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Semi_Dig
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07-27

CXMT's Record IPO Ignites China's AI Memory Story, But the Real Test Starts Now

China's memory industry just had its biggest moment yet. On its market debut, $Cxmt Corporation(688825)$ surged 531.06%, closing the morning session at RMB 54.65 per share and reaching a market capitalization of approximately RMB 3.655 trillion. The rally pushed the company past $ICBC(01398)$ to become the most valuable stock in China's A-share market. It also briefly became worth more than $BABA-W(09988)$ , underscoring just how much enthusiasm investors now have for China's AI semiconductor sector. But this isn't just another blockbuster IPO. It's a reflection of how investors are pricing the future of China's AI and memory industry. Why Did the Market Reac
CXMT's Record IPO Ignites China's AI Memory Story, But the Real Test Starts Now
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TigerObserver
·
07-27

Weekly: SPX Slips, Fed's Decisions, US Q2 GDP, Mega-Cap Tech Earnings & AI Spending in Focus

Last Week's Recap 1.Market Digest: Stocks Slip, Oil Spikes, Yields Surge, Earnings Upgraded Modestly negative — $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ finished fractionally lower; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ dropped more than 2%. Stocks alternated gains and losses throughout the week, extending the pattern since early June. Energy shocks — Middle East escalation and shipping disruptions in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea lifted oil. U.S. crude $WTI Crude Oil - main 2609(CLmain)$ traded around $90 on Friday, up from ~$82 the prior week and $69 in early July. Yields spike — 10-year Treasury peaked at ~4.70% Thursday (highest in 1
Weekly: SPX Slips, Fed's Decisions, US Q2 GDP, Mega-Cap Tech Earnings & AI Spending in Focus
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TigerClub
·
07-27

【Live Recap] Inside the AI Memory Boom — Key Drivers, Risks and Signals to Watch

Speaker: Ross Dong @Ross_Macro_Trading (Founder of Gongxing Academy and Partner at Morning Cloud Asset Management) Live Date: July 23, 2026 (Review Link>>) In this livestream, Ross analysed the AI memory cycle through two frameworks: the industrial-technological cycle and the monetary-financial cycle, combining top-down macro analysis with bottom-up industry research. Want a deeper dive? We broke this session down into 4 full recap articles, each covering a different piece of the puzzle>
【Live Recap] Inside the AI Memory Boom — Key Drivers, Risks and Signals to Watch
TOPShyon: I believe the recent AI memory correction is more of a valuation reset than the start of a new downcycle. The concerns Ross highlighted are valid, but I don't think they change the long-term AI infrastructure story. As long as hyperscalers keep investing in AI data centres, demand for HBM and advanced memory should remain strong. The signal I watch most is hyperscaler capex. Memory prices and inventories can fluctuate, but continued spending from Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Google would confirm that AI demand is still expanding. I also think open-weight AI models could increase overall demand by encouraging more enterprises to deploy AI. For my portfolio, I'll stay focused on fundamentals instead of short-term volatility. If supply continues to grow much slower than AI demand, I believe the memory market can remain structurally tight for the next few years, making pullbacks potential buying opportunities rather than reasons to panic. @TigerClub @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
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koolgal
·
07-24
🌟🌟🌟With Google and Tesla recently getting punished for their big capex, the hurdle for $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is historically rather steep. Investors are fixated on Capex and AI monetisation. Microsoft has high risk of disappointing the markets.  Even if Microsoft beats on sales, the huge USD 190 Capex has institutional investors deeply on edge. Meta has a better chance of a rally post earnings. Its AI driven content recommendations and automated ad targeting are keeping user engagement high and lowering customer acquisition costs for advertisers. Nonetheless both Microsoft and Meta Platforms are great stocks to buy and hold long term.  A disappointing quarter does

【🎁有獎話題】英特爾業績報喜,盤後狂飆13%,大超預期,能否提振AI?

