To The Moon

1 Some high risk thematic bets. You don't need all of these to win to do very well: Optics:$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ now trades below the forecasted transceiver revenue run rate in 2027. Neoclouds: $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ now trades ~0.4x my base case FY30 ARR figure. Copper: $Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ is now down 32% in the last month and back to the same level as when it was announced the US Gov owned 10%. Robotics: $Ouster Inc.(OUST)$ set to grow at ~40% CAGR whilst trading sub 8x sales. $Aeva Technologies Inc

Risk to reward for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is better than all other Mag-7 plays. -> AWS is growing 40% YoY and will likely sustain that for the next 2-3 years. -> Can almost value ~80% of the company on AWS alone. Where AWS is today: - $184B revenue run rate. - 39% operating margins - $578B backlog - Management guiding to 40%+ growth in both 2027 and 2028. Where AWS gets to: - 40% growth -> $246B in 2027 - 40% growth again -> $345B in 2028 - At 38% margins -> $131B in operating income from AWS alone. At 15x operating income we have a $2T company which is 77% of today's entire valuation. Which means you're valuing retail, ads, Amazon Leo, Zoox, Trainium chips, Anthropic stake and everything else at $600M. Risk to reward in

I had a look through some major drawdowns of some of the best investments of the last decade: 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$: - Up 12,400% in the last decade. - Fell 66% 2021 and 2022 2. $Micron Technology(MU)$: - Up 5,300% in the last decade. - Fell 58% between 2024 and 2025. 3, $Arista Networks(ANET)$: - Up 3,400% in the last decade - Fell 52% between 2019 and 2020 4. $Lam Research(LRCX)$: - Up 2,700% in the last decade - Fell 58% in 2022 5. $Broadcom(AVGO)$: - Up 2,500% in the last decade - Fell 48% between 2019

Money yet again flowing into defensives and homebuilders and out of the AI infrastructure trade as risk appetite switches by the day. This has to be the most indecisive market ever? What more evidence can the market want at the moment? $SpaceX(SPCX)$ and $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ single-handedly reminded (yes reminded...nothing changed from before) of the insatiable demands. Yet still by day 3 sentiment looking more positive here we are again. We're in a period where it seems like the market and investors are unsure what to bet on. Either it's the claims and posted financials from the biggest, most AI centric companies in the world and their management... or claims and "research" from

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! Hopefully everyone is using a bit more logic now after $SpaceX(SPCX)$ earnings. Two biggest beneficiaries for me from Elon's comments are $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ and $NEBIUS(NBIS)$. 1. Bloom Energy | $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$: Turbine suppliers told $SpaceX(SPCX)$ that blades and vanes run 12-18 months behind the rest of the turbine and this is only getting worse. This is one of Bloom's competitive advantage. Fuel cells have no turbine blad

Now people are using some logic again because Elon reminded us how early we are in this buildout Let's take a look at some opportunities. Here's a concentrated, high growth 15 stock basket I'd make right now at todays levels: Interconnect: 1. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$: Investor day evidenced management believe Marvell is here to scale as they work towards $30 EPS by 2031. 2. $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$: My higher risk optics play on a potential 9x inflection in monthly capacity by Q4 27. Currently trades ~1x FY28 base case revenue. Neoclouds: 3. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$: Hard not to be bullish when forecasts are projecti

Last week showed you why diversifying across themes is so important. That's why hedge fund deleveraging was so big. Most funds just had 20+ pure AI names and called that "diversification". Here's the most important themes: 1. Brazil / $iShares MSCI Brazil ETF(EWZ)$ -> $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ -> $MercadoLibre(MELI)$ -> $Vale SA(VALE)$ 2. Crypto / $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ -> $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ->

Just ran an screen of high growth (forecasted +30% growth in FY27) stocks that have held up nicely over the last month. Hopefully this puts into perspective the "blood bath" we are in: Results over 1 month: 1. Everpure | $Everpure(P)$: +27% 2. Securitize | $Securitize(SECZ)$: +27% 3. Bending Spoons | $Bending Spoons S.p.A.(BSP)$: +20% 4. AGI | $AGI(AGBK)$: +19% 5. Penguin Solutions | $Penguin Solutions, Inc.(PENG)$: +18% 6. Generac Holdings | $Genera

Having some exposure to Brazil $iShares MSCI Brazil ETF(EWZ)$ makes complete sense. As both a growth position and a slight hedge against the US. Ultimately it comes down to figuring out what the world can't function without? Answer: -> Critical Minerals: Brazil controls 90% of world niobium and has huge copper reserves. It's really the only credible critical minerals alternative to China. -> Food: World's largest net food exporter with more unused arable land than any country on earth. -> Water: 12% of the world's renewable freshwater. And at the same time you've got an extremely digitalizing demographic. It's why I hold a big position in $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ and

Remember when FUD led to massive overshoots to the downside for: -> Cybersecurity names when Claude Code Security was released. Since then: 1. $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ +152% 2. $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ +168% 3. $SailPoint Parent, LP(SAIL)$ +81% -> Chinese DeepSeek that would end the AI trade. Since then: -> $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ +90% -> $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ +375% -> $Intel(INTC)$ +395% -> SaaSpocalypse when inve