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08-21
You're Not Trading. You're Underwriting. | Tiger Seminar
Most people meet options by buying one. It expires worthless, and that is the end of the story. Somebody was on the other side of that contract. That side is not a trade in the usual sense — it is closer to writing a policy. You accept an obligation, you get paid up front, and then you carry it. On Wednesday 26 August I am speaking at Tiger Brokers' Singapore office about what that actually involves. What I will cover: - The wheel, worked end to end with round numbers: cash-secured puts through to covered calls, and what actually happens when you get assigned - Diagonal call spreads as a lower-capital alternative — and why lower capital means leverage, not a free lunch - Where the carry genuinely comes from, and why time decay is only part of the answer - The honest shape of a premium-sell
TOPClarenceNehemiah: Insurance analogy works only halfway — actuarial tables and Greek-driven pricing are not the same game. The gap matters more than theta here
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08-20
Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums
Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in
TOP20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof
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08-21
Portfolio Seminar Recap:Building and Reviewing Your Investment Portfolio
Welcome to the sharing session on the evening of August 19th, and participate in the prize-winning Q&A at @TigerClub James' Portfolio Seminar Recap: Building and Reviewing Your Investment Portfolio James started by sharing how portfolio management can look quite different for retail investors and professional fund managers. While retail investors may not have the same access to information and research tools as institutional managers, they also possess distinct advantages of their own. Unlike fund managers, retail investors are not bound by short-term performance targets or reporting cycles, giving them greater freedom to stay focused on long-term objectives. Th
TOPTurnover above 100% in options-heavy portfolios usually means gamma risk is doing more damage than people expect. Retail folks copying that without tight risk controls get punished fast
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08-21
$TM Rides Yen Stability Toward the $200 Mark
$Toyota(TM)$ $Toyota Motor(TM) +1.83% Closes Near Session High, $196.95 After-Hours Print Hints at $200 Retest Latest Close: $192.24 (+1.83%), just 22.8% below the 52-week high of $248.90. After-hours bid pushed to $196.95 — bulls defending the breakout. Core Drivers: Toyota's ADR rallied with broad Japanese exporter strength as yen stabilized. Dividend yield of 3.11% continues attracting income investors; short volume ratio fell to 17.27% (Aug 19) from 20.37% (Aug 14), signaling reduced bearish pressure. Technical Analysis: RSI(6) jumped to 66.7 from 52.0, confirming momentum acceleration while still below overbought. RSI(12) at 62.0 supports trend continuation. MACD histogram improved to -0.20 from -0.51, but DIF remains below DEA — watch for a bu
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08-21
$YUM Surges Toward $158 as Food Safety Fears Ease
$Yum(YUM)$ $Yum Brands (YUM) +4.39% to $152.33: Fast-Food Giant Reclaims Momentum, $157.94 Resistance in Sight Latest Close Data: YUM closed at $152.33 (+4.39%) on August 21, 2026, adding $6.40. Price is now just 3.6% below its 52-week high of $170.14 and decisively above the 52-week low of $137.33. Volume reached 4.28M shares, a volume ratio of 1.81, indicating strong participation. Core Market Drivers: Sentiment has turned bullish following Q2 earnings that beat expectations, while the cyclospora-related Taco Bell traffic scare has faded. FDA confirmation of a false-positive lettuce test has removed a major overhang, and CEO Chris Turner's framing of the issue as industry-wide has restored consumer confidence. Technical Analysis:
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08-21
$EBAY Eyes $110 After Analysts Raise Their Targets
$eBay(EBAY)$ $eBay (EBAY) +1.92% Recovery Gains Traction: Consolidation Above $102 Sets Stage for $110.58 Retest Latest Close Data EBAY closed at $104.61 (+1.92%) on 2026-08-21, bouncing from a session low of $102.62. The stock sits about 12.3% below its 52-week high of $119.31, with after-hours action ticking up to $104.50–$104.61. Core Market Drivers GameStop's potential withdrawal of its $56B takeover bid has removed deal-premium uncertainty, shifting focus back to eBay's standalone fundamentals. Post-Q2 analyst upgrades (Argus to Buy, Barclays and Baird raising targets to $123–$133) continue to support sentiment. Macro risk appetite remains mixed, but EBAY's defensive e-commerce cash flows are attracting value buyers. Technical Analysis Volume
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08-21
James Ooi's Portfolio Seminar Recap: Building and Reviewing Your Investment Portfolio
[Wow]Offline meeting venue rendering on August 19th Dear Tigers, Were you at Raffles Palace this past Wednesday evening for the Portfolio Management seminar led by Tiger Brokers Singapore's Chief Market Strategist @Tiger_James Ooi ? Whether you made it or not, it's worth reflecting on a key question: how do retail investors and professional fund managers differ in their investment styles, analytical angles, and research rigor? More importantly, what steps can you take to become a more systematic, strategy-driven investor? We've distilled the evening's insights into a concise recap below. Regardless of whether you were in the room, reviewing your own portfolio framework is always time well spent. Read on, and be sure to
TOPThe most valuable takeaway for me is that retail investors have structural advantages that are often overlooked. Unlike professional fund managers, we are not tied to short-term performance targets, redemption pressure or strict investment mandates. This gives us the freedom to build a portfolio around our own goals, risk tolerance and time horizon. I also found the discussion about cash, turnover and momentum particularly useful. Holding cash provides flexibility during volatility, but excessive cash can create a significant opportunity cost. At the same time, blindly "buying the dip" is not always the best strategy, especially when negative momentum continues. Ultimately, good investing is not just about picking great companies. It requires disciplined portfolio management, emotional control, regular reviews and the willingness to adapt when market conditions change. For me, the real edge is having a clear plan and sticking to it. @TigerClub [贱笑]