@虎港通
小虎們,美股市場正經歷一場冰火兩重天的分化,昨夜 $納斯達克(.IXIC)$ 狂瀉550點, $標普500(.SPX)$ 跌1.21%, $道瓊斯(.DJI)$ 跌近1%![Surprised] 科技七巨頭市值單日蒸發7970億美元, $谷歌(GOOG)$ 大跌7%,而 $英特爾(INTC)$ 卻公佈最新業績,盤後狂飆13%![Call] 其最新業績顯示Q2營收161億美元,同比增長25%,銷售增速創最近十五年最快!預計其Q3營收在158-168億美元,並上調了26-27年的資本開支預期![666] 然而對比慘烈的是, $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 財報公佈後一度大跌超15%!那麼科技股血洗之夜,你認為唯一亮點英特爾當前適合佈局嗎?能否提振美股AI行情?[YoYo] 一、本季科技巨頭財報:冰火兩重天 1. 谷歌(GOOGL):雲業務爆發,但現金流首度轉負 $谷歌(GOOG)$
【🎁有獎話題】英特爾業績報喜,盤後狂飆13%,大超預期,能否提振AI?
🌟🌟🌟With Google and Tesla recently getting punished for their big capex, the hurdle for $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is histor...
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon @JC888 @Barcode @SherniceXuan 2000
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Lanceljx
·
07-24
I see this as more than a routine risk reset, but not yet a confirmed trend reversal. The 14.5% plunge reflects the market suddenly demanding evidence that Tesla’s AI valuation can eventually translate into cash flows. The numbers justify the concern. Q2 revenue reached a record $28.2B and deliveries rose strongly, but operating margin collapsed to 1.4%, versus the Street’s pre-report expectation of roughly 5.4%. Free cash flow was -$1.1B, largely because capex more than doubled sequentially. Tesla expects over $25B of capex in 2026, with spending continuing to rise as Robotaxi, Optimus, AI compute and manufacturing capacity expand.  The crucial distinction is that Tesla is not suffering from collapsing demand alone. It is deliberately sacrificing current profitability to finance busi
I see this as more than a routine risk reset, but not yet a confirmed trend reversal. The 14.5% plunge reflects the market suddenly demanding evide...
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Pinkspider
·
07-24

