To The Moon

After a downgrade and a CEO buy-in, what’s really the prognosis? It’s not every day you see a company shed 40% of its value in a year and still command a $275 billion market cap. But UnitedHealth Group is no ordinary stock. After a bruising slide from its lofty $600+ highs, a modest rally gave investors a flicker of hope—only for HSBC to turn up with a cold stethoscope and a downgrade. The market winced, and $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ promptly dropped 6%. So: was $300 a floor, a trap, or a buying opportunity? Let’s stitch this together. Vital signs meet valuations in healthcare’s high-stakes heartbeat First, the Diagnosis: Is the Valuation Really Sick? Despite the dramatic fall, UNH isn’t exactly trading at junkyard levels. At a trailing P/E of 12.7 and a

$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ is scheduled to announce its financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 on Wednesday, 28 May 2025, after the close of U.S. markets. A conference call and webcast to discuss the results will follow at 2:00 p.m. PDT / 5:00 p.m. EDT. Revenue: Analysts generally anticipate C3.ai to report revenue around $107.79 million for Q4 FY2025. This would represent a year-over-year increase of approximately 24.48%. The company's own guidance for Q4 fiscal 2025 revenue was between $103.6 million and 113.6million. Earnings Per Share(EPS): The consensus EPS forecast is a loss of approximately (0.67) to $(0.70) per share. For comparison, the reported EPS for the same quarter last year (Q4 FY 2024) was $(0.59). While sti

US Treasury Auction Disaster: Is a Market Crash on the Horizon? As of May 23, 2025, the financial world is reeling from what has been dubbed the worst-ever US 20-year Treasury auction. With high yields breaking above 5%—a stark contrast to the bond’s performance since its introduction five years ago—investors are grappling with heightened concerns over the United States’ fiscal health. This disappointing auction has triggered broader declines across the three major US stock indexes, sparking a “triple sell-off” in stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The pressing questions now are: How will this surge in Treasury yields impact the stock market? Will the sell-off intensify? And how deep could this US market pullback go? Let’s dive into the analysis. The Fallout of Weak Demand The root of the curr

On Wed, 21 May 2025, US major stock indexes fell big time, as investors worried about a deteriorating US fiscal outlook. US Treasury Bond. The US dollar dipped as Treasury yields climbed, following a poorly received $16 billion sale of 20-year US bonds by US Treasury Department. The soft demand reinforced concerns that investors are shying away from US assets. After the Treasury auction, yields on the 20-year debt rose to 5.127%, the highest since November 2023. Meanwhile the 30-year bond yield rose 11.5 basis points to 5.0817% from 4.967% late on Tuesday. (see above) I wonder if Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent still think that Moody's a "lagging indicator" of economic and fiscal conditions as per his interview with NBC’s "Meet the Press" with Kristen Welker. By the time market called i

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ On Wednesday afternoon, a 20-year U.S. Treasury auction encountered some issues. Weak buyer demand pushed the 30-year Treasury yield above 5%, nearing its highs from Q4 2023.Notably, before the auction, at 10 a.m. EST, with TLT trading around $84.9, a large volume of $TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$  expiring June 27 was opened. After reviewing the trade details, it was clear that this in-the-money call option was sold.Without a doubt, this is an insider-driven large order.Typically, if one expects a price decline, buying puts might seem like the better choice. However, based on TLT's price chart, the stock is already near its bottom. Comparing the

Google Breaks Search Curse & Leads AI Race: Can the Stock Hit $200? 📈 Google just reminded the market who the true king of Search is. Shares of Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) surged over 5% intraday following a blockbuster presentation at the I/O developer conference, where the tech giant unveiled an aggressive slate of AI-powered enhancements to its Search engine. At the center of the buzz is the all-new “AI Mode,” a radical interface powered by Gemini AI that answers questions conversationally, summarizes search results, and proactively anticipates user needs. This is not a minor UI refresh—it’s a fundamental overhaul of the Search experience as we know it. For over a year, Google has played defense while rivals like OpenAI, Microsoft, and Meta took bold swings in generative AI. But with this

The latest 13F filings are out, and as always, they reveal some interesting institutional moves. I looked into what Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway and Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management did in Q1 2025—not because I'm looking to copy them, but because I find it useful to understand how high-profile investors are adjusting in this market. That said, I don't treat these filings as signals to buy or sell anything. I don't follow moves blindly, and I don't think they tell the whole story. But they can offer useful context—if I filter them through my own judgment. Berkshire Hathaway's 13F filing Berkshire Hathaway exited its positions in Citigroup and Nu Holdings. It also reduce

On Wednesday (May 21st), Eastern Time, U.S. Treasury bonds suffered a massive sell-off, and U.S. stocks collectively plunged.Most large technology stocks fell, with Tesla falling more than 2%, Apple falling more than 2%, Nvidia falling more than 1%, Amazon falling more than 1%, Microsoft falling more than 1%, and Facebook falling 0.25%.At the same time, long-term U.S. Treasury bonds suffered a sell-off, and Treasury yields soared, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rising to 4.59%. The 30-year Treasury yield rose sharply to 5.08%. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the U.S. dollar against six major currencies, fell 0.56% to close at 99.555 points.It can be said that stocks, bonds and currencies were killed in a triple blow.The trigger for this violent market fluctuation was that the i