When I went long and entered trades on April 7th (T), right at the market bottom, it was met with significant pushback. Some argued the risk of the trade with current price action capitulation and pointed to the ongoing negative and uncertain tariff narrative. Worse, some even resorted to personal attacks in their feeds. It’s easy to dismiss the April 7th call as just another tweet on hindsight, but what many overlooked was the depth of research shared leading up to it. Since April 1st, despite holding sizable shorts, I had been laying out the groundwork: tracking market breadth hitting 5-year historic lows of 10/20/50/100/200-MA % to every index component stocks, observing the development of historical stretch of ATR% multiples relative to the 50-day MA extension, and just waiting for an
1.Big bubble burst in progress?Semis and the AI theme have displayed characteristics akin to the market cycle, the bubble cycle, and the Gartner hype cycle... $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Image2.Inconvenient issue from the 1930's bear market (which was in part triggered by tariffs) Most of the world's stockmarkets declined -- there wasn't anywhere to hide...Image3.Most agree that tariffs are likely to put upward pressure on prices (cost push inflation) and downward pressure on the economy.That's ~~stagflation~~ 🤮 Not good for bonds or stocksImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find
Can Arm Holdings (ARM) Live Up To High Earnings Expectations?
$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ is expected tp release its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report, which covers the quarter ending 31 March 2025 on 07 May 2025 (Wednesday) after the market close. Revenue: Around $1.225 billion to $1.23 billion, aligning closely with the midpoint of Arm's own guidance. Adjusted EPS: Around $0.34 to $0.35. Note: This consensus is notably lower than the company's own guidance range ($0.48-$0.56). It will be important to see which figure the actual results align more closely with. Arm Holdings (ARM) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw Share Price Decline Significantly By 35.56% ARM had a positive earnings call but the share price had since declined significantly by 35.56%. Arm demonstrated strong financial performance with record revenues and
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ End-of-Day Breakout or Just a Trap?Saw unusual short-dated calls hit the tape today. Dropped the alert to the team at 1:50 PM as the 30-minute chart started setting up for a breakout. Now the question is...will we sweep this liquidity zone? 🧹2. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Now, why are we NOT going short here? Because we don’t predict, we prepare.We have no idea what’s coming next, and that’s exactly why we size accordingly — reduce risk, protect downside, and stay flexible.Position accordingly. Stay responsible. 💯3. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ Closure $80k+ profits on HIMS today My longer-term target was $60-$90 and I’m OK wi
$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ Up 35% pre-market after announcing a deal w/ Novo Nordisk on Wegovy.The pricing is what's interesting. $599/mo for Wegovy and Ozempic, Mounjaro, and Zepbound are still $1,899/mo. Generic Liraglutide at $299/mo.HIMS shows it's a platform, not just a compounder.ImageImagePS: It could put pressure on others to lower prices and improve access. This is the power of an aggregator disrupting the old doctor/pharmacy model that had an incentive to keep prices high.It's not a straight line up, but this is why I own the disruptor, not the disrupted.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as wel
$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Despite the minor dip, the market remains firmly positioned within a Bullish trend zone, continuing its strong upward momentum.The current market is in an Uptrend phase, marked by healthy buy-sell balance, brief pullbacks, and renewed buying strength — all indicators of a robust and active bull market.🏦 Long-Term Investment StrategyThe NASDAQ continues to move within a Bullish trend zone, which is favorable for a Buy and Hold strategy.🔹 Key Characteristics of a Bullish Zone:Divided into two trend phases:Uptrend: Strong price growth with occasional minor dipsCorrection Trend: Temporary pullbacks with upward recov
A couple of years ago I made a discovery about Stockmarket seasonality.It works differently during bull vs bear markets.It’s one of those sorts of research findings where once you lay it out, it seems kind of obvious. But sometimes you just need to look at the same things differently to come up with unique insights and better understanding.As a refresher, during down markets you tend to see a much more accentuated “Sell in May“ effect — while the same old rule of thumb barely works at all during bull markets.So where do things stand today?I used two methods in the original analysis to quantitatively define up vs down (bull vs bear) markets; and both saw consistent results.One was simply “did the market close the year up or down?“, the other was “is the index above or below its 200-day movi
Five essential investment ratios:1. Growth - the ratio of profits now to profits in the past2. Capital efficiency - the ratio of the return on investment to the investment3. Margin - the ratio of what is kept (profit) to what comes in (revenue)4. Debt affordability - the ratio of the cost of debt (interest) to profit5. Valuation - the ratio of what you get to what you payWhat would you add?For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vo
We have had 16 NYSE Breadth Thrusts since 1939. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was higher 6 months later all 16 times.We just had the 17th signal trigger last week.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The most indicative SPY long put large order rolled positions, shifting from the June-expiry 545 put $SPY 20250620 545.0 PUT$ to the September-expiry 530 put $SPY 20250919 530.0 PUT$ . The respective volumes were 87,000 and 103,000 contracts.The rolled put option’s strike price is 530, which is lower than the original 545 strike price, suggesting a less optimistic outlook. However, compared to SPY's current price of 550, this pullback expectation is already relatively positive.Why is this the most indicative? The $SPY 2025
