If I had to pick just one, I’d go with $SNOW. BE has the cleaner technical breakout, while HOOD, COIN and MSTR could deliver bigger gains if Bitcoin keeps climbing. But SNOW is the setup I find most convincing because the fundamentals are catching up with the price. Product revenue grew 37% YoY to $1.49B, and management raised FY2027 guidance to $6.07B. More importantly, AI is driving increasing customer consumption, suggesting this isn’t simply another AI-fueled valuation story. Still, a 16%+ one-day rally means expectations are now elevated. I wouldn’t chase the spike. I’d rather wait for consolidation or a pullback and see whether the earnings gap becomes a new support zone. My choice: SNOW. Not the fastest horse, but arguably the one with the strongest evidence behind its breakout.
I’d pick C. Both. The bigger opportunity isn’t MBS taking market share from RWS, but Singapore growing the entire tourism pie. MBS’s US$8 billion expansion is a major bet on luxury tourism, concerts and MICE. Its 15,000-seat arena could attract more global acts and overseas visitors, boosting spending across hotels, restaurants, retail and entertainment. Meanwhile, Genting Singapore’s RWS 2.0 provides its own growth catalyst through expanded attractions and hospitality. If both projects succeed, Singapore could create a powerful cycle: better attractions bring more tourists, while bigger events drive higher-value spending. By 2031, the real winner may be Singapore itself. For investors, however, I’d focus on ROIC, visitor growth, gaming revenue and valuation. A bigger tourism market is bu
Chart #12 probably hits hardest: losses are mathematically brutal. A 50% drawdown requires a 100% gain just to get back to where you started. That’s why avoiding permanent capital destruction matters more than chasing every hot trade. But Chart #14 is the bigger lesson for me: time is an investor’s greatest advantage. Compounding rewards those who start early, keep adding, and resist the temptation to constantly interfere. The market will always offer reasons to panic at the bottom and feel invincible near the top. The real edge is staying rational when everyone else is emotional. I’d rather own a few businesses with durable moats, strong ROIC and long reinvestment runways than constantly rotate into whatever is trending. Investing isn’t about being right every quarter. It’s about survivi
🌟Wall Street just got hit by a massive economic curve ball. The highly anticipated August Non Farm Payrolls data was just released today. While the consensus was braced for a modest 53,000 to 56,000, the US economy had a staggering 162,000 new jobs! That is nearly triple the forecast. By any normal logic, a roaring labour market is a cause for celebration, right? Wrong. Welcome to the upside down world of macro economic trading where Good News is Bad News! Wall Street realised that the Federal Reserve no longer has any incentive to hand out aggressive interest rate cuts at its policy meeting later this month. What should investors do? With Nasdaq 100 close to its all time high, the risk of buying at the peak is incredibly high. Instead of playing the guessing game, why n
🌟🌟🌟Fed Governor Waller started a fire in the market with a single sentence: Give disinflation a chance & Bitcoin rockets past USD 81,200. The trading desks go wild & crypto stocks start pulling off double digit spikes like the party is never going to end. Then just 1 day later, a monster jobs report drops, rate cut hopes evaporate and the entire crypto sector slides right back down. If you are wondering whether to buy crypto stocks or just stick to $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ the answer is obvious: Stop buying the side show & just buy the underlying real estate. When you buy crypto stocks like $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ or $Strategy(M
🌟🌟🌟My response is C: Both Marina Bay Sands $Las Vegas Sands(LVS)$ & $Genting Sing(G13.SI)$ can benefit from bigger tourism market. Singapore is not treating this as a zero sum cage match between 2 competing properties. Instead the Singapore government is deliberately curating a massive structural tourism expansion to scale the country's global market share. The eye watering USD 8 billion Marina Bay Sands or MBS expansion paired with Genting SGD 6.8 billion RWS 2.0 blueprint is designed to grow the total addressable market of luxury, VIP and high yield event visitors to Singapore. When Singapore introduces the infrastructure to capture massive global music tours, world class exhibitions
table 11. Visa one of my biggest holdings have been quietly compounding while everyone focus are on hyperscalers. Examples from recent data: ~31–34% in 2025/2026 periods; multi-year averages often in the high 20s to low 30s. It comfortably exceeds Visa’s cost of capital (WACC typically estimated around 8%), creating a wide positive spread and substantial economic value. This reflects Visa’s asset-light network business model: enormous operating leverage, high margins (operating margins often ~60%+), strong free cash flow conversion, and limited need for heavy capital reinvestment relative to profits. The global payments network benefits from scale, network effects, brand strength, and high switching costs—classic durable competitive advantages that support ROIC persistence
