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08-17
Why Did GDXU Suddenly Surge?
Last Friday, GDXU jumped 5.51%. So, what drove this sharp move? 1.Gold itself resumed its rally. On August 14, spot gold rose about 0.7% to around $4,380 per ounce, while gold futures gained roughly 0.4%. This means the move was not unique to GDXU. It followed the normal transmission mechanism: Gold → Gold miners → 3x leveraged GDXU 2.A weaker US dollar was one of the most direct catalysts. The US Dollar Index fell about 0.28% to 99.65. US retail sales unexpectedly declined, while inflation data did not show renewed acceleration, prompting markets to reduce expectations for a September Fed rate hike. A weaker dollar is generally supportive for dollar-denominated gold. 3.Markets lowered the probability of a September Fed rate hike. Market-implied odds of a September rate increase fell from
TOPOgdenHerbert: $3000 AISC feels too high though. A lot of miners are closer to $1400-$1800 now, so the earnings torque could be even bigger no?
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08-17
NVDA hits $236 breakout before Q2 results ?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is slated to report its Q2 2026 earnings on Wed, 26 Aug 2026. Is it timely to take a closer look at the stock prior to its earnings release ? I think so, especially if there is a chance to take a position before a potential rally. According to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD), the AI chip giant is (currently), holding just above a short handle entry. Near Buy Point ? Last week, shares of the AI chipmaker edged up a fraction, coming in at +0.64%, for the week, enough to put it just -4.8% below a $236.54 buy point from a cup-shape base. Interestingly, NVDA already offered an early entry from a short handle, with the 7 Aug 2026 high of $224.76 marking the exact buy point. The Relative Strength line for the AI chip stock is rising,
TOP$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia will invest US$1.5 billion in SoftBank-backed SB Energy and secure up to 8 gigawatts of AI computing capacity at an Ohio campus being built by the data centre developer for OpenAI. The deal is the latest where Nvidia is financing the ecosystem consuming its chips, a strategy that has helped fuel demand but also drawn scrutiny over the circular flows of funds from the chipmaker to its biggest customers. Leading tech firms are increasingly tying together chips, power and data centre development as they race to secure the infrastructure needed for increasingly power-hungry AI models. As per @JC888 lets follow Nvidia (NVDA) Stock News more diligently !!!
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08-17
Baidu Earnings Preview: Can AI Drive a Turnaround in Performance?
Baidu is set to release its second-quarter earnings report after the Hong Kong market closes on August 18. According to analyst estimates, Baidu’s revenue for the second quarter of 2026 is expected to reach RMB 31.587 billion, while adjusted EPS is estimated at RMB 1.218. $BIDU-SW(09888)$ $Baidu(BIDU)$ $BIDU-SWR(89888)$ Baidu’s share price has been volatile recently, with the stock trending downward since early August. With the earnings release approaching, the market will focus on Baidu’s profitability and whether its traditional search advertising and AI businesses can maintain growth amid intensifying competiti
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08-17
W5 Blow-Off Top Nears 8,000, Then a 10–15% Correction?
The W5 blow-off rally has played out almost exactly as expected, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ reaching the 7,700 area. That leaves one final upside zone on the radar: 7,900–8,000. But the bigger question is what happens after that. The June highs are already showing bearish SMT divergence with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , suggesting the rally may be losing momentum beneath the surface. As long as the Nasdaq remains below its all-time highs, the risk of a 10–15% correction remains on the table. The larger Elliott Wave structure also points to a potential W4 decline later this year, with the S&P 500 potentially retracing toward 7,200 or lower. For now, the trend remains bullish, but the risk/reward is changing qu
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08-17
U.S. Stock Market Mid-August Review and Late-Summer Sector Outlook
The U.S. stock market navigated a high-stakes, data-heavy week from August 10 through August 14, 2026. As investors digested a triple-header of macroeconomic catalysts—July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), and Advance Retail Sales—Wall Street found itself balancing persistent inflation sticky spots with signs of a cooling consumer backdrop. With the S&P 500 (+0.36%), Morningstar US Total Market Index (+0.48%), and Dow Jones holding steady while high-valuation growth sectors experienced underlying volatility, market participants are actively recalibrating expectations for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming September FOMC meeting. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$
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08-14
NEW RECORD FOR THE S&P 500 — BUT THE REAL STORY IS INFLATION
The S&P 500 just hit another record high. And investors are celebrating. But the reason is more interesting than the headline. Inflation is cooling. The Fed is under less pressure to hike. And Wall Street is betting the economy can keep running hot. The question is: How long can this perfect setup last? ANOTHER RECORD FOR THE S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.65% Nasdaq: +0.81% Dow Jones: +0.13% The S&P 500 recorded its 27th record close of the year. And this wasn't just a handful of stocks pushing the index higher. Most S&P 500 sectors finished in positive territory, with technology leading the charge. Chip stocks and software names were particularly strong. The summer rally is alive. $NVIDIA(
TOPInflation is a silent killer.
