To The Moon

Market Overview Wall Street ended ​lower on ​Tuesday (Aug 11), with Amazon and Alphabet dipping, as investors became more pessimistic about a potential deal to bring stability to the Middle East. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 49,643,700 contracts was traded, of which 57% were call options. Top 10 Option Volumes Top 10: $NVDA(NVDA)$, $TSLA(TSLA)$, $SPCX(SPCX)$, $VIX(VIX)$, $AAPL(AAPL)$, $MU(MU)$, $AMZN(AMZN)$, $PLTR(PLTR)$,

While Wall Street panicked over debt, Oracle quietly played 4D chess. Here is how they pulled off the ultimate masterclass in macro positioning: $Oracle(ORCL)$   📉   debt structure at 4.4x leverage while hardware cost were favorable.  Build a massive multi-billion-dollar war chest before anyone else saw what was coming. 💥 The Shock Then the AI tsunami hit. Within 12 months, the hardware supply chain completely broke:  * Enterprise SSDs/NAND: Up 5x to 6x 📈  * High-Capacity HDDs: More than doubled 📈  * Server RAM & DRAM: Severe structural shortages compounding quarterly, doubling standard server build costs. Competitors scrambling for spot-market parts got completely squeezed

The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) calmed market anxieties regarding potential interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, with fed fund futures reducing the probability of a September rate hike down to around 40%, one of the reasons for the bullish move today. Appetite for technology and hardware infrastructure stocks saw a revival, $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ soared +19% after reporting an EPS beat of 84% above estimates and raising its forward guidance. Cloud-computing platform $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ also leaped +19.3% following stronger-than-expected sales results. Semiconductors bounced, $Micron Technology(MU)$ leading the move with a +5% rally. On th

$TSLA 20260828 250.0 PUT$ decided to close this and looking at another with further expiry date... 

$INTC 20260814 88.0 PUT$ small end day put, small pocket money while I rest :) 

Dead cat bounce? Bull trap? Gonna dump after earnings as usual this time?? $NVDA 20260821 240.0 CALL$  

I. Valuation Is Cheap Q2 total revenue is expected to decline 3% YoY, while non-GAAP net profit is expected to grow 18% YoY — results are likely in line with or slightly above consensus. Delivery loss visibility has improved: expected to drop significantly from the 2025 peak of RMB 13 billion to below RMB 6 billion in Q2 2026. JoyBuy is expanding modestly into Italy, Spain, and Greece; the acquisition of Germany's Ceconomy (€2.2 billion) has received approval from the German Ministry of Economic Affairs. Earnings recovery is solid + valuation is not demanding. Current 2026/27 P/E is only 9.6/7.7x — valuation is reasonable. Core tension: Revenue pressure (high base, -3%) but strong profit growth (+18%, delivery loss narrowing), combined with extremely low valuation (8–9x P/E) → long-term va

One-sentence theme: CPI came in as expected, focus shifts to compute — demand-side continues to validate (CRWV/NBIS capacity sold out, Temasek eyeing Korean storage, CME launching compute futures). Strategic tone: Pullbacks are opportunities for Sell Put positioning, not reasons to chase highs. I. Macro: CPI in Line, No Surprises CPI came in at +3.4% YoY, core at +2.5% — both in line with expectations. The probability of a September rate hike remains unchanged at 45%. → No change to the rate-cut trade rhythm; neutral impact on the broader market. II. Compute Theme: Strong Demand-Side Validation ✅ CRWV: Backlog orders at $104 billion, EPS -1.14 beat the -1.41 consensus. NBIS stated that all 2027 capacity is already sold out. → Compute demand remains very strong and shows no signs of slowing

$Hyatt(H)$ $Hyatt Hotels (H) +1.51% Rebound Attempt: $172.64 Holds as Earnings Dip Finds Support, $187.86 Resistance Eyed 📈 Latest Close Data: Closed at $172.64, up +1.51% (+$2.56). Still trading -16.5% below its 52-week high of $206.86, the stock is attempting to stabilize after the post-earnings sell-off. Core Market Drivers: The slight recovery comes after a brutal sell-off despite a massive Q2 beat (EPS $1.12 vs $0.91 est). The decline was driven by a "sell the news" event and a lowered 2026 net room growth forecast (~6% vs 6-7% guidance). However, strong institutional backing remains, with Morgan Stanley recently hiking its target to $218. Technical Analysis: The RSI (6) is climbing out of the deep oversold territory at 36.13, suggesting the imm

