US stock market has plunged nearly -10% from its recent high due to concerns that Trump’s tariffs could cause a recession or worse a stagflation. On Mon, 21 Apr 2025 it fell again as Trump’s stepped-up verbal abuse of US Federal Reserves chairman Jerome Powell resulted in panic-stricken sentiments permeating US market. (see below) Many believed that if Trump even attempts to remove Powell by force, the action alone could cause US market to crash big time, if current fears turn into reality. Coupled with the tariffs that are in place, US is poised for an epic economic downturn that can in turn, cause corporate profits to plummet. Thankfully the joker realized his mistake and toned down the rhetorics almost immediately. This resulted in US stock market rallying for 4 consecutive days, includ
Can Grab Live Up To Earnings Expectation Of Continued Solid Top-Line Growth?
First, to confirm the timing: $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ is indeed scheduled to announce its first-quarter 2025 results after the U.S. market closes on Tuesday, 29 April 2025. I do have a position in Grab in other account. The conference call for management discussion will follow at 8:00 PM U.S. Eastern Time that day (which is 8:00 AM Singapore Time on Wednesday, 30 April 2025). Revenue: Expected to be around $761 million to $767 million. This signifies a solid year-over-year increase of approximately 17%. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Forecasts center around $0.00 to $0.01 (consensus ~$0.006). This marks a significant improvement from the net loss per share in Q1 2024 and reflects Grab's push towards profitability. Grab Holdings (GRAB) Last Positive Earni
Will Palantir 05 May Earnings Show Signs Of Benefit From Disruptive Innovation?
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is expected to release its fiscal Q1 2025 earnings, and analysts anticipate significant year-over-year growth for Q1 2025. Estimates vary slightly, but generally point towards: Revenue: Around $864 million (approx. 36% YoY growth). Earnings Per Share (EPS): Estimates range from $0.08 to $0.13 (representing substantial YoY growth, potentially 62% to 100% depending on the specific consensus figure used). This expected growth is linked to the traction of Palantir's platforms, especially AIP. Palantir (PLTR) Last Positive Earnings Saw Its Share Price Gain 34.68% Palantir had a positive earnings call on 03 Feb 2025 which saw its share price gain 34.68%. The earnings call reflected a strong positive sentiment with sign
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft Stock Dips Amid OpenAI Acquisition Concerns and Market Factors: Microsoft (MSFT) stock has fallen over 8.6% in the past five days, partly due to investor concerns about OpenAI's $3 billion acquisition of AI coding assistant Windsurf. Despite Microsoft's partnership boosting MSFT in June 2024, the external acquisition raises worries about OpenAI potentially diverting resources from enhancing Microsoft's AI. This comes after OpenAI's $40 billion funding round. Windsurf, a competitor to Cursor and offerings from Anthropic, is seen as industry consolidation. Despite the downturn, MSFT is down about 12% YTD but outperforming many tech stocks due to its resilient Azure cloud business. Analysts maintain a "Moderate
$TSLA 20250425 290.0 CALL$ I closed 1 lot(s) $TSLA 20250425 290.0 CALL$ , TSLA broke 2 key levels earlier in the breakout move, $260 and $275. Next key level to watch for potential resistance is $285. If $285 is also broken then watch for $298. If TSLA rejects $285, then watch for rebound on $275 or $260. Slightly risky play here. Playing the downside / corrections movement this time. Bought this covered call position when TSLA was around $285 earlier (enter position at $0.74). Got in the position too early, should've waited abit more but its okay. TSLA managed to hit my correction price point target from $285 back to $281-$283, and the covered call p
Weekly Macro Themes - Recession is likely bullish for bonds
This week I covered the following topics:1. Treasuries: There are multiple mixed macro signals for bonds, but what we can know is they are cheap, sentiment is bearish, and while inflation risk is an issue; recession (if happens) is likely bullish for bonds.2. EM Fixed Income: Remain bullish given cheap valuations, mild reset in sentiment, bullish EMFX outlook (and weaker USD), monetary policy tailwinds (albeit mindful/vigilant on inflation resurgence risk).3. Energy Stocks: Continue to see upside risks for crude oil (and cheap energy stocks), but the risks are more 2-way now (e.g. global growth downside may swamp geopolitical risk upside).4. Gold Miners: Move tactically neutral on gold miners given the risk signals in gold (overvalued, volatility spike, sentiment/positioning peak), and tro
🌟🌟🌟Tiger Brokers $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ also known as UP Fintech Holding is on the rise as its share price is up 1.8% on Friday trading and in the past week it has jumped 15.8%. To determine whether it is a good buy, let's check out its Q4 24 and full year results ended December 31 2024, released on March 18. Tiger Brokers reported Total revenue in Q4 24 at USD 124.1 million, representing an increase of 22.8% and a year over year growth of 77.3%. The full year total revenue was USD 391.5 million, an increase of 43.7% from 2023. Net income in Q4 24 reached USD 28.1 million, an increase of 58%, compared to a loss of USD 1.8 million in the previous year quarter. Non GAAP net income in Q4 24 was USD 30.5 m