TESLA

think many investors are learning about the difference between being a $TSLA perma bull vs a TSLA realist. The perma bull views every earnings call, product announcement, or anything related to the company as immediately bullish for the stock. The Realist, understands the long term assymetric upside of TSLA, but understands Wall Street and the market’s short term focus / expectations, macro factors, and financials can cause irrational moves in the stock price. A perfect example of market reactions that don’t make sense is “record sales”, but missing estimates or topping EPS, but missing in guidance. The market reacts relative to set expectations. That’s near term. Long term scale, revenue growth, and earnings growth is what drives price.
TESLA
TOPCliff: Who said the reaction is irrational? IV already prices this in
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Guavaxf3006
·
07-25
$SpaceX(SPCX)$  Gosh. From a heady 50% rise above IPO on opening day to being down 18% (From IPO) a week later. This really is a herd mentality market. Very little intelligence or rational thinking are being exercised right now. All a perfect recipe for a total rout if good sense does not return. I actually saw this when people started getting crazy about cryptocurrencies. if you go back a couple of centuries you saw this happen with the tulip craze, and the South Seas con. It's happening again. Remember not to be sucked in to whatever the crowd is rushing into. These poor folks are easily manipulated when greed and fears are driving their decisions. Do your own studies and stick to them. Good companies will last. Fake ines will crash and bur
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ Gosh. From a heady 50% rise above IPO on opening day to being down 18% (From IPO) a week later. This really is a herd mentality mark...
TOPMurielRobin: I added on that 18% dump Friday. Panic flushes like this are where SPCX gets interesting
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General
Sporeshare
·
07-25
$Olam Group(VC2.SI)$   Olam Group - Wow. Nice breakout at 1.34. She is likely continue to trend higher. She may rise up to test 1.40 than 1.45. Pls dyodd. 5th July 2026: Olam Group - She has retreated from 1.34 to trade at 1.22, looks rather interesting. She may rise up to test 1.27 and above. Beyond 1.27, she may retest 1.34. First Half results should be out in August. I think dividend is coming, nice. Pls dyodd. 21 June 2026: Nice breakout at 1.30 this morning with ease and she is now trading at 1.33. This is rather bullish. Likely to rise further towards 1.45 and above. Pls dyodd. Next, she may rise higher towards 1.62. Olam Group - She is looking great to rise up to retest 1.28. A nice breakout with ease woukd likely see her rising up t
$Olam Group(VC2.SI)$ Olam Group - Wow. Nice breakout at 1.34. She is likely continue to trend higher. She may rise up to test 1.40 than 1.45. Pls d...
TOPgroovix: Been holding a while — if debt really gets cleaned up, dividend story looks much steadier
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Lanceljx
·
07-25
Yes, but the market is now demanding evidence that the spending produces cash returns. Alphabet’s underlying Q2 numbers were actually formidable: revenue +24%, Search +17%, Cloud +82% to US$24.8 billion, while Cloud operating margin reached roughly 35.6%. That suggests AI infrastructure is already generating meaningful revenue rather than being purely speculative spending.  The concern is the sheer scale. Alphabet lifted 2026 capex guidance to US$195–205 billion, while Q2 capex reached US$44.9 billion and free cash flow fell to negative US$5.9 billion.  I therefore see the 6.9% decline primarily as a valuation reset, not yet a thesis break. Alphabet has perhaps the strongest ability to absorb AI spending because Search, YouTube and Cloud provide enormous monetisation channels. Cl
Yes, but the market is now demanding evidence that the spending produces cash returns. Alphabet’s underlying Q2 numbers were actually formidable: r...
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The Investing Iguana
·
07-25

Did HSBC Just Sell Your MediShield? Here's What Actually Happened 🦖

Did HSBC Just Sell Your MediShield? Here's What Actually Happened 🦖 🔍 The Angle The most confusing thing about this deal is also the most important: Allianz is buying HSBC Life Singapore for S$2.7 billion, yet your actual hospital coverage has not moved an inch today. HSBC is selling the underwriting risk, not walking away from the customer relationship, which is why the same policy, the same legal contract, keeps sitting behind your Medisave deductions for now. I wanted to show you the mechanics so you can tell, in one look, whether a scary headline like this really touches your own medical plans. 💰 What It Means For You If you hold HSBC Life Shield, your MediShield Life layer is still with CPF and your Integrated Shield Plan is still underwritten by the same licensed insurer, just with A
Did HSBC Just Sell Your MediShield? Here's What Actually Happened 🦖
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koolgal
·
07-25
🌟🌟🌟My biggest take on Ross Dong's Livestream Clip 2 is that the AI thesis is not broken.  However its financial physics have permanently changed. The era of buying any stock with "AI" in its press release is officially over. Investors who survive and thrive in this next phase will be those who stop paying premium multiples for future promises.  They would start accumulating deep value infrastructure companies with proven real time cash flow generation. Open AI's delayed IPO exposes the hard truth that commercialising massive closed source LLMs is a capital intensive, low margin battle. In contrast, companies like $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ that use existing AI models to
🌟🌟🌟My biggest take on Ross Dong's Livestream Clip 2 is that the AI thesis is not broken. However its financial physics have permanently changed. Th...
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Aqa @Shyon @JC888 @Barcode @SherniceXuan 2000
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The Investing Iguana
·
07-25

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT: RHB Says 21% Upside. Our Forensic Screen Says Otherwise 🦖

