$SPCX Is Up 41% Since the Bottom. I’m Still Waiting
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ is now up more than 41% from the August 5th bottom. That call worked beautifully. I took profits on the 30% breakout in less than six days and stepped away from the position on August 10th. Since then, I’ve been waiting for the pullback. Still waiting. 😅 The stock keeps pushing higher, but I’m not going to chase it just because the move continues. That’s the important part. 📈 Price can keep going. 💰 The setup can still be great. ⏳ And I can still choose to wait. Right now, $SPCX is no longer trading at the kind of discount I was looking for. The next level I’m watching is around $160 resistance on the volume profile. Price could continue grinding toward that area, but I’d rather let the market come back to me. If we finally get a si
$AMD Breaks the Downtrend But May Need to Consolidate
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ just cleared the symmetric series of lower highs, giving the chart a much more constructive look. The bigger confirmation is the recovery of the 50DMA, which puts the stock back above an important trend reference. Recent technical data also shows the 50-day average has shifted back into a bullish signal. 🔥 The breakout is encouraging. But I wouldn’t chase the move blindly. The oscillator is suggesting that some consolidation could come next, allowing the breakout to reset before another push higher. There’s also an open gap overhead that could become a near-term hurdle, especially with all the AI-related noise heading into the week. So the setup looks pretty straightforward: 📈 Breakout confirmed 📊 50DMA recovered ⏳ Con
$NDX Could Be Next If $NQ Loses Its Relative Strength
$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is setting up for another potentially large leg lower. The bearish SMT from the June highs is still intact, a divergence that often shows up around major tops. Meanwhile, $SPX and $DJI are already starting to weaken. Now the question is whether Nasdaq becomes the next domino. 📉 My ABC model maps the larger downside path toward 26,800–26,600, where A = C. But first, price needs to lose the recent lows. That’s the trigger I’m watching. If those lows break, downside momentum could expand quickly. There’s another important piece here 👇 $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ is still showing short-term relative strength, but $E-mini S&P 500 -
Dividend Strategy: 5 Ex-Dividend Stocks to Watch This Week
Investors looking to capture yield should turn their attention to five major corporations going ex-dividend this week. Based on the attached "Dividend Champion" screener, these stocks range from high-growth Aristocrats to deep-value Challengers. Here is a breakdown of the opportunities presented by $UnitedHealth(UNH)$$Altria(MO)$$Merck(MRK)$$Vici Properties(VICI)$$T. Rowe Price(TROW)$ The "Champion" Tier: Growth & Safety 1.$VICI | Vici Properties Status: Champion / Aristocrat Current Yield: 7.4%
Lower highs have dominated since June, and $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$ is now pressing against the 20WMA. The bigger move may be close. A clean break below the 20WMA would put the 40WMA zone next in focus — roughly 9% lower from current levels. Losing 29,027 would add another major bearish signal. Meanwhile, the bearish diagonal on $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ remains intact. Today’s indecisive action was rejected at that trendline, keeping the downside structure alive. 🎯 Key levels 729 → potential short setup if reclaimed/filled first 712 → downside gap target 701 → next gap target 29,027 → critical $NQ_F support 20WMA → 40WMA → major downside path With Fed rate-hike odds sitting around 86%, there’s
$FCFS Is the Kind of Stock Most Investors Never Discover
One of the best things about the stock market? There are thousands of great businesses you’ve probably never heard of. Take $First Cash(FCFS)$ . I only came across it recently, and it’s a perfect reminder of why investors should keep digging beyond the usual mega-cap names. 📈 Dividend growth has been remarkably consistent 💰 Earnings have continued to compound 🚀 The share price has delivered strong long-term appreciation And the business is still executing. FirstCash reported 29% revenue growth and 58% GAAP EPS growth in Q2 2026, while also raising capital returns through a new $150M buyback authorization. This is why I love researching stocks. You don’t need to find the next $NVDA. Sometimes the best opportunities are hiding in companies most of t
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Friday’s high is the line in the sand. 🔴 Stay below Friday’s high The bearish count remains valid, and I’m looking for W5 lower into FOMC. 🟢 Break above Friday’s high The decline starts looking more like a 3-wave move, which would favor a deeper retracement toward the 61.8% level. There’s another warning for bulls 👀 The bearish SMT at Friday’s high increases the odds of an early pullback Monday. My lean remains simple: W5 lower first. I’ll let price action decide what comes next. 🎯 The Fed meeting is coming, so I’m watching the level, not chasing the noise. When markets keep you watching, knowing when to switch off matters too. A strong U.S. jobs report has put rates back in focus, with this week’s CPI data set to be another ke
Last week was choppy for the market as anticipated. I highlighted declines in the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones as high-probability setups, using $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ as the instruments to set the targets. DIA reached the bearish target of 522 for a -2.2% move 🎯, and SPY hit 761.8 for a -1.1% move 🎯. They actually extended their losses, but I mark the targets officially reached. Being bearish on the indices doesn’t mean that the entire market will fall; successful traders know that very well. While we were bearish on the indices, individual setups for
$MU: Nvidia Gets The Attention. Why Am I Watching Micron?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ designs the compute engine, but $Micron Technology(MU)$ controls the critical physical bottleneck powering next-generation AI accelerators: High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM). Key Catalysts Driving the $MU Thesis HBM Content Density Scaling: Modern GPU architectures require up to 3.5× more memory density per chip scaling from 80GB HBM2e on legacy cards to 288GB+ HBM3e/HBM4 on Blackwell and Vera Rubin platforms. As LLMs expand, memory bandwidth and capacity not raw compute FLOPS become the binding constraint on AI training and inference at scale. Unprecedented Pricing Power: HBM3e/HBM4 manufacturing complexity has created a structural supply bottleneck, leaving memory producers sold out quarters in a
$Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ Samsara's most recent quarter (Fiscal Q2 2027, ended 2026-08-01, reported 2026-09-03) beat expectations across the board — revenue of $508.4M (+29.9% YoY) topped the ~$483M consensus, and adjusted EPS of $0.20 beat the $0.16 estimate by 25% The company swung to a profit, raised its full-year outlook, and the stock rallied over 14% on the print. Growth momentum is accelerating!
