Is it a Trustworthy Technical Indicator for the Stock Market? - What are its Implications? It serves as a powerful tool for identifying potential major turning points in the stock market, particularly marking the possible commencement of significant bull runs.The statistical approach indicates that in every single instance, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was higher 6 and 12 months later 100% of the time.I prefer to watch the charts rather than rely on simplified tables. The ones below highlight the day of the Zweig thrust with a vertical grey line.November 2023: The first gap appeared the day after on November 1st, with a second gap forming on November 2nd – and as you can see, the market's subsequent trajectory is clear. Today, four gaps remain open, th
🌟🌟🌟In Singapore's competitive banking landscape, investors constantly debate which among the 3 blue chip banks offer the best value. While all 3 banks have delivered strong growth numbers in recent quarters, OCBC is seen as trading at lower valuation. OCBC $ocbc bank(O39.SI)$ dropped 3.8% on Thursday trading on CGSI's downgrade from an Add to a Hold rating. CGSI's downgrade stems from several key factors affecting OCBC 's near term performance. Their research highlights that OCBC' s earnings growth for FY2025 appears to be on "shaky ground". Specifically the bank's net interest income is projected to soften, partially driven by a further compression of its net interest
Continued GAAP Profitability Expected in SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Earnings
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ is scheduled to release its Q1 2025 earnings report before the market opens on Tuesday (29 April 2025). Revenue: Expected to be around $739 million to $742 million. This represents significant year-over-year growth of approximately 27-28%. (Note: SoFi's own guidance for Q1 was slightly different at $725M-$745M adjusted net revenue). Earnings Per Share (EPS): The consensus estimate is for $0.03 per share. This would be a 50% increase from the $0.02 reported in Q1 2024, indicating continued progress towards sustained profitability. Some analysts predict a potential beat, possibly reaching $0.04-$0.05. GAAP Profitability: Following its first GAAP profitable quarter in Q4 2024, SoFi is expected to maintain profitability
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$$Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund(FBTC)$$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$ 📢 In the world of markets, capital doesn't just move, it signals. When tides turn beneath the surface, it is the perceptive investor who reads the shift before it breaks the horizon! 💰🚀📈🌟 The Crypto Tide Is Turning: Bitcoin ETFs Ride the Crest of Renewed Investor Confidence 🌟📈🚀 Heavyweights like IBIT, FBTC, and GBTC lead the charge as inflows surge to levels unseen since January. In the ever-shifting landscape of cryptocurrency, few signals are as revealing as the movement of capital. This week, B
Will Meta Platforms (META) Earnings Be Affected By Rate Of Deceleration
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal Q1 2025 earnings report after the market close on next Wednesday (30 April). Operating Margin: Expected to decrease significantly to approximately 32.5%, down from 43.1% in Q4 2024, reflecting the impact of heavy investments. Revenue: Expected around $41.35 billion to $41.4 billion. This represents a healthy year-over-year (YoY) growth of about 13.5-13.6%. However, this marks a noticeable deceleration from the 20.6% growth seen in Q4 2024. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Forecasts are clustered around $5.21 to $5.29. This indicates YoY growth of roughly 11-12%, but like revenue, it's expected to be the slowest EPS growth rate since Q1 2023. Tipranks consensus estimate for the EPS is looking
Microsoft (MSFT) Earnings On AI Monetization Growth Focus
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ is scheduled to announce its fiscal Q3 2025 (quarter ending 31 March 2025) financial results after the market closes on Wednesday, 30 April 2025. Revenue: Expected to be around $68.4 billion, representing approximately 10.5% year-over-year growth. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Expected to be around $3.20 - $3.23, indicating roughly 9-10% growth compared to $2.94 in the same quarter last year (Q3 FY24). Microsoft (MSFT) Last Neutral Earnings Call Saw Share Price Decline By 11.23% MSFT had a neutral earnings call which saw its share price decline by 11.23% since. The earnings call highlights Microsoft's strong performance in cloud and AI services, with record commercial bookings and significant growth in AI and cloud revenue. However,
$Barrick Gold Corp(GOLD)$$CME Bitcoin - main 2505(BTCmain)$$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ 📢 In markets, the loudest headlines often signal the quietest reversals. Understanding sentiment is the ultimate trading edge! 🌟 The Barron’s Cover Curse: Bitcoin, Gold, and the Psychology of Markets 🌟📈🚀 What if the moment a market trend blazes across a magazine cover, it is already teetering on the edge of a reversal? The Barron’s cover curse whispers exactly that, a financial legend suggesting that when a stock, sector, or asset graces the front of Barron’s, it is often at its peak, primed for a fall. With Bitcoin skyrocketing to $94,281 and gold shining at $3,319.60 🥇, this
SPX Upside Risk to 5570-5580: AAPL, NVDA, MSFT Lagging
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is within the Daily + Weekly FVG that is expected to act as resistance. However, there is risk for a bit more upside to 5570-5580 as stocks like $Apple(AAPL)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$ have yet to cross their Monthly highs like SPX + $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ .The secondary measured targets of 5685-5750 would increase in probability with a Daily close above 5572.Though if we trade below 5440, that is a strong warning the rally done w/ the loss of the 50% retrace of the 2nd leg up confirming - currently 5315. $SPDR S&P 5
Daily Charts - US Tech Stock dominance vs global tech stocks
1.US Tech Stock dominance vs global tech stocks and vs US non-tech stocks has been a major theme in Global Equities.But there are signs that this huge strength in US markets may become a weakness in the months/years ahead... $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image2.The Inheritance Economy? Thanks in part to generally higher asset prices, we’re seeing a clear uptrend and multi-decades high in inheritance flows as a proportion of national output...Image3.Ounces of Gold to buy a New House in the USA closing in on all-time lowsGood for gold holders $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy pri
$Fair Isaac(FICO)$ operates a consumer credit scoring system that's widely used in consumer loans and banking. They also have a software business that provides solutions for fraud detection, loan origination and customer relationship management. The company's revenue is typically split evenly between scores and software, though scores contribute 75% of operating income due to higher margins.Business Segments:FICO Scores:The industry-standard credit score, used in over 90% of U.S. lending decisions.Generates high-margin revenue.Used in mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and loan securitisation.Scores are inexpensive (often under $1), but essential to financial institutions.Software Business:Provides analytics for fraud detection, credit originatio
US stock market has plunged nearly -10% from its recent high due to concerns that Trump’s tariffs could cause a recession or worse a stagflation. On Mon, 21 Apr 2025 it fell again as Trump’s stepped-up verbal abuse of US Federal Reserves chairman Jerome Powell resulted in panic-stricken sentiments permeating US market. (see below) Many believed that if Trump even attempts to remove Powell by force, the action alone could cause US market to crash big time, if current fears turn into reality. Coupled with the tariffs that are in place, US is poised for an epic economic downturn that can in turn, cause corporate profits to plummet. Thankfully the joker realized his mistake and toned down the rhetorics almost immediately. This resulted in US stock market rallying for 4 consecutive days, includ
Can Grab Live Up To Earnings Expectation Of Continued Solid Top-Line Growth?
