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7.44K
Selection
TigerObserver
·
08-19

📉 Market Divergence Triggers a Pullback — Should Inverse ETFs Be On Your Radar?

Take one look at today's top gainers list and the mood is unmistakable: outside of a single biotech outlier ( $Amylyx Pharmaceuticals(AMLX)$ , +63.84%, on stock-specific news), nearly every other name at the top is a bear or inverse leveraged ETF — funds designed to rise when the underlying assets fall. $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ (+15.20%, semiconductors bear 3x), $Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares(TECS)$ (+7.46%, tech bear 3x), $MicroSectors FANG & Innovation -3X Inverse Leveraged ETN(BERZ)$ (+7.91%, FANG/innovation bear
📉 Market Divergence Triggers a Pullback — Should Inverse ETFs Be On Your Radar?
TOP苏36: My take: 1) SOXS, 2) HIBS, 3) TECS. The clustering of inverse ETFs is a warning that investors are increasingly hedging duration and high-beta exposure, not necessarily calling for a full market crash. For the next 30 days, I expect the 10-year yield to stay around 4.7%, with 5% possible if inflation and Treasury supply worsen. The 30-year has already hit a 19-year high, showing how serious the bond-market pressure has become. The bigger threat to AI stocks is rising yields. AI debt issuance matters, but it is ultimately another channel through which higher financing costs can pressure valuations. Morgan Stanley expects global AI-related debt issuance to approach $570 billion this year. My view: this is a valuation reset, not necessarily the end of the AI cycle. @TigerObserver [正经]
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Shyon
·
08-18
I’m most bullish on $Micron Technology(MU)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ over the next 6 months, with MU standing out. HBM remains a critical AI bottleneck, while hyperscaler capex is still extremely strong. I believe memory suppliers can continue capturing a disproportionate share of AI spending as HBM demand stays elevated. NVDA remains a core holding thanks to CUDA, Blackwell and Rubin, while TSM benefits from virtually every leading-edge AI chip and advanced packaging demand. I’m also watching CRDO and ALAB as higher-growth AI connectivity pla
I’m most bullish on $Micron Technology(MU)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ over the next 6 months, with MU standing...
TOPEricVaughan: MU is still the shakier one to me. If inventory days are climbing while everyone leans on HBM, that bottleneck story may be masking a cycle problem lol
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苏36
·
08-18
I’d pick Ivan_Gan’s view as the most actionable. Bitcoin and gold offer clear technical levels, but macro policy is still the bigger driver across asset classes. If Fed hike expectations continue to fade, liquidity-sensitive assets like QQQ and SPY could remain supported even if markets stay range-bound. That said, gold’s breakout deserves attention. A short squeeze may explain the speed of the move, but sustained strength would suggest deeper institutional demand rather than just positioning. For Bitcoin, $67K is the key confirmation level, while $57.8K remains the line bulls cannot afford to lose. Personally, I’d rather wait for the breakout than chase the middle of the range. @WallStreet_Tiger [你懂的]
I’d pick Ivan_Gan’s view as the most actionable. Bitcoin and gold offer clear technical levels, but macro policy is still the bigger driver across ...
TOPBerthaAntoinette: Gold probably needs more than ETF flows here — sovereign funds and pensions shifting their inflation hedge playbook would matter way more for follow-through
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Max87
·
08-18
$Baidu(BIDU)$  earnings release basically is just the same as previous quarter except, now market realized the new AI business is not as profitable as it's legacy search ads business. Base on Tencents recent inputs, it's a 30% margin business whereas legacy ads is easily double this figure. In addition, it'll continue to swallow S&M & Capex $$ putting it's book under tremendous strain. At this point, the book still looks alright but if it wants to stay in business, they'll have to spend more. In usual scenario, market should price it at a higher discount, however, in China, it's a different case. BIDU survival will hinge on its relations within the countries government. So far, it seems like gov is still behind them as it has always b
$Baidu(BIDU)$ earnings release basically is just the same as previous quarter except, now market realized the new AI business is not as profitable ...
TOPjinglese: Who said the AI business has to out-earn search right now? I care more about whether Baidu can survive the spend cycle and stay strategically relevant over the next five years.
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koolgal
·
08-19