The short‑term Elliott Wave outlook in Silver (XAGUSD)f rom the July 17, 2026 low indicates that the cycle is unfolding as a five‑wave impulse. Within this sequence, wave ((1)) concluded at $71.23. The subsequent pullback in wave ((2)) is now in progress, serving to correct the earlier advance. Its internal subdivision takes the form of a zigzag structure, which is typical in corrective phases. From the termination of wave ((1)), wave (A) ended at $63.28. Thereafter, wave (B) developed as a zigzag of its own. In this subdivision, wave A finished at $67.47, wave B retraced to $64.71, and wave C advanced to $68.32, completing wave (B) at a higher degree. Following this, the metal resumed its decline in wave (C). The ideal target for this leg is measured by the 100% to 161.8% Fibonacci extens
I see Burry’s move as risk management, not a change of conviction. Closing the December puts reduces time-decay risk, while his longer-dated puts and short positions show he still has concerns about AI valuations. I remain bullish on AI, PLTR and NVDA, but I understand the valuation risk. Strong growth must continue to catch up with expectations, especially at such high multiples. Personally, I will not change my holdings just because Burry moved. I prefer to follow earnings, growth and guidance, while using pullbacks to accumulate gradually. I will stay patient and let the numbers, rather than headlines, guide my decisions. Even the best investors can be early, so I prefer to make my own plan and trade it. Consistency over noise. 🐯 @
I think Kioxia’s potential U.S. listing is interesting because it could give NAND and enterprise SSDs much more visibility among global AI investors. AI is not only driving HBM demand anymore. The massive growth in data, inference and AI workloads also means storage is becoming an increasingly important part of the infrastructure. For me, this makes $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ and $Micron Technology(MU)$ particularly interesting to watch, although their exposure is different. I am especially watching whether enterprise SSD demand and NAND pricing can remain strong as AI data-center spending continues to grow. I still see storage as a cyclical industry, so I would not chase the rally blindly. If AI can struct
My Take on Oil I've been watching this pretty closely given how much of the current market story runs through the Middle East, so here's where I land. The current picture: Brent has been on a wild ride, it spiked past $108 last week (highest since May) as the US-Iran conflict dragged on, then pulled back to around $106 today. Brent fell to $106.11 on September 11, 2026, down 1.41% from the previous day, though it's still up 58.4% YOY WTI is trading near $96-97. The driver is straightforward: the IEA has flagged this as potentially the largest oil supply disruption in history, with the conflict cutting into 2026 demand forecasts by roughly 730,000 barrels a day at one point, and flow through the Strait of Hormuz, normally about 20% of global oil supply, collapsed from 20 million barrels a d
The USD 100 Oil Shock: How To Protect Your Hard Earned Money
🌟🌟🌟When crude oil prices shoot past USD 100 a barrel, that pain isn't just felt at the pump. It sends a massive shockwave straight through Wall Street. Right now, everyday families are feeling the squeeze. Worse yet, the latest inflation numbers show that general prices are stuck at 3.4%. Things simply aren't cooling down. If you are a new investor, you need to know the golden rule of this market: high oil prices act like a giant tax on the economy. Money is being violently dragged out of normal businesses and poured directly into the pockets of oil giants. If you leave your money sitting in the wrong investments, inflation will slowly est away at your savings. But you don't have to just sit there and take the hit. You can fight back by changing wh
Stocks Rally Despite Rising Rate-Hike Odds. Should Investors Buy or Cut Risk? U.S. stocks staged a seemingly counterintuitive move on Friday: CPI came in hotter than expected and the odds of a Fed rate hike next week climbed further, yet all three major indexes moved higher, led by the Nasdaq. With a 25-basis-point hike now largely priced in, investors are shifting their focus to the path ahead: Will the Fed keep hiking after this move? Why Are Stocks Rising Despite Hotter CPI? First, the 10-year Treasury yield briefly approached 5% but failed to break decisively higher. For tech stocks, a sustained rise in long-term yields would add further valuation pressure. The stabilization in yields has therefore given growth stocks some room to rebound. Meanwhile, oil prices pulled back after their
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ was formed in 1975, and the PC revolution started only a few years later. But it would take 24 years before half of the homes in the U.S. had a PC. In 1994, the first online payment was made, but it was 12 years before $Shopify(SHOP)$ was founded. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ launched in 1994, and even today, only about 17% of purchases are made online. $Apple(AAPL)$ iPhone launched in 2007 when nearly everyone already had a phone in their pocket, and it still took six years for half of Americans to adopt the smartphone. Consumer adoption of products often takes longer than we think or remember, which is both an