To The Moon

The sell-off looks more like a positioning reset than a breakdown, but the near-term path depends on follow-through. What drove the drop Broadcom’s decline was less about earnings quality and more about expectations. AI names were priced for flawless execution, expanding margins, and clear long-term visibility. Any hint of margin normalisation or guidance ambiguity was enough to trigger de-risking. The rotation into defensives reinforces the view that investors were crowded on one side of the trade. Rebound or continuation Short term (next week): A technical rebound is plausible, especially if there is no fresh macro shock. Oversold conditions in large-cap tech and systematic flows can support a bounce. Sustainability: The rebound, if it comes, is likely to be selective rather than broad-b

So I'm in two Australian stocks one gold one silver. The gold one is up over 50%, so I did what I do, trimmed it. So that one is just house money now. $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$ it's an Australia gold mining company with the rights to mine in one of the otago gold fields in New Zealand. Massive long term potential once they start digging. But it's early days not digging up gold yet. So I guess you understand why I trimmed. Analysts saying gold will hit new highs ($5,000) is speculation. So I'm happy if they are correct. But my money in Santana is now just pure profit. So happy to sit on that for 10+ years and let it rock and roll. if gold is only worth $3,200 in 5 years, well Santana was kinda pricing it near that to justify the investment a

This isn't a full-blown market correction , but rather a short-term shakeout driven by profit-taking and sector shifts—similar to the minor dips seen earlier in the year that quickly resolved into rebounds. Fundamentals remain supportive: steady consumer spending, improving corporate earnings, and anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month are poised to reignite momentum into 2026. Sentiment indicators also flash contrarian buy signals, with volatility presenting opportunities rather than alarm bells.For long-term investors, this dip qualifies as a prime time to add positions, particularly in quality growth names like those in tech or the Magnificent Seven, which have led the year's gains but are now trading at modest discounts. Historically, S&P 500 corrections  have d

The US market sustains its bull run, driven by dominance in AI and clean energy despite interest rate headwinds, while Asia delivers diverse opportunities with strong demographic growth and value potential, though its markets face structural challenges。。。 If could choose only one for the next 10 years, the US markets would likely be preferred, driven by long-term growth in AI, biotech, and clean energy, supported by tech giants with strong profitability and deep moats, ensuring US equities trend upward despite short-term cycles Shifting to Asia offers diversification and stability, with more attractive valuations and high-dividend strategies that perform more steadily, offering a hedge against US downturns In short, US markets remain strong in tech, but interest rate impacts and market cor

I see this Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ pullback more as an AI anxiety overreaction than the start of a true bubble burst. The market is repricing timelines and margins, not abandoning AI itself. Oracle’s delays and Broadcom’s margin comments hurt sentiment, but they don’t change the long-term demand for compute, networking, and AI software. This feels like valuation compression amid Fed uncertainty and policy noise, not a structural break. For my own tech exposure, I’m not adding aggressively and not panic-selling. I’m trimming selectively where valuations ran ahead of fundamentals, while holding core positions in companies with strong moats and balance sheets. I’m also keeping some cash on hand, as volatility could create better entry points. Long

Picture this: On a stormy Friday in the U.S. markets, dark clouds gathered, thunder boomed, and lightning cracked the sky—just as the AI sector got electrocuted! $Oracle(ORCL)$  $Broadcom(AVGO)$  Oracle kicked off the chaos, tumbling after unveiling a blockbuster plan: pouring billions into data centers to grab a bigger slice of the AI pie. But investors freaked out—"We're spending HOW much?!"—fearing the cash burn would outpace the rewards. It was like betting the farm on a golden goose that might not lay eggs fast enough.  Then came