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT: RHB Says 21% Upside. Our Forensic Screen Says Otherwise 🦖 🔍 The Angle S$1.41 billion has already gone into CLAR’s latest acquisition wave, yet DPU over the last five years has slipped about 1.7% instead of climbing. On paper you see a 6.03% yield and a clean BUY call with 21% upside, underneath you see 42.0% gearing and interest cover at 3.5x, both sitting on the wrong side of a forensic safety line. That gap between the story the analyst is selling and the story the balance sheet is telling is why I wanted to flag this one for you. 💰 What It Means For You If you are using CLAR for CPF or S$ income, your distributions are now being propped up by a balance sheet that fails both the gearing ceiling and the interest coverage floor in Iggy’s framework, Iggy's Forensic
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT: RHB Says 21% Upside. Our Forensic Screen Says Otherwise 🦖
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MojoStellar
·
07-25
My best investments have been buying and holding high-quality companies with durable competitive advantages. My top performers have been Rolls-Royce, Palantir, Alphabet (Google), and Microsoft. Rather than chasing short-term trends, I focused on businesses benefiting from long-term themes such as AI, cloud computing, aerospace recovery, and defence. That long-term approach has produced my strongest returns. Stock contributed the most: Rolls-Royce – One of my biggest winners. The turnaround story, improving cash flow, and stronger civil aerospace and defence businesses have delivered exceptional returns. The market continues to watch profitability, cash generation and 2026 guidance closely. Palantir – A major AI and software winner. Strong government and commercial demand has made it one o
My best investments have been buying and holding high-quality companies with durable competitive advantages. My top performers have been Rolls-Royc...
TOPLeoIII.: Holding RR and PLTR too — defence backlog visibility matters as much as cash flow
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MojoStellar
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07-25
My best investments have been buying and holding high-quality companies with durable competitive advantages. My top performers have been Rolls-Royce, Palantir, Alphabet (Google), and Microsoft. Rather than chasing short-term trends, I focused on businesses benefiting from long-term themes such as AI, cloud computing, aerospace recovery, and defence. That long-term approach has produced my strongest returns. Stock contributed the most: Rolls-Royce – One of my biggest winners. The turnaround story, improving cash flow, and stronger civil aerospace and defence businesses have delivered exceptional returns. The market continues to watch profitability, cash generation and 2026 guidance closely. Palantir – A major AI and software winner. Strong government and commercial demand has made it one of
My best investments have been buying and holding high-quality companies with durable competitive advantages. My top performers have been Rolls-Royc...
TOPzinglee: Palantir still looks priced for perfection. Commercial growth slowing 3 quarters straight and gov demand alone carries this till 2027?
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MojoStellar
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07-25
Looking at agentic AI investing in 2026 My focus would be on companies that are enabling AI agents to perform real business tasks, not just building chatbots. My 2026 takeaways 🥇 Tier 1: The platform winners These companies are best positioned because they own the infrastructure or software ecosystem that AI agents depend on. Microsoft (MSFT) – The strongest enterprise AI story. Copilot, Azure AI, GitHub, and Microsoft 365 create a large installed base for AI agents. Alphabet (GOOGL) – Gemini, Google Cloud, Search, Workspace, and its AI infrastructure make it a key beneficiary. Amazon (AMZN) – AWS remains a major platform for enterprises deploying AI agents. NVIDIA (NVDA) – Still the "picks and shovels" provider. If AI agents require more inference, NVIDIA benefits. 🥈 Tier 2: Pure-play AI
Looking at agentic AI investing in 2026 My focus would be on companies that are enabling AI agents to perform real business tasks, not just buildin...
TOPBarbaraWillard: Been heavy in Microsoft and Alphabet for years — 2026 is about agent monetisation, not model demos. Data flywheel matters too
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Shyon
·
07-25
