TRADE PLAN for Tuesday 🔥 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ almost 100 pt rally from the lows. SPX setting up for the big level at 7000 this month. IF we get positive news w Iran at some point in the next 2 weeks, SPX will set up for 7200+ SPX April 15 6950C is best above 6900 $Micron Technology(MU)$ setting up to test ATH at 471, We already saw $SNDK break out above and ran an additional 250 points. SNDK to 1000 next as well. MU April 17 440C is best above 425 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ if it holds the gap above 636 overnight it can run to 650-655 next. META April 17 645C is best above 635 Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡
U.S. tech valuations have compressed from 40x to 20x forward earnings in just weeks and now sit below where they were when ChatGPT launched. The backdrop is far more real today than it was back then: • $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is seeing ~3.5% ad click lifts from AI • Hyperscalers have committed ~$690B in capex • $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ AWS AI revenue is running at a $15B annualized pace • $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has $1T in Blackwell + Vera Rubin orders through 2027 • Anthropic is valued at $380B and growing revenue 1,400% YoY The AI economy is the fastest growing capital deployment cycle in the history of technology and getti
Market Review: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ (1) the opening gap down was so small and short-lived, which already cast doubt on the ultra-bearish theory. (2) as I noted a few days ago--"if 6800 is broken to the upside, then it would signal a large W-3" to ATH. It looks like that will be the case now. (3) I have updated my primary count in Bamboo Scroll #219, posted to SUBS on April 11th, which already adopted this new roadmap. That was posted before the failed negotiation. (4) short-term, today's run is indeed wild and a bit unexpected--I was stopped out half of my 4/20 675 puts BE; & re-entered again mid-day near 6860 zone. (5) the last hour's squeeze-higher only appears in two spots: either the 3rd of 3rd of a bullish leg,
Last week felt like a relief rally to me, with U.S. markets rebounding strongly as tensions eased and oil prices dropped. While the price action looks bullish, I’m still cautious— inflation remains above target, growth was revised lower, and sentiment is weakening, which signals a mixed macro backdrop. I’m seeing AI and semiconductors continue to lead, with names like $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ benefiting fr
Global Market Outlook | The Irreversibility of Sovereign Capital — Why Gold Ignores the Oil Collapse
Issued: April 13, 2026Period Covered: April 6, 2026 → April 13, 2026 1. Core Macro Dislocation: Historic Divergence Between Oil Collapse and Gold Surge Over the past week, global markets have exhibited a structural anomaly that cannot be reconciled under any traditional macro framework: $WTI原油主连 2605(CLmain)$ WTI Crude declined to 95.63 $黄金主连 2606(GCmain)$ Gold surged to 4727.45 $比特币(BTC.USD.CC)$ Bitcoin broke above 70875.66 Under conventional models, this configuration should not exist. Classical transmission: Oil ↓ → Inflation expectations ↓ → Real yields ↑ → Gold ↓ Observed reality: Oil ↓ + Gold ↑ + BTC ↑ This divergence signals a fundamental reg
🌟🌟🌟Both $Lumentum(LITE)$ and $COHERENT(COHR)$ are currently primary beneficiaries of the AI optics supercycle with NVIDIA investing USD 2 billion in each to secure long term capacity for AI data centers. LITE is often viewed as pure play for the next phase of optical networking. It is the clear market leader in Optical Circuit Switching. Lumentum's revenue grew 65% YoY in early 2026 & is projected to grow nearly 77% for the full year. Coherent is the powerhouse of the industry, offering a massive vertically integrated manufacturing footprint. COHR is more diversified with a large industrial
Hi the latest news The day after talks collapsed, Trump escalated hard. US Central Command announced a blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports, and Trump threatened to prevent ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz entirely. NBC News He also said the US military is looking at resuming limited strikes inside Iran. The Strait carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. Any serious disruption there hits energy prices, shipping costs, and global risk appetite all at once. We are not in full escalation yet — but the direction of travel is not comforting, and investors who are not paying attention are going to get caught off guard. Even as the situation escalated, stocks wavered and oil held relatively steady — which tells you something important. The market is alr