$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ $Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) Steady Climb +1.54%: Fintech Momentum Holds Near $77, Eyes on $81 Breakout Latest Close Data: $$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM$$ closed at $76.71 (+1.54%) on Aug 12. The stock is trading firmly above its recent support levels but remains -23.29% below its 52-week high of $100.00. Core Market Drivers: Bullish sentiment is fueled by Bernstein initiating coverage with an "Outperform" rating. Furthermore, the company's enhanced financial flexibility, including a credit facility boost to $675M and a renewed $1.7B loan purchase agreement with CPP Investments, underpins strong growth expectations. Technical Analysis: Volume came in at 2.11M shares, slightly below average (Volume Ratio: 0.78). The MA

$TripAdvisor(TRIP)$ $Tripadvisor Inc.(TRIP) +1.58% Stabilizes Near $11, Risk Converges for Breakout Decision, Pivot $10.95 Latest Close Data: TRIP closed at $10.95, up +1.58% on August 12, 2026. The stock is rebounding from deep oversold levels, but remains significantly below its 52-week high of $20.16, with $11.10 acting as the immediate intraday ceiling. Core Market Drivers: The stock is attempting to stabilize following a massive >20% plunge on August 6th, triggered by dismal Q2 results where revenue missed estimates ($441.9M vs. $506.3M expected). Adding pressure, BTIG downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral in late July, dampening institutional sentiment amid a challenging travel tech landscape. Technical Analysis: Volume settled at 4.18

$General Motors(GM)$ $General Motors(GM) +1.58% Closes Near Highs, EV Momentum Fuels Breakout Attempt, $90-$92 Target Zone in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data: Closed at $89.35 (+1.58%) on 2026-08-12. The stock is now just 2.72% away from its 52-week high of $91.85. Core Market Drivers: EV Sentiment Boost: GM's stock momentum aligns with strong sector-wide enthusiasm for traditional automakers transitioning to electric vehicles, as rivals like Ford and Chinese EV makers recently surged on new model rollouts. 🔋 Institutional Backing: Heavyweight institutional support remains solid, with major holders like BlackRock (8.81%) and Vanguard (7.27%) anchoring the float, signaling confidence in GM's long-term strategy. 🐋 Technical Analysis: Volume: 479.21万 shares

$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ $Unity Software Inc.(U) +1.79% Surge: Momentum Fully Charged, $45 Breakout Imminent, Next Stop $50-$55 Zone Latest Close Data: $U closed at $43.87 (+1.79%), extending its winning streak and sitting just -15.9% from its 52-week high of $52.15. The pre-market high was $43.62, and the day's range was $42.10 - $43.89, showing strong intraday support. Core Market Drivers: 🍏 Analyst Upgrades: BofA Global Research upgraded U to "Buy" with a target raised to $50, reflecting strong post-earnings sentiment. 📊 Q2 Momentum: The market continues to digest the blowout Q2 report (Revenue $5.46B vs. Est. $5.15B; Adj. EPS $0.28 vs. Est. -$0.09) and robust Q3 guidance. 📈 Institutional Flow: Heavy net outflow (-$915.29M) seen on Aug 10 suggests

$Herbalife(HLF)$ $Herbalife (HLF) +1.91%: Herbalife Bounces Off Lows, Recovery Momentum Builds Towards $13.77 Resistance Latest Close Data: HLF closed at $11.74 on Aug 12, posting a solid +1.91% gain. The stock is currently trading -42.4% below its 52-week high of $20.40, but has successfully rebounded from its yearly low of $7.56. Core Market Drivers: The stock is showing signs of bottoming as bargain hunting emerges. While the consumer staples sector faces macro headwinds, HLF is attracting attention due to its extremely compressed valuation. Notably, institutional holders like The Baupost Group and BlackRock maintain significant positions, signaling long-term confidence. Technical Analysis: Volume came in at 1.79M shares, slightly below average

$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ $Intuitive Surgical, Inc.(ISRG) Rallies +2.00% to $401.23: Robotic Surgery Leader Recovers with Momentum Building, $468 Resistance in Sight 🔥 Latest Close Data: ISRG closed at $401.23 on Aug 12, gaining +2.00%. The stock is rebounding from its 52-week low of $328.57 but remains significantly below its 52-week high of $603.88. 📊 Core Market Drivers: The medical device sector is rallying broadly, lifting ISRG with strong sector linkage. The stock extends its recovery from an oversold condition following a post-earnings sell-off, despite stellar Q2 results (EPS of $2.80 beat by 12%). Recent upgrades, including UBS raising to Buy with a $500 target, are fueling positive sentiment. 🏥 Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 4.12M