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07-29 09:46
If the S&P Rolls Over, Chips Could Feel More Pain
We are seeing what a crowded trade unwind looks like. Semi ETF inflows went parabolic this year with $46B coming in <7 months YTD. This is more than the previous 9 years COMBINED. Now, it’s unwinding. $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ “Trump has to do something soon” Trump doesn’t care about AI Bubble stocks getting torched. The SPX is down ~2.4%. CTAs haven’t even started selling yet. If the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ starts to roll over, this will become another big headwind for stoc
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07-29 09:50
$SMH Finds Key Support, but $513 Is the Next Level to Watch
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ : Be careful being too bearish. My daily market update provides the key levels for tomorrow on $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ , and $SMH. Also an update of my high probability setups. My bullish targets for $Apple(AAPL)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $Costco(COST)$ have been reached as my bearish ones for $SMH and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ The vanishing rally was expected for $QQQ as posted during the weekend,
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07-29 09:42
Overextended: Tactical Bounce or a Sustainable One?
Investors continued pulling capital away from AI-driven semiconductor darlings and rotated into consumer, healthcare, and industrial sectors. The semiconductor rout worsened as the Semiconductor ETF $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ tumbled for a fourth straight day, with individual memory leaders $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Micron Technology(MU)$ each plunging over 8%. Meanwhile, robust Q2 results fueled a massive surge in the Dow. Paint maker $Sherwin-Williams(SHW)$ jumped over 8%, $Coca-Cola(KO)$ rose 5% after raising its full-year guidance, and
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07-29 06:29
$iShares Nasdaq 100 ETF(IQQ)$ 🌟🌟🌟 I invest in IQQ because it tracks the Nasdaq 100 index: 100 of the largest non financial companies in just 1 powerful trade. This is the AI mega cap backbone and represent the companies building the chips, clouds, platforms and software that will define the decades to come. I love foundational, long term innovation plays and IQQ is exactly that. Right now is the best time to buy IQQ when it is on sale. @Tiger_comments @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @TBlive &n
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07-29 07:30
$SKHY 20260821 145.0 PUT$ dump and forget all my 'memory' wait for oppty
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07-29 02:21
100,000 Doomsday Calls on Software—Could Microsoft Spring a Surprise!?
The biggest difference between this week and last: negative sentiment toward memory chips is finally spreading widely. Last week was "buy the dip with full confidence"; but after CXMT's listing Monday, plus news of mass-produced Chinese DUV, fears of surging supply crushed an already fragile uptrend. For some names, a monthly pullback has turned into a quarterly one, and panic is fully setting in. Yet Tuesday's semiconductor crash didn't drag the broad market down—which, to me, isn't a good sign. Last week someone traded 70,000 contracts of the Aug 19 29 call$VIX 20260819 29.0 CALL$ . If the market won't correct even now, what is this VIX call betting on? Surely not a rate hike at Wednesday's FOMC?
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07-28 23:01
SK Hynix Earnings Options Strategy: Long-Term Narrative Strengthens, But Near-Term Sentiment Has Col
I. Fundamentals: Long-Term Visibility Improves, Valuation Attractive SK Hynix is signing more amended long-term agreements with hyperscale data center customers, covering both DDR5 and NAND. Contract terms exceed five years, with approximately 60–70% of expected volume/pricing already locked in, significantly boosting future earnings visibility — this serves as micro-level confirmation of the large-capex-backed memory storage thesis. This earnings report is expected to deliver unprecedented operating profit exceeding 100 trillion won. Yet, with such strong expectations, the stock has still plunged dramatically, indicating that near-term market sentiment has completely broken down. II. Volatility Estimates and Scenarios Monday's pre-market reference price was 154.57, with implied movement o
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07-28 22:00
$AFRM May Be Ready for a Bigger Comeback
$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ $Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) +4.02% Bounce: Affirm Rallies from Oversold Pit, $77.13 Resistance Activated 🔥🔄 Latest Close Data: $AFRM closed at $73.05, surging +4.02% on July 28, 2026. The stock is rebounding sharply from recent lows, currently trading 26.9% below its 52-week high of $100.00. Core Market Drivers: Fintech sentiment is stabilizing after recent sector-wide weakness related to rate-cut delays. The bounce is largely technical, driven by short-covering as the short volume ratio dropped from 18.43% to 14.37% over the past week. The company’s recent $6.75B credit facility expansion provides a solid liquidity narrative. Technical Analysis: Volume stood at 3.11M shares, with a Volume Ratio of 0.82, suggesting