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08-14
🪙 Tech Lit Up: NFLX, ADBE, CRM, MU & INTC All Jumped — One Macro Tailwind, Five Different Catalysts
👋 Thursday was a strong day for tech. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.65% to a record 7,798.99, while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ gained 0.81%. $Netflix(NFLX)$ jumped 5.43%, $Adobe(ADBE)$ 4.54%, $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ just over 4%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ 4.23%, and $Intel(INTC)$ 3.58%. The common tailwind was macro: softer inflation data reduced fears of another Fed hike and supported growth-sto
TOP$Micron Technology(MU)$ is my number one stock. It will reach $1150 soon.At number two is $Adobe(ADBE)$ , and $Netflix(NFLX)$ is number three. All these three will outperform over the next 30 days. Stock up now! Generative AI is the strongest sub-theme here. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ supplies the indispensable physical infrastructure powering them all. Thanks for sharing @TigerObserver @1PC @Shyon @icycrystal
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08-14
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 8/14/2026
$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$ By Lawrence G. McMillan After the monster rally of 400 points in just a few days in early August, $SPX took a few days to consolidate. Now it is making new all-time highs once again. There should be some support in that consolidation area (7700-7800), with stronger support at the old highs (7620). There is also a gap at the 7600 level which would act as support as well. There has been a good deal of reluctance on the part of the investment community to climb on board this northbound train. But it finally looks like put buying is slowing down, and the rally is spreading out to more and more issues (i.e., breadth is improving).
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08-14
Is this period the best ever for the market? Or is it a false positive?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. With Trump pushing for a cut in capital gains tax, which on the surface it does benefit the wealthy the most. However, it does mean its more favorable than ever as a retail investor to invest in the US market. With all the optimism taken into account, please do take precaution. Do not chase the companies that have already ran up, set your profit taking margins and stop losses. Develop your own system and stick to it until it breaks, then evaluate and adjust it accordingly. Always remember, the market only reward investors who stay invested. By having strict rules and system, it ensures that you get to stay in the market on the long run, while st
TOPWhat comes up must come down, historially, stocks are cycle in and out of index and the index always goes up. Long positioner could take profit on down with trailing stops and look for good shares to buy
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08-15
Nu Q2 2026: Profits, ARPU and Strong Customer Growth
Yesterday $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ reported earnings, and they were, as always, excellent! Most importantly, it seems the market is no longer selling off. It seems that the FOMO AI trade of selling quality and buying AI could be nearing the end. Nu’s stock is now up 13% in after-hours! The company continues to execute on all its objectives, yet the market is not rewarding it. Last quarter I said that this is because of the AI FOMO trade. Sell quality to buy AI stocks! As a result, Nu trades at just 16x FWD P/E. I find this valuation to be extremely attractive for long-term-minded investors, especially considering Nu posted such strong financial results: Total revenues $5.5B +50% Net income $1.06B +66.4% EPS $0.22+ 65.4%, Beating analyst estimate of
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08-15
Goldman Just Mapped the Entire AI Optics Supply Chain
$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ just dropped a map of the entire AI optics supply chain. Goldman just mapped the AI optics supply chain from chips to testing. The list covers the major publicly traded players across nearly every layer of the ecosystem. Chip / xPU Design:$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Cisco(CSCO)$ MediaTek Photonic & Electronic ICs:$Lumentum(LITE)$
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08-15
S&P 500 Record Highs: Reason for SPY 0DTE Options
With $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hitting fresh ALL TIME HIGH, staying exposed overnight can magnify emotional worry and gap risk. Day trading options allows traders to participate in strong intraday momentum while keeping overnight downside risk strictly capped.[Cool] WHY I DAY TRADE OPTIONS ( $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ,0DTE) Holding equity positions overnight often leaves investors vulnerable to market-moving pre-market headlines. Overnight Peace of Mind: Holding swing positions can cause worry and fear to expand as headlines break overnight[Drowsy]. Closing intraday setups means going to bed flat with zero overnight risk. Controlled Downside Risk: By using a defined-risk option strategy (a setup where th
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08-16
🧠 Smart Money Can’t Agree on AI. That Might Be the Biggest 13F Signal
Everyone opens the latest 13F filings looking for the same thing: What did smart money buy? I think that misses the more interesting question. What if smart money itself cannot agree? 🤔 The latest Q2 2026 filings show exactly that. Across more than 6,000 institutional filings reviewed by Reuters, there was surprisingly little agreement about where the next big returns in technology will come from. Nearly 44% of institutions reduced exposure to the Magnificent Seven, while about 42% increased or initiated positions. That is almost a coin flip. For me, that might be more useful than any individual billionaire’s purchase. 🧠 Signal #1: The AI trade is splitting into different camps AI is no longer one trade. A year or two ago, the strategy could almost be simplified to: AI spending rises ➡️ ch
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08-15
33,546 Shares Of A Stock That Just Missed Earnings. Here's W
Mathematical Money | August 15, 2026 Three weeks since my last post. Not because nothing happened — quite a lot did — but because I wanted the numbers straight before writing about them rather than after. So let's start where it hurts. MARA reported Q2 on August 6. Revenue came in at $174.9 million against the $209.4 million the street was looking for, and sitting inside the net loss was a $343 million fair-value hit on their digital assets. Bitcoin isn't helping either, around $62,800 as I write this and roughly $55,500 below where it was a year ago. MARA closed the week at $9.19, a lot nearer its 52-week low of $6.66 than the $23.45 high. If you hold this one you already know all that. You've been watching it. And I know the feeling of opening the app and deciding today's not the day. I'
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08-16
34 strongest moving stocks above $10B market cap
Here are 34 of the strongest-moving stocks with market caps above $10 billion, organized by industry group. These are highly liquid names with elevated ADR%. Software — Infrastructure$Zscaler Inc.(ZS)$ $Twilio(TWLO)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ Software — Application$Workday(WDAY)$ $Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM)$ $ServiceNow(NOW)$ Semiconducto
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08-16
SNDK $1,641. MU $971. The Memory Trade Just Validated Everything Bears Said Was Impossible.