🌟🌟🌟The retail crowd is rubbing their eyes as $SpaceX(SPCX)$ pulled off a classic high beta thriller - blasting 4.45% higher yesterday only to turn around and get slapped by a 1.98% drop today. A massive release of Q2 13F regulatory filings exposed billions of dollars in secretive institutional holdings, sparked a massive tug of war between high conviction bulls and screaming bubble alarmists. Can SpaceX valuation continue its historic expansion or is it time to close the position while the going is good? Harvard Management revealed a massive investment in SpaceX worth USD 2.2 billion.  This makes up over half of its entire US equity portfolio. Titans like Viking Global Investors, Primecap Management & Darsana Capital also increased thei
🌟🌟🌟The retail crowd is rubbing their eyes as $SpaceX(SPCX)$ pulled off a classic high beta thriller - blasting 4.45% higher yesterday only to turn ...
TOPAbnerKeppel: Who said a 1.98% dip is the warning sign lol, Harvard parking 2.2B there is the louder signal. 300 still looks in play 🚀
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koolgal
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08-19
🌟🌟🌟 $Argo Exploration Ltd(AXT.AU)$ is only one of two companies on Earth alongside Japan's Sumitomo Electric capable of manufacturing Indium Phosphide.  This material is used to create the lasers that let AI data centers components communicate.  It is facing its most severe undersupply on record.  4th quarter wafer prices are slated to skyrocket over 10%. But why did it jumped 17% one day & tumbled 14% the next day? Trading at a P/E ratio exceeding 4000x, AXT is priced for hyper growth perfection.  When the broad market skids in surging bond yields, speculative stocks like AXT are the first to get sold off. Over the past year, AXT insiders have dumped USD 78.2 million worth of shares with zero insider buying.  Buy o
🌟🌟🌟 $Argo Exploration Ltd(AXT.AU)$ is only one of two companies on Earth alongside Japan's Sumitomo Electric capable of manufacturing Indium Phosph...
TOPMabelReed: 4000x PE alone tells me nothing here. A bottleneck material with real scarcity gets priced on future cash flow, not a backward snapshot lol
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Shyon
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08-19
I’m leaning bullish on Alibaba $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ going into earnings. The headline EPS and net income declines are expected, but I think the bigger story is whether heavy AI investment is finally translating into stronger Cloud growth and improving profitability. Alibaba Cloud growing over 40% would be a major positive signal, especially if AI-related demand continues to scale. I’ll also be watching whether Instant Commerce losses start narrowing, which could give China e-commerce margins some much-needed relief. My vote: Bullish but within flat range📈. If Alibaba delivers strong Cloud growth and gives investors confidence that AI spending can drive future profits, I think the market c
I’m leaning bullish on Alibaba $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ going into earnings. The headline EPS and net income declines are expected, but I t...
TOPNatalieTommy: IV is already juiced into earnings, so the calls feel way too rich. I care more about whether management gives any concrete timeline on Instant Commerce losses narrowing.
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Lanceljx
·
08-19
If I had to pick one piece of the AI infrastructure stack for the next six months, I would choose memory/storage, with Micron (MU) as my preferred exposure. AI is increasingly becoming a data-movement problem, not just a compute problem. HBM demand remains strong, while AI servers are also driving significant demand for high-performance SSDs and NAND. Tight supply and improving pricing could provide additional operating leverage. Micron is particularly interesting because it has exposure across HBM4, conventional server DRAM and enterprise SSDs, giving it multiple ways to benefit as AI infrastructure scales. Power could ultimately become the biggest bottleneck, but power-generation and grid projects generally have longer lead times. Chips remain attractive, but valuations and expectations
If I had to pick one piece of the AI infrastructure stack for the next six months, I would choose memory/storage, with Micron (MU) as my preferred ...
TOPsunshineboy: My bias is still memory first, but I care more about how much of the next two years' earnings rebound is already priced in. In cycle terms this feels mid-upturn, not early.
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Ah_Meng
·
08-19
stagflation is still a variable threat especially with the oil and gas prices still holding up or creeping higher now and then. With the war, it's not like the US national debt has any way to go but up... the indices might appear rebounding after corrections, the rebounds are increasingly weaker and seemingly supported by those components big tech companies rather than broad based buying. Furthermore, with Nasdaq's money 💰🤑 grabbing stint for companies such as $SpaceX(SPCX)$ , the index itself is no longer a good balance gauge of overall sentiments of the investment crowd. There's always a trigger or money sucking event that ends a 🐂, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ 's craze is as good as any... to signal a possible nex

