AfraSimon

    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·17:01

      𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗺𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸

      𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗺𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸: Space: $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ +13.17% $Satellogic(SATL)$ +8.33% $BlackSky Technology Inc.(BKSY)$ +6.95% $Astronics(ATRO)$ +4.77% $Starfighters Space Inc(FJET)$ +5.85% Energy $Plug Power(PLUG)$ +11.21% $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ +7.69% $FuelCell(FCEL)$ +8.07% Chips $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ +5.82% $Intel(INTC)$ +5.75% Photonics
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      𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗺𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·16:50

      $RKLB Gains “Mini SpaceX” Narrative as $SpaceX Valuation Hits $1.75T

      SpaceX valued at $1.75T. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ valued at $38B. Just 2.2% of SpaceX's valuation. SpaceX is 46x bigger. Saw @aleabitoreddit mention RKLB being one of SpaceX's largest public competitors. SpaceX is like the mature older brother...profitable, dominant, much bigger. RKLB is the little brother...smaller, not yet profitable, but building its own ecosystem of space systems + connectivity. Nevertheless, starting to look a lot like its big bro. Feel like it's becoming the best way to own a “mini spaceX” and capitalize on the run up anticipation phase into the IPO. If big brother IPOs anywhere near $1.75T, and little brother is only 2.2% of that...either SpaceX is wildly overvalued (no), or RKLB is wildly undervalued (yes imo). Thinkin
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      $RKLB Gains “Mini SpaceX” Narrative as $SpaceX Valuation Hits $1.75T
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·16:36

      Bear Case on $HIMS: Valuation Risk, GLP-1 Threat, and Slowing Growth

      Pure $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ delulu copium. Bearish catalysts: 1) Still trading at 32 P/E, despite the core profit driver under attack. If GLP1s go to zero, profits fall 80-120%. Overvalued. 2) Growth is not "sandbagged", its the opposite. $HIMS 2026 and 2030 guidances are aggressive and unachievable without M&A. 3) Newly acquired international segments are stinkers and unprofitable. Everyone knows that $HIMS is the sucker to sell to. Watch for international growth to suffer because of "macro and War in Iran" (Excuses). 4) Peptide approval is not the catalyst HIMS hopes for. It's the opposite, regulators are talking of banning the sale of certain peptides and stricter regulations. 5) Wearables is just delusion, HIMS can't compete w
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      Bear Case on $HIMS: Valuation Risk, GLP-1 Threat, and Slowing Growth
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-03 15:53

      $UUUU Rockets on Nuclear & AI Data Center Demand

      Potential trade of the year can be $Energy Fuels(UUUU)$ ...and I've been aggressively adding. Here's what I'm seeing. The world is fighting over uranium (and nuclear capabilities) right now. > One year ago, UUUU's CEO was openly talking about "working together" with the new administration (Trump2). Gov't admin's goal has clearly been to "reshore critical minerals". > Department of Energy announces $2.7B in funding to strengthen American uranium enrichment in January. This is HUGE (and recent). > USA / Iran negotiations remain deadlocked... specifically on uranium enrichment + stockpiles, both sides are using enrichment as leverage. It's becoming strategic again. > Just a year ago, kobeissiletter also reported that "ai demand is driving
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      $UUUU Rockets on Nuclear & AI Data Center Demand
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-03 15:50

      Focused on $RKLB, $UUUU, $CRCL, $MU, $ONDS , each riding a strong thematic catalyst

      My exposure is concentrated into a few themes at the moment. 1) Space + Rockets > focus name = $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ catalyst is spacex ipo 2) Uranium > focus name = $Energy Fuels(UUUU)$ catalyst is iran/usa nuclear conflict, DoE's $2.7B funding for uranium enrichment, + powering datacenters 3) Stablecoins > focus name = $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ catalyst is global stablecoin adoption + deepening integrations with major banks, payment networks, tokenization platforms 4) Memory > focus name = $Micron Technology(MU)$ catalyst is dram/hbm being a legit ai bottleneck 5) Drones (military) > focus name
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      Focused on $RKLB, $UUUU, $CRCL, $MU, $ONDS , each riding a strong thematic catalyst
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-01