First, to confirm the timing: $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ is indeed scheduled to announce its first-quarter 2025 results after the U.S. market closes on Tuesday, 29 April 2025. I do have a position in Grab in other account. The conference call for management discussion will follow at 8:00 PM U.S. Eastern Time that day (which is 8:00 AM Singapore Time on Wednesday, 30 April 2025). Revenue: Expected to be around $761 million to $767 million. This signifies a solid year-over-year increase of approximately 17%. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Forecasts center around $0.00 to $0.01 (consensus ~$0.006). This marks a significant improvement from the net loss per share in Q1 2024 and reflects Grab's push towards profitability. Grab Holdings (GRAB) Last Positive Earni
Will Palantir 05 May Earnings Show Signs Of Benefit From Disruptive Innovation?
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is expected to release its fiscal Q1 2025 earnings, and analysts anticipate significant year-over-year growth for Q1 2025. Estimates vary slightly, but generally point towards: Revenue: Around $864 million (approx. 36% YoY growth). Earnings Per Share (EPS): Estimates range from $0.08 to $0.13 (representing substantial YoY growth, potentially 62% to 100% depending on the specific consensus figure used). This expected growth is linked to the traction of Palantir's platforms, especially AIP. Palantir (PLTR) Last Positive Earnings Saw Its Share Price Gain 34.68% Palantir had a positive earnings call on 03 Feb 2025 which saw its share price gain 34.68%. The earnings call reflected a strong positive sentiment with sign
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft Stock Dips Amid OpenAI Acquisition Concerns and Market Factors: Microsoft (MSFT) stock has fallen over 8.6% in the past five days, partly due to investor concerns about OpenAI's $3 billion acquisition of AI coding assistant Windsurf. Despite Microsoft's partnership boosting MSFT in June 2024, the external acquisition raises worries about OpenAI potentially diverting resources from enhancing Microsoft's AI. This comes after OpenAI's $40 billion funding round. Windsurf, a competitor to Cursor and offerings from Anthropic, is seen as industry consolidation. Despite the downturn, MSFT is down about 12% YTD but outperforming many tech stocks due to its resilient Azure cloud business. Analysts maintain a "Moderate
$TSLA 20250425 290.0 CALL$ I closed 1 lot(s) $TSLA 20250425 290.0 CALL$ , TSLA broke 2 key levels earlier in the breakout move, $260 and $275. Next key level to watch for potential resistance is $285. If $285 is also broken then watch for $298. If TSLA rejects $285, then watch for rebound on $275 or $260. Slightly risky play here. Playing the downside / corrections movement this time. Bought this covered call position when TSLA was around $285 earlier (enter position at $0.74). Got in the position too early, should've waited abit more but its okay. TSLA managed to hit my correction price point target from $285 back to $281-$283, and the covered call p
Weekly Macro Themes - Recession is likely bullish for bonds
This week I covered the following topics:1. Treasuries: There are multiple mixed macro signals for bonds, but what we can know is they are cheap, sentiment is bearish, and while inflation risk is an issue; recession (if happens) is likely bullish for bonds.2. EM Fixed Income: Remain bullish given cheap valuations, mild reset in sentiment, bullish EMFX outlook (and weaker USD), monetary policy tailwinds (albeit mindful/vigilant on inflation resurgence risk).3. Energy Stocks: Continue to see upside risks for crude oil (and cheap energy stocks), but the risks are more 2-way now (e.g. global growth downside may swamp geopolitical risk upside).4. Gold Miners: Move tactically neutral on gold miners given the risk signals in gold (overvalued, volatility spike, sentiment/positioning peak), and tro
🌟🌟🌟Tiger Brokers $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ also known as UP Fintech Holding is on the rise as its share price is up 1.8% on Friday trading and in the past week it has jumped 15.8%. To determine whether it is a good buy, let's check out its Q4 24 and full year results ended December 31 2024, released on March 18. Tiger Brokers reported Total revenue in Q4 24 at USD 124.1 million, representing an increase of 22.8% and a year over year growth of 77.3%. The full year total revenue was USD 391.5 million, an increase of 43.7% from 2023. Net income in Q4 24 reached USD 28.1 million, an increase of 58%, compared to a loss of USD 1.8 million in the previous year quarter. Non GAAP net income in Q4 24 was USD 30.5 m