I bought the dip instead of reducing my exposure. One weak session doesn't change my long-term thesis. To me, this was more of a valuation reset than a collapse in AI demand. I still believe enterprise AI and hyperscaler spending have plenty of room to grow. Corrections like this can also create opportunities to accumulate quality companies at better prices. I'm becoming more selective, focusing on semiconductor & AI infrastructure companies with strong demand, visible orders, and improving cash flow. I continue to DCA into my highest-conviction positions instead of reacting to short-term volatility. Risk management remains important, so I'm keeping my position sizes under control. Over the next few months, I'll watch whether higher AI capex translates into stronger revenue and free c
I bought the dip instead of reducing my exposure. One weak session doesn't change my long-term thesis. To me, this was more of a valuation reset th...
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Shyon
·
07-26
One of my biggest takeaways is that this looks like a healthy correction rather than the end of the AI memory cycle. The discussion on fund flows, inventory expectations, and market sentiment helped me understand why memory stocks have pulled back despite strong long-term AI demand. It reinforced my view that short-term price action doesn't always reflect long-term fundamentals. I also found the explanation of the HBM supply gap very valuable. AI infrastructure demand continues to grow, while advanced memory capacity still takes time to expand. That gives me confidence in the long-term outlook for leading memory companies. As an investor, I focus more on industry cycles than daily market noise. This session reminded me to stay patient, monitor the fundamentals, and use corrections to stre
One of my biggest takeaways is that this looks like a healthy correction rather than the end of the AI memory cycle. The discussion on fund flows, ...
TOPNoraPoe: I added MU last week too — that HBM supply gap still looks bullish
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Shyon
·
07-26
This session strengthened my conviction that the AI memory story is far from over. What stood out was why this cycle differs from previous ones. Instead of short-term speculation, demand is being driven by structural AI adoption and rising memory requirements across hyperscale data centers. I also found the discussion on HBM and DDR5 supply very insightful. Advanced memory capacity takes years to expand, and if demand continues to exceed supply, leading memory companies could benefit for much longer than many investors expect. As an investor, this reinforces my focus on long-term fundamentals over short-term price swings. If the underlying demand story remains intact, market corrections can become opportunities to build positions with greater conviction.
This session strengthened my conviction that the AI memory story is far from over. What stood out was why this cycle differs from previous ones. In...
TOPYoungYun: Sold too early last cycle, not doing that again. HBM stays tight for years
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Shyon
·
07-26
One of my biggest takeaways was the discussion on open-source AI models and memory demand. I hadn't fully considered that larger context windows and always-on reasoning could actually increase memory requirements. It was a good reminder that greater AI efficiency doesn't necessarily mean lower demand for advanced memory. The comparison with Kimi K3 also gave me a different perspective on the AI memory cycle. If open-source models continue gaining adoption, demand for HBM and high-performance DRAM could remain stronger than many investors currently expect. That supports my long-term bullish view on the memory sector. As an investor, I try to focus on structural trends rather than short-term market reactions. This session reinforced my conviction to stay patient, keep following the fundamen
One of my biggest takeaways was the discussion on open-source AI models and memory demand. I hadn't fully considered that larger context windows an...
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @Aqa @DiAngel @JC888 @Barcode @koolgal @SherniceXuan 2000
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The Investing Iguana
·
07-26

AEM Is Up 425% This Year. Here's What That Actually Means For You 🦖

AEM Is Up 425% This Year. Here's What That Actually Means For You 🦖 🔍 The Angle What if the real risk in AEM is not that the business breaks, but that the price already assumes it cannot? A 425% move in seven months rewires the whole story, because the same AI chip boom that lifted AEM, UMS, and Frencken is now drawing new listings like Mi Technovation onto SGX, all competing for the same future cashflows your cousin is bragging about. When the exchange is busier than ever, core inflation is ticking up, and SGX itself still sits in this show's Red Zone on yield, the headline “market up” stops being useful. 💰 What It Means For You If you are thinking of buying after a 425% run, you are no longer deciding whether AEM is a good business, you are deciding whether there is still any room for di
AEM Is Up 425% This Year. Here's What That Actually Means For You 🦖
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