US January 2025 Inflation. The much-awaited inflation report, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) - was finally released. (see below) Matched against the Fed’s 2% target, The 12-month change in the inflation index fell to 2.5% for January 2025, from December’s 2.6%, in lined with analysts’ forecasts. Core PCE measure, fell to 2.6% from an upwardly revised 2.9%. The central bank targets an inflation rate of 2%. PCE at a glance: On surface, it looks like good news. On closer look, consumer spending that accounts for more than 67% of US economy, dropped 0.2% after an upwardly revised 0.8% increase in December 2024. This could complicate the Fed's deliberations on monetary policy, according to Spartan Capital Securities, Chief market economist, Peter Cardillo. This is because, Spending
Industrial Automation Stocks: Driving the Future of Manufacturing in 2025
As global industries seek to boost efficiency and productivity amid rapid technological advances, industrial automation stocks are emerging as a critical investment theme in 2025. Companies specializing in robotics, machine learning, and smart manufacturing solutions are transforming traditional production processes, reducing costs, and improving quality. This post explores the fundamentals of industrial automation stocks, key technological and market drivers, diverse applications, investment opportunities, associated risks, and market projections—supported by data and a visual graph. 1. Overview of Industrial Automation Stocks Definition & Significance: Industrial automation stocks represent companies that design, manufacture, and deploy advanced automation solutions across various ma
$ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ has just reported an excellent H2 24 Earnings with Net Profit up 19.6% to SGD 365.7 million. ST Engineering share price is up 3% last Friday and has risen 7% in the past 5 days . It has also reached its 52 week high of SGD 5.49 too. ST Engineering is now up 16% year to-date and in 2024 it has jumped 36%. For FY2024, ST Engineering has reported earnings of SGD 702.3 million , up 19.7% year on year. Revenue in the same period was up 11.6% year on year to SGD 11.3 billion, with contribution across all its 3 segments . I am happy with ST Engineering's fantastic performance and it has even increased its dividends to 5 cents per share for Q4FY 2024. This is up from the usual 4 cents per quar
AdTech Stocks: Shaping the Future of Digital Advertising in 2025
As digital media consumption continues to soar, advertising technology (AdTech) stocks are emerging as a transformative force in 2025. With the rapid evolution of data analytics, artificial intelligence, and programmatic advertising, companies in the AdTech sector are redefining how brands reach and engage consumers. This post explores the fundamentals of AdTech stocks, key market drivers, real-world applications, investment opportunities, associated risks, and market projections—supported by detailed data and a visual graph. 1. Overview of AdTech Stocks What is adTech? Definition, benefits and future trends Definition & Significance: AdTech stocks represent companies that develop and provide technologies to optimize digital advertising. These firms offer solutions for programmati
Logistics Stocks: Revolutionizing Global Supply Chains in 2025
As global trade and consumer expectations continue to evolve, logistics stocks are emerging as a critical component in the modern supply chain. In 2025, companies that streamline transportation, warehousing, and last-mile delivery are redefining efficiency, reducing costs, and improving reliability. This post explores the fundamentals of logistics stocks, key drivers behind their growth, real-world applications, investment opportunities, associated risks, and market projections—supported by detailed data and a visual graph. 1. Overview of Logistics Stocks Definition & Significance: Logistics stocks represent companies involved in the management and optimization of supply chains, including transportation, warehousing, distribution, and last-mile delivery services. These firms are essent
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : Price bounced from the lower Bollinger Band✅ and the stochastic is curling at oversold zone✅One observation: A piercing candlestick pattern is a two-day bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. It's characterized by:Day 1: A long bearish (red) candle, continuing the existing downtrend.✅Day 2: A long bullish (green) candle that opens below the previous day's close✅and then closes more than halfway into the previous day's bearish candle❌.Image
AMAT: Dominant Player in Semiconductor Equipment with Strong Growth and Risks
$Applied Materials(AMAT)$ is the worid's largest manufacturer of semiconductor fabrication equipment. AMAT generates revenue through equipment sales (majority) and service contracts(~25% of revenue).While once dominated by conglomerates like $IBM(IBM)$ and $Intel(INTC)$ , the semiconductor industry now has distinct players in chip design, fabrication and equipment manufacturing. AMAT is crucial in semiconductor manufacturing, providing essential tools and services to industry leaders such as $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNGY)$ and in
Lululemon: Downward Dog or Upward Trend? A Stretch Worth Taking?
Sweating the Small Stuff: Five Key Insights and a Moat Built on More Than Just Yoga Mats Right then, let’s have a proper look at Lululemon. The stock has taken a bit of a tumble, dropping over 25%, which has understandably got some investors in a twist. But let’s not mistake a temporary wobble for a downward spiral. Sometimes, a dip is just the market’s way of handing out a discount. Lululemon is far more than just high-end leggings. It has cultivated a brand that resonates deeply with its customers—think lifestyle rather than mere apparel. The company’s global expansion is in full swing, with China standing out as a key growth driver, delivering a staggering 39% year-over-year revenue increase. This isn’t just a one-off surge but a consistent upward trajectory. At the same time, financial
My Tiger Brokers username is spiders. And just like a spider scuttling across the floor when someone turns on the lights, I trade stocks with pure kancheong energy. When I buy a stock and see the price dip, my survival instincts kick in. I panic. I quickly set a limit sell price—just a teeny, tiny bit above breakeven—because profit is profit, right? This has happened many, many times. Some recent kancheong trades: Bought APA at $20.82, sold at $20.97 Bought CRI at $51.16, sold at $51.46 Bought AES at $10.08, sold at $10.14 Big wins? Seldom. Case in point: I bought SOXS at $17.87 and sold at $17.98. Felt smart for taking a quick profit. Then I checked later—SOXS had shot up to $22.86. I could’ve made way more… if only my kancheong spider brain didn't freak out. Direxion Daily Semiconductors
Earnings Season: How Long Will the Valuation Compression Last?