I Got Called Away From Oracle At $135. Then I Bought It Back
Mathematical Money | September 6, 2026 Oracle reports Q1 on Thursday. It's an odd setup going in. The stock closed Friday at $153.75, which sounds healthy until you notice it traded as high as $345.72 within the last year. It's 54% off that. And yet Barclays, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan all raised their price targets into this print — Barclays went to $281 from $221, and the average across the top analysts is sitting around $261. So the sell-side thinks it's worth roughly 70% more than it trades, the chart says it's been cut in half, and the print lands Thursday after the close. Consensus is looking for about $19.1 billion of revenue and $1.30 of GAAP EPS. Take your pick which of those you believe. I made my choice last week. Bought three October 2027 $120 calls. How I got here In late Aug
I would trust the hold, but I am not ready to call peak rates yet. Waller has taken some pressure off, but he has not closed the door on another hike. Payrolls around the +56k consensus with wage growth easing to 3.0% would strengthen the case that the Fed can afford to wait. A much stronger jobs print, especially with hotter wages, could quickly revive the hawkish trade. More importantly, Waller himself has made August inflation the key test. So for now: September hold > hike, but peak rates still need confirmation from CPI. I would rather miss the first leg of a rally than price in the end of tightening too early.
I would take Circle for the longer-term thesis, Coinbase for the cleaner cyclical trade, and Strategy only if I specifically wanted amplified Bitcoin exposure. Strategy gives the biggest torque when BTC rallies, but that cuts both ways. At 845,050 BTC, the thesis is increasingly Bitcoin plus financing mechanics rather than an independent operating business. Coinbase is different: it benefits from activity. If $80k brings trading volumes, institutional flows and broader crypto participation back, it does not need Bitcoin itself to double. Circle is the most interesting structurally. USDC already has scale, while the September 16 Arc launch adds another layer to the moat through institutional infrastructure. Visa, Mastercard and BlackRock involvement matters, but the 21-bank stablecoin conso
B: SNOW. It is the breakout I would most want to own after a pullback because the rally has fundamental support, not just momentum. Strong earnings, accelerating product revenue and growing AI adoption give SNOW a clearer path for earnings to catch up with expectations. BE would be my second choice, but after the breakout and S&P 500 catalyst, I would wait for the excitement to cool before entering. I would be cautious with HOOD/COIN/MSTR because much of their near-term upside depends on Bitcoin holding above $80k. MSTR adds another layer of leverage on top of that. I would avoid chasing TSLA. Cybercab is a major milestone, but the valuation already assumes enormous future scale while deployment remains tiny and regulatory risk is unresolved. My ranking: SNOW > BE > crypto baske
MU +6.10%: $1,000 Reclaimed, But One Risk Could Change the Trade
Micron closed Friday +6.10% around $1,014, reclaiming the psychologically important $1,000 level while the S&P 500 fell. Like SNDK, MU benefited from Dell's $95B AI-server backlog and expectations for another major jump in memory contract prices. But MU has one additional risk its peers do not: Nearly 10,000 Taiwan workers are threatening strike action. The Taiwan Risk Is Real, But Not Yet a Production Problem More than 80% of surveyed union members reportedly supported strike action over bonuses and profit-sharing. That sounds alarming because Taiwan is critical to Micron's manufacturing footprint. But the distinction matters: No strike has started. Production has not stopped. For now, this remains a labour negotiation. That creates an unusual paradox. If Micron production were disrup
Iggy's Journal: A Small SGX Name With a Big Satellite Partner 5 September 2026, PM Analyst Rating Maybank Research reiterated a BUY call on Addvalue Technologies (A31), unchanged target price 34 cents, based on 30 times FY27 forecast price to sales. The call is built on two new orders totalling US$5.0 million, US$2.8 million for its Inter-Satellite Data Relay System products and US$2.2 million for its Advanced Digital Radio System products, the latter covering both design work and repeat supply to defence-technology customers. Addvalue's reported orderbook now stands at US$20.2 million. The bigger story behind the number is the Viasat partnership. Viasat plans to fold Addvalue's satellite relay terminals into its HaloNet portfolio for US government and government-supplier opportuniti
$IREN, $KTOS, $CBRS, $NBIS Are Getting Interesting