Very Quickly. This is a continuation post from my previous. click here for the first, Repost to share ok. Tks! As there are 7 penny stocks to cover, I shall jump straight into it. #7. $Personalis(PSNL)$ Nbr of Billionaire Holders: 5 1-Year Gain (as of 25 Apr 2025): +204.76% Share Price (as of 25 Apr 2025): $3.84 Facts & Figures. PSNL is a diagnostic & research company that develops markets and sells advanced cancer genomic tests and services. It offers NeXT Personal, a tumor-informed liquid biopsy test for the detection of minimal residual disease (MRD), therapy response and recurrence monitoring in solid tumour cancers. While the stock is up by +204.76% over the past year, Craig Hallum still initiated coverage of the stock with a “Buy” re
AMD Elliott Wave Calling the Rally after ABC Pull Back
Hello fellow traders. In this technical article we’re going to look at the Elliott Wave charts of AMD Stock published in members area of the website. As our followers know, the stock is trading within the cycle from the 75.21 low. Recently, we forecasted the end of the short-term pull back (B) in blue and called for a further rally in the stock. In the following text, we’ll explain the Elliott Wave analysis and present target areas. AMD Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 04.21.2025 AMD stock is showing a three-wave pullback against the 75.21 low. The correction already displays enough swings, and we expect it to complete at any moment. Our members know that in such cases we can easily identify the reversal area by measuring the Equal Legs zone (A related to
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ I am optimistic about Palantir's upcoming Q1 earnings report on May 5, 2025, given the strong growth projections. Analysts expect an earnings per share of 0.13 dollars, a 62 percent increase year-over-year, with revenue reaching 864 million dollars, up 36 percent year-over-year. After five consecutive winning days, Palantir's stock has climbed back to 110 dollars. I believe these numbers reflect the company's solid performance in data analytics and its expanding role in government and commercial sectors, which fuels my confidence in its potential to hit an all-time high. I think Palantir's earnings could justify its high valuation if the company continues to demonstrate scala
[Stock Prediction] Who’s the Top Performer This Week – AMZN, META, or MSFT?
This week, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon are all reporting earnings — and investors are watching closely. Which tech giant do you believe will deliver the biggest post-earnings rally?Here’s what to watch for from each company: $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Earnings Date: April 30 (Wed) After Market CloseRevenue estimate: $68.53B | EPS: $3.23Investors are especially focused on the performance of Microsoft’s Azure cloud business. Growth in this segment is expected to stay above 25%, and could even exceed 30% if demand for AI computing infrastructure remains strong. Guidance on capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 — particularly in AI-related data centers — will also be key. If management offers a bullish outlook, the stock could continue its recent momentum. Howe
PELOSI Act to Ban Insider Trading? Should Trump Also Be Restricted?
It's rumored that Senator Josh Hawley reintroduces "Pelosi Act" bill to ban Congress from trading stocks.PELOSI = Preventing Elected Leaders from Owning Securities and Investments ActDespite an annual salary between $174,000 and $223,000, Pelosi's estimated net worth is approximately $240 million — a disparity that has fueled longstanding suspicions of possible insider trading.Should politicians be banned to trade?Some people say: "You'll never get 7 Democrat votes. They all engage in insider trading!"But many more users on X commented: "Best name ever."If Pelosi were to be banned from trading, shouldn't the Trump family face the same, or even stricter, restrictions?Trump family becomes the latest focus in insider trading debateYesterday, $Colombier A
Comparing XPeng and Li Auto: Which Chinese EV Stock Wins Out?
$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ and $Li Auto(LI)$ are two of the most promising names in China's booming new-energy vehicle (NEV) market. Both companies have captured investor attention by carving out unique niches—XPeng with its AI-driven EVs and Li Auto with its extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs). As China's NEV sales continue to surge, backed by consumer demand and government support, these two automakers are locked in a fierce battle for dominance. Given their rapid growth trajectories and innovations, now is the perfect time to compare XPeng and Li Auto to see which one might hold better investment prospects.Both companies operate in an intensely competitive environment marked by price wars, technological rac
🐯Scored Big on PLTR—Will the Momentum Continue or Face a Halt?
📈 $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ has been on a remarkable run, with notable gains and a surge in market attention. As investors eye its performance, a key question emerges: in the face of its strong momentum yet lofty valuation, how should one position themselves? Some Tiger Brokers users have seized the opportunities.But with both upsides and risks, it’s time to delve into what’s next for PLTR!![Miser]👊👊🎉 Huge congrats to @luciferpsycho secured an unrealized profit of +30,111.38 USD going long on PLTR.🎉 Huge congrats to @TEESL and@boonhong21 on these outstanding PLTR trades! Secur
1.The Gold Silver Ratio is at 100—an exceptional level for silver enthusiasts! Historically, silver shines bright as the ratio doesn't linger at 100 for long. Very bullish signals ahead for Silver!Image2.Gold ETF $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ saw an outflow of $1.3 Billion on Tuesday, the largest outflow in 14 years 👀👀Image3.Silver $Silver - main 2507(SImain)$ is ready to breakout from a year-long channel formation?Image4.silver miners ETF $Global X Silver Miners ETF(SIL)$ is trying to breakout hugely, on massive volume.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commissio
If Grab and Foodpanda Start a Price War, Will Users Truly Benefit or Pay the Price Later?
China’s ongoing food delivery war has dominated headlines recently. According to Bloomberg's estimates, the mutual price-cutting and rivalry between $JD.com(JD)$ and $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ have wiped out around $70 billion USD in combined market value.To compete for users, JD.com and Meituan have launched a variety of discount coupons and subsidy campaigns, leading to a noticeable drop in average food delivery prices. Promotions like 4-yuan Luckin Coffee and 8-yuan branded lunches have become increasingly common. This week, Meituan even offered a free $Luckin Coffee Inc.(LKNCY)$ campaign to its members — TC just got a free cup in Beijing today[666][666]Despite the st