AI Capex Showdown: Why Microsoft Got a Standing Ovation and Meta Took a Hit I've been watching these tech earnings for years, and last night's reports from Microsoft and Meta delivered one of the cleanest case studies in how Wall Street actually prices AI bets. Both companies dropped monster revenue numbers. Both are pouring tens of billions into the same infrastructure gold rush. Yet the market sent MSFT shares up sharply after hours while hammering META down nearly as hard in the other direction. Let's break it down without the hype. The Numbers Side by Side Microsoft's fiscal Q4 (ended June 30, 2026) came in at $90 billion revenue, up 18% year-over-year and ahead of expectations. Adjusted EPS hit $4.74, crushing the street. Azure cloud growth accelerated to 43%, pushing the annual cloud
There is a coherent argument for SK Hynix being the most resilient name, but it is not guaranteed to outperform. SK Hynix derives a larger share of earnings from high-bandwidth memory (HBM), where demand is still driven by AI accelerators and supply remains relatively tight. Micron and SanDisk have greater exposure to conventional DRAM or NAND pricing, which is more vulnerable if oversupply emerges. That helps explain why SK Hynix declined less. However, resilience is different from immunity. If hyperscaler AI spending slows, HBM demand weakens, or customers digest inventory, SK Hynix will also face pressure. CEO insider selling at Micron may affect sentiment, but it does not necessarily signal an industry peak on its own. The key indicators to watch are HBM pricing, AI capex from hypersca
[Event Registration] 4th August|Understanding Futures: Why They Exist and How They Work|Tom Yuen
Futures play a key role in global finance by allowing participants to hedge price changes, express market views, and respond to shifting conditions with confidence. Have you ever thought about why futures markets matter and how they help manage risk? Whether you're completely new to futures or looking to deepen your understanding of the market, this session will provide a practical and engaging introduction to the fundamentals of futures trading. Discover why futures were created, how they have evolved over time, and the important role they play in today's global financial markets. Through examples and case studies, you'll learn the essentials of futures contract specifications—including contract size, margin, tick value, expiry, and daily settlement—while learning the purpose behind each
1 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ what a bounce today, SPX +120 SPX if it reclaims 7500 we can see all time highs again in August. Calls can work above 7420 tomorrow $Micron Technology(MU)$ the bottom is in. The stock dropped from 1250 to 705. If it gets through 900.. 1000 comes fast. MU July 31 930C can work above 900 $Microsoft(MSFT)$ up 17% after earnings. MSFT has been in a downtrend for months. If MSFT can form a new base above 440.. we can see 500 by September. Calls can work above 450 tomorrow. Good luck tmrw everyone!! 📈 2 STOP TRADING UNTIL THIS HAPPENS. Before I decide how aggressive to be, I check the
☁️ Amazon’s US$220 Billion AI Bet: Has AWS Just Passed the Microsoft Test?
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ As we head in to the new month!! AWS growth has accelerated to its fastest pace in years, but Amazon’s free cash flow has turned negative. Is this the beginning of an AI payoff, or the most expensive growth cycle in company history? Amazon has just delivered one of the most important earnings reports of the artificial-intelligence investment cycle. The headline numbers were strong. Revenue exceeded expectations. AWS accelerated. Artificial-intelligence demand remained enormous. Amazon shares jumped after hours. However, underneath the earnings beat sits a much more complicated question. Amazon now expects to invest approximately US$220 billion in capital expenditure during 2026, up from its previous expectation of around US
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ amazing pump after earnings! Azure revenue surged 43% and cloud sales rose 27%. What amazing growth 🤩 I'm so glad I bought more shares during the sell off. Msft is currently trading above the 200 sma , if it can hold and consolidate I believe it will break above $468 which is strong resistance. If the 200sma can't hold as support then the gap at $400 will likely fill, that would be a great buying opportunity!
$BLDP 200% Setup Returns, $AA -50%, $INTU and $KTOS Reach Multi-Year Buy Zones
Markets rarely ring a bell at major bottoms. Instead, they create fear, frustration, and long periods of underperformance that force weak hands out before institutions begin accumulating again. Today, four very different companies—$BLDP, $AA, $INTU, and $KTOS—are approaching the kinds of long-term Smart Money Zones that have historically attracted patient capital. Some are coming off brutal 50% drawdowns. Others are entering multi-year accumulation ranges where previous bull cycles quietly began. These aren't momentum trades. They're high-conviction areas worth watching for investors focused on the next 12 to 36 months. 1. $Ballard Power(BLDP)$ $BLDP Smart Money Setup Cycle: Bull Discount zone: $2.80 – $3.00 Invalidation: Break of prior swing low
The biggest moves rarely start when everyone is comfortable. They begin when fear, volatility, and forced selling create opportunities for patient capital. $NBIS and $BE have already exploded higher from Smart Money Zones, while $CVNA, $ENPH, and $QCOM are now approaching areas where institutions historically step back in. The question is not chasing yesterday’s winners. It’s identifying where the next asymmetric setups are forming. 1. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $NBIS gapped +30% off the Smart Money Zone. $300 is still on the table, but there’s nothing wrong with taking 30% in a single session and waiting for a retracement back to the zone for a second entry. 2. $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ $BE ripped +30% off our Smart Mon
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Zoox secured the first U.S. approval to commercially deploy purpose-built robotaxis without steering wheels or pedals. The exemption allows up to 2,500 vehicles annually for two years and clears the way for paid rides pending local approval. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ finally connected AI demand, capex, margins and the payback period inside one coherent explanation. AWS is already a ~$179B annual revenue business growing almost 37% with margins near 39% while backlog has reached ~$500B and both its AI and custom-chip businesses have surpassed $25B run rates. That operating strength makes mana
$Hexcel(HXL)$ remains a solid investment following its recent Q2 report, which showed sales rising 8% to $529.3 million and adjusted EPS climbing to $0.66, supported by strong commercial aerospace demand, continued dividend growth, and a valuation that still looks reasonable relative to its multi-year revenue recovery potential.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 If we do write options on $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ to play earnings, it will most likely be ... - naked calls at $280 strike, expiry in the July 31 - Aug 7 timeframe - put credit spread, $185/165 strikes, expiry in Aug
GOLD: Maintain a Sell-biased Strategy In the Short Term!