Cooling inflations, Time to buy the Dip ?

@JC888
For week ending Fri, 14 Aug 2026, US market performance could at best be described as “mixed”. Overall, the week reflected a classic “good news is good news” dynamic: cooling inflation & steady earnings supported valuations. Soft activity data capped upside and prompted a modest Friday pullback from record highs. By the time market called it a week: DJIA: -0.36% (-340.25 to 53,732.41). S&P 500: +0.44% (+34.02 to 7,785.76). Crossed the 7,800 mark for the 1st time on Thu, 13 Aug 2026. Nasdaq: +0.18% ( +48.72 to 26,729.16). Eked out its 3rd weekly gain in a row, ending the week higher marginally. Weekly Catalysts. Catalysts that have either lifted / dampened market sentiments include: Cooling inflation. July 2026 - Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports rele
Cooling inflations, Time to buy the Dip ?
stagflation is still a variable threat especially with the oil and gas prices still holding up or creeping higher now and then. With the war, it's ...
TOPjinglese: I don't buy SPCX mania as a crash signal at all. Chasing a monster innovation story usually means liquidity is still there, weak breadth is a separate problem lol
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Pinkspider
·
08-19
GOOD NEWS 🚖 @Tesla Robotaxi reported absolutely zero collisions initiated by its Model Y ADS in the latest NHTSA ADS reporting update, covering data from June 16, 2025 through July 15, 2026 🔥 Taking a close look at the incident reports, the two newly submitted Tesla incidents both involved another driver striking a completely stopped Model Y 🆒 ✅ Down in Austin, where 100% of tracked robotaxi rides were unsupervised, the Model Y was stopped safely at a red left turn arrow. An SUV tried to change lanes, crashed into another car, and then careened right into the Tesla. ✅ Over in Dallas, it was the exact same story. The Model Y was fully pulled over and parked when a nearby passenger car simply reversed into its side. In both situations, the Tesla was at a complete standstill at 0 mph. There w
GOOD NEWS 🚖 @Tesla Robotaxi reported absolutely zero collisions initiated by its Model Y ADS in the latest NHTSA ADS reporting update, covering dat...
TOPAgathaHume: Austin doing 100% unsupervised rides with zero ADS-initiated collisions is the real milestone. Lab miles are one thing, live urban edge cases are way harder
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Pinkspider
·
08-19

TRADE PLAN WEDNESDAY

TRADE PLAN for Wednesday 📈 $SPX previous ATH at 7620 in play before a bottom forms. SPX gave up the 7700 support today after holding it for 9 days. Chip and memory stocks lead the move lower today as well. $QQQ possible it fills the gap near 707 before a bottom forms too. IF it can't reclaim 722 tomorrow, we can see more downside as well. Let the market drop for now. $MU needs a push back above 1000 to set up for 1250. We saw MU move from low 700's to 1035 in 3 weeks. Let's see if it can find a base above 900 this month. $SNDK ran from 998 to 1827. If it drops one more time to 1460, that's the buy area.
TRADE PLAN WEDNESDAY
TOPsnappix: That 9-day hold already showed strength. This looks more like a retest than a real breakdown, and AI memory demand still feels like the bigger driver for MU
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koolgal
·
08-19
🌟I believe that the biggest risk of AI capital expenditure is that chips are updated too quickly & the rate of equipment depreciation is underestimated. This is a ticking financial time bomb keeping Wall Street awake at night.  Big Tech hyperscalers are extending their depreciation schedule from 3 to 5 years to artificially boost their paper profits today. However the reality of the hardware lifecycle completely shatters this accounting magic. In standard accounting like basic AWS or Azure web hosting, 5 year old servers work perfectly fine.  But in the frontier AI arms race, a GPU from 3 years ago like NVIDIA A100 is already obsolete for training top models. Tech Giants must generate enough cash to pay for the next generation of hardware before the current ones are even rec

