To The Moon

As of the market close on June 18, 2026 (latest comprehensive data available), here are the Year-to-Date (YTD) performance figures for the requested indexes and groups. Major Indexes (Price Returns, unless noted) S&P 500: +9.57% (Total Return ~+10.20%, including ~0.63% dividends). NASDAQ Composite: ~+14.09% (stronger recent momentum; Nasdaq-100, a related tech-heavy gauge, at +20.42%). Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA): +7.29%. Wilshire 5000 (FT Wilshire 5000 Full Cap): +9.74%. S&P 500 Breakdown and Magnificent 7 S&P 493 (S&P 500 excluding the Magnificent 7): Has generally outperformed the Mag 7 in 2026 so far, contributing to broader market gains. Exact current YTD not pinned in all sources, but it has led relative performance amid Mag 7 weakness (e.g., earlier in the ye

From my friend “Tiger Capital Research” Morning Brief | Overnight Important Developments on June 22 1. The first round of US-Iran negotiations did not discuss the issue of Iran's nuclear program; 2. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 61.5%; 3. Trump said the US might collect 20% of the oil revenue in the Middle East; 4. Canton Strategic launched a $50 million stock buyback plan; 5. Bitfinex report: Bitcoin shows a market structure of "selling pressure paused but buying interest unconfirmed"; 6. Forbes: Funds from crypto super PACs have started pouring into the 2026 US primary elections; 7. The Iranian delegation has left the negotiation venue, but negotiations with the US are still continuing through intermediaries.

My Investing Muse (22Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Meta’s CTO says morale is near “the worst it’s ever been” — leadership will offer increased snack budgets to lift spirits. Freight Distress Report: more carriers shut down, logistics firms cut jobs Bankruptcy filings from Texas to California were accompanied by hundreds of layoffs at Expeditors, Alan Ritchey, DHL and others - FreightWaves My muse The market is returning to a backdrop shaped by a peace deal that still lacks important details, alongside continued restrictions around access to the Straits of Hormuz. There also appear to be different interpretations of the agreement. In my view, this is consistent with the uncertainty we have seen since the start of the conflict, and I would not be surprised if tensions remain e

News and my thoughts from the past week (22Jun2026) NSA Director Gen. Joshua Rudd claims Anthropic’s “MYTHOS” broke into America’s most sensitive classified systems in just a few hours. Eric Schmidt saying the quiet part out loud: "What I don't like about [China's AI] is that it's all open source which means it's largely uncontrolled and not controlled in any way by us." He adds, "if that makes you feel any better," that only 2 or 3 countries can be independent AI powers. In other words, it's all about hegemony: the ideal scenario is a world where AI is controlled by the US - and the fewer countries that can resist that, the better. GIC nears deal to offload US$2 billion in private credit stakes - The Business Times Amazon, Walmart, Uber, Cisco, and Meta have all capped or limited employee

Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.00, indicating the market has equal buying and selling momentum. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are showing a bulli

Earnings Calendar (22Jun2026) I am interested in the earnings of FedEx, Carnival, Micron, Trip and BlackBerrry. FedEx earnings serve as a primary health check for the global economy because the company moves millions of packages daily across more than 220 countries and territories. When businesses and consumers buy fewer goods, FedEx is often the first to notice. FedEx is a market bellwether. As a Global Trade Barometer, Consumer Spending Pulse, Corporate Health Indicator, Transportation Sector Leader and Forward-Looking Guidance, their earnings tell a lot more about the economy than the performance of one company. Valuation and Market Sentiment The stock has risen 44.31% from a year ago. Technical analysis currently points to a “strong sell” recommendation, while analyst se

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 22Jun2026) Business Activity · S&P Global Services PMI: The June Services PMI is forecast at 51.0, suggesting modest growth in the services sector. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: The June Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 54.8, indicating continued expansion in the manufacturing sector. Housing and Energy Markets · New Home Sales: May new home sales are expected to come in at 637,000 units, up from the previous 622,000 units. This will be an important reference point for assessing momentum in the real estate market. · Crude Oil Inventories: Crude oil inventory data remains a key near-term indicator. A drawdown in inventories may signal stronger demand expectations and provide insight into how oil m

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 22Jun2026) Business Activity · S&P Global Services PMI: The June Services PMI is forecast at 51.0, suggesting modest growth in the services sector. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: The June Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 54.8, indicating continued expansion in the manufacturing sector. Housing and Energy Markets · New Home Sales: May new home sales are expected to come in at 637,000 units, up from the previous 622,000 units. This will be an important reference point for assessing momentum in the real estate market. · Crude Oil Inventories: Crude oil inventory data remains a key near-term indicator. A drawdown in inventories may signal stronger demand expectations and provide insight into how oil majors view market consumption. Inflation

My Investing Muse (15Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies The latest filings include a mix of Chapter 11 re-organizations and Chapter 7 liquidations involving trucking carriers, freight brokers, logistics consultants and transportation service providers operating in Illinois, Tennessee, Maryland, North Carolina and Michigan. - FreightWaves News summary from Gemini The global layoff landscape for the week of June 8, 2026, marks a decisive macro shift: companies are aggressively substituting traditional workforce overhead to fund and integrate agentic AI workflows. Over 55% of global tech layoffs this year now explicitly cite AI restructuring. Tech & Gaming Adjustments: Sea Group’s Shopee cut hundreds of developer roles (~8% of engineering) globally, offering “N+2”

News and my thoughts from the past week (15Jun2026) The preferred sequence should be legislation to governance to innovation but now, governance and legislation are catching up with innovations. There's risk. Without governance, aligning innovation with legislation can be painful. - Pukka Solutions "people gotta understand... [SpaceX] raised $75 billion... [and only] floated 5% of the stock... it's a very small float". "[But its valuation], that's a different story". "$1.7 trillion did not go to SpaceX. [It is] $75 billion. So people need to understand that". "then when Anthropic and OpenAI, if they ever make it to IPO, they're going to raise about $100 billion each. So the total raised actual real money is about $300 billion between these three IPOs". "Their valuations, that's a different