love or hate. There’s adrenaline, excitement, and the occasional stomach-lurching regret. It's easy to see why options are so addictive. But don’t worry—I’ll explain it all, and perhaps with a bit of cheeky humour to soften the blow of reality. The Seductive Power of Leverage The thrill and terror of leveraged trading Ah, leverage—the financial world's equivalent of a magic trick. With a relatively modest sum, you can control a significantly larger position. Sounds like an absolute win, doesn’t it? But here's the catch: leverage doesn’t just amplify your gains—it also magnifies your losses. It’s like riding a rocket that could either land you on the m
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): A Strong Bullish Case Amid AI-Driven Demand
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is at the center of the AI and high-performance computing revolution. Despite a recent dip, the company remains well-positioned for long-term growth. The options data in the provided image suggests strong market activity, with notable interest in both calls and puts, reflecting heightened volatility. This presents an opportunity for investors to capitalize on SMCI’s long-term strength. AI’s Growing Need for High-Performance Computing The rise of AI models like DeepSeek, which require extensive computing power for training rather than just inference, underscores the need for advanced, scalable server solutions. SMCI specializes in liquid-cooled, high-density computing platforms tailored for AI workloads, making it a critical infrastructure provider. As more enter
Chinese AI Firm DeepSeek Disrupts US Market; NVIDIA Sheds US$600 Billion in Value
Chinese AI Firm DeepSeek Disrupts US Market; NVIDIA Sheds US$600 Billion in Value $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ Global technology shares took a hit as the emergence of a low-cost artificial intelligence (AI) model from Chinese startup DeepSeek raised concerns about the sector’s reliance on high-cost, high-tech chips. The fallout was especially evident in US tech giant NVIDIA, whose shares plummeted nearly 17% on Wall Street
$Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares(PLTU)$$Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares(PLTU)$ Palantir Technologies $PLTR: Structural Breakout Confirmed, Earnings as a Defining Catalyst 🚀📊 Technical Analysis Liquidity Gap Closure Palantir has successfully traversed and filled the 🟡 $70–$72 liquidity gap, reinforcing both market conviction and structural robustness within its ongoing bullish cycle. This movement not only validates prior accumulation zones but also sets the stage for potential continuation toward higher valuation levels, contingent on sustaining momentum above key technical thresholds. Critical Technical Levels 🔵 Resistance Range: $79.80–$81.80 This zone represents a critical inflection point
$Okta Inc.(OKTA)$ Unrealised gains 💸💰💸BULLISH 📈 Okta $OKTA, Strategic Positioning Validated, Momentum Toward 100 Plus Remains Intact 🚀🚀🚀 Since my 27Jan25 analysis, Okta Inc. $OKTA has advanced 6.30 percent, reinforcing both the efficacy of structured entry points and the underlying strength of its fundamental and technical thesis. As the cybersecurity sector remains at the forefront of enterprise digital transformation, Okta’s market positioning continues to solidify. With shares now trading at 95.25, Okta’s trajectory toward the 100 psychological threshold appears increasingly probable, underpinned by earnings expansion, sectoral tailwinds and institutional accumulation. Fundamental Case, A Valuation Narrative Rooted in Growth 🔹 Earnings Inflecti
$Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares(PLTU)$$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$@Kiwi_G Morena KG 🌞☀️🌞 I decided to close out $PLTU to secure profits for now and add to my capital reserves. I’ll keep an eye out for the next prime entry opportunity. Realised gains on $PLTU while simultaneously accumulating 800 Tiger coins, a seamless fusion of capital optimisation and platform rewards. Strategic execution yielding both financial and ancillary benefits 💸💰💸🪙🪙🪙 Here’s the focused analysis on $PLTR from my post of 26Jan25: 🔎 Fibonacci Extensions ~ Wave 5 Upside Potential 🎯 $82.56 🎯 $85.06 🎯 $88.60 ~ A key level that could unleash signif
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ On Monday, NVIDIA's options trading volume ranked first in US stocks, reaching 10.18 million, triple the average volume!The data is very rich but relatively concentrated. Based on Monday's options opening details, the estimated near-term fluctuation range is 110-130. Whether it tends upward or downward depends on tech companies' earnings calls in the coming days and whether management's outlook on AI capital support has changed. The expectation gap could reach 100.Institutional sell call rollovers occurred in four ranges: 129-134, 127-132, 131-136, and 130-135. This week's upper limit is seen at 127.Based on this week's options opening situation, closing around 120 on Friday would be appropriate, though earnings report interference
