I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
The Winners of the Week: Physical Economy & Defense
The indecisive price action observed at the close of last week anticipated the recent decline in the major U.S. indices. However, as mentioned in my previous publications, the gap fill for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is the best outcome that could happen for bullish continuation.The first trading week of 2026 presented a significant rotation, since investors reduced exposure to 2025’s growth darlings; specifically Technology and Consumer Discretionary, and reallocated capital into defensive, physical assets like Energy and Utilities.In recent weeks, I highlighted the bearish setups for both $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and
Gap Filled: Is the SPX Cleared for Bullish Continuation?
The indecisive price action highlighted last weekend was validated by the pullback observed this week in the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . The final week of the year closed in the red, with declines of -1% for the SPX, -1.7% for the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , and -1% for small caps ( $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ). However, this decline resolves a ‘loose end’ that would have injected significant uncertainty into the price action had we seen an immediate bullish continuation.The $6,840 gap was filled, just as we considered last weekend and reinforced on Wednesday morning in the mid-week market update. Now, it is time to assess the market structure and key support le
Will the Jobs Data Trigger a Healthy Gap Fill on the SPX and NDX?
The final day of the year has arrived. Congratulations on your trading and investment performance. Regardless of your specific returns, be aware that you have just navigated a historically unique year; one with few precedents.We witnessed a rapid selloff comparable in velocity to 2020, rather than the slow-motion bear market of 2022. Then, mirroring 2020 again, we saw a V-shaped recovery from a major correction, accompanied by a confluence of rare bullish events: a breadth thrust and two distinct ‘up volume’ days. We studied these events individually as they occurred, noting how statistically improbable it is to witness them all within a single calendar year.The average active trader survives only one or two years in this business. When these rare events are experienced in real-time; rathe
Last week, the Weekly Compass anticipated a bullish context for the overall stock market that played out perfectly. Following the setup highlighted for premium subscribers, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ jumped 1,4%. As shown in the chart below, our analysis identified a specific pattern (highlighted in yellow) that suggested bullish continuation for the week that just ended.My approach combines technical indicators with modeled support and resistance levels. A cornerstone of this strategy is the Central Weekly Level (CWL). When the price stays above the CWL, it validates a bullish setup; when it remains below, it confirms a bearish outlook. For this week, the CWL sat at $6,805. Since price action remained consistently above this threshold, traders using
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Price action lacks conviction considering the intra-day reversal. The weekly support of $6,784 now holding as resistance in confluence with the 20DMA must be recovered to validate a more compelling bounce. The fast oscillator, is looking identical to previous bottoms. The bounce on Friday recovered essential levels and the 20DMA. Price action along with the oscillator suggests bullish continuation. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater Flexibility NowFind out
SPX: Lacks Conviction, 6784 Support Now Key Resistance
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Price action lacks conviction considering the intra-day reversal. The weekly support of $6,784 now holding as resistance in confluence with the 20DMA must be recovered to validate a more compelling bounce. The fast oscillator, is looking identical to previous bottoms. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ The gap was filled✅, and the candle shows promising indecision.Be careful being too bearish here. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
From LLY to IWM: How Price Levels Define Risk and Reward
Over the past three weeks, the high probability trades have performed with a high level of accuracy. These setups always include a target price and an invalidation level which, in most cases, is the Central Weekly Level (CWL).The purpose of posting targets is to establish an objective metric based on price action. This gives you an edge in anticipating potential reversals, which is why targets are placed at these specific zones.Take this week, for example. The Weekly Compass anticipated a bullish move for $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ , targeting $505.4 for a 1.2% upside. Price reached that level as early as Monday afternoon but retraced quickly on Tuesday. This illustrates the importance of using levels: once a target is reached, it becomes new su
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - The bearish Stochastic crossover remains a valid thesis, and the Head and Shoulders formation is now so obvious that it must be seriously considered. While the market may open green tomorrow morning, any minor bounce must prove its strength by recovering key price levels. 7 of the last 9 bearish crossovers have set the stage for further bearish continuation. One of the exceptions was an early warning signal. The other exception happened last week; if IT was also an early signal, red continuation is likely toward 20DMA. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.