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07-28 21:52
$Z May Have Finally Found Its Bottom
$Zillow(Z)$ $Zillow Group Inc.(Z) Claws Back +4.03%, Bullish MACD Crossover Ignites Rebound Momentum, Eyes $39.32 Resistance Latest Close Data: Z closed at $32.00 on July 28, 2026, surging +4.03% from the previous close of $30.76. The stock is bouncing sharply from near its 52-week low of $29.23, though it remains significantly below its 52-week high of $93.88. Core Market Drivers: Zillow is staging a technical rebound as the broader real estate tech sector shows signs of stabilization. The stock is recovering from a prolonged downtrend, with bargain hunting emerging as valuation metrics compress. Sector sympathy is positive, with peers like Opendoor and Compass recently seeing similar bounce patterns. Technical Analysis: Today's rally is critically
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07-28 21:46
$TRIP Rebounds 4.2% as Bulls Eye a Break Above $14.50
$TripAdvisor(TRIP)$ $Tripadvisor(TRIP) Surged +4.23%: Travel Tech Rebound in Motion, $14.50 Resistance in Sight 📈 Latest Close Data: TRIP closed at $14.28 (+4.23%) on 2026-07-28. The stock is recovering from recent lows, currently trading 29.2% below its 52-week high of $20.16, but showing strong momentum off the $13.70 support level. Core Market Drivers: The rebound comes after BTIG downgraded TRIP to Neutral, suggesting the bad news may be priced in. With a P/S ratio of just 0.89, value investors are stepping in. The travel sector is showing resilience, and TRIP's global platform (including TheFork) provides a diversified revenue stream amid mixed macro signals. Technical Analysis: Volume was 1.89M shares, with short volume still elevated at ~38
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07-28 21:38
$ORCL Rebounds 4.3% as Bulls Target the $122 Breakout
$Oracle(ORCL)$ $Oracle (ORCL) Surges +4.27%, Rebounding from 52-Week Low, Testing Key $122 Pivot 🚀 Latest Close Data: ORCL closed at $119.90, surging +4.27% on July 28, 2026. The stock is bouncing sharply from its 52-week low of $114.75, though it remains deep in correction territory, -65.3% below its 52-week high of $345.72. Core Market Drivers: ORCL is staging a technical rebound after recently hitting a 52-week low, driven by oversold conditions following a year-long -37% rout. Heavy AI Capex return concerns had crushed the stock, but short-covering is emerging. The volume ratio of 1.13 indicates active participation in this bounce. Technical Analysis: 📊 The RSI(6) jumped to 36.93, recovering sharply from a deeply oversold 23.3, signaling stron
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07-28 21:31
$SE Breaks Above $100, Signaling a Momentum Shift
$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Sea Ltd.(SE) Jumps +4.39% to Reclaim $104: E-Commerce Giant Primed for Breakout, $116 Resistance in Sight 📈 📊 Latest Close: SE closed at $104.39, surging +4.39% on July 28. The stock rebounds strongly from the 52-week low of $77.05, but remains 47.6% below its 52-week high of $199.30. 🚀 Core Market Drivers: The rally is fueled by robust fundamental momentum. Shopee’s deepening partnership with Meta for Instagram affiliate projects is boosting social commerce sentiment. Underpinning this is stellar Q1 performance: revenue jumped 46.6% YoY to $7.097B, with Shopee GMV growing 30%. The stock is recovering from a recent dip, catching up with the broader internet retail sector's strength. 📈 Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 4.61M, with t
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07-28 21:21
$CHWY Turns the Corner, Setting Up a Test of $24
$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY) +4.51% Rally: Pet E-Commerce Giant Reclaims Momentum, $24 Target in Sight 📈🐾 Latest Close Data: CHWY closed at $21.80 on July 28, 2026, surging +4.51% with a session high of $22.31. The stock is decisively bouncing off its 52-week low of $17.40 but remains well below its 52-week high of $43.50. Core Market Drivers: Chewy is riding a wave of positive sentiment following its Q1 earnings beat last month, where EPS of $0.43 topped consensus. Despite broader consumer spending concerns, the largest pure-play pet e-commerce retailer continues to demonstrate resilience, attracting dip-buyers after a recent pullback to $19.50 support. Technical Analysis: Momentum is shifting bullish. The daily MACD histogram is expand
370
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07-28 21:17
$YELP Climbs on a Short Squeeze, Momentum Keeps Building