財報首頁沒寫全的AI賬單:科技巨頭還有3萬億美元表外承諾

@小虎热点雷达
市場每個季度都在追蹤科技巨頭的AI資本開支,但公開的Capex只是已經開工或完成採購的部分。九家大型科技公司還揹負着約3萬億美元的長期租賃、芯片採購和基礎設施承諾,AI競爭已經從“誰更敢花錢”,進入“誰能把未來現金流提前鎖定”的階段。 01|3萬億美元從哪裏冒出來的? 根據《華爾街日報》對九家科技公司財報附註的統計,這些企業最近12個月披露的資本開支合計約爲6000億美元。 但如果把尚未開始的數據中心租賃,以及已經簽訂、暫未交付的芯片和設備採購合同計算在內,未來支出承諾接近3萬億美元,大約是表面Capex的五倍。 其中大致包括: 約1.2萬億美元尚未開始執行的數據中心租賃; 約1.9萬億美元不可隨意取消的芯片、存儲、電力和基礎設施採購合同。 這3萬億美元不能直接理解成“隱藏債務”,也不代表科技公司已經花掉了這些錢。它更接近一份提前鎖定的未來賬單。 相關承諾通常會披露在財報附註中,只是不會全部出現在投資者最常看的資產負債表、現金流量表和當期Capex數據裏。 02|爲什麼這些錢暫時不在資產負債表上? 舉一個簡單的例子。 如果Microsoft今天支付100億美元建設一座數據中心,這筆錢會進入資本開支。 如果Microsoft和一家數據中心開發商簽訂20年租約,但數據中心要到2028年才投入使用,這項租賃承諾暫時不會完整確認爲資產負債表上的租賃負債。 芯片採購也是類似邏輯。 爲了確保未來拿到足夠的GPU、存儲、網絡設備和電力,科技公司可能提前簽訂多年採購合同。產品尚未交付、付款尚未發生時,合同金額通常先出現在財報附註裏。 市場因此容易低估三個數字: 未來固定支出; 長期租賃付款; AI建設對現金流的持續佔用。 Capex反映了當期已經落地的投入,表外承諾則告訴我們,未來幾年還有多少項目很難輕易停下來。 03|AI數據中心正在使用一種新的融資結構 國際清算銀行對AI基建融資的研究
財報首頁沒寫全的AI賬單:科技巨頭還有3萬億美元表外承諾
🌟I believe that the biggest risk of AI capital expenditure is that chips are updated too quickly & the rate of equipment depreciation is underestim...
TOPcozyzi: Depreciation is not the only risk here. Power demand and supply chain bottlenecks can break the AI spend math way earlier than accounting does
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JC888
·
08-19
With approx. 5 hours to go before US Wed trading commences, the Futures composite indexes are looking encouraging today, granted that the S&P 500 had fallen consecutively for the past 3 sessions. (see attached) With no signs of easing tension in the Middle East, the look-like-recovery pre-market indicators are of no comfort to me personally. With latest on Iran going on the offensive and Trump declaring no extension to the Truce-MOU, temperature is definitely rising again.  What do you think ?

Cooling inflations, Time to buy the Dip ?