Friday's tech sell off looked ugly on the surface, but structurally this feels less like the start of a prolonged downtrend and more like a coordinated reset across both risk tech and crypto. The key detail is this: nothing fundamentally broke. What broke was positioning. What Really Caused the Drop This was not a collapse in earnings or a sudden end to AI demand. It was a classic macro cocktail hitting crowded trades at once: Treasury yields pushed higher, pressuring long-duration assets Heavy profit taking in AI and momentum names Broadcom margins rattled sentiment across semiconductors Positioning was stretched after a strong year-to-date rally Year-end rebalancing amplified downside volatility When yields rise late in the year, tech and crypto tend to get hit first. That is exactly wha

Whispers from Tokyo are turning into roars – the Bank of Japan is gearing up for a 25 basis-point hike to 0.75% from 0.5% at its December 18-19 meeting, marking the first increase in 11 months and potentially the highest level in 30 years. 😲 This stealth signal has markets buzzing with anticipation, as sources close to the BoJ hint at more hikes ahead, possibly pushing rates beyond 0.75% in the ongoing cycle. With inflation holding steady and wage growth picking up steam, Japan's central bank is flexing its muscles to normalize policy after years of ultra-loose stance. But here's the twist: if this hike lands, expect immediate ripples across global assets – a stronger yen could slam exporters like Toyota and Sony, while easing pressure on U.S. Treasuries amid Fed's own cut path. 🚀 The timi

$Broadcom(AVGO)$  $Oracle(ORCL)$   Oracle vs. Broadcom: Why One is a Gamble, and the Other is Just a Reset The AI sector just took a massive hit, and the culprits are the "Brothers in Trouble"—Oracle and Broadcom. Both stocks are bleeding, but if you treat them as the same trade, you’re making a mistake. The logic behind these drops is completely different. One is facing a crisis of execution confidence, while the other is undergoing a painful (but necessary) business model evolution. Here is why the market is punishing them, and where the opportunity actually lies. 1️⃣ Oracle: The "Existential" Gamble Let’s start with Oracle. As I mentioned in yesterday’s quick update, Oracle’s drop i

🟩 The Singapore market is flashing green, with the Straits Times Index rallying and many portfolios up significantly year-to-date, but don't let the victory lap fool you—we are walking into a "Hawkish Cut" trap. While the Fed has cut rates, the US 10-Year Treasury Yield has surprisingly ticked up, creating a dangerous "spread" problem for Singapore REITs. As we saw this week with blue-chip names like Keppel REIT suddenly asking investors for more cash through preferential offerings, the "easy money" era is over, and the rising tide is no longer lifting all boats. In this video, I cut through the noise to reveal why the market has split into two dangerous extremes: "dead money" giants like DFI Retail Group suddenly soaring 19% versus stable REITs facing dilution risks. We’ll dive deep into

I have participated only selectively in the space-stock rally. Most listed space names are still driven more by narrative than cash-flow certainty, so risk control matters more than conviction. Calling space the “Tesla of 2019” is partly accurate, but incomplete. Like EVs back then, space has a strong story and long runway. Unlike Tesla, however, commercial monetisation is slower, more capital-intensive, and heavily reliant on government contracts. Outcomes are therefore more binary and timelines longer. If SpaceX were to IPO, I would be interested, but disciplined. SpaceX has clear technological leadership and execution credibility, which sets it apart from most peers. That said, valuation would likely be aggressive, with early price action driven by scarcity and sentiment rather than fu

Earnings Calendar (15Dec25) I’m interested in the coming earnings of Jabil, Micron, Accenture, FactSet, Nike, FedEx, Blackberry and Carnival. Let us look into FedEx. FedEx Overview Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings The stock price for FedEx has experienced a modest increase of 2.2% compared to the same period last year. Technical analysis currently indicates a “Strong Buy” recommendation, reflecting positive momentum in the stock’s performance. Furthermore, analyst sentiment supports a “Buy” rating, suggesting continued confidence in the company’s outlook. Despite this optimism, the consensus target price is set at $282.54, which implies a potential downside of approximately 0.63% from the current trading level. Revenue Growth FedEx has demonstrated significant revenue growth over