This earnings season, post-earnings stock rallies have become increasingly rare. While some growth stocks initially surged on the day of their earnings reports, many experienced consecutive declines afterward. Others saw sharp drops even after slightly missing estimates. This trend highlights a broader reality: many companies were already overvalued, and the market is undergoing widespread valuation compression across various asset classes. Despite some pullbacks, the S&P 500 remains quite high, suggesting that many stocks—especially in the tech sector—are still trading at elevated valuations. The divergence between stock prices and fundamentals remains a major concern. The enthusiasm around AI, cloud computing, and other tech trends has inflated valuations, and when expectations are t
OCBC Earnings Miss: Will DBS or UOB Continue to Outperform?
Singapore’s second-largest bank, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), has reported a smaller-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit, citing expectations of moderated loan growth in 2025. Alongside this, OCBC unveiled a S$2.5 billion capital return, but it remained the only Singapore bank to miss analysts' forecasts in what was otherwise a strong earnings season for local banks. In contrast, DBS Group Holdings (DBS) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) exceeded expectations, delivering multi-billion capital return packages. Their strong financial performance propelled their share prices to record highs, reinforcing their positions as dominant players in Singapore’s banking sector. Should Investors Buy Singapore Bank Stocks Now? Personally, I won’t be buying Singapore bank stocks at cu
A grim end to February, will volatility increase in March?
The last trading day of February has ended. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 5954.5 yesterday, down 1.24% for the month; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ closed at 18847.28, down 3.97% for the month; and $DJIA(.DJI)$ closed at 43840.91, down 1.58%.The Fear and Greed Index indicates that the market has reached extreme fear.A grim end to February, will volatility increase in March?Historical data from global stock markets shows a noticeable seasonal pattern, where market performance tends to be better from November to April, and worse from May to October. March is a typical "March Effect" month, often associated with the end of the financial year and the start of a new one, influenci
Modern Moats: How Top Tech Companies Dominate Through User Choice
On the internet, the power goes to the company people CHOOSE to interact with every day. $Netflix(NFLX)$ in streaming $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ in search/mail $Apple(AAPL)$ in hardware $Uber(UBER)$ in ride-sharing $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ in retail $Intuit(INTU)$ for taxesMoats don't look like they did in the 80s and 90s. Eventually, fundamentals win.The history of the internet says personalization at scale is the future of all business.Missing a 100x opportunity to get a 10% better price i
1.Fundamentals vs Technicals...What if I told you one of the most *fundamental* of fundamental information: earnings growth, was actually working more like a technical indicator?Turns out Analyst consensus earnings expectations function more like a sentiment indicator -- basically giving a contrarian signal rather than a fundamental justification to be bullish or bearish 🧐 $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$DJIA(.DJI)$ Image2.Disinflation is done.Inflation resurgence risk is here.Image
Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - US stockmarket valuations remain dangerously high
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$DJIA(.DJI)$ The S&P500 declined -1.42% in February (still up +1.2% YTD).Consumer + Wall Street expectations are rolling over off the highs.The spike in policy uncertainty + bearishness may help the market bounce.Foreign flows have helped blow a “US Exceptionalism Bubble”.Despite the selloff, US stockmarket valuations remain dangerously high.Overall, there’s plenty of short-term indicators (e.g. surge in bearish sentiment) that make it ea
The top contributors to performance were Fortinet and Visa in FEB
Portfolio at the end of February 2025February performance: -2.0%YTD: 0.5%FCF ROC = 39%FCF per share CAGR (5yr) = 23%FCF Linearity (5yr) = 0.93FCF Margin = 36%FCF Margin Expansion (5yr) = 6%FCF Yield = 2.85%We exited our position in Microsoft and began a new position in $Technology One, Ltd.(THNOF)$ . The top contributors to performance were $Fortinet(FTNT)$ and $Visa(V)$ .The top detractors from performance were $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ and $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ .PS:Sadly the semis still hyper volatile...Probably always will be, but definitely less now there are multiple drivers
TSLA Outlook: Corrective Rally Before Major Downturn
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has topped, as warned to members on 02/09, but it holds a 5-wave diagonal structure at Weekly FVG support suggesting a corrective rally before escalating lower.Lean is Tesla rallies from here to at least cross 325, with upside potential to 362-384. However, that zone should be the termination point to produce the next major wave down.Ultimately, expecting this upcoming rally being the last chance $TSLA holders have to exit before crashing to 138-100 over the next 1-3 years. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$
SPX Outlook: Bullish Bounce or Bearish Trend Ahead?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ resolved higher as expected after completing its ABC down from its peak.The decline from the high is either a bearish 1st wave to begin the multi-year bear market, or the completion of [W4] to produce one last final high for [W5] before topping.Both scenarios suggest the Daily FVG at 6043-6084 being reached 🎯If a bearish WXY model is formed there, the 3rd wave is the next move targeting the 5773 yearly low w/ downside for more However, a Daily close above 6084 would suggest one last high above 6147 to terminate [W5] to then top and crash. This is invalidated below 5837.66.Currently, just looking higher against Friday’s 5837 low to which a bullish SMT divergence formed against $NASDAQ 100(ND
AAII Bearish Sentiment recorded the 4th most bearish reading in the last 30+ years
This is a WILD stat:AAII Bearish Sentiment recorded the 4th most bearish reading in the last 30+ years. The other 3 instances:1.) March 2009…( $S&P 500(.SPX)$ -49% off highs )2.) October 2008…( SPX -39% off highs )3.) Sept. 2022…( SPX -25% off highs )4.) Feb 2025…( SPX -3.1% off highs)Image