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08-21
HBM Demand Is Powering $MU’s Next Leg Higher
$Micron Technology(MU)$ $Micron Technology(MU) +3.97%: Memory Supercycle Momentum Holds, $1,000 Breakout Beckons Latest Close Data: MU closed at $974.33 on Aug 21, up +3.97% (+$37.23). The stock is now just 22.3% below its 52-week high of $1,255.00, trading within a bullish weekly range of $929.07–$977.28. Core Market Drivers: AI-driven HBM and data-center memory demand continues to fuel the rally. New Street upgraded MU from Neutral to Buy with a PT of $1,250 (from $470). Strong institutional accumulation and BlackRock’s 9.28% stake reinforce confidence in the memory supercycle. Technical Analysis: Volume reached 25.21M shares with a volume ratio of 0.78. MACD has turned decisively bullish: DIF at 9.70 crossed above DEA at -3.65, producing a positi
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08-21
SGX Daily Top Movers (21-8-2026): D05, O39, S58, U11, Z74, C38U, BN4, 9CI, BS6 & A17U lead
1.Top 10 Traded Stocks/ETF/SDR by Value $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ $SATS(S58.SI)$ $UOB(U11.SI)$ $Singtel(Z74.SI)$ $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ $Keppel(BN4.SI)$ $CapitaLandInvest(9CI.SI)$ $YZJ Shipbldg SGD(BS6.SI)$ $CapLand Ascendas REIT(A17U.SI)$ 2.Stocks/ETF/SDR Hit 52-week High $First Resources(EB5
TOPREITs look split today. J69U, ME8U and HMN making new lows while A17U and C38U stay firm feels more like asset quality divergence than pure rate pressure
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08-21
[Event] What Was the Hottest Stock When You Started Investing? 👀
Everyone remembers the stock everyone was talking about when they first got into the market. For some, it was Tesla. For others, it was GameStop. Maybe it was Alibaba, NVIDIA, AMC, or something completely different. So here’s the question: What was the hottest stock when you started investing? How to Participate Drop just ONE ticker in the comments 👇 Share this post and tag at least 1 friend Rewards ✅ Participation Reward: Comment and earn 5 Tiger Coins. Tag a friend + share the post? Get 5 more! 🍀 Lucky Draw: One random lucky Tigers to receive 1000 Tiger Coins. Event Period From August 21, 2026 to August 26, 2026 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $GameStop(GME)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
TOP🌟Dear Tiger Friends, Can you guess the year I started investing when the hottest, most culturally explosive stock was $GameStop(GME)$ ? This video game meme stock kingpin delivered a mind boggling, retail driven total return of over 815%! It was a year when Main Street pit their strength against Wall Street. It was a time when online retail forums, led by the legendary "Roaring Kitty" aka Keith Gill banded together to trigger a historic, multi billion dollar short squeeze that completely broke traditional Wall Street risk models and sent institutional short sellers into a total liquidation panic. For a brief intoxicating moment, the online forums & retail "Ordinary Joes" felt completely untouchable. But the reality of corporate fundamentals reasserted itself. GameStop dropped like a rock to the bottom of the ocean. The lesson I learnt was single stock hype is unsustainable. To build wealth, automated diversification is the key to success. @TigerEvents @Tiger_comments
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08-21
Why Deere Is Becoming an Unexpected Data-Centre Construction Play
$Deere(DE)$’s fiscal third quarter produced its first year-over-year profit increase in three years even though the large-farm-equipment downturn continued. The surprise came from construction and forestry, where spending on infrastructure and artificial-intelligence data centres helped offset weak demand for high-horsepower tractors and combines. Deere reported on August 20 for the quarter ended July 26. Worldwide net sales and revenue increased 5% to $12.61 billion, while net income rose 7% to $1.379 billion, or $5.10 per share. Construction and Forestry sales increased 18% and operating profit rose approximately 84% to $436 million. By contrast, Production and Precision Agriculture sales declined 6%. Deere’s official third-quarter investor materi
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08-21
BABA: AI Line Begin to Fly
MY $Alibaba(BABA)$ VALUATION MODEL PRICE TARGET: $192 --> $203 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +61% ✅ "The stock remains undervalued modeling $100B cloud revenue in 5 years and a decent operating leverage" ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $149.282B (𝘢𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘜𝘚𝘋/𝘊𝘕𝘠 = 𝟩.00) 5Y Revenue CAGR: 10% 2031 Profit Margin: 17% 2031 PE Ratio: 18 Shares outstanding: 2.416B Shares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION: Q2 2031 $Alibaba(BABA)$ SHARE PRICE =149.282 * (1.10)^5 * 0.17 * 18 /[2.416 * (0.99)^5] = $320 You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Alibaba I want to use 12% ACTUAL PRICE: $128 FAIR VALUE: $182 PRICE TARGET (1Y): $203 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: 61% EXPECTED RETURNS: 20.1%/year DIVIDEND
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08-21
Why Coinbase’s Rally Depends on Crypto Rules Becoming Durable Law
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ rose sharply on August 20 as Bitcoin crossed $70,000 and Washington advanced a more accommodating regulatory framework. The rally reflects genuine strategic upside: clearer rules can encourage token issuance, institutional participation and trading in the United States. It also depends heavily on political and market variables outside Coinbase’s control. The immediate events occurred on two different dates. On August 18, the Securities and Exchange Commission proposed “Regulation Crypto Assets,” which would create tailored exemptions for certain crypto-related investment-contract offerings. One exemption would cover as much as $5 million over four years; another would allow up to $75 million in each 12-month period wi
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08-21
LULU, GLD, NKE, SPY& BTC Enjoy Great Recovery Right Now
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Well, there's the impulse candle. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ 2 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$Rising wedge on the weekly candle chart. 3 $Nike(NKE)$Bullish Divergence has been forming for months. 4 $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ Bear flag on the weekly candle chart. 5 $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$Trading right at the diagonal resistance zone this week.