@JC888
For week ending Fri, 14 Aug 2026, US market performance could at best be described as “mixed”. Overall, the week reflected a classic “good news is good news” dynamic: cooling inflation & steady earnings supported valuations. Soft activity data capped upside and prompted a modest Friday pullback from record highs. By the time market called it a week: DJIA: -0.36% (-340.25 to 53,732.41). S&P 500: +0.44% (+34.02 to 7,785.76). Crossed the 7,800 mark for the 1st time on Thu, 13 Aug 2026. Nasdaq: +0.18% ( +48.72 to 26,729.16). Eked out its 3rd weekly gain in a row, ending the week higher marginally. Weekly Catalysts. Catalysts that have either lifted / dampened market sentiments include: Cooling inflation. July 2026 - Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports rele
Cooling inflations, Time to buy the Dip ?
With approx. 5 hours to go before US Wed trading commences, the Futures composite indexes are looking encouraging today, granted that the S&P 500 h...
TOPCarterSilas: Three straight red days plus a green premarket is a classic squeeze setup. Without any cooling signal, these bounces usually fade within a session or two
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6.03K
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JC888
·
08-19

Druckenmiller's 13F $120m GOOG pivot. Buy ?

Why Druckenmiller? Among US investment gurus, apart from Buffett, Stanley Druckenmiller is the next one I watch closely. I admired him because of: His elite long-term returns. His masterclass in macro trading. His fearless adaptability. He runs the now-private Duquesne Capital for 30 years with an average annual return of 30% and zero losing years. One of his key trading philosophies is to watch central banks and global money flows closer than individual stock charts. This is something that I am still learning and it takes a lot of time to keep abreast. The last time I covered him was back in May 2025, click here ! to read about it. With all investment guru’s 13F filings out, it is timely to revisit Druckenmiller’s la
Druckenmiller's 13F $120m GOOG pivot. Buy ?
TOPInvesting Leon: Looking back from today’s perspective, this legendary investor’s portfolio choices were undoubtedly highly prescient, showing a strong ability to recognize a company’s long-term value well ahead of the market.
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1.48K
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DipBuyerZ
·
08-19

Breaking bullish catalyst, SK Hynix rips higher. Can it hit a new all‑time high?

SK Hynix just dropped a massive $40‑trillion‑won buyback plan, covering 3.3% of its total outstanding shares. News of the send sent its US‑listed stock ripping in after‑hours, swinging from a 3.5% dive to a 4% rally. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ Seoul, August 19, 2026 – SK hynix Inc. announced today that its Board of Directors has approved a resolution to repurchase and fully cancel 40 trillion won worth of its own shares. The Company also revealed plans to return “over 50% of cumulative Free Cash Flow(FCF)” generated during the program period(2025-2027), adopting a framework centered on the parallel execution of share repurchases and cancellations alongside cash dividends. Following the Board meeting held earlier today, the Company formally d
Breaking bullish catalyst, SK Hynix rips higher. Can it hit a new all‑time high?
TOPJohnnyYoung: Inventory is already late-cycle-ish, so the buyback helps sentiment more than fundamentals. New ATH is possible, but HBM supply and capex discipline matter more next quarter
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1.17K
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DoTrading
·
08-18

WALL STREET IS QUIET… BUT THREE SIGNALS ARE GETTING LOUDER

Another sleepy August session. The major indexes slipped. Trading volume was thin. Most stocks barely moved. But underneath the surface, three important stories are developing: SOX Semiconductors are back in a bull market. $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ Oil is climbing again. The 30-year Treasury yield just hit a level not seen since 2007. That combination deserves attention. THE MARKET LOOKED WEAK, BUT THE DETAILS MATTER Monday's numbers: Dow Jones: -0.51%. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.52%. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.32% At first glance, nothing dramatic. But trading volume tells the real story. Only 13.83 billion shares changed hands. The year-to-date average,
WALL STREET IS QUIET… BUT THREE SIGNALS ARE GETTING LOUDER
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603
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TigerOptions
·
08-18