A few charts are sitting at some very interesting levels right now. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ is the one that really stands out. After sweeping the 1H swing point, price is now testing an important point of control on the THT Volume Pro. There’s not much volume sitting above $45, which is exactly why I’m watching this level so closely. A clean move through it could turn into a much bigger breakout over the next couple of months. 🚀 $Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$ is taking a different path and has dropped back into a double Smart Money Zone. This is the spot where I want to see buyers show up. If the zone holds, the bounce setup is there. 👀 $Cerebras Systems(CB
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ took a serious hit overnight after yesterday’s event, but I’m not ready to call the trend dead just yet. The stock is now back inside the 1H Smart Money Zone, which makes this area pretty important. 👀 Here’s the setup I’m watching: 🟢 $350 holds → the short-term bullish structure stays alive, with $360 as the next level and potentially another push toward $400. 🔴 $350 breaks → the picture changes quickly, and $300 comes back into focus. So this is less about chasing the selloff and more about seeing how price reacts right here. $TSLA has already made the big move lower. Now the question is whether buyers defend this zone or sellers keep control. $350 is the level. Let price decide the next move. 🎯
Another day, another rally — and another gap. For $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , I’m still not interested in fighting the trend. The market keeps pushing higher, so there’s no reason to force a bearish trade here. That said, 7,610 has already been tested, and I still have 7,681 on the radar. Eventually, I expect that level to come into play, while 7,610 remains unfinished business. 👀 In a choppy market, individual names can tell a very different story. $SpaceX(SPCX)$$Netflix(NFLX)$$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$$Wal-Mart(WMT)$ are all holding the bullish setup we expected. 🚀 Then there’s
I’m still leaning bullish on $S&P 500(.SPX)$ for now. The key reason is the relative strength against $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ . The bullish SMT remains in place, and more importantly, we still haven’t seen the bearish divergence at the highs that would make me comfortable taking the short. That’s the signal I’m waiting for. 🎯 If $SPX pushes through last week’s high around 7770, but $NDX or $DJI fails to confirm the breakout, the picture changes quickly. That would give us the bearish SMT I’m looking for — and that’s when I’ll start hunting for the short. 🔻 Until that happens, I’m not interested in forcing a bearish trade. Let $SPX prove the reversal first. 👀 For now, the bias stays higher. 📈
The stock market closed muted this week. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ finished flat (+0.1%) following an intra-week pullback that exceeded our bearish target of 7,642. By Thursday, weak economic data (ADP) and dovish remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller (who noted he would support holding interest rates steady this month if incoming inflation numbers remain favorable) sparked a relief rally. However, as I highlighted last night in my daily note, key structural elements warranted skepticism regarding continuation for today. To avoid premature moves, I rely on daily levels to validate each thesis. For today, 7,730 served as the anticipated central daily level (CDL) dictating bullish or bearish momentum. Once price broke below that lev
This week we got a peak into OpenAIs new model Astra. I thought this was an important model because it’s rumored to use a new technique called recurrent depth. In this post I want to discuss what that means and what the implications are. But first - a quick timeline of some of the larger breakthroughs in model architecture: 2017: The Transformer era. The leap here was self-attention mechanism. Before 2017 recurrent neural networks (RNNs) processed text word-by-word. The now famous paper Attention is Al You Need introduced the Transformer architecture which made parallel training possible 2018-2020: Decoder-Only Architectures. The leap here was autoregressive scaling and in-context learning. Early on transformers used a encoder-decoder setup (like BERT). OpenAI flipped this by scaling decod
Breakout Watch: Bitcoin Near $82K, Crypto Stocks Rip 10–18% — and Tesla Joins the Rally
🐯 Hello Tigers! The bulls came back hard on Thursday. U.S. stocks rallied as Treasury yields eased and Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller signaled that he could support keeping rates unchanged if inflation continues to cool. The shift pushed the market-implied probability of a September rate hike down from roughly 63% to around 50%, helping the S&P 500 gain 1.1% and the Nasdaq rise 1.4%. But beneath the index move, several individual stocks delivered much bigger breakouts. $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ pushed through a key technical area, $Snowflake(SNOW)$ surged after earnings, $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$-li