$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$Technical Analysis: The price of gold has officially broken below the key pivot zone of 4086–4090. The current price stands at 4078, with the intraday decline widening further to -0.60%. This zone has now turned into resistance! The signal for a short-term breakout to the downside is very clear. With the 4,080 level under pressure, the only strong support remaining below is the support zone at 4,025–4,011 and the psychological barrier at 4,000. Today is the last trading day of the month. The decline in the Asian session is largely due to some institutional long positions liquidating this month’s profits ahead of s
One Sentence:Apple Books It as Cost, SanDisk Books It as Revenue.
$Apple(AAPL)$ beat on revenue for its fiscal third quarter and fell 5.74 per cent after hours. Once the same call had wrapped up, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ rose 4.61 per cent in extended hours and $SK hynix(SKHY)$ 3.76 per cent. Between the two sits a single remark from Tim Cook: memory supply is tight, it will hit next quarter, and the company is stockpiling hard to get ahead of significant supply constraints. On Apple's books that sentence is a cost. On a memory maker's books it is revenue. One fact, two income statements, opposite signs. Before we put the whole 5.74 per cent on that one line: the same results missed
Amazon Earnings Review: AWS's Blowout Results Perfectly Showcase the Business Value of AI Cloud $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ released its FY26-Q2 (quarter ended June 2026) earnings after market close on July 30, 2026. This quarter saw AWS grow at its fastest pace in five years, significant overall margin expansion, and both EPS and revenue beating expectations — a comprehensive, high-quality earnings blowout. Key metrics are as follows: Core Financial Indicators – Revenue: $200.6B, up +19.6% YoY and +10.5% QoQ, beating the market consensus of $197B. – Net Income: $62.6B, surging +244.9% YoY, with net margin reaching a record high of 31.2%. – EPS: $5.75, up +242.3% YoY The significant increase in net profit was prim
MSFT, AMZN, AAPL, FSLR& NVDA: Who is the Winner in the AI Game?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 🚨 Nvidia is back at the 200, I repeat, Nvidia is back at the 200 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 2 MACD bull cross is in 👀 $First Solar(FSLR)$ 3 $Apple(AAPL)$ extends drop to more than -8% in after-hours after lowering forward revenue guidance 🩸 Apple's CFO stated the company expects supply constraint to increase significantly in the coming months. 4 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ has now added +$20 billion in market cap in the last 20 minutes 5 $Microsoft(MSF
$INTC Missed the Trade, $RNG Nailed It, $BBY Stayed Disciplined
This week's market offered another reminder that price structure, sector rotation, and market positioning often matter more than headline results. From Intel's post-earnings weakness to RingCentral's technical breakout and Best Buy's disciplined trend-following setup, these trades highlight one key principle: the market rewards context, not just numbers. 1. $Intel(INTC)$ Price structure always takes precedence over earnings in trading. Despite posting +520% EPS growth (+93% beat) and +25% revenue growth (+12% beat), the chart remains the primary source of truth. $INTC basically already have a loosening structure prior for over 2 months. 2. $RingCentral(RNG)$ My 2 cents on $RNG: $RNG belonged to 2 baskets:
Tech Selloff Deepens On Tue, 28 Jul 2026, selloff in US technology stocks gathered pace. It took the sector’s market value loss to about $1.6 trillion in just over 5 trading sessions. It comes at a time when investors continued to question (a) heavy AI spending, (b) disappointing earnings and (c) rising capex commitments by the industry's largest companies. This latest wave of selling pushed the Nasdaq-100 into correction territory during the session, marking a decline of more than -10% from its most recent record high. The tech index, which tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange, finished the day -1.0% lower. As pointed out in my previous post (click here ! to savour),
No investor has epitomized 2026 like Leopold Aschenbrenner. Through June, his $48 billion (at the time) hedge fund, Situational Awareness, was up 439% after fees, an incredible run by any measure. This morning, Situational Awareness blew up. What happened and what can we learn about leverage, buying dips, and investing today? That’s what I’m going to dig through today. Blowing Up In 2009, I was in MBA school and interned for a hedge fund in the Minneapolis area that did a little bit of everything. There was market making, high-frequency trading, options positions, and even leveraged bets on commodities. It was a whirlwind of a learning experience, and at the end, I sat down with the owner, who had been in hedge funds for ~30 years. We talked for over an hour, but one thing stuck out to me:
Last night in the mid-week update, I mentioned how likely a bounce was for today given oversold conditions in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$. I also noted how oversold $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ was to guard against further declines, clarifying that technicals do not anticipate earnings reactions. In a neutral way, I highlighted that $Apple(AAPL)$ was overbought and outlined the technical reasons why a decline was likely. Both of those expectations played out today 🎯. Following its earnings release, $Meta P