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SmartReversals
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09-13 08:14

Volatility Ahead: Rate Hike Risks Meet Weakening Breadth

Last week was choppy for the market as anticipated. I highlighted declines in the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones as high-probability setups, using $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ as the instruments to set the targets. DIA reached the bearish target of 522 for a -2.2% move 🎯, and SPY hit 761.8 for a -1.1% move 🎯. They actually extended their losses, but I mark the targets officially reached. Being bearish on the indices doesn’t mean that the entire market will fall; successful traders know that very well. While we were bearish on the indices, individual setups for
Volatility Ahead: Rate Hike Risks Meet Weakening Breadth
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Oliver Georgina
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09-11 17:35

$MU: Nvidia Gets The Attention. Why Am I Watching Micron?

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ designs the compute engine, but $Micron Technology(MU)$ controls the critical physical bottleneck powering next-generation AI accelerators: High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM). Key Catalysts Driving the $MU Thesis HBM Content Density Scaling: Modern GPU architectures require up to 3.5× more memory density per chip scaling from 80GB HBM2e on legacy cards to 288GB+ HBM3e/HBM4 on Blackwell and Vera Rubin platforms. As LLMs expand, memory bandwidth and capacity not raw compute FLOPS become the binding constraint on AI training and inference at scale. Unprecedented Pricing Power: HBM3e/HBM4 manufacturing complexity has created a structural supply bottleneck, leaving memory producers sold out quarters in a
$MU: Nvidia Gets The Attention. Why Am I Watching Micron?
TOPqwertd: Micron's HBM pricing power still feels underappreciated. In this AI hardware cycle, MU's earnings torque can surprise even more than the compute names
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股勇者
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09-11 21:41
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KLLee
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09-12 20:07
$Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$   Samsara's most recent quarter (Fiscal Q2 2027, ended 2026-08-01, reported 2026-09-03) beat expectations across the board — revenue of $508.4M (+29.9% YoY) topped the ~$483M consensus, and adjusted EPS of $0.20 beat the $0.16 estimate by 25%  The company swung to a profit, raised its full-year outlook, and the stock rallied over 14% on the print. Growth momentum is accelerating! 
$Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ Samsara's most recent quarter (Fiscal Q2 2027, ended 2026-08-01, reported 2026-09-03) beat expectations across the board — rev...
TOPRiver0: 29.9% YoY is a real re-acceleration from 28%, but I care more about whether free cash flow conversion improved with it
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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09-11 20:54

Elliott Wave Outlook: Silver (XAGUSD) Eyeing Zigzag Correction

The short‑term Elliott Wave outlook in Silver (XAGUSD)f rom the July 17, 2026 low indicates that the cycle is unfolding as a five‑wave impulse. Within this sequence, wave ((1)) concluded at $71.23. The subsequent pullback in wave ((2)) is now in progress, serving to correct the earlier advance. Its internal subdivision takes the form of a zigzag structure, which is typical in corrective phases. From the termination of wave ((1)), wave (A) ended at $63.28. Thereafter, wave (B) developed as a zigzag of its own. In this subdivision, wave A finished at $67.47, wave B retraced to $64.71, and wave C advanced to $68.32, completing wave (B) at a higher degree. Following this, the metal resumed its decline in wave (C). The ideal target for this leg is measured by the 100% to 161.8% Fibonacci extens
Elliott Wave Outlook: Silver (XAGUSD) Eyeing Zigzag Correction
TOPDaveLewis: From the structure, that 55.5 to 60.3 zone looks more like a grind than a straight flush. Fake break and reclaim near the upper band would fit a zigzag C pretty well
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Shyon
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09-11 22:53
I see Burry’s move as risk management, not a change of conviction. Closing the December puts reduces time-decay risk, while his longer-dated puts and short positions show he still has concerns about AI valuations. I remain bullish on AI, PLTR and NVDA, but I understand the valuation risk. Strong growth must continue to catch up with expectations, especially at such high multiples. Personally, I will not change my holdings just because Burry moved. I prefer to follow earnings, growth and guidance, while using pullbacks to accumulate gradually. I will stay patient and let the numbers, rather than headlines, guide my decisions. Even the best investors can be early, so I prefer to make my own plan and trade it. Consistency over noise. 🐯 @
I see Burry’s move as risk management, not a change of conviction. Closing the December puts reduces time-decay risk, while his longer-dated puts a...
TOPhistoryiong: Valuation is the whole debate, but PLTR's government contract stickiness gives it more downside cushion than most AI names. I care more about earnings than headline moves too
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Shyon
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09-11 23:00
I think Kioxia’s potential U.S. listing is interesting because it could give NAND and enterprise SSDs much more visibility among global AI investors. AI is not only driving HBM demand anymore. The massive growth in data, inference and AI workloads also means storage is becoming an increasingly important part of the infrastructure. For me, this makes $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ and $Micron Technology(MU)$ particularly interesting to watch, although their exposure is different. I am especially watching whether enterprise SSD demand and NAND pricing can remain strong as AI data-center spending continues to grow. I still see storage as a cyclical industry, so I would not chase the rally blindly. If AI can struct
I think Kioxia’s potential U.S. listing is interesting because it could give NAND and enterprise SSDs much more visibility among global AI investor...
TOPmiffsy: NAND contract pricing staying firm into next quarter is the part I care about. If enterprise SSD mix keeps improving, storage might finally earn a better multiple lol
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MattyKeiichi
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09-11 23:44
My Take on Oil I've been watching this pretty closely given how much of the current market story runs through the Middle East, so here's where I land. The current picture: Brent has been on a wild ride, it spiked past $108 last week (highest since May) as the US-Iran conflict dragged on, then pulled back to around $106 today. Brent fell to $106.11 on September 11, 2026, down 1.41% from the previous day, though it's still up 58.4% YOY WTI is trading near $96-97. The driver is straightforward: the IEA has flagged this as potentially the largest oil supply disruption in history, with the conflict cutting into 2026 demand forecasts by roughly 730,000 barrels a day at one point, and flow through the Strait of Hormuz, normally about 20% of global oil supply, collapsed from 20 million barrels a d
My Take on Oil I've been watching this pretty closely given how much of the current market story runs through the Middle East, so here's where I la...
TOPMattyKeiichi: I didn't say that CEG is a clean oil proxy, not sure why it's there. Maybe I edited but did not take it out, and your counter argument would take power pricing into account, if you would instead of questioning maybe you could propose your argument with facts. I would appreciate it.
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koolgal
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09-12 07:17