At this stage of the cycle, what drives price is no longer the quarter, but the path forward. 1. Beat vs Guidance For banks like Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley, Q1 “beats” are largely expected. Trading desks have benefited from volatility, and net interest income is stabilising. What the market is really asking: Are net interest margins peaking or extending into 2026? Is loan growth واقعی or still sluggish? Are credit losses starting to creep up? A clean beat with flat or cautious 2026 guidance often leads to a muted or negative reaction. Conversely, even a modest beat with upward guidance revision can re-rate the sector. Conclusion: Guidance matters more than the headline beat. --- 2. Is upside already priced in? Largely, yes. Financials have already rallied on: Rate stability
The scenario described would be a genuine regime shift for markets, not just another headline shock. The key is to separate first-order (oil) from second-order (policy and valuations) effects. --- 1. Will the Fed be forced into a hawkish pivot? A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would push oil sharply higher, but the Federal Reserve does not react mechanically to commodity spikes. What matters: Is the oil shock persistent or temporary? Does it feed into core inflation and wages? If oil spikes toward $120 but demand weakens simultaneously, the Fed faces a stagflation-lite dilemma, not a clean hawkish pivot. Most likely path: Short term: Fed stays cautious, delays cuts Only pivots hawkish if inflation expectations de-anchor, not just spot oil So a full valuation reset in the Nasdaq Composite
The move we are seeing in SanDisk and Micron Technology is no longer just a cyclical bounce. It is transitioning into a narrative-driven re-rating phase. That changes how you think about “price anchors”. --- 1. SanDisk – where is the next anchor? At this stage, price is not anchored to trailing earnings. It is anchored to forward FCF expectations + scarcity premium. Key zones to think about: Near-term anchor: previous breakout zone (~$780–$800 equivalent range) Momentum extension: $880–$920 if FCF revisions continue Blow-off zone: >$950 if AI storage narrative turns euphoric What will decide the next anchor: NAND pricing discipline (no premature supply ramp) Evidence that edge inference = structural demand, not hype Capex restraint across peers If those hold, dips will be shallow and qu
bank earnings season is kicking off right now, and honestly, I'm pretty optimistic about what the big six – JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley – are likely to deliver for the first quarter of 2026. Analysts are calling for overall profits to rise around 5% year-over-year across the group. Revenues should grow in the mid-to-high single digits for most of them, which isn't flashy but feels reliable in today's environment.What’s driving this? Net interest income (that sweet spread between what banks earn on loans and pay on deposits) is still holding up nicely thanks to rates that, while lower than their peak, remain elevated after the Fed's cuts in late 2025. The Fed has kept the benchmark steady around 3.5-3.75% lately, with just one m
Hormuz Blockade Bombshell: Oil Rocket to $120 or Fed Hawkish Nightmare Resetting Nasdaq Valuations? 😱🛢️
After a grueling 21-hour negotiation marathon, the U.S. and Iran went from deadlock straight into full breakdown, with President Trump announcing a U.S.-led blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that has completely shattered the market’s pricing assumptions from the past week. 😤 This aggressive move targets Iran’s oil export lifeline, choking off roughly 20% of global crude flows and instantly reigniting fears of a prolonged supply squeeze that could push WTI and Brent well above $100. The blockade raises the stakes dramatically — will it force a hawkish Fed pivot that resets sky-high Nasdaq valuations, or does Iran’s “time-wasting strategy” crack first before oil hits the $120 threshold? Emerging markets are already feeling the heat, with Asia’s energy importers seeing currency pressure while
💰Market Pulse Today: AI Rebound Sparks Selective Buying or Tariff Trap Looms? 😱📈
