Market Rebound: Will Thanksgiving Week Break the Four-Year Pattern?

The S&P 500 index fell about 2% in November, marking its worst monthly performance since March, while market volatility surged. Citi’s Head of Wealth Management said there is still “some room” for the bull market, and this Wall Street giant has seen record inflows from wealthy clients this year. Last Friday, expectations for a rate cut shifted again, prompting an emergency Fed intervention that ultimately turned the market positive. Will this week see a “mindless” rally? With the Fed set to end QT in December, is this year’s decline over? Are you bullish or bearish?

avatarderickt
12-03
avatarJC888
12-01

Goldman Says US Market Sell-Off Far From Over ?

In a note to clients, $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ said that the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index falling below an important level has given hedge funds that follow market trends, signal to possibly sell nearly $40 billion worth of stocks in the next week. By next week, it means the week of 24 Nov 2025, as the note (to clients) was sent on Thu, 20 Nov 2025. On Wed, 19 Nov 2025, the S&P 500 (.SPX) index, declined in value past a threshold of 6,725 on Wednesday. It closed the day at 6,642 level. (see below) As of 21 Nov 2025 After prices fell below 6,642, GS's calculations suggest that over the next week, $39 billion of global equities might be sold. If stock prices extend falls, the bank estimates that systematic trend
Goldman Says US Market Sell-Off Far From Over ?
avatarBarcode
12-01

🔥📊🌍 The Week Ahead: I’m Positioning for One of the Most Critical Market Setups of 2025 as Liquidity, Earnings, and Macro Align 🌍📊🔥

$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ I’m stepping into this week with conviction because we’re entering a rare alignment. Liquidity is expanding as central banks pivot toward easing, cross-asset flows are rotating into risk, macro data is softening just enough to keep policy accommodative, earnings density across software and semis is the highest of the quarter, sector rotation is accelerating into value and cyclicals, metals continue to rally on sovereign demand and structural supply deficits, and December seasonality is flashing green. When the tape sets up like this, I don’t sit back. I position early. 📊 Market Recap I’m ente
🔥📊🌍 The Week Ahead: I’m Positioning for One of the Most Critical Market Setups of 2025 as Liquidity, Earnings, and Macro Align 🌍📊🔥
avatarFTGR
11-30
Shall rise a bit more in December..
avatar4M65
11-30
Market is a roller coaster. Indeed. 
avatarN00b
11-29
Thanks for sharing and debunking the myths
avatarWY8
11-29
No shit it won't. What makes u think it will?

Big-Tech Weekly | TPU vs GPU: Architecture Showdown for AI Supremacy

Big-Tech’s PerformanceMacro Headlines This Week:Core inflation re-accelerated but with nuanceUS October core PCE rose 2.8% y/y – still above the Fed’s 2% target – yet the month-on-month pace eased. Services inflation, driven partly by surging portfolio-management fees tied to earlier equity gains, was the key driver.Fed policy path remains the biggest wildcardThe US economy shows resilience alongside hidden cracks. Markets are increasingly focused on the $6.7 tn of Treasuries maturing in 2025–2026 (≈25% of the outstanding marketable debt). Combined with potential expansionary fiscal policy under a second Trump administration, deficit concerns are rising. CICC estimates suggest meaningful deficit reduction will be difficult in a “Trump 2.0” scenario. Any shift in Treasury issuance mix could
Big-Tech Weekly | TPU vs GPU: Architecture Showdown for AI Supremacy
Short-Term View: A Possible Relief Rebound The sharp sell-off in November, followed by the Fed’s emergency action, suggests that markets were oversold in the near term. Positioning had shifted towards fear, so a short burst of buying is possible. If liquidity expectations improve and investors believe the Fed will end QT smoothly in December, a short-lived “mindless” rally can occur, driven by mechanical flows rather than conviction. Medium-Term View: Decline Likely Not Fully Over Despite the rebound potential, several indicators show the broader correction may not have run its full course. • Valuations remain elevated, especially across megacap tech. • Earnings downgrades are creeping in, yet prices have not adjusted proportionately. • Volatility is rising, a sign that markets are struggl

Hang Seng Rebounds – Can 25,000 Hold the Key to Further Upside?

Hang Seng Index (HSI) – Broader trend view The Hang Seng Index ( $HSI(HSI)$ ) has shown a strong rebound off the 25,000 support zone, supported by rising moving averages. The key question now is: what needs to happen for this strength to continue — and will price break above resistance to confirm the next leg up? Support currently resides around the key 25,000 level, which previously acted as a resistance and has now turned into a psychological and technical support zone. Price action is also being supported by rising moving averages, suggesting the broader uptrend structure is still intact for now. Short-term price movement may continue to be guided by the strength of the 25,000 level. A clean hold above this zone may provide opportunities for dir
Hang Seng Rebounds – Can 25,000 Hold the Key to Further Upside?
Market will definitely rebound this Thanksgiving week! Hoping for a merry holidays!🥳
avatarRickyD
11-28
This cold market has to turn around eventually right???