      War Risk Rising: 7 Stocks That Could Benefit — LMT, RTX, NOC, GD, BA, XOM, ESLT

      Trump just started the war with Iran! 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 vs 🇮🇷 Here are 7️⃣ stocks most likely to benefit! 1/ $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ Major US defense contractor producing fighter jets, missiles, and defense systems. The company will benefit because major conflicts drive higher US and allied defense spending, accelerating orders, replenishment of munitions, and long-term modernization contracts. It supplies the US. military with systems such as: - F-35 Lightning II fighter - Patriot PAC-3 missile interceptors - HIMARS rocket systems, - Aegis missile defense components, Additionally, Israel operates the F-35I “Adir,” F-16 variants, and uses Lockheed-produced components and interceptors. Crucially, $LMT supplies the Iron Dome’s Tamir and David’s Sling systems in i
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      War Risk Rising: 7 Stocks That Could Benefit — LMT, RTX, NOC, GD, BA, XOM, ESLT
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·02-28

      Zeta is an AI winner, not a SaaS loser!

      Some of you already know that 2026 has been brutal for Software-as-a-Service companies, as investors fear AI-driven disruption will lead to a slowdown in growth. $Zeta Global Holdings Corp.(ZETA)$ ’s stock was pulled down in this panic, being down 38% before earnings, from its January high. However, that didn’t make much sense, as the company doesn’t offer simple commoditized software on a per-seat subscription basis. Zeta is a clear AI winner, and the market is starting to accept this reality, as the stock has jumped over 20% since the Q4 2025 earnings release. Revenue $395M +25.4% vs $379M estimate. ADJ EBITDA $95M +35.7% vs $91M. ADJ EBIT $75M +40.7% vs $72M. ADJ EPS $0.28 +43% vs $0.23. GAAP Net income of $6.5M. FCF $61M +90% vs $49M. These we
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      Zeta is an AI winner, not a SaaS loser!
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·02-27

      Nu Q4 2025 Earnings Review - Excellent execution once again!

      Yesterday, $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ bank reported earnings, and they were again excellent, with the Brazilian fintech executing across all verticals. Total revenues +56.8% to $4.7B, beating the $4.5B estimate by 3.6%. Net income +62.6% to $898.5M. EPS +60.2%, meeting the estimate of $0.18. ARPU +40.2% to $15. Cost per ARPU remained stable at 80 cents. The number of customers increased by 4M, +14.7%, to 131M. Yet, the stock is down 6% in after-hours, so there was clearly something that the market didn’t like. After going through the results and listening to the earnings call, I believe I have identified 4 key reasons the stock is falling: 1. Regulatory headwind with secured loans in Brazil. 2. One-off cost in Mexico. 3. “Investment Year” guidance. 4. N
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      Nu Q4 2025 Earnings Review - Excellent execution once again!
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·02-27

      CRM is not cheap!

      $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ is not cheap! Just because it trades for the lowest P/FCF multiple ever at 12, doesn't mean it's a buy! 1) Historical multiples are backward-looking. There is a reason that CRM traded for 38x P/FCF in 2018. They were growing top-line at 25%, and EBIT margin was at 4%. There was a lot of potential for growth and margin expansion. 2) P/FCF is not actually 12, because SBC is 8.5% of revenues, about the same as in 2018. It was one thing to have SBC when you are growing at 25% and completely another when you can't crack 10%. 3) Adjusting for SBC, P/FCF is actually 16. SBC eats away 23% of FCF. 4) Acquisitions are stinkers, $58B of Goodwill - $8B for Informatica - $15.7B for Tableau - $27.7B for Slack The company doesn't have a reco
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      CRM is not cheap!
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·02-27

      APP Down 20% Overreaction or Rare AI Ad Compounder Opportunity?

      $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ is down 20%+ 🔴 Yet, Growth is INCREDIBLE, Margins are out of this world, and Global TAM is $1T+. Here is my $APP Investment Thesis: 1/ What does $APP do? Listen to the CEO explain it. It is simple: “Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted, the trouble is, I don’t know which half.” $APP sells an answer to this old advertising dilemma. AppLovin is an AI-based advertising platform that's focused on mobile apps but is expanding to WEB and Streaming. 2/ AppDiscovery $APP AXON AI engine uses sophisticated AI models trained on billions of anonymized device interactions to find the best place for ads to maximise ROI. This service carefully analyses the advertised app and then uses AXON's predictive algorithms to help adv
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      APP Down 20% Overreaction or Rare AI Ad Compounder Opportunity?
     
     
     
     

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