Why Workday’s Buyout Rally Is Now Pricing a Deal That Does Not Yet Exist

$Workday(WDAY)$’s shares remain far above their pre-report level after Reuters disclosed on August 13 that Silver Lake was discussing an acquisition of the human-resources and financial-management software company. The potential transaction could rank among the largest software buyouts ever, but no agreement has been announced. That distinction matters: the stock now reflects both Workday’s standalone value and an uncertain takeover premium. The underlying business gives a buyer something valuable. In the fiscal first quarter reported on May 21, Workday generated $2.35 billion of subscription revenue, while its 12-month subscription backlog increased 15.5% to $8.81 billion. Total backlog reached $27.29 billion, operating cash flow was $696 million
Why Workday’s Buyout Rally Is Now Pricing a Deal That Does Not Yet Exist
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898
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Optionspuppy
·
08-18

Beginner guide on buying nvda 🐶📈 Why I Bought NVIDIA Around $219 and Sold a $205 Cash-Secured Put — My Options Puppy Strategy SG61 Trading Arena for SGX Listed Securities!

🚀 NVIDIA was trading around $219–$220, and I decided to do two things at the same time: I bought a small amount of NVIDIA shares around $218.86, while also selling a cash-secured put with a $205 strike price, collecting a $10.20 premium. For me, these two trades are connected. I am not simply chasing NVIDIA because the stock is famous or because everyone is talking about AI. I am trying to build a price ladder where I can participate if NVIDIA goes higher, while also getting paid if the stock comes down. 🐶 My Options Puppy approach is simple: I want to own NVIDIA, but I don’t necessarily want to buy all my shares at today’s market price. If NVIDIA falls significantly, I would rather have a predetermined price where I am comfortable buying more. The $205 put gives me that opportunity. At th
Beginner guide on buying nvda 🐶📈 Why I Bought NVIDIA Around $219 and Sold a $205 Cash-Secured Put — My Options Puppy Strategy SG61 Trading Arena for SGX Listed Securities!
TOPmiffsy: 205 put minus 10.20 premium gets you to 194.8 effective cost, that setup is pretty clean. For a beginner ladder, this is actually a solid way to stay bullish without chasing
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daz999999999
·
08-19

Nvidia (NVDA) Invests $1.5 Billion In SB Energy - Strong Buy (Until Sept 2026)

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   Nvidia will invest US$1.5 billion in SoftBank-backed SB Energy and secure up to 8 gigawatts of AI computing capacity at an Ohio campus being built by the data centre developer for OpenAI. The deal is the latest where Nvidia is financing the ecosystem consuming its chips, a strategy that has helped fuel demand but also drawn scrutiny over the circular flows of funds from the chipmaker to its biggest customers. Leading tech firms are increasingly tying together chips, power and data centre development as they race to secure the infrastructure needed for increasingly power-hungry AI models. @JC888  Good morning, JC888 I'll repost your Nvi
Nvidia (NVDA) Invests $1.5 Billion In SB Energy - Strong Buy (Until Sept 2026)
TOPchizzoo: 8GW locked in is the big deal here, that ecosystem moat just got wider. For the next two years, capacity looks protected
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Hui Fen88
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08-19

[REAL TALK] Anatomy of a Blown Account: 3 Psychological Traps That Kill 90% of New Traders

Ask any trader who has been in the markets for more than a few years, and they’ll usually admit it: almost everyone blows up their first trading account. It rarely happens because their strategy was bad. Most of the time, an account goes to zero because emotion overrides reason. When real money is on the line, psychology takes the driver's seat. If you want to survive your first year of trading, here are the three major psychological traps you need to spot before they wipe out your capital. 1. The Emotional Rollercoaster (Market Psychology) When you start trading, your brain experiences extreme highs and lows driven by price movement. Understanding where you are emotionally during a trade is half the battle. Euphoria: You win 3 trades in a row. You feel invincible, double your position siz
[REAL TALK] Anatomy of a Blown Account: 3 Psychological Traps That Kill 90% of New Traders
TOP羅欣怡: Honestly, the only thing that helped me break the habit of moving my stop-loss mid-trade was forcing myself to step away from the screen right after entering a position. I used to convince myself I was just managing risk, but I was really just acting out of fear and making emotional decisions.
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