$Yelp(YELP)$ $YELP +5.22% Surge Breaks Consolidation, Bulls Eye $26.83 Resistance for Next Leg Up Latest Close Data: Yelp Inc. closed at $26.41 on July 28, 2026, rocketing +5.22%. The stock decisively broke out of its recent slumber, pushing away from the $25.10 prior close and challenging the upper end of its range. It remains -25.2% below its 52-week high of $35.29. Core Market Drivers: The surge was driven by a massive shift in sentiment as the short-volume ratio collapsed from 39.97% to 25.98% in a single session, sparking a squeeze. Institutional confidence remains solid with heavyweights like BlackRock (18.12% stake) holding firm, creating a floor. The local ad market resilience narrative regained traction despite a lack of fresh company-spe
487
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07-28 21:05
$GM Charges Toward a New 52-Week High After 5% Rally
$General Motors(GM)$ $General Motors(GM) Surged +5.32%: Auto Giant Retakes 52-Week High, Momentum Unstoppable at $87 Latest Close Data: GM closed at $87.04, surging +5.32%, just 0.66% below its 52-week high of $87.62. The stock opened at $85.00 and hit a daily high of $87.08. Core Market Drivers: Bullish momentum continued after Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy and raised the target to $99. This follows a stellar Q2 earnings beat and the second upward revision to its full-year profit guidance, fueling institutional confidence. Technical Analysis: A powerful breakout signal is flashing. The MACD histogram has skyrocketed to 2.08, with DIF (1.02) crossing far above DEA (-0.02), confirming a strong bullish crossover. RSI(6) spiked to 81.92, entering
424
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07-28 20:59
$SWKS Rallies Ahead of Earnings, Bulls Eye a Break Above $69
$Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ $Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) Leaps +5.36% to $63.44: Chip Stock Rebounds as Momentum Surges, Eyes $69 Resistance Breakout Latest Close Data: Skyworks Solutions ($SWKS) closed at $63.44 on July 28, 2026, surging +5.36%. The stock is recovering from deeply oversold levels, now trading 30.2% below its 52-week high of $90.90, but has reclaimed ground above the crucial $60 psychological handle. Core Market Drivers: The stock soared ahead of its fiscal Q3 earnings report, with strong volume suggesting optimism for a beat against the low-bar consensus of $0.65 EPS. Sentiment flipped positive after KeyBanc noted that Apple order cut fears are already priced in, setting the stage for a relief rally. Technical Analysis: 📈 Volume exp
247
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07-28 20:52
$RACE Looks Ready to Challenge $400
$Ferrari NV(RACE)$ $Ferrari N.V.(RACE) Surges +5.52% to $380.01: Luxury Auto Titan Breaks Resistance Ahead of Earnings, $497 Target in Sight 📊 Latest Close Data RACE closed at $380.01, a sharp +5.52% surge, just 26.8% below its 52-week high of $519.10. The stock decisively reclaimed the immediate resistance zone, reflecting powerful bullish momentum. 💡 Core Market Drivers The rally is fueled by anticipation for the July 30 earnings report. UBS expects results to "further accelerate," predicting an upward guidance revision, and maintains a Buy rating with a $497 target. This bullish consensus offsets prior dips tied to sector-wide EV weakness and China sales concerns, with buy-the-rumor flow dominating ahead of the financials. 📈 Technical Analysis
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07-28 20:45
$ADBE Flips Higher, Setting Up a Test of $258
$Adobe(ADBE)$ $Adobe (ADBE) Surges +5.62%: Creative Giant Awakens, Bulls Eye $258 Resistance Zone 🚀 Latest Close Data: Adobe closed at $237.75 on July 28, 2026, soaring +5.62% (+$12.64). While still 36.8% below its 52-week high of $376.16, this powerful rally decisively clears recent consolidation levels and signals a major momentum shift. 📈 Core Market Drivers: The stock is riding a wave of value recognition after a deep correction, with BofA noting its "attractive" ~8x FCF valuation. The sudden July departure of its CFO is now priced in, and the market is refocusing on the $500M+ AI-first ARR momentum and the strategic freemium model transition to capture future creators. 💡 Technical Analysis: The breakout is confirmed by a bullish MACD crossove
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07-28 20:09
Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat
First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli
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07-28 20:35
$ISRG Could Be Turning the Corner After a Sharp Reset
$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ $Intuitive Surgical, Inc.(ISRG) Surges +5.73%: Robotic Surgery Leader Springs from Oversold Lows, $360 Pivot in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data 📈 ISRG closed at $356.83 (+5.73%), rebounding sharply from near its 52-Week Low of $328.57. The stock is still down significantly from its 52-Week High of $603.88, indicating a deep value recovery phase. Core Market Drivers 📰 The snapback rally gained momentum following a brutal post-earnings sell-off. Despite Q2 EPS of $2.80 beating estimates, the unchanged annual procedure growth guidance had previously triggered heavy distribution. Today's surge is fueled by analysts reiterating Buy ratings despite price target cuts, signaling a potential bottom. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume stood at