Stop the Panic: AI’s 10-Year Buildout Is Only 2–3 Years In—So Why Is the Market So Indecisive?
Money yet again flowing into defensives and homebuilders and out of the AI infrastructure trade as risk appetite switches by the day. This has to be the most indecisive market ever? What more evidence can the market want at the moment? $SpaceX(SPCX)$ and $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ single-handedly reminded (yes reminded...nothing changed from before) of the insatiable demands. Yet still by day 3 sentiment looking more positive here we are again. We're in a period where it seems like the market and investors are unsure what to bet on. Either it's the claims and posted financials from the biggest, most AI centric companies in the world and their management... or claims and "research" from
SpaceX Earnings: Bloom Energy and Nebius Emerge as Top Beneficiaries of Elon’s Comments
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! Hopefully everyone is using a bit more logic now after $SpaceX(SPCX)$ earnings. Two biggest beneficiaries for me from Elon's comments are $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ and $NEBIUS(NBIS)$. 1. Bloom Energy | $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$: Turbine suppliers told $SpaceX(SPCX)$ that blades and vanes run 12-18 months behind the rest of the turbine and this is only getting worse. This is one of Bloom's competitive advantage. Fuel cells have no turbine blad
Here's a Concentrated, High Growth 15 Stock Basket
Now people are using some logic again because Elon reminded us how early we are in this buildout Let's take a look at some opportunities. Here's a concentrated, high growth 15 stock basket I'd make right now at todays levels: Interconnect: 1. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$: Investor day evidenced management believe Marvell is here to scale as they work towards $30 EPS by 2031. 2. $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$: My higher risk optics play on a potential 9x inflection in monthly capacity by Q4 27. Currently trades ~1x FY28 base case revenue. Neoclouds: 3. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$: Hard not to be bullish when forecasts are projecti
Just Ran an Screen of High Growth (forecasted +30% growth in FY27) Stocks
Just ran an screen of high growth (forecasted +30% growth in FY27) stocks that have held up nicely over the last month. Hopefully this puts into perspective the "blood bath" we are in: Results over 1 month: 1. Everpure | $Everpure(P)$: +27% 2. Securitize | $Securitize(SECZ)$: +27% 3. Bending Spoons | $Bending Spoons S.p.A.(BSP)$: +20% 4. AGI | $AGI(AGBK)$: +19% 5. Penguin Solutions | $Penguin Solutions, Inc.(PENG)$: +18% 6. Generac Holdings | $Genera
Having some exposure to Brazil $iShares MSCI Brazil ETF(EWZ)$ makes complete sense. As both a growth position and a slight hedge against the US. Ultimately it comes down to figuring out what the world can't function without? Answer: -> Critical Minerals: Brazil controls 90% of world niobium and has huge copper reserves. It's really the only credible critical minerals alternative to China. -> Food: World's largest net food exporter with more unused arable land than any country on earth. -> Water: 12% of the world's renewable freshwater. And at the same time you've got an extremely digitalizing demographic. It's why I hold a big position in $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ and
It's very important to understand that: 1. FUD is normal. 2. FUD is a good thing long term. The last thing investors want (or for that matter the AI buildout wants) is a rapid buildout with no financing issues and no energy bottleneck issues and then a rapid crash. Bottlenecks are important. It slows down the buildout to a pace that is sustainable. It's easy to get spooked. Doomer posts always spread far quicker than non-doomer posts but just realize that the AI trade is far from priced in. 1. There are still bottlenecks. 2. There are still multi-year buildouts. We will hit a bubble at some point but that time is still 4-5 years away at least in my opinion.
SOFI: That's a Very Conservative Take on the Valuation
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ just lost a key support level. Not great news looking purely at the chart but the numbers speak for themselves: Valuation: -> Trade at 21 NTM EPS growing at 49% CAGR through to 2028 (0.42x PEG). -> For 2030 forecasts, analysts are estimating ~$1.71 in EPS (+30% CAGR from today). So even if $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ trades at 0.6x PEG by then...we'd have a EPS multiple of 18x. 18x on $1.71 = $31 share price. That's a very conservative take on the valuation.
Sit Back and Give the Markets Time: The Pain Trade Remains Higher
By far the best thing you can do now as an investor is sit back and give the markets time. So far $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has seen no structural break so there's no reason to shift more defensive yet. You just need patience. You've got optics plays at inflection point. As a reminder: -> $Lumentum(LITE)$ sold out to 2029. -> $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$set to ~12x revenue in 2 years. -> $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ is set to 10x revenue by 2031. You've also got