To The Moon

The US-Israel vs. Iran conflict (now in its Day 3–4 as of March 2, 2026) remains highly active and escalating, with no signs of de-escalation. The joint operation began February 28, 2026, with massive airstrikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and dozens of senior IRGC/military/intelligence figures, decapitating much of Iran's top leadership. Iran retaliated with repeated ballistic missile and drone barrages under "Operation True Promise 4," targeting Israel, US regional bases, and Gulf states. Latest Developments (as of early March 2, 2026) Ongoing strikes: Israel launched fresh "large-scale" waves on Tehran (including central areas like leadership compounds, internal security/Basij bases, and possibly Gandhi Hospital/state TV sites), causing explosions, widespread dam

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies 26% OF THE 7.5 MILLION UNEMPLOYED AMERICANS ACTIVELY SEEKING WORK HAVE BEEN JOB HUNTING FOR MORE THAN SIX MONTHS, ACCORDING TO THE FINANCIAL TIMES. - First Squawk BIG BANKRUPTCIES HAVE CLIMBED TO THEIR HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE COVID, ACCORDING TO BLOOMBERG. California’s wine industry is facing a cascade of economic and market pressures, leading even long-standing labels and industry giants like Gallo to shut down production - MacroEdge "Americans are defaulting at a crisis-level pace," per Yahoo Finance. Block to cut about 4,400 employees - MacroEdge Papa John's plans to close 300 of its restaurants by the end of 2027 as it moves to cut costs. -CBS CNBC is cutting some newsroom jobs in a reorganisation meant to unify its digital and TV news

News and my thoughts from the past week (02Mar2026) China now generates 40% more electricity than the US and EU combined. Electricity output is the single best proxy for industrial capacity - Elon Musk Israeli media says that after Khamenei, our next target is Tayyip Erdogan (Turkey). - X user Globe Observer South Korea’s stock market is a $40 billion leverage bomb waiting to go off. The KOSPI is up 177% in the last year. A 177% domestic rally relying almost entirely on semiconductors. $40B parked in highly leveraged U.S. tech ETFs. Volatility rising right alongside market highs. - X user Bull Theory “AI does not reduce work. It intensifies it.“ Powerful new Harvard Business Review study. - X user Rohan Paul The Pentagon just blacklisted one of America’s most valuable AI companie

Market Outlook of S&P500 (02Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is on a downtrend, implying a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. The last candle is sitting above the 50-day & 200-day moving average (MA) line. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in the short and long-term outlook. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA lines are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bearish outlook. The 3 lines have converged, and we may see a trend change. Chaikin Money Flow

Earnings Calendar (02Mar2026) I am interested in the earnings of Target, CrowdStrike, Sea, Broadcom, Costco, Kroger and Kura. Let us look at Sea Limited. Stock Performance and Valuation Sea Limited ended the most recent trading day with a closing price of $108.45. Reviewing the one-year price chart reveals a consistent downtrend, which has contributed to a decline of 14.8% over the past year. From a technical analysis standpoint, the recommendation is to strongly sell, reflecting the persistent negative momentum in the stock price. In contrast, analyst sentiment indicates a strong buy recommendation, with a price target set at $180.54. This target suggests a potential upside of more than 66% compared to the last closing price, raising the question of whether the stock deserves renewed

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 02Mar2026) Global and U.S. PMI Data The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for February is forecasted at 51.2, signalling expansion and growth in global manufacturing sectors. This positive indicator suggests favourable conditions for the overall market. Similarly, the S&P Global Services PMI forecast stands at 52.3, reflecting growth in the global services sector and providing a constructive outlook for the global economy. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for February is expected to reach 51.7, indicating expansion and growth within the manufacturing sector. However, the ISM Manufacturing Prices forecast is 60.6, which points to inflationary pressures as manufacturers are likely to pass increased costs on to consumers. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Pric

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 02Mar2026) Global and U.S. PMI Data The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for February is forecasted at 51.2, signalling expansion and growth in global manufacturing sectors. This positive indicator suggests favourable conditions for the overall market. Similarly, the S&P Global Services PMI forecast stands at 52.3, reflecting growth in the global services sector and providing a constructive outlook for the global economy. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for February is expected to reach 51.7, indicating expansion and growth within the manufacturing sector. However, the ISM Manufacturing Prices forecast is 60.6, which points to inflationary pressures as manufacturers are likely to pass increased costs on to consumers. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Pric

The conflict in the Middle East has escalated significantly, with the United States and Israel launching major strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026. President Trump has described these as “major combat operations” aimed at addressing security threats, including Iran’s nuclear program and military capabilities, while urging Iranians to seize the opportunity for regime change. from the CNN homepage Iran has retaliated with ballistic missile strikes targeting Israel and U.S. assets across the region, including in Gulf Arab states such as the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia. These actions have drawn condemnations from Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations, which have intercepted missiles and positioned themselves against what they describe as Iranian aggression. Explosions and impa

SALESFORCE Earnings summary (Source: APP Economics Insights) Salesforce Q4 FY26 (Jan. quarter): • Current RPO +13% Y/Y cc to $35.1B • Revenue +12% Y/Y to $11.2B (in-line) • Op. margin 17% (-2pp Y/Y) • Non-GAAP EPS $3.81 ($0.76 beat) FY27 guide: • Revenue +10-11% to ~$46.0B • Informatica contributing 3pp • Op. margin 20.9% $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ This looks to be a strong performance. Can they keep this up?

Nvidia Earnings summary (Source: APP Economics Insights) NVIDIA Q4 FY26 (January quarter). • Revenue +73% Y/Y to $68.1B ($1.9B beat). • Operating margin 65% (+4pp Y/Y). • Non-GAAP EPS $1.62 ($0.08 beat). Q1 FY27 guidance: • Revenue $78.0B ($6.0B beat). $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The price broke $200 and fell after-market. Is the market having cold feet?