The USD 100 Oil Shock: How To Protect Your Hard Earned Money

🌟🌟🌟When crude oil prices shoot past USD 100 a barrel, that pain isn't just felt at the pump.  It sends a massive shockwave straight through Wall Street. Right now, everyday families are feeling the squeeze.  Worse yet, the latest inflation numbers show that general prices are stuck at 3.4%.  Things simply aren't cooling down. If you are a new investor, you need to know the golden rule of this market: high oil prices act like a giant tax on the economy.  Money is being violently dragged out of normal businesses and poured directly into the pockets of oil giants. If you leave your money sitting in the wrong investments, inflation will slowly est away at your savings.   But you don't have to just sit there and take the hit.  You can fight back by changing wh
The USD 100 Oil Shock: How To Protect Your Hard Earned Money
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @JC888 @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon
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Mrzorro
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09-12 09:39
Stocks Rally Despite Rising Rate-Hike Odds. Should Investors Buy or Cut Risk? U.S. stocks staged a seemingly counterintuitive move on Friday: CPI came in hotter than expected and the odds of a Fed rate hike next week climbed further, yet all three major indexes moved higher, led by the Nasdaq. With a 25-basis-point hike now largely priced in, investors are shifting their focus to the path ahead: Will the Fed keep hiking after this move? Why Are Stocks Rising Despite Hotter CPI? First, the 10-year Treasury yield briefly approached 5% but failed to break decisively higher. For tech stocks, a sustained rise in long-term yields would add further valuation pressure. The stabilization in yields has therefore given growth stocks some room to rebound. Meanwhile, oil prices pulled back after their
Stocks Rally Despite Rising Rate-Hike Odds. Should Investors Buy or Cut Risk? U.S. stocks staged a seemingly counterintuitive move on Friday: CPI c...
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Travis Hoium
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09-12 07:38

AI's Mass Market Moment

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ was formed in 1975, and the PC revolution started only a few years later. But it would take 24 years before half of the homes in the U.S. had a PC. In 1994, the first online payment was made, but it was 12 years before $Shopify(SHOP)$ was founded. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ launched in 1994, and even today, only about 17% of purchases are made online. $Apple(AAPL)$ iPhone launched in 2007 when nearly everyone already had a phone in their pocket, and it still took six years for half of Americans to adopt the smartphone. Consumer adoption of products often takes longer than we think or remember, which is both an
AI's Mass Market Moment
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PeterDiCarlo
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09-12 08:41

$ON Rebounds Hard While $CIFR Hits 14% and $NIO Stays on Watch

I talked about $ON Semiconductor(ON)$ in the last Semiconductor video and called it my best semi setup right now, especially with price sitting in the Smart Money Zone. That call is starting to play out. $ON put together a huge bounce this week, and this move is making the recent low look increasingly important. Congrats to anyone who caught it early 🥂 Then there’s $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ 👀 +14% from the Smart Money Low, with the upside gap now filled. The next level I’m watching is around $20, where I want to see price push into the 1H high and potentially sweep it. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ is also sitting in a Smart Money Zone 🚨 The discount is there, but I’m passing. I
$ON Rebounds Hard While $CIFR Hits 14% and $NIO Stays on Watch
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PeterDiCarlo
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09-12 08:34