The S&P 500 is holding near record territory with a modest 0.4% pre-market lift as easing geopolitical headlines provide a brief risk-on breather, but internal divergence remains sharp — AI infrastructure and storage names are drawing fresh inflows while legacy growth and defensives lag on capex scrutiny. 😤 Oil is stabilizing after yesterday’s volatility, with WTI hovering near $88 as the Hormuz premium eases slightly, yet tariff uncertainty and upcoming macro data keep volatility elevated at VIX 24. Emerging markets are showing resilience, with Asia’s STI edging higher on bank strength and Latin America’s commodity flows pulling selective capital amid dollar dips to 94. QT’s liquidity buffer is keeping downside limited, but any hot inflation print could amplify swings. Here’s what’s m
My stock in focus today is $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ $Tradr 2X Long SNDK Daily ETF(SNXX)$ , after 12% surge yesterday that quickly drew market attention. The move looks supported by both technological progress and capital market catalysts, rather than just short-term momentum. On the tech side, SanDisk is advancing High Bandwidth Flash (HBF), with pilot production targeted for 2H26 and mass production in 2027. This could be a key piece in the AI inference stack, offering much higher capacity than HBM while maintaining strong bandwidth—po
The current landscape for crypto stocks is navigating a "recovery in confidence" as Bitcoin (BTC) pushes back toward and above the $74,000 mark as of April 14, 2026. While BTC recently hit a 40-day high near $74,500, the "run" for associated stocks is facing a tug-of-war between institutional buying and macroeconomic/geopolitical headwinds. Current Market Sentiment (April 2026) The rally to $74,000 has been largely driven by institutional capital flows—specifically spot BTC ETFs and massive corporate treasury buys—rather than the retail-driven "moon" cycles of the past. BTC Price Action: After falling as low as $69,000 earlier this month, BTC reclaimed $74,000 on March 16 and has been consolidating above $70,000 through mid-April. Crypto Stocks Performance: Equities like
Option Movers | Microsoft Sees 74% Call Options; Oracle's $160 Call Soars 1967%
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite indexes rallied more than 1% on Monday (Apr. 13) as investors appeared hopeful that a resolution to the Middle East war could be found while they looked past the failed weekend talks between the U.S. and Iran and monitored the start of the earnings reporting season. After a muted start to the day the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 picked up some steam on Monday afternoon after U.S. President Donald Trump said that Iran wants to make a deal but that he will not come to any agreement that allows Tehran to have a nuclear weapon. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,614,147 contracts was traded on Monday. Top 10 Option Volumes Top 10: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$, $NVI
I refer to my post on $Intel(INTC)$ dated Thu, 09 Apr 2026 that did not garner much readership (click here! for details). It talks about how INTC has been left out in the wilderness due to mismanagement. And how under new CEO, Lip-Bu Tan - there is a glimmer of hope that this former #1 chip maker is going to shine once again. Hardly days have gone by when the biggest bomb (albeit a good one) has just dropped. I suspect with the news hit main stream, INTC will begin its ascend in solid footing. The Good News ? It was officially reported on Tomshardware that INTC and
CRDO, BE, EOSE, QQQ& INTC Welcome Great Potential Here
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Intel(INTC)$ has risen an absurd 53% over the past 9 trading days Now up over 200% since the Trump Administration purchase @ $20.47 2 22 weeks of squeeze and counting 🍋 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 3 Bullish engulfing candle below the unfilled gap... don't mind if I do $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ 4 $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ breaking to new all time highs; +13% in after-hours on news of an expanded partnership with Oracle Oracle intends to procure up to 2.8GW of Bloom's fuel cell systems for
Latest Futures Class Recap: Under a Fragile Ceasefire, the Strategy to Navigate Bull and Bear Market
Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. Course Link:
No slow days in the market. ⚡ Some are playing defense, others going all in. 👀 Where do you stand today? Show us your game plan. Let’s break it down:These stories drove the markets. More News Tiger Community TOP10 Tickers 🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserver Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively! ✨Tuesday — Singapore Stocks Singapore stocks opened higher on Tuesday. STI up 0.5%; Capital World up 100%; Mapletree Log up 3%; YZJ Shipbldg and YZJ Fin up 2%; SGX up 1%; Koh Eco down 9%; Koh Brothers down 8%; Oilte