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Green candle following the bullish signal triggered yesterday, and oscillators are entering in overbought zone, but this train is aiming at the 50DMA.The gap open may work as a magnet when the price gets oversold; but don't forget that a Zweig trust was triggered yesterday.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
SPY - We’re entering a critical make-or-break zone
Last weekend's technical analysis immersion anticipated a critical "break or make" week. This outlook stemmed from the price bounce off oversold levels two weeks prior. However, the subsequent decline warranted caution, leading to the following criteria being posted on Sunday:“The three elements to watch to consider a bounce: $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ must break below 29 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has to recover $5,321 $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ must recover $18,456 (Earning Reports season)Percentage of stocks above 200 DMA above 30%”I ended up providing four elements, since after charting all the tech stocks, I found that NDX was going to be a major driver this week. Monday br
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Don’t forget, team — even with this strong bounce, we’re now pushing into the daily market biases. There’s still about a 55% chance we reject here and pull back one more time into the monthly biases. $500 / $480I’ll continue following the bots, knowing the worst case is about a 4% giveback — and if this is the bottom and we rip to new highs, we’ll still have exposure. That said, if you’re trading short-dated options, be extra cautious. We’re entering a critical make-or-break zone for the market and most stocks.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find
$Micron Technology(MU)$ 05/16/25 $60 Calls – $1.14M Total Premium (600 Contracts @ $19.00 Ask)Back-to-back sweeps and blocks stacking at the $60 strike with May 16th expiration — hitting the ask while MU trades at $78.54–78.80. Over $3.4M total premium within 2 minutes.Aggressive early positioning 👀I'm sitting this one out, but seems price action wants to fill the gap @ $88ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegra
Still bullish on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ over the next few months.But we might be tagging an intraday high here.15-min BX just flipped red — I’d be locking in gains or trimming short-dated calls.Target remains $340–$360.ImageTSLA whale paid $12.78 for their contracts Now worth $33.70 👀Not too shabby 👏ImageA+ setup.But the market doesn’t pay you for impatience.Hold your bias lightly.Hold your cash tightly.Wait for confirmation, then strike hard.Just cleared our resistance level Very important to see where the weekly candle closes ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Tr
The longest holding period so far is 18 days in $Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X(SPXL)$ and $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ , starting from April 7th, when I highlighted the importance of getting involved during that phase of aggressive range expansion for tighest entry with highest RRR.The only change has been opening $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ via $Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares(PLTU)$ after Wednesday breakout. I shared a top-down analysis leading to the PLTR entry earlier.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in tradin
Dead Cat or Launchpad? Why This Market’s Bounce Might Have Claws
The question on everyone’s mind is simple, but not easy: is this a dead cat bounce or the start of a genuine recovery? Investors have grown wary of any rebound after months of declines, volatility, and whiplash-inducing headlines. Yet, beneath the caution lies a potential turning point. From cat to catalyst: is this market ready to launch? While the rhetoric on tariffs softens—especially from the Trump camp—the markets have responded in kind. Tariffs once loomed as a clear threat to earnings, margins, and sentiment. But if a recession can be sidestepped, the market’s downside from here could be more bark than bite. Three Stocks, Three Surprises Let’s anchor the debate with three heavyweight names that know a thing or two about dramatic swings: Nvidia, Amazon, and Ford.
Only a handful of US chief executives made well-timed stock buys during the tariff-induced market panic in April 2025, as trading restrictions forced them on to the sidelines. According to data provider VerityData, only two CEOs at companies worth more than $5 billion ‘bought the dip’ when the market fell. Instead, a larger group of executives sold shares before Donald Trump’s “liberation day” announcements. This included bosses of Pepsi and $Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC(JAZZ)$. Insiders often buy their own shares when markets are down. However, many executives were unable to jump on cheap shares because “liberation day” came as much of corporate America was barred from dealing ahead of first-quarter earnings. VerityData, VP of research, Ben Silverman