What Is Known. Before $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ announced its Q4 2024 quarterly earnings on Wed, 29 Jan 2025 (evening), below is a recap of what is known so far. In Q4 2024, Tesla achieved record performance with approximately 459,000 EVs produced and over 495,000 delivered. However, the 495k was slightly below the 504,770 deliveries analysts had expected. Total annual deliveries for 2024 came to 1,789,226, down from 2023’s 1.81 million EVs. It is a shortfall of -20,774 EVs. Q4 Earnings Forecasts. Below are forecasts from Thomas Reuters. Earnings Per Share (EPS) : $0.74 vs $0.65 (2023). Revenue : $27.169 billion vs $25.17 billion (2023). Net income (adjusted basis) : $2.697 billion vs $7.93 billion (2023). ** note : 2023’s profit was boosted by m
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🚀📈🅱️ U͎ L͎ L͎ I͎ S͎ H͎ 🚀🚀 Following a nearly 17% retracement in NVIDIA’s valuation, triggered by speculative concerns surrounding DeepSeek’s AI aspirations, I’ve strategically opened further positions. This isn’t an act of blind faith, it’s a calculated response to market misjudgment. While DeepSeek may ‘seek,’ NVIDIA defines, the silicon, the architecture, and the AI ecosystem itself. Such a pullback isn’t a disruption, it’s a distortion, and for those with foresight, it represents an unparalleled opportunity to capitalise on dominance that remains unmatched in scope and scale! Analyst Sentiment Breakdown 📗 Buy 91% 🟡 Hold 9% 🔴 Sell 0% 📈 Average Price Target $170 📉 Current Price was $120 until it bounced 5% in overnight trading NZ 🇳
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Hey everyone, how’s it going? Today, I just wanted to share a quick thought. If you're panic selling Nvidia right now because of the recent market dip, I can’t thank you enough. You've given me an incredible opportunity to buy into a high-quality dividend compounder with a great future ahead. So, here's the deal: Nvidia is down 17% day over day, which is crazy for a company like that. The stock has dropped to $118 a share, when just recently it was hovering around $147–$150. That’s a huge drop, so something’s clearly going on. And here’s the news: Over the weekend, China unveiled an AI model called DeepSeek, which is similar to OpenAI's ChatGPT. DeepSeek uses Nvidia’s more budget-friendly H100 GPU chips instead of the premium models
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML Holding NV (ASML) has been exhibiting a volatile downward trend recently, with its stock price showing significant fluctuations. After selling my shares at $733, I am now eyeing a potential re-entry point around $660. The current market sentiment, combined with technical indicators, suggests that the stock may continue to face downward pressure in the short term. ### Technical Analysis Using SAR and MACD 1. **Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse)**: - The SAR indicator is a popular tool used to identify potential reversals in the price direction of a stock. When the SAR dots are below the price, it indicates a bullish trend, and when they are above, it suggests a bearish trend. - In the case of ASML, the SAR dots are c
$Royal Caribbean Cruises(RCL)$ $Royal Caribbean Cruises(RCL)$ 1. Strong Post-Pandemic Recovery 🌟 Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) has demonstrated robust recovery since the pandemic, with increasing bookings and rising demand for travel and leisure. People are eager to return to cruising as a vacation option, and RCL benefits from a strong customer base and new itineraries to attract passengers. This growing demand supports its revenue rebound and makes it a solid investment opportunity. 2. Diverse Fleet and Innovation 🚢 RCL’s diversified fleet of modern, luxurious ships appeals to a wide range of customers, from budget-conscious travelers to luxury seekers. Its focus
$TSLA 20250131 455.0 CALL$ Sold covered call on tsla as I am not very confident in this quarter's earnings. Tesla's current valuation is very high due to the hype of robo taxis but the fact is it is still not here yet unless Elon makes a big announcement. Tesla's current sales cannot justify such a high valuation. But anything can happen even if price rises hard the expected move for this week is + - 55 so the strike of $455 should be relatively safe. The premium of $400 is too juicy to pass up [Miser]