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08-21
TEM is Still Wildly Undervalued
$Tempus AI(TEM)$ is still wildly undervalued. Here's how I think the business should be valued over the next 12 months: DATA & APPLICATIONS -> Annualized revenue based on Q2 is currently ~$410M. Growth at a similar rate into FY27 would put us at $525M. -> This business has 73% gross margins so at 28% YoY growth and those margins it's putting up figures like a solid SaaS company. -> $525M * 10x sales = $5.3B -> $525M * 12x sales = $6.3B DIAGNOSTICS -> Generated $293.3M in Q2 alone which is $1.2B annualized. Growth at a similar rate gets us to $1.5B in FY27. -> And plus, $Tempus AI(TEM)$ recently received FDA approval on xT CDx test which brings tumor DNA
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08-21
GOLD: There is Still a Chance for a Second Rally
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 H1: Gold is currently consolidating in a high-level flag pattern (a consolidation phase) following the establishment of a bullish trend. The short-term strategy remains focused on buying on dips, with light positions taken for short-term sell trades at high resistance levels. Rally met with resistance: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ After surging to around 4548, gold failed to break through in one go. The current hourly chart shows a slightly lower bearish doji or small bearish candle, indicating strong intraday selling pressure in the 4545–4550 zone. Although there has been
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08-21
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday 📈
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday 📈 Next is OPEX. Expect to see more volatility. SPX failed at the 7700 level and dropped 50+ points today. SPX can test the previous ATH at 7620 next. If this levels fails another 70 pt drop possible. QQQ needs to get back above 715 to test 722 next. $Micron Technology(MU)$ lots of relative strength today. MU to 1000 in play tomorrow if memory stocks can rally. MU Aug 21 990C can work above 970 $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ winding up for a move to 300 next. IF MRVL can get through 250, I'd consider the Aug 21 255C. QQQ 700-707 is the buy range for a swing long to 726-728 again. IF you see a dip here I'd start loading up calls as well. SPX near 7620 is
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08-21
Trading Ideas: .SPX
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 9:40am, Aug. 14, my 2-hr TOP KILLER signal flashed RED ALERT, and I opened some short-term puts & have closed ALL of them today. A few sessions generated 170+ SPX points, which is quite remarkable--esp. since this indicator rarely flashes; but, if it does, look out below. $S&P 500(.SPX)$
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08-21
IREN, CLSK, OXY, SNDK& MRVL Enjoy Great Potential to Go!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Jensen Huang called it "the next trillion dollar company" It is currently worth $220B. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ 2 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ trying to make this breakout stick 💾 3 Buffett favorite breaking out to its highest price in over 4 months 👀 $Occidental(OXY)$ 4 Bullish RSI divergence found 👀 $CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$ 5 $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ has some catching up to do 👀
TOPcleanspark in one to 2 months period ? where it can go?
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08-21
US market 'maybe' crash & investor Plan B ?
. Of late, the US stock market is showing valuation patterns that have historically preceded major downturns. Just to be clear, it does not mean that a crash is imminent or certain. Warnings. Looking across key economic indicators and corporate valuation metrics, the US equity market exhibits several clear, historical warning signs of structural vulnerability: (1) Metrics valuations. a) The Shiller CAPE Ratio: Measuring price versus 10-year inflation-adjusted earnings, this ratio has consistently stayed above 40 since May 2026. Outside of recent trading, the late-1990s dot-com bubble was the only other period in US history where this metric remained above 40 for an extended time. b) The Buffett Indicator: Total US stock-market value divided by US GDP, currently stands at a record roughly 2
TOPpadt1+++years I hear everyone saying crash is imminent, I this some buy investors tactics to make other telco nvesters to sell off so that they can buy at cheaper price