Will QT Ending Break The Four Year Pattern For Thanksgiving week and Black Friday?

The coming end-of-year is shaping — and the policy moves by the Federal Reserve (Fed) will have important implications for investors. In this article I would like to share how we see it, given what is known now — and what investors might consider doing over the final month of 2025 and early 2026. What the Fed’s move means (ending QT + reinvesting into T-bills) The Fed has announced that starting December 1, it will stop shrinking its balance sheet (i.e. end Quantitative Tightening, QT). Instead of letting assets (Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, MBS) roll off without replacement, the Fed will reinvest maturing MBS proceeds into short-term Treasury bills (T-bills). Mechanically, that means less downward pressure on liquidity / bank reserves. In effect, money-market liquidity shoul
Will QT Ending Break The Four Year Pattern For Thanksgiving week and Black Friday?
avatarderickt
11-28
$MELI 20251205 1990.0 PUT$ rebound is a great way to earn premium if managed to catch the lowest point & sell a put
avatarKK2021
11-28
yes. based on fed decision to cut rate
avatarSpiders
11-28

Market Rebound: Will Thanksgiving Week Break the Four-Year Pattern?

Thanksgiving week always seems to cast a strange spell over the markets. There’s this seasonal rhythm where investors return from the holiday with a renewed sense of energy, and sometimes the charts react as if they’ve caught the mood. But this month feels different — more cautious, more tense, like everyone’s watching the S&P 500 out of the corner of their eye. The index slipped about 2% in November, marking its weakest month since March. Volatility picked up, headlines turned dramatic, and for a moment it felt as if the market was wobbling. Yet despite the shakiness, Citi’s head of Wealth Management still talked about “room” left in the bull market — and apparently the firm has seen record inflows from wealthy clients this year. It’s one of those classic market contradictions: anxiet
Market Rebound: Will Thanksgiving Week Break the Four-Year Pattern?
avatarIsleigh
11-27

Rebound Watch: Will Thanksgiving Break the Four Year Pattern or Is This Another Trap?

This market is trying very hard to look confident, but everyone can feel that the ground is still soft. November was rough, volatility spiked, and the Fed had to step in again. Yet here we are, green candles showing up right before Thanksgiving week. The big question is whether this bounce has real strength or if it is another holiday trap. If the major indexes hold their levels, we may see a short burst of risk appetite that spills into smaller names. That is where things get interesting for traders who watch counters like CRCL, RZLV, RGTI, NOK, BYND, and ORBS. CRCL could benefit if AI sentiment improves again since speculative tech often reacts to macro tone first. RZLV is still a low float mover, so any rotation into small caps may give it a pop. RGTI tends to shadow momentum in the bro
Rebound Watch: Will Thanksgiving Break the Four Year Pattern or Is This Another Trap?
Market Outlook: Bullish Tilt with Caution The recent 2 percent decline reflects a sentiment reset rather than a structural break. Volatility has risen, but liquidity support remains intact. The Fed’s emergency move last Friday shows policymakers are still highly sensitive to disorderly tightening. If QT indeed ends in December, the liquidity overhang for risk assets improves meaningfully. Will there be a “mindless” rally this week A short rebound is possible because positioning is light and sentiment is fragile. Investors tend to chase when markets flip from fear to relief. However, the durability of such a rally depends on whether macro data confirms softening inflation without a deep growth slowdown. Is this year’s decline over The correction appears more like a pullback within an ongoin
avatarxc__
11-27

S&P's Thanksgiving Feast: Shattering the 4-Year Curse or Festive Fakeout Fireworks? 🚀📉🍁

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Traders are carving up the tape like a holiday turkey – the S&P 500's clawing back from a brutal 2% November nosedive, its ugliest monthly scar since March, amid volatility that's got hearts racing faster than Black Friday shoppers. Citi's wealth gurus are dropping truth bombs, spotting "some room" for the bull to charge amid record inflows from fat-wallet clients pouring $37B+ into equities this year alone. Last Friday's Fed frenzy flipped rate-cut odds to 78%, sparking a green close that erased weekly reds. But here's the platter: Will Thanksgiving week ignite a "mindless" rally, busting the 4-year pattern of holiday humps? With QT slamming shut in December, unleashing liquidity like confetti, is the year's dip toast? Div
S&P's Thanksgiving Feast: Shattering the 4-Year Curse or Festive Fakeout Fireworks? 🚀📉🍁
avatarL.Lim
11-27
Momentum? Everything feels so fragile... one moment it was fears of no rate cuts, then everything plunged. Now rate cuts are back on the menu, then everything climbs again. What sort of gambling madness is this?