$GOOGL Is Green, But I’m Still Waiting for the Setup

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ moved higher with $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ today, but I’m still staying out. The level I care about is $344.50. That lines up with the key one-hour swing high. Until $GOOGL breaks above it and holds, the one-hour structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows. A clean reclaim of $344.50 would change that picture and could open the door to a short-term breakout. 📈 But I’m still more interested in an entry closer to $305. Why? Because I have multiple setups on my radar, and I don’t need to chase every green day. A stock moving higher doesn’t automatically make it a good entry. I want three things to line u
$GOOGL Is Green, But I’m Still Waiting for the Setup
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PeterDiCarlo
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09-12 08:02

$HIMS Has a 26% Upside Setup If $27 Holds

$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ is sitting at a key decision point. The short-term structure is still bullish, but $27 is the level that needs to hold next week. If we get a weekly close above $27, I’m looking for a move back toward $35+ over the next 45 days. That’s roughly 26% upside from current levels. The risk is clearly defined. A weekly close below $27 would weaken the internal structure and could open the door to another move lower toward $25. That gives the setup roughly: 🎯 Upside: +26% toward $35 ⚠️ Downside: ~4% below $27 📊 Bounce odds: ~65% That’s a pretty attractive risk-to-reward profile, even without needing a huge win rate. If I wanted a better entry instead of chasing $27, I’d watch $24, where the weekly support zone sits. So
$HIMS Has a 26% Upside Setup If $27 Holds
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PeterDiCarlo
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09-12 08:00

$ASTS Still Bullish Above $50 But Buyers Need to Show Up

$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ is still holding its bullish market structure, but we need buying pressure to step in soon. The monthly BX is still red, which tells us that buying pressure remains weak. However, the more important factor is that the macro structure is still bullish, just as we discussed before. As long as $ASTS continues to hold above $50 and does not sweep that previous swing low, I’m still anticipating a larger breakout over the next six to twelve months, potentially taking price back toward $100 or higher. I’ll remain bullish on this name until the $50 support level breaks. That said, I do think this could take a while to play out. The internal structure is still bearish because short-term price action has not been able to make a
$ASTS Still Bullish Above $50 But Buyers Need to Show Up
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SmartReversals
·
09-12 07:56

$SPX and $QQQ Still Have Unfinished Business

Good morning, tigers ☕️📈 The tape is showing some hesitation, but I’m not convinced the move down is finished yet. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📊 A doji has formed near the lower Bollinger Band, putting the index in an oversold area. That opens the door for a technical bounce, especially with the gaps above still sitting as potential targets. If CPI comes in around expectations, it could give that bounce some extra fuel. Still, I’d treat any rebound as a reaction until the chart proves otherwise. The downside move doesn’t look complete yet. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ⚠️ The bearish diagonal remains intact, with lower highs continuing to develop. Today’s indecisive action ran into rejection right at that trendline. Below, t
$SPX and $QQQ Still Have Unfinished Business
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SmartReversals
·
09-12 07:41

DIA, SPY, AMD Among Seven Winners in a 4.1% Average Week

Another highly successful week has come to a close. The high-probability setups posted last week played out with an impressive success rate, hitting our price targets with high accuracy: $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ : Reached the bearish target of 522 for a -2.2% move 🎯 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : Crossed the bearish target of 761.8 for a -1.1% move 🎯 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ : Comfortably exceeded the 504 target for a +5.5% move 🎯 $iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN(VXX)$ : Spiked well above 18.5 for a +4.4% move 🎯 $Broadcom(AVGO)$<
DIA, SPY, AMD Among Seven Winners in a 4.1% Average Week
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OptionsBB
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09-11 21:40

9/11 Pre-Market Thoughts: The Shoe Drops

I. Key Events August CPI Lands: Rate Hike All But Certain, Market Dips Then Rebounds August CPI came in at +0.4% MoM (in line with expectations), while core CPI rose +0.3% MoM (above the expected 0.2%). The market is now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate hike at the 9/18 FOMC meeting, and expects two hikes this year. Following the data release, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin all dipped before rebounding — the rate-hike expectation has already been priced in → the negative is exhausted, and the decline has halted. Sell Puts on dips are viable. Oil Spikes Then Retreats: Breaks $100, Then Falls Back Below Meanwhile, the Shanghai International Energy Exchange announced adjustments to crude oil and low-sulfur fuel oil futures trading limits: intraday opening positions for SC2610 and SC26
9/11 Pre-Market Thoughts: The Shoe Drops
TOPRitaClara: VIX and skew still look bid, so “negative exhausted” feels early. A hot core print plus two hikes priced in usually doesn’t clear that fast
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