Three weeks ago SNDK was at $1,000. MU was at $705. The narrative was peak cycle, guidance miss, China competition, and NAND euphoria fading. Today SNDK closed at $1,641 after gaining 7.39% on the day. MU closed at $971 after gaining 2.30%. MULL is at $22.62, up 4.67%. The SanDisk Investor Day just delivered the most detailed bull case the memory sector has ever produced in a single presentation. Here is what changed and where this goes next. What the Investor Day Actually Said This was not a cheerleading session. CFO Luis Visoso put specific numbers on the table with full accountability: - Flash market: $300B in 2026, $500B in 2027. Not an analyst estimate. The CFO of the world's largest pure-play NAND company saying this on record. - Supply tight into 2028. Demand continues to outpace Sa
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08-16
Why Drone Tariffs Help AeroVironment Only If Domestic Capacity Can Scale
New US tariffs substantially raise the price of imported drones and components, giving domestic manufacturers a protective barrier. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ is an obvious potential beneficiary, but the policy will matter only if the company can convert a more favourable competitive environment into profitable production and funded orders. President Donald Trump signed the drone proclamation on August 13. It imposes a 100% tariff on certain drones weighing more than 25 kilograms or carrying sensitive capabilities such as thermal imaging, a 25% tariff on smaller drones and specified parts, and lower country-specific rates for qualifying allies. The sensitive-product duties take effect 21 days after signing; some other component duties begin after 180 d
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08-16
Why July’s Retail-Sales Decline Is a Warning About Mix
~ Not Yet a Consumer Collapse. US retail sales fell for the first time in nine months in July, raising concerns that high fuel costs and exhausted tax refunds are pressuring household budgets. The details, however, show a sharp shift in timing and categories rather than a uniform retreat across consumer spending. The Census Bureau released the July estimate at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on August 14. Retail and food-services sales were $763.6 billion, down 0.6% from June but still 5.0% above July 2025. Excluding motor vehicles and gasoline, sales declined a smaller 0.2%. These figures are seasonally adjusted but not adjusted for inflation. The Census Bureau’s August 14 retail-sales report provides the official data and confidence intervals. The largest distortion was online shopping. Nonstore-
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08-16
Why Home Depot’s Pro Strategy Must Outrun a Frozen Housing Market
$Home Depot(HD)$ reports fiscal second-quarter results on August 18. The central question is whether its push into complex professional projects can offset weak housing turnover and cautious spending on major renovations. The first quarter, ended May 3 and reported May 19, established a restrained baseline. Sales increased 4.8% to $41.8 billion, helped by acquisitions, but comparable sales rose only 0.6% and US comparable sales increased 0.4%. Comparable customer transactions declined 1.3%, while the average ticket rose 2.2%. Adjusted earnings fell to $3.43 per share from $3.56. Home Depot retained guidance for fiscal-year comparable sales between flat and 2% growth and adjusted EPS between flat and 4% growth. Home Depot’s first-quarter release prov
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08-16
Why Lantheus’s New Alzheimer’s Approval Is More Valuable to Curium Than Today’s Stock Price Suggests
$Lantheus(LNTH)$ received US approval for a new Alzheimer’s imaging agent on August 14, but its shares barely moved because the company is already subject to a cash acquisition agreement. The more useful analysis therefore concerns merger economics: whether TAUKLARIFY improves the chance of receiving contingent payments and strengthens the strategic case for Curium’s proposed purchase. The FDA approved TAUKLARIFY, also known as florquinitau F 18 or MK-6240, for PET brain imaging in cognitively impaired adults being evaluated for Alzheimer’s disease. The agent identifies tau neurofibrillary-tangle pathology and complements amyloid imaging, although a positive scan does not by itself confirm Alzheimer’s